Healthcare Scan

Scan

Healthcare Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 40 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-09-18-healthcare-scan.md

The sector's leadership week didn't carry into this one. The healthcare fund rose 0.61% against the S&P 500 proxy's 1.82% — a laggard week after last scan's outperformance — and $CVS is the reason the cut's bottom looks worse: it lost its 200-day this week, sliding from RSI 29.6 to 24.4, the cut's first capitulation print, on an old Q2 earnings recap that doesn't explain the fresh decline. At the top, $ATRC pushed past RSI 80 to 80.7 — the most extended name across the desk's healthcare coverage — while $MRNA and $TMO both crossed into the near-overbought band alongside it, and $BIIB jumped 13 RSI points with nothing in its news file to explain the move.

Data as-of the 2026-09-23 close (Wednesday's settled session) — every name in this cut carries a fresh bar; universe unchanged at 24 tickers.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 A cohort splitting between extremes — a new capitulation print at the bottom, three names in the near-overbought-or-higher band at the top, and the sector fund itself trailing the broader market this week after leading it last scan
Leaders $ATRC (RSI 80.7, +4.94% on the week, +112.02% over three months — the most extended name in this cut); $MRNA (71.9, +25.06% on the week, +606.13% on the year); $TMO (71.5, +2.6% on the week, trend intact)
Laggards $CVS (24.4, lost its 200-day this week, no new cause found); $SYK (31.0, -3.99% on the week, -26.8% on the year); $UNH (33.5, -1.06% on the week, barely above its 200-day)
Key insight Healthcare's 7-day return (+0.61%) trails the S&P 500 proxy's (+1.82%) this week, but the sector fund is still up 23.27% over the past year against the index's 15.77% — a short-term laggard week inside a long-term outperformer, not a reversal
Caveat $CVS's news file carries only an old Q2 earnings recap already priced in weeks ago; $ATRC's and $GH's files have nothing newer than late July and September 4 respectively. None of that silence explains the current moves

What's Going On

Healthcare's week of leadership ended. The sector fund closed $168.80, up 0.61% on the week — positive, but behind the S&P 500 proxy's 1.82% gain over the same five sessions, a reversal from last scan when healthcare was the desk's best-performing sector fund against a falling index. The fund is also down 3.38% on the month even as it holds a 23.27% one-year return against the index's 15.77% — the short window and the long window are telling different stories here, and the long one is still the stronger trend.

$CVS is the week's break. It fell from RSI 29.6 to 24.4, the cut's first capitulation print, closing at $85.86 — down 6.39% on the week and now 1.8% below its 200-day, a line it had been sitting 1.8% above just one scan ago. The desk's news file for the name holds only an old Q2 2026 earnings recap (guidance raise, Rite Aid integration, GLP-1 partnerships) that was already reflected in prices weeks before this decline — no new driver is established for this week's move specifically.

The top of the cohort kept extending. $ATRC closed $59.96, RSI 80.7, up 4.94% on the week and 112.02% over three months, 67.7% above its 200-day — the most stretched name in this cut, with no news coverage newer than late July on the desk's record. $MRNA closed $182.11, RSI 71.9, up 25.06% on the week and 606.13% on the year, continuing the same extreme multi-quarter move this scan has tracked for weeks. $TMO crossed into the same near-overbought band at RSI 71.5. $ITGR held near its own extended perch at RSI 75.4, essentially flat on the week.

$BIIB is this scan's quieter surprise: RSI jumped from 50.4 to 63.4 on a 5.33% gain, and the desk's news file has nothing dated to the move. $GH cooled to a 0.81% weekly gain after last week's 13.98% surge, RSI 58.6 — a pause rather than a reversal, still up 195.23% on the year with no news file newer than September 4 to explain either the surge or the pause. $SYK and $UNH continue to sit in the cut's weakest structural group: $SYK at RSI 31.0 with a -26.8% year and 17.9% below its 200-day, $UNH at RSI 33.5 now just 4.6% above its own 200-day after a further pullback.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-09-18)

  • $CVS lost its 200-day and fell into capitulation. RSI 29.6 → 24.4, -1.42% on the day to $85.86; the cushion above its 200-day flipped from +1.8% to -1.8%. The year-over-year return shrank from +19.4% to +12.24%.
  • $ATRC pushed past RSI 80. RSI 77.7 → 80.7, +1.92% on the day to $59.96, now the most extended name in this cut.
  • $MRNA and $TMO both crossed into the near-overbought band. MRNA: RSI 63.3 → 71.9, +25.06% on the week. TMO: RSI 67.6 → 71.5, +2.6% on the week.
  • $BIIB jumped 13 RSI points with no driver on the desk's record. RSI 50.4 → 63.4, price $215.50 → $227.53 (+5.6%).
  • $AMGN exited the oversold band entirely. RSI 39.7 → 51.9, price $385.65 → $406.09 (+5.3%).
  • $GH cooled from last scan's surge. RSI 63.1 → 58.6, price $179.38 → $176.31 (-1.7%) — a pause, not a reversal, still +195.23% on the year.
  • The sector flipped from leader back to laggard versus the index. The fund's 7-day return went from +1.83% (leading a falling market) to +0.61% (trailing a rising one).
  • The oversold band shrank and shifted. $CVS moved from oversold into capitulation; $ZTS, $UNH, $HROW, $SYK remain, while $ABT and $AMGN exited into neutral territory.
  • No stale bars this scan — every name carries a fresh 2026-09-23 close. Universe unchanged at 24 tickers.

