Healthcare Scan

Scan

Healthcare Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 36 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-08-14-healthcare-scan.md

A strong scan overall — most of the cut gained RSI ground and $TMO, $PFE, $DXCM, and $MRK all crossed into overbought — but two names are worth separating out from the crowd for opposite reasons: $ZTS is down 50% over the past year and 26% below its 200-day, the cleanest long-trend breakdown in this cut, while $ABT is the most overbought name in the group (RSI 77.8) despite being down 12% over the past year with a badly negative alpha — an overbought squeeze sitting on top of a weak durable trend, not confirmation of a healthy one. $ISRG remains the same relapse flagged in this session's biotech cut, now below its 200-day for a third straight scan.

Data as-of the 2026-08-21 close (Friday's settled session) — every name in this cut carries a fresh bar this scan.

Source: healthcare.json (the broader universe, not the narrower healthcare-scan.json cut — consistent with the prior scan). Prior scan: 2026-08-14-healthcare-scan.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 Broadly strong — four names crossed into overbought this scan — with two clear exceptions worth separating from the crowd
Leaders $MRK and $ABT (tied, RSI 77.8, the cut's highest prints); $MRNA (71.6, up 453% over the year, extreme single-name move)
Laggards $CVS (34.1, fell back into the oversold band); $UNH (38.3, weakest print, but above its 200-day); $ISRG (47.6, below its 200-day for a third straight scan)
Key insight $ABT is the cut's most overbought name (RSI 77.8) yet down 12% over the past year with a badly negative alpha — overbought and long-trend-weak at the same time, a genuinely different situation from every other name near the top of this cut

What's Going On

The cohort gained RSI ground broadly this scan: $TMO (+11.4 points), $VRTX (+10.5), $MRNA (+15.0), $GH (+10.3), and $XLV (+6.1) all posted strong single-scan moves, and the overbought roster grew — $TMO, $PFE, $DXCM, and $MRK all crossed above RSI 70, joining $ABT, $VEEV, $AMGN, $MDT, and $MRNA. Most of that strength checks out on the long-trend numbers too: $MRK is up 77% over the year and 32% above its 200-day, $DXCM is up 15% and 33% above its 200-day, $AMGN is up 49% and 25% above.

$ABT is the one name in that overbought group that doesn't fit the pattern. Its RSI (77.8) ties $MRK for the cut's highest print, but its year-over-year return is negative (-11.6%) with an alpha of -33.5 — badly lagging the broader tape over the past year despite this week's strength. That combination — extended short-term, weak long-term — is a genuinely different situation from the rest of the overbought names, and it's worth treating $ABT's current strength as a squeeze inside a still-weak trend rather than confirmation of a healthy one. $VEEV shows a milder version of the same pattern: RSI 69.7 but down 12.2% over the past year with a negative alpha, even though its most recent quarter has been strong (+54.8% over three months).

$ZTS is the cleanest long-trend breakdown in the cut, and it isn't close: down 50.1% over the past year, 26.1% below its 200-day average, with an alpha of -71.9. RSI sits at 54.8 — mid-range, not obviously alarming on its own — which is exactly why the long-trend check matters here: a name can look unremarkable on the week while sitting on one of the worst durable trends in the entire watchlist. $ISRG remains the other genuine concern, now below its 200-day for a third straight scan (down 19.9%) with a negative year-over-year return — the same relapse pattern flagged in this session's biotech cut for the identical ticker.

$CVS and $UNH both look weak on RSI this scan (34.1 and 38.3) but pass the long-trend test cleanly: both sit above their 200-day average with positive year-over-year returns (+30.2% and +28.6%) and positive alpha. Read those two as deep pullbacks inside intact trends, not breakdowns — the opposite read from $ZTS and $ISRG despite superficially similar RSI levels.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-14)

