Web/Cloud Infrastructure

Update

Web/Cloud Infrastructure

Cloud infrastructure and data platforms. NET at $163 - near $162 stop-loss. SNOW RSI 18↓ extreme.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 CAPITULATION CONTINUES - SNOW RSI 18↓, ESTC RSI 22↓, NET near stop
Key insight NET $163.05 = AT $162 stop-loss level. Monitor closely. SNOW deepened to RSI 18.
Outperformer DOCN $57.66 + CFLT $30.36 = relative strength while peers crash

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
✅ STRONG BUY SNOW RSI 18↓, -26.3% 7D, data cloud leader
✅ STRONG BUY ESTC RSI 22↓, -51.9% from high, search + observability
⚠️ STOP WATCH NET $163.05, approaching $162 stop-loss
📈 WATCH MDB RSI 30, at oversold threshold
📈 WATCH DDOG RSI 39, deepening pullback
🟡 NEUTRAL FSLY, AKAM Continued weakness

Data (Validated 2026-02-05)

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi RSI Status Action
NET $163.05 -20.9% -17.6% -37.3% 40 ⚠️ Near stop ⚠️ Monitor $162
FSLY $7.96 -22.6% -20.9% -36.8% 36 🔴 Weak 🔍 Speculative
AKAM $91.49 -11.4% +3.1% -12.9% 50 🟡 Pullback 🔍 Watch
MDB $326.50 -20.7% -25.1% -26.6% 30 🟢 At oversold 📈 Watch
SNOW $156.71 -26.3% -33.2% -44.2% 18↓ 🟢 EXTREME ✅ Buy
DDOG $106.73 -22.8% -22.2% -47.1% 39 🟡 Pullback 📈 Watch
CFLT $30.36 -0.6% +0.6% -19.9% 35 🟡 Sideways 🔍 Watch
ESTC $57.16 -23.0% -24.4% -51.9% 22↓ 🟢 EXTREME ✅ Buy
DOCN $57.66 -4.3% +6.8% -10.0% 59 🟢 Outperformer 🔍 Watch

Key Changes vs 2026-02-04

Stock Yesterday Today Move Note
NET $166.88 $163.05 -2.3% Approaching $162 stop-loss. MONITOR CLOSELY.
SNOW $165.29 $156.71 -5.2% RSI 22 -> 18. Extreme deepening.
ESTC $60.38 $57.16 -5.3% RSI 26 -> 22. -51.9% from high.
DDOG $115.71 $106.73 -7.8% Biggest drop, RSI 44 -> 39.
MDB $337.60 $326.50 -3.3% RSI 34 -> 30, now at oversold.
FSLY $8.31 $7.96 -4.2% Continued weakness
AKAM $91.92 $91.49 -0.5% Flat, relative strength
CFLT $30.33 $30.36 +0.1% Flat, holding up
DOCN $57.27 $57.66 +0.7% Green while peers crash

Key Positions

NET - Cloudflare (Stop-Loss Watch)

Thesis: Edge cloud platform. Security + CDN + compute.

Metric Value
Current $163.05
Stop-loss $162
Distance $1.05 (0.6%)
RSI 40

Analysis:

  • $163.05 is within $1 of $162 stop-loss
  • If breached tomorrow, EXIT
  • Edge cloud thesis intact but sentiment terrible
  • 20.9% 7D decline = accelerating selloff

Action: ⚠️ MONITOR. Exit if $162 breached.

SNOW - Snowflake (Entry Zone - EXTREME)

Thesis: Data cloud leader. OpenAI partnership. AI-native platform.

Metric Value
Current $156.71
7D -26.3%
30D -33.2%
RSI 18↓ (EXTREME)
52wk High -44.2%
Entry zone <$180

Analysis:

  • RSI 18 = extreme capitulation, deeper than yesterday's 22
  • Data cloud monopoly thesis unchanged
  • Enterprise switching costs = moat
  • This is the entry signal we've been waiting for

Action: ✅ STRONG BUY at current levels

ESTC - Elastic (Entry Zone - EXTREME)

Thesis: Search + observability. AI vector search capabilities.

Metric Value
Current $57.16
7D -23.0%
RSI 22↓ (EXTREME)
52wk High -51.9%
Entry zone <$70

Analysis:

  • RSI 22 = extreme oversold
  • -51.9% from high = cut in half
  • Vector search for AI = real use case
  • Severely beaten down

Action: ✅ IN ZONE, strong buy candidate

MDB - MongoDB (Now Oversold)

Thesis: Document database leader. AI vector search.

Metric Value
Current $326.50
7D -20.7%
RSI 30 (At oversold)
Entry zone <$350

Analysis:

  • RSI 30, now at oversold threshold (was 34 yesterday)
  • IN entry zone (<$350)
  • Atlas AI features competitive
  • Strengthening buy signal

Action: 📈 IN ZONE, nearing strong buy

DDOG - Datadog

Thesis: Observability essential. AI ops monitoring.

Metric Value
Current $106.73
7D -22.8%
RSI 39
Entry zone <$130

Analysis:

  • RSI 39, approaching oversold
  • Big -7.8% drop today
  • IN entry zone (<$130)
  • Wait for RSI <30

Action: 📈 IN ZONE but not yet extreme

Entry Zones Status

Stock Entry Zone Current Status
SNOW <$180 $156.71 ✅ DEEP IN ZONE (RSI 18)
ESTC <$70 $57.16 ✅ DEEP IN ZONE (RSI 22)
MDB <$350 $326.50 ✅ IN ZONE (RSI 30)
DDOG <$130 $106.73 ✅ IN ZONE (RSI 39)
NET Stop $162 $163.05 ⚠️ NEAR STOP (0.6% away)

The Gold

Discoveries:

  • SNOW RSI 18 and ESTC RSI 22 = extreme capitulation in data infrastructure
  • NET at $163 is $1 from stop-loss - decision point tomorrow
  • DOCN and CFLT relative strength suggests smaller cloud names decoupling

Mistakes:

  • Not buying SNOW at RSI 22 yesterday (now 18, down another 5.2%)
  • Hesitation in face of capitulation continues to cost

Open Questions:

  • Will NET hold $162 or trigger stop-loss?
  • Is SNOW's selling done at RSI 18 or can it go lower?
  • Will MDB earnings stabilize or accelerate decline?

Next Actions

  • Set hard stop on NET at $162
  • Consider SNOW position at RSI 18
  • Research ESTC AI vector search thesis
  • Watch MDB for RSI <28

Commands

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10 events
DateTypeEvent
Feb 5 ScanCloud ETFs Feb 4 UpdateWeb/Cloud Infrastructure Feb 3 UpdateWeb/Cloud Infrastructure Feb 5 UpdatePortfolio - Main Snapshot Mar 11 ScanInsider Activity Scan Mar 12 UpdateWeb/Cloud Infrastructure Mar 12 ScanTech Insider Buys Scan Mar 13 UpdateWeb/Cloud Infrastructure Mar 20 UpdateWeb/Cloud Infrastructure Mar 20 ScanTech Insider Buys Scan

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