How To Read The Board

RSI is a fourteen-session stretch gauge: under 30 oversold, under 25 capitulation, over 70 near-overbought, over 80 extreme. The one-year return and the distance to the 200-day average decide whether a name is in a pullback or a downtrend, and in this cut they still contradict the RSI in both directions. $ISRG prints 62.0 on a long trend that remains broken (-11.04% year, 12% below its 200-day). $CVS just fell into capitulation on a trend that, until this week, was still passing the long test — its year is still positive at +12.24%, which makes this a fresh break rather than a continuation of an old one. Five names fail the long test outright — $SYK, $ZTS, $HROW, $ABT and $ISRG, all below their 200-day with negative years. $CVS and $VEEV sit in the ambiguous middle: $CVS just crossed into failing, $VEEV carries a negative year while trading 35.7% above its 200-day. Everything else in the cut is above its long average with a positive year, which is why the sector's underperformance this week reads as a pause inside a working trend rather than a reversal.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Signal
CVS $85.86 24.4 $93.29 -8.0% -6.4% -8.8% +12.2% -1.8% 🔴 Lost its 200-day, new capitulation print
SYK $273.40 31.0 $293.52 -6.9% -4.0% -16.6% -26.8% -17.9% 🔴 Breakdown, still deep
UNH $371.29 33.5 $387.12 -4.1% -1.1% -6.9% +6.8% +4.6% 🟡 Pullback, thin trend
HROW $33.60 35.8 $36.08 -6.9% -1.8% -15.6% -31.2% -17.9% 🔴 Breakdown, deepening
ZTS $71.61 39.8 $74.28 -3.6% -1.9% -7.2% -49.8% -28.4% 🔴 Still the cut's worst trend
ABT $103.49 41.7 $106.18 -2.5% +1.1% -11.3% -23.8% -1.3% 🔴 Negative year, near its 200-day
MDT $89.30 42.6 $91.95 -2.9% -3.6% -3.9% -6.0% +0.2% 🟡 Flat year, sitting on its 200-day
LLY $1,150.99 46.6 $1,150.82 0.0% +1.2% -7.7% +54.1% +7.7% 🟡 Pullback, trend intact
VRTX $516.34 46.8 $529.18 -2.4% +0.6% -5.7% +36.0% +9.6% 🟡 Pullback, trend intact
XLV $168.80 50.6 $169.45 -0.4% +0.6% -3.4% +23.3% +8.1% 🟢 Sector fund, trailing the index this week
AMGN $406.09 51.9 $407.73 -0.4% +7.9% -8.5% +41.6% +12.4% 🟢 Exited oversold, healthy trend
DXCM $87.73 52.4 $87.79 -0.1% +0.5% -3.7% +28.6% +21.2% 🟢 Cooled off, trend intact
JNJ $269.17 53.1 $269.33 -0.1% +0.7% -1.4% +52.4% +12.3% 🟢 Healthy trend
MRK $148.08 55.5 $148.18 -0.1% +2.2% -1.7% +85.2% +22.2% 🟢 Healthy trend
GH $176.31 58.6 $167.91 +5.0% +0.8% +8.1% +195.2% +45.3% 🟢 Cooled from last week's surge
PFE $28.18 59.9 $28.02 +0.6% +2.6% +0.8% +16.8% +7.1% 🟢 Healthy trend
VEEV $270.75 61.3 $268.60 +0.8% +2.2% +9.0% -2.9% +35.7% 🟡 Negative year despite the RSI
GILD $151.37 61.9 $148.38 +2.0% +2.5% +3.2% +32.3% +11.5% 🟢 Healthy trend
ISRGE $398.30 62.0 $375.70 +6.0% +4.2% +6.6% -11.0% -12.0% 🔴 Bounce, long trend still broken
BIIB $227.53 63.4 $218.68 +4.0% +5.3% +4.3% +63.3% +17.6% 🟢 Big jump, cause unknown
TMO $665.30 71.5 $628.12 +5.9% +2.6% +5.8% +41.6% +23.4% 🟠 Near-overbought, trend intact
MRNA $182.11 71.9 $150.63 +20.9% +25.1% +31.1% +606.1% +191.1% 🟠 Extreme multi-quarter move, continuing
ITGR $126.32 75.4 $125.90 +0.3% +0.2% +1.0% +22.5% +34.1% 🟠 Extended, holding near its high
ATRC $59.96 80.7 $53.88 +11.3% +4.9% +21.7% +63.7% +67.7% 🔴 Most extended name in the cut

Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI < 25)

$CVS (24.4) — new this scan, lost its 200-day in the same move. No news file explains the additional decline.