  • $MRNA posted the cut's most extreme move. Price ran from $63.32 to $145.13 (+129.2% for the week), RSI 56.6 → 71.6 — the same extreme move visible in this session's biotech cut for the identical ticker.
  • $TMO crossed sharply into overbought. RSI 63.2 → 74.6 (+11.4), price up 7.0% for the week.
  • $MRK extended further, now tied for the cut's highest RSI. RSI 69.0 → 77.8 (+8.8), price up 12.3% for the week, now up 77% over the year.
  • $CVS fell back into the oversold band. RSI 40.4 → 34.1 (-6.3), price down 4.3% for the week — reversing the recovery flagged two scans ago, though still above its 200-day with a positive year.
  • $ISRG relapsed again. RSI 56.0 → 47.6 (-8.4) — the same pattern flagged in this session's biotech scan, now below its 200-day for a third straight scan.
  • $UNH weakened further. RSI 42.1 → 38.3 (-3.8), the cut's weakest print, though it remains above its 200-day with a positive year.
  • $VRTX and $XLV both gained double-digit RSI points. VRTX: 56.5 → 67.0 (+10.5). XLV: 62.2 → 68.3 (+6.1).
  • $DXCM and $PFE both crossed above RSI 70. DXCM: 67.7 → 70.1. PFE: 67.5 → 70.2.
  • $MDT and $VEEV both cooled slightly, staying just below or near overbought. MDT: 71.4 → 68.4. VEEV: 73.1 → 69.7.
  • No stale bars this scan — every name carries a fresh 2026-08-21 close.
  • Universe unchanged. Same 22 tickers as the prior scan.

How To Read The Board

RSI measures how stretched a stock is over the past 14 sessions — under 30 signals oversold, over 70 signals overbought/extended. vs SMA20 is the price gap to the 20-day average. 1Y% and vs SMA200 are the two numbers that separate a genuine breakdown from a pullback: $CVS and $UNH both look weak on RSI this scan but are above their 200-day with a positive year — deep pullbacks, not breakdowns. $ZTS and $ISRG are below their 200-day with a negative year — genuine breakdowns, regardless of a mid-range RSI. $ABT is the trickiest read this scan: extended on RSI (77.8) but negative on the year — don't let the short-term strength stand in for the long-trend read.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Signal
CVS $93.02 34.1 $98.90 -5.9% -4.3% -13.9% +30.2% +8.5% 🟡 Deep pullback, intact
UNH $390.11 38.3 $406.00 -3.9% -2.9% -9.6% +28.6% +12.1% 🟡 Deep pullback, intact
SYK $329.45 47.4 $339.08 -2.8% -2.8% +6.5% -14.4% -3.2% 🔴 Breakdown
ISRGE $378.81 47.6 $378.68 0.0% -4.0% +11.2% -19.4% -19.9% 🔴 Breakdown
HROW $40.95 52.4 $39.69 +3.2% +2.3% -4.4% +7.3% -0.6% 🟡 Testing 200-day
ZTS $77.73 54.8 $75.64 +2.8% +5.3% +4.8% -50.1% -26.1% 🔴 Breakdown, worst in cut
BIIB $216.78 58.8 $208.59 +3.9% +3.3% +9.6% +55.8% +15.3% 🟢 Healthy
LLY $1,255.40 59.4 $1,198.10 +4.8% +6.3% +7.9% +76.9% +19.2% 🟢 Healthy
JNJ $270.24 61.8 $262.15 +3.1% +3.8% +5.7% +51.0% +16.6% 🟢 Healthy
GH $170.69 62.5 $159.66 +6.9% +8.6% +13.2% +178.5% +49.7% 🟢 Healthy
GILD $146.12 67.0 $136.10 +7.4% +5.6% +12.1% +25.8% +9.8% 🟡 Uptrend
VRTX $548.05 67.0 $505.57 +8.4% +8.4% +16.0% +37.9% +19.1% 🟢 Healthy
XLV $174.62 68.3 $167.09 +4.5% +4.3% +9.5% +29.1% +13.2% 🟢 Healthy (sector ETF)
MDT $93.35 68.4 $88.84 +5.1% +2.3% +14.0% +2.5% +4.0% 🟡 Modest, above 200-day
VEEV $247.90 69.7 $226.42 +9.5% +1.7% +34.3% -12.2% +24.1% 🔴 Overbought, weak 1Y
DXCM $92.34 70.1 $85.30 +8.3% +2.9% +29.3% +14.5% +33.2% 🟠 Extended, healthy
PFE $28.07 70.2 $26.30 +6.7% +4.8% +13.1% +9.1% +8.0% 🟠 Extended, healthy
MRNA $145.13 71.6 $72.57 +100.0% +129.2% +149.9% +453.5% +197.8% 🟠 Extreme move, high-variance
AMGN $439.33 73.4 $408.16 +7.6% +5.8% +20.0% +48.5% +24.5% 🟠 Extended, healthy
TMO $629.27 74.6 $589.54 +6.7% +7.0% +19.5% +30.1% +17.9% 🟠 Extended, healthy
ABT $116.64 77.8 $109.26 +6.8% +4.8% +16.0% -11.6% +8.9% 🔴 Overbought, weak 1Y
MRK $152.55 77.8 $134.23 +13.7% +12.3% +19.7% +77.2% +32.3% 🟠 Extended, healthy

