🔥 Hot Signals
Article
🔥 Hot Signals
🔥 Hot Signals — 2026-09-21
Auto-generated rollup. One pull, not five.
Sources:
exit-check,persona-consensus,convergence-db --min=2,monster-scan,entry-volume-scan,breakout-volume-scan,distribution-scan,capture-health, optionalregime-signals.Generated in 1696ms — pure aggregation, no fresh scans.
🟢 Capture health
30 sources · 24 fresh · 5 stale · 1 no captures (threshold 7d)
⚠ Stale sources mean profile + chorus output is operating on old captures. Run
deno task intake:harvestor per-source scrapers to refresh.
| Source | Type | Last capture | Days stale |
|---|---|---|---|
| dumb-money-live | podcast | 2026-03-24 | 181d |
| thediff | rss | 2026-04-29 | 145d |
| apricitas | rss | 2026-05-06 | 138d |
| sherwood | rss | 2026-08-17 | 35d |
| phynvesting | rss | 2026-09-11 | 10d |
| SecurityAnalysis | — | — |
📊 At a glance
- 0 SELL verdicts • 19 TRIM verdicts (18 from perspective fade)
- 15 convergent bull setups (3+ personas long, no shorts) • 0 divergent
- 3 tickers in 3+ independent traces
- 12 parabolic monsters (golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200)
- 2 risk-on regime gauges • 1 risk-off • 0 blocked
Regime gauges — 2026-09-21
| Gauge | State | Band | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GLD vs UUP inverse | gold_breakdown_dollar_firm | risk_on | -7.98 30d spread pct pts |
| VIXY fear proxy | vol_compressed | risk_on | -57.3 pct from 52w high |
| Broad-market ETF breadth | short_term_fragile | risk_off | 40 pct above SMA50 |
🟠 TRIM — 19 positions
18 of these are perspective-fading — originating thesis closing/resolved:
- XLU (bench-signals, -10.0%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- XLU (bench-signals-trail, -10.0%) — All originating theses fading — The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- GLD (bench-signals, -4.5%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
- GLD (conviction, -3.9%) — All originating theses fading — The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven (closed). Review whether to hold.
- TLT (conviction, -0.6%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed). Review whether to hold.
- APD (claude-trader, +0.3%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- APD (bench-signals, +0.3%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- INDA (bench-signals, +4.1%) — All originating theses fading — Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (bench-signals, +4.5%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (bench-signals-trail, +4.5%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (bench-signals, +7.7%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (yolo, +7.7%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (claude-trader, +8.7%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- NVDA (conviction, +9.1%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- AMZN (claude-trader, +11.1%) — All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
- SPY (dca-larry, +15.5%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- QQQ (dca-larry, +24.5%) — All originating theses fading — AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed); The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch (closed). Review whether to hold.
- META (bench-signals-trail, +34.8%) — All originating theses fading — SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold.
Other trims (rule-based):
| Ticker | Strategy | P&L | Rule | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GILD | yolo | +15.5% | partial-profit |
+15.5% — consider partial at +15% (CRSP lesson: was +16.2%, reversed to -4.8%). |
🎯 Convergent bulls — 15
Tickers held long by 3+ personas with no shorts. Persona-level consensus signal.
| Ticker | # bulls | Avg P&L | Long strategies |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 11 | +15.4% | ackman-13f, atreides-13f, bench-signals (tier: LOW), bench-signals-trail, claude-trader (tier: LOW)... |
| GOOGL | 9 | +14.7% | atreides-13f, bench-signals (tier: LOW), buffett-13f, claude-trader (tier: LOW), gottheimer-trades... |
| NVDA | 7 | +13.2% | altimeter-13f, bench-signals (tier: LOW), claude-trader (tier: LOW), conviction, khanna-trades... |
| AVGO | 8 | +8.4% | altimeter-13f, bench-signals (tier: LOW), claude-trader (tier: LOW), druckenmiller-13f, khanna-trades... |
| V | 4 | +23.2% | atreides-13f, coatue-13f (tier: MEDIUM), hohn-13f, klarman-13f (tier: LOW) |
| SNDK | 4 | +145.1% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: MEDIUM), druckenmiller-13f, gottheimer-trades, tepper-13f (tier: LOW) |
| BE | 3 | +129.4% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: MEDIUM), druckenmiller-13f, pelosi-trades (tier: LOW) |
| DHR | 3 | +7.8% | conviction, loeb-13f (tier: LOW), mccaul-trades |
| MSFT | 4 | +14.1% | ackman-13f, coatue-13f (tier: MEDIUM), conviction, tepper-13f (tier: LOW) |
| UBER | 4 | +0.0% | altimeter-13f, khanna-trades, pelosi-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f (tier: LOW) |
| CVS | 5 | -5.8% | bench-signals (tier: LOW), bench-signals-trail, claude-trader (tier: LOW), claude-trader-trail, yolo (tier: LOW) |
| META | 5 | +24.2% | ackman-13f, altimeter-13f, bench-signals-trail, loeb-13f (tier: LOW), tepper-13f (tier: LOW) |
| MU | 5 | +162.3% | aschenbrenner-13f (tier: MEDIUM), coatue-13f (tier: MEDIUM), druckenmiller-13f, gottheimer-trades, tepper-13f (tier: LOW) |
| CF | 4 | -1.6% | bench-signals (tier: LOW), claude-trader (tier: LOW), claude-trader-trail, momentum-trader |
| VST | 3 | -10.0% | atreides-13f, pelosi-trades (tier: LOW), tepper-13f (tier: LOW) |
🌐 Cross-thesis hits — 3
Tickers surfaced by 3+ independent autonomous-research traces. The "shows up everywhere" signal.
