Data as-of 2026-07-17 close, internal tape refresh (pre-computed summaries + today's 30-scan actions digest + cross-strategy positions snapshot). Code did the math; nothing recomputed in prose. Two ETFs carry the prior session's bar — DIA and EOG lag one day at 2026-07-16, flagged where they appear.

1. Market Weather

The tape rotated hard this week rather than breaking — tech cooled, energy confirmed a real move, and no broad-index death cross has appeared. SPY (VOO proxy) $743.29, RSI 48.7, strong-up, no death cross, −0.46% 30D, −2.25% off its high — cooling from RSI 59.7 two weeks ago but structurally intact. QQQ $695.33, RSI 42.1, trend flag flipped strong-up → weak-down, −6.01% 30D — the clearest crack in leadership. VIXY $21.65, RSI 48.0, collapse regime, +5.3% intraday pop — a one-day wobble, not a regime change; vol is still structurally dead. GLD $368.41, RSI 40.0, strong-down, death-crossed, −4.83% 30D — still no haven bid, and it kept falling this week even as the dollar eased off its high. TLT $84.52, RSI 43.5, still strong-down and death-crossed — the bond death cross from two weeks ago remains unresolved (barely up from 39.9); HYG steady at RSI 51.7 keeps saying this is a rates story, not credit stress. EEM $63.29, RSI 39.4, weak-down, −10.59% 30D — the weakest of the international group as the whole complex cooled.

Call: equities healthy but visibly weaker — the cushion that existed two weeks ago is mostly gone; energy is the one complex trend-confirmed to the upside; bonds, gold, and vol still offer nothing. Havens did not confirm a crisis premium despite the widened Gulf strikes — the escalation is showing up in oil, not in gold or defense.

2. Sector Heat Map

The clearest split on the board: XLK cracked (RSI 52.9 → 42.4, gap to high nearly doubled to −11.64%) while XLE went the other way and took over as the strongest sector. SMH (semis) is the single biggest reversal anywhere — RSI 51.1 → 41.2, 30D +0.26% → −15.66%. XLC remains the only death-crossed sector. Nothing printed capitulation-tier RSI at the sector level; the damage is a rotation, not a breakdown.

3. Top 5 Opportunities (best entry zones from the actions digest)

1. NTR $67.28 — focus name, thesis intact, RSI 55.9, strong-up, one tick from its SMA50 reclaim ($67.40); repair continuing (+8.0% 30D). The single cleanest buy-side read on the board this cycle.
2. AMGN $366.29 — steadiest large-cap in biotech for a fourth read running, RSI 57.5, strong-up golden cross; accumulate under $349.50.
3. BG $119.15 — regime upgrade confirmed to uptrend, RSI 57.1; last cycle's rollover-reversal flag is now a completed repair (bought fresh across two books today).
4. GILD $134.28 — RSI 56.9, up trend basing near support, golden cross intact; accumulate under $131.24.
5. DDOG $258.69 — RSI 57.7, strong-up golden cross, thesis intact; the least-extended clean name in cloud/security after PANW/OKTA/CRWD reaccelerated out of buyable range.

Energy (CVX/XLE/XOP, RSI 62–65) is a confirmed re-rate but reads Hold-not-chase at this extension. TMO (<$487.18) and PFE round out the quality-accumulate tier.

4. Top Risks

• yolo LITE −16.9% and BITQ −17.5% — both roughly 2.5–3 points from the −20% hard stop; the next hard-stop candidates if the tech/crypto cool continues. LITE sits in a broken optical cohort (ALAB/SNDK downgraded together); BITQ tracks a crypto complex where RIOT (RSI 26.9) is the most oversold equity in the book.
• yolo CIEN −13.0% still held — claude-trader and claude-momentum both stopped out of CIEN today at −13.0%; yolo's larger position survived its wider stop but remains a live risk (RSI 32.6, −18.73% 7D).
• BTC exit advisory active (carried) — collapse regime persists, now −50.17% off its high; the structure has not repaired.
• CRM exit advisory active (carried) — price recovered +4.6% since 07-11 but still death-crossed / downtrend.
• ARM trigger fired — deepest single-month decline in its file's history (−39.2% 30D); watching whether it floors in its own $255–280 zone (tighter stop $240).
• BE confirmed rollover — six sources flag the same break (−34.6% 30D); the "thesis intact" engine flag now spans 3+ scans against a broken chart.
• Chip/memory complex — MRVL and ARM both −39% 30D, MU/STX/WDC reversed "stabilizing," and the WFE/test-metrology leadership pocket round-tripped its strength in one cycle. Reads as genuine complex-wide digestion.
• Defense — NOC entered a collapse regime for the first time in the book's history; the market is not pricing the widened Gulf escalation as a war premium.

