RKLB — candidate.roundup

Update

RKLB — candidate.roundup

Reason: SpaceX-IPO halo air-out fired (RKLB/ASTS/LUNR down hard 30D) — sell-the-news, washed not yet bottomed.

Tape-read: The SpaceX-IPO halo deflated hard. The whole space-adjacent complex sold off -40% to -58% over 30d on the post-IPO air-out — RSIs are washed (32-37) but most names are still falling below SMA20/50. This is sell-the-news washout, not a confirmed bottom; let it base before touching.

  • RKLB — BROKEN-AVOID (washed): RSI 34.3, -43.7% 30d, -27.2% vs SMA20 — golden cross + still +8% vs SMA200, the best-positioned but mid-fall.
  • ASTS — BROKEN-AVOID: RSI 36.4, downtrend, -44.7% 30d, -18.2% vs SMA200 — broke its long-term trend.
  • LUNR — BROKEN-AVOID: RSI 32.5, -46% 30d, -35% vs SMA20, barely +1.8% vs SMA200 — knife.
  • RDW — BROKEN-AVOID: RSI 37.1, -51% 30d, -33% 1y — deepest 30d air-out.
  • FLY — BROKEN-AVOID: RSI 33.5, downtrend, -57.9% 30d, -66% from high — worst of the group.
  • PL — covered in drone-defense scan (not in space.json); same halo cohort, washed.
  • ARKX — WATCH (proxy): RSI 38.2, -12.2% 30d, golden cross, +2.2% vs SMA200 — the ETF held far better than the single names.

Lead pick: None actionable today — all single names are washed-but-falling sell-the-news, not bottomed. Closest to constructive is RKLB (only one with golden cross + above SMA200); watch for a base + pop + flag over SMA50 (~$105) before any entry. Avoid catching the knife.

5 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.