| Ticker | Company | # traces | Theses |
|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | Coherent Corp (formerly II-VI) | 4 | quantum computing physical bot...; military drone supply chain an...; HBM high-bandwidth memory equi... |
| LIN | Linde plc | 3 | quantum computing physical bot...; LNG liquefaction shipping and ...; helium supply chain for semico... |
| APD | Air Products and Chemicals | 3 | quantum computing physical bot...; LNG liquefaction shipping and ...; helium supply chain for semico... |
🚀 Monsters — top 12
Parabolic stocks: golden cross + 50%+ above SMA200. Top by 3-month change.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 3M | 30D | vs SMA200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZCSH | $117.96 | 77.7 | +301.9% | +117.3% | +245% |
| BWET | $834.00 | 77.8 | +283.0% | +78.0% | +365% |
| MRNA | $172.94 | 69.6 | +191.4% | +19.2% | +184% |
| IOVA | $10.19 | 74.3 | +151.0% | +22.9% | +138% |
| TEAM | $195.67 | 67.7 | +144.7% | +13.9% | +76% |
| TXG | $79.10 | 76.0 | +140.1% | +21.5% | +150% |
| ABCL | $12.66 | 66.8 | +120.6% | +11.8% | +129% |
| CDNA | $54.33 | 71.3 | +116.9% | +11.8% | +103% |
| ATRC | $58.32 | 78.1 | +105.1% | +19.1% | +64% |
| ASST | $30.33 | 79.0 | +104.8% | +66.5% | +102% |
| AMLX | $32.39 | 53.0 | +99.0% | -16.2% | +82% |
| SDGR | $30.24 | 79.0 | +98.6% | +53.4% | +96% |
🎯 Entry + Volume setups — top 8
Good entry zone (uptrend, not extended, at a volume shelf) AND volume confirming. The dip-at-shelf buy radar.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA200 | Froth | RelVol | Zone | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POET | $8.41 | 56 | +1.4% | -15.2% | 1.6× | VA | optical-supply-chain |
| RXRX | $3.97 | 65 | +10.1% | -9.9% | 2.2× | VA | biotech-capital-cycle, biotech-scan |
| COIN | $201.05 | 60 | +6.4% | -5.9% | 1.3× | VA | crypto, hard-assets |
| ITRI | $92.43 | 43 | +0.3% | -5.4% | 1.6× | VA | ai-power |
| ENLT | $75.35 | 46 | +1.3% | -4.0% | 1.5× | VA | electricity, monster-discoveries |
| XLC | $114.75 | 58 | +0.7% | +0.7% | 1.9× | POC | market-pulse |
| CVS | $87.60 | 27 | +0.4% | +2.6% | 1.5× | VA | healthcare, healthcare-scan |
| CECO | $71.53 | 48 | +0.3% | +2.5% | 1.4× | VA | monster-discoveries |
📈 Breakout + Volume — top 6
Pushing to highs / above the volume shelf WITH a volume spike. The breakout buy radar.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA200 | →52wkH | RelVol | Kind | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMRX | $20.16 | 70 | +37.6% | -4.8% | 2.9× | highs | monster-discoveries |
| MAGS | $72.97 | 70 | +11.3% | -0.3% | 3.3× | highs | etf-monster-universe, mag7 |
| NEOG | $13.61 | 79 | +40.5% | -0.8% | 1.8× | highs | livestock-disease |
| TWLO | $266.06 | 68 | +57.5% | -0.2% | 1.7× | highs | holdings-stocks, insider-universe |
| AMC | $2.89 | 64 | +59.6% | -9.1% | 2.2× | breakout | holdings-stocks, monster-discoveries |
| IGPT | $102.95 | 68 | +31.9% | -5.8% | 2.1× | highs | etf-ideas |
⚠️ Distribution / trim watch — top 8
Mechanism: high-volume churn while EXTENDED (overbought + stretched). Running hot — trim into strength, don't add. ⤵ = rolling over on volume.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | Froth | vs SMA20 | RelVol | 7D | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | $615.52 | 73 | +102.8% | +23.6% | 2.3× | +24.8% | ai-scan, bargain-bin |
| GRAL | $107.97 | 81 | +49.2% | +34.3% | 4.1× | +43.0% | monster-discoveries |
| AMRX | $20.16 | 70 | +42.6% | +13.6% | 2.9× | +17.1% | monster-discoveries |
| META | $741.25 | 78 | +17.1% | +18.8% | 2.6× | +11.4% | ai-scan, bargain-bin |
| MAGS | $72.97 | 70 | +11.9% | +5.3% | 3.3× | +4.1% | etf-monster-universe, mag7 |
| AVAX-USD | $11.22 | 82 | -24.0% | +38.7% | 2.5× | +48.4% | crypto |
| DOGE-USD | $0.10 | 73 | -27.9% | +17.0% | 3.6× | +25.0% | crypto |
| SOL-USD | $118.57 | 70 | -5.0% | +14.0% | 2.1× | +15.7% | crypto |
Sources
research/market-engine/data/summaries/*.json(precomputed settled-close summaries — all prices/RSI/percentages above)
Re-run with deno task hot-signal-rollup.
Related
3 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.