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

$SYK (31.0), $UNH (33.5), $HROW (35.8), $ZTS (39.8) — four names, down from seven last scan ($CVS moved into capitulation, $ABT and $AMGN exited into neutral). $UNH is the only one still barely passing the long test.

Neutral to strong (RSI 40+)

  • Failing the long test: $ABT, $ISRG — below their 200-day with negative years. $ISRG's 62.0 RSI does not change that.
  • Negative year, above the 200-day: $MDT and $VEEV — the ambiguous middle; $VEEV is 35.7% above its long average with a -2.9% year.
  • Pullback, trend intact: $LLY, $VRTX — above their 200-day with positive years, near their 20-day.
  • Healthy and working: $XLV, $AMGN, $DXCM, $JNJ, $MRK, $GH, $PFE, $GILD, $BIIB.
  • Near-overbought, trend intact: $TMO, $MRNA.
  • Extended: $ITGR (75.4, holding near its high) and $ATRC (80.7, the most stretched name in the cut) — working trends at extreme prices.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 1Y% Conditions
UNH $371.29 $354.51 (a prior support shelf) to $387.12 (its 20-day) 33.5 +6.8% Oversold with a thin but still-positive long trend; the shelf is the defined risk point
MDT $89.30 $87.76 (a prior support shelf), just below the price 42.6 -6.0% Flat year, sitting almost exactly on its 200-day
XLV $168.80 $167.30 (its 50-day) to $169.45 (its 20-day) 50.6 +23.3% The sector expression, trailing the index this week but sitting between its two short averages
DXCM $87.73 $87.79 (its 20-day), with $74.15 the shelf well below 52.4 +28.6% Cooled off after a strong month, 21.2% above its 200-day
CVS $85.86 $78.94 (a prior support shelf) 24.4 +12.2% Lost its 200-day this week with no confirmed floor and no established cause — a watch item, not an entry

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
XLV, AMGN, DXCM, JNJ, MRK, GH, PFE, GILD, BIIB 🟢 🔒 Hold Positive years, comfortably above their 200-day; $GH is the most extended long-term winner in the group
LLY, VRTX, UNH 🟡 📈 Accumulate Pullbacks inside intact-to-thin trends, trading at or below their 20-day
TMO, MRNA 🟠 ⚠️ Don't chase Trends working, prices in the near-overbought band
ITGR, ATRC 🟠 / 🔴 ⚠️ Don't chase $ATRC crossed above RSI 80 this week — the most stretched name across the desk's healthcare coverage
CVS, MDT, VEEV 🟡 🔍 Watch $CVS just lost the long test this week; $MDT and $VEEV carry negative years near their long averages
ISRG, SYK, ZTS, HROW, ABT 🔴 ❌ Avoid Below their 200-day with negative years; $ZTS remains the cut's worst at -49.79% on the year

What To Watch Next

  • $CVS lost its 200-day this week with no new driver on the record — its only recent news is an old Q2 earnings recap already priced in weeks ago. The next question is whether $78.94, the prior support shelf, holds if the slide continues.
  • $ATRC crossed above RSI 80 for the first time this scan has tracked it, 67.7% above its 200-day with no news coverage newer than late July. Whether it consolidates or gives back the 21.67% it added on the month is the cut's most stretched open question.
  • $BIIB jumped 13 RSI points on a 5.33% week with no news receipt covering it. Does a filing or transcript surface, or does this stay unexplained inside an already-healthy trend?
  • The sector fund trailed the index this week after leading it last scan. Whether that is noise inside a still-strong one-year trend (+23.27%) or the start of a real rotation away from healthcare is worth checking against next week's cross-sector read.
  • $GH cooled after last scan's 13.98% surge with still no news file newer than September 4. Getting a fresh pull on the name should be a priority before the next scan tries to explain either move.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, moving averages, returns, long-horizon fields): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-23 close — healthcare.
  • Cross-sector comparison (healthcare trailing the S&P 500 proxy this week, still ahead of it over the year): market-pulse.
  • News checks with nothing on this week's move: latest (pulled 2026-09-19, holds only an old Q2 earnings recap), ATRC (pulled 2026-09-16, newest article late July), GH (pulled 2026-09-19, newest article September 4), BIIB (pulled 2026-09-16, nothing newer than September 3). Event record research/stock-events/ checked for the 2026-09-18 to 2026-09-23 window: only ABVX, AIR, SFIX, GIS and MU earnings are filed, none in this cut.
  • Prior scan for comparison: 2026-09-18-healthcare-scan.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.