Tier Analysis

Extreme Oversold (RSI < 25)

None.

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

$CVS (34.1) — the only name in the band this scan, back in it after clearing it two scans ago. Above its 200-day with a positive year, so a deep pullback rather than a breakdown.

RSI 40+ (everyone else)

  • Genuine breakdown (below 200-day, negative 1-year): $SYK, $ISRG, $ZTS — three names; $ZTS is the deepest of the group by a wide margin.
  • Overbought but long-trend weak (the scan's key nuance): $ABT, $VEEV — both extended on RSI, both negative on the year. Treat the current strength as a squeeze, not a trend confirmation.
  • Extreme, high-variance move: $MRNA — up 453% over the year on 4.4x average volume; a distinct situation from the rest of the cut.
  • Genuinely healthy uptrend: $BIIB, $LLY, $JNJ, $GH, $GILD, $VRTX, $XLV, $DXCM, $PFE, $AMGN, $TMO, $MRK — twelve names, the bulk of the cut, all above their 200-day with a strongly positive year.
  • Deep pullback but intact: $CVS, $UNH — weak RSI this scan, but above the 200-day with a positive year.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 1Y% Setup
CVS $93.02 Shelf at $78.86 34.1 +30.2% Back in the oversold band, but above its 200-day with a positive year — deep pullback, not a breakdown
UNH $390.11 <$363.08 (support shelf) 38.3 +28.6% Weakest RSI in the cut but still up 29% over the year and above its 200-day
GILD $146.12 <$135.93 (support shelf) 67.0 +25.8% Not extended despite the RSI; healthy long trend
HROW $40.95 <$40.05 (support shelf) 52.4 +7.3% Sitting right at its 200-day; small-cap, modest but positive year
ZTS $77.73 No support shelf identified 54.8 -50.1% The cut's clearest breakdown — no confirmed floor, avoid treating the mid-range RSI as a buy signal

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD BIIB, LLY, JNJ, GH, GILD, VRTX, XLV, DXCM, PFE, AMGN, TMO, MRK Above the 200-day with a strongly positive year-over-year return — the cleanest reads in the cut
📈 ACCUMULATE CVS, UNH Weak RSI this scan but both pass the long-trend test — deep pullback inside an intact uptrend
🔍 WATCH HROW, MDT Modest, mixed reads near their own averages, no strong signal either way
⚠️ AVOID / DON'T CHASE ABT, VEEV, MRNA Extended on RSI; ABT and VEEV are also negative on the year (overbought-but-weak-trend), MRNA is an extreme, high-variance single-name move
❌ AVOID / BREAKDOWN WATCH SYK, ISRG, ZTS Below the 200-day with a negative year-over-year return — genuine long-trend breakdowns, $ZTS by the widest margin in the cut

What To Watch Next

  • $ABT is the cut's most overbought name yet down 12% over the year — does the trend catch up to the price, or does the RSI cool back down first?
  • $ZTS remains 26% below its 200-day and down 50% over the year — does it find any floor, or does the breakdown deepen further?
  • $ISRG is below its 200-day for a third straight scan (also flagged in this session's biotech cut) — does the relapse pattern finally break, or continue a fourth time?
  • $MRNA's extreme move (up 129% in a single week) — does it consolidate into a real base, or does the move partially unwind?

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-21 close — healthcare.
  • Prior scan for comparison: 2026-08-14-healthcare-scan.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.