Commentary

14 events · latest Sep 22, 2026

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Sep 22 commentary Hormuz de-escalation hits the freight leg first FRO DHT STNG +2

Aug 8 commentary The bubble question against the tape: yen intervention, Korea's two charts, and where the classic templates fail FXY UUP EWY +3

Aug 8 commentary The Market Is a Claim on Profits, Not on Payrolls SPY QQQ VOO +3

Jul 17 commentary Vertical: Gold & Safe Haven — the hedge that refused GLD SLV GDX +2

Jul 17 commentary Vertical: Energy & Oil — the week the re-rate confirmed USO UNG CVX +10

Jul 13 commentary Vertical: Memory & Storage — read the −15% correctly SKHY EWY MU +2

Jul 13 commentary Vertical: Biotech Capital Cycle — the theme is confirmed; the question is now entries TXG ABSI CRL +7

Jul 3 commentary Systematic peer review: crux_capital physical-AI conviction basket vs our engine OUST AMBA CGNX +3

Jul 3 commentary Deep-read queue: OUST 424B5, NET Class C split, QBTS NSF grant - the filings behind today's composites OUST NET QBTS

Jul 1 commentary 2026 IPO-issuance-broadening monitor — reading #1 (H1 close): regime-top gate stays YELLOW; issuance elevated but concentrated, not broadening SPCX QQQ SPY

Jun 30 commentary Obesity/GLP-1 vertical: the next-gen trade is an AI-discovery + tools barbell, not a pure drug-developer bet VKTX ABCL HIMS +3

Jun 26 commentary HOOD — crypto-beta + services optionality, entry on 200-day reclaim HOOD

May 5 commentary this CLI is faster than I expected — 200ms cold start makes daily use viable

May 5 commentary 200ms cold start is fine until you chain three commands