5. Actions Log

New zones / alerts (from today's digest):

• Entry zones — no strict oversold buys pass trend-hold rules: every RSI<30 name (IONS 23.9, IONQ, BBAI, RIOT, LEGN, ALB, LIT, OKLO, PL, DPRO, ORCL 29.3) is a falling-knife profile. Widest oversold band in weeks (13 of 22 in ev-clean-energy, 25 of 66 in ai-scan).
• Quality accumulates (the actual buy-side): NTR, AMGN, GILD, TMO, PFE, BG, DDOG, AMZN, NVDA (at SMA20 retest ~$202), XLU/XLP, AEHR.
• New price alerts: LYB first RSI-50 cross (wants a second confirming week) · PYPL rocketed RSI 61→80, now parabolic — wait for cooldown · AAPL RSI 71.6, genuinely extended · SIMO watch for a floor after a −19% week · AVGO broke through its 07-11 retest zone to the downside (RSI 43.8, watch below, don't chase).
• Holdings advisories: BTC and CRM active (carried); PLTR watch (structure improving slightly, −$2.5B insider selling unchanged); MDT/WMT hold-and-repair; NET winner-management (+51.3% read, −4.6% off high, consider trailing protection).

Today's trades (verified in ledgers):

• Sells (all exit-check stop events): ISRG (coatue-13f) −23.6% · MARA (yolo) −22.6% hard stop, −$1,581 realized · CIEN (claude-trader) −13.0%, −$390 · CIEN (claude-momentum) −13.0%, −$649.
• Buys: claude-trader — BG $2.5K (confirmed repair). bench-signals — PFE / NTR / BG / AMZN / XLU / AEHR / BESIY, $1K each (7-name quality/defensive/energy broadening). yolo — XOP $10K + CVX $7K (rotating into the confirmed energy re-rate). claude-momentum — none (disciplined no-buy) into the tech/semis crack; only the forced CIEN stop.

6. Portfolio Pulse

Strategy Leaderboard

Totals = ledger cash + summary-priced position market values. yolo cash $966 (fully deployed) · claude-trader cash $23,932 · claude-momentum cash $84,466 · bench-signals runs cashless at ~$1K/signal.

Positions — yolo (13)

Positions — claude-momentum (4)

Positions — claude-trader (26, top & bottom)

Full 26-name book; BG added today at cost. No claude-trader position is below −5%.

bench-signals — winners / losers

• Winners: DIA +15.3%, XLF +15.0%, JNJ +11.2%, XLV +11.1%, VYM +10.2%.
• Losers: CIEN −13.0% (still held), GLD −11.7%, LHX −11.2%, MCD −10.6%, GDX −10.0%, PEP −9.1%.

7. Key Numbers

• Most oversold (tracked universe): IONS, RSI 23.9 — deepest print, but a falling-knife/strong-down profile, not buyable.
• Most overbought sector ETF: XLF, RSI 65.3 (+5.4% 30D). Most overbought single name: PYPL, RSI 80.3 (rocketed from 61.3 in a week, now parabolic).
• Gold: GLD $368.41, RSI 40.0, −4.83% 30D, death-crossed — no haven bid.
• Regime transitions: 35 real from→to moves (snapshot 2026-07-17 vs prior bar 2026-07-16). Busiest single group is uptrend → pullback (9 names) — the tech/semis cooldown; downtrend → collapse claimed 4 (BTC-USD, DPRO, JOBY, OKLO). Dispersion elevated (name-move/benchmark ratio 1.76) — still stock-picking weather.
• GOLDEN setups (RSI<30 + insider buying): zero, 3rd straight scan — no capitulation-bottom confirmation anywhere.

8. What Changed (vs 2026-07-11)

• Tech cracked, energy confirmed — the week's dominant story: QQQ flipped strong-up → weak-down (RSI 53.1 → 42.1), XLK RSI 52.9 → 42.4, SMH 51.1 → 41.2, while XLE went RSI 50.3 → 62.3 and USO ran +14.04% in seven days. A genuine sector rotation, not a market-wide breakdown — no broad-index death cross yet.
• ISRG capitulated — a −14.15% single-session crash on 3.9x volume dropped it to RSI 30.2, the first sub-30 read in this deep-dive file's history, cross-confirmed by five scans. Thesis flag still "intact," tape says otherwise — a watch, not a buy (and coatue-13f trimmed it today at −23.6%).
• The bond death cross is still unresolved — TLT strong-down / death-crossed for a third week (RSI 39.9 → 43.5); the biggest structural change from two cycles ago has not healed.
• Havens broke their tell — GLD/SLV/GDX kept falling even as the dollar eased off its high, breaking the "stronger dollar explains weaker metals" read that held for two scans; no crisis premium confirmed despite the widened Gulf strikes.
• Chip/memory complex broke down together — MRVL and ARM both −39% 30D, MU/STX/WDC reversed "stabilizing," and the WFE/optical leadership pocket (ALAB/SNDK/ONTO) round-tripped in one cycle. Complex-wide digestion, not isolated names.
• Defense didn't price the escalation — NOC's first-ever collapse regime; the market is treating the Gulf story as an energy-supply move, showing up in oil rather than defense primes.
• Four paper exits fired, buys split energy-vs-quality — ISRG/MARA/CIEN×2 stopped out; yolo rotated into energy (XOP/CVX), bench broadened into 7 quality/defensive names, claude-trader added BG, and claude-momentum sat disciplined with no new buys into the crack.

Sourced from today's actions digest (2026-07-17-actions-daily-digest.md), the 2026-07-17 market-pulse summary, and the verified paper-trading ledgers (positions snapshot from pre-computed summaries; today's trades and closed positions read from each strategy's LEDGER.json). research:feeds / research:terminal-projections owned by the main thread.