Cloud SaaS

Update

Cloud SaaS

SaaS ROTATION — CRM/NOW/SNOW/DDOG/NET recovered strongly. WDAY RSI 29 still oversold. ADBE RSI 30 still deep. INTU RSI 35 improving. ZS RSI 23 unchanged (stale data). SHOP/CRWD healthy above SMA.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 ROTATING — Most names recovered from extreme oversold. WDAY still lagging. ADBE borderline. ZS still extreme (stale). CRM/NOW/SHOP bounced significantly.
Key insight CRM rocketed from RSI 28 to RSI 57 (+$13 in 4 days). NOW recovered RSI 21→57. WDAY still at RSI 29 — last laggard. SNOW/DDOG/NET all recovered to RSI 56-57.

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
BUY WDAY RSI 29, still oversold, enterprise HR monopoly
BUY ADBE RSI 30, creative cloud leader, -10.2% below SMA
📈 ACCUMULATE INTU RSI 35, recovering — tax monopoly, still below SMA
🔍 WATCH ZS RSI 23 (stale 02/05 data) — cybersecurity, verify
🔍 WATCH OKTA RSI 28 (stale 02/03 data) — verify current level
🔒 HOLD CRM RSI 57, recovered sharply — above SMA
🔒 HOLD NOW RSI 57, major recovery from RSI 21
🔒 HOLD SNOW RSI 57, recovered from RSI 39
🔒 HOLD DDOG RSI 56, recovered from RSI 40
🔒 HOLD NET RSI 56, recovered — below SMA slightly
🔒 HOLD SHOP RSI 60, above SMA — holding gains
🔒 HOLD CRWD RSI 39, near SMA — defensive

Data (Validated 2026-02-26)

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
WDAY $138.57 -1.0% -27.4% $190.85 29 $150.61 -8.0% 🔴 Oversold ✅ Buy
ADBE $269.39 -7.6% -19.8% $339.04 30 $300.08 -10.2% 🔴 Deeply oversold ✅ Buy
INTU $389.33 +2.0% -30.7% $561.77 35 $416.15 -6.4% 🔴 Below SMA 📈 Accumulate
ZS $169.39 -15.6% -23.7% $231.16 23 $206.75 -18.1% 🔴 Extreme (stale) 🔍 Watch
OKTA $81.64 -10.7% -6.9% $94.07 28 $90.26 -9.5% 🔴 Oversold (stale) 🔍 Watch
CRWD $429.64 +8.6% -6.7% $476.66 39 $433.80 -1.0% 🟡 Near SMA 🔒 Hold
CRM $198.15 +6.9% -13.6% $229.40 57 $192.90 +2.7% 🟢 Recovering 🔒 Hold
NOW $107.57 +0.2% -21.1% $136.34 57 $106.89 +0.6% 🟢 At SMA 🔒 Hold
SNOW $169.70 -5.3% -19.7% $216.00 57 $175.07 -3.1% 🟢 Recovering 🔒 Hold
DDOG $114.28 -5.2% -16.4% $140.56 56 $118.75 -3.8% 🟡 Below SMA 🔒 Hold
NET $173.33 -10.0% -8.5% $205.95 56 $178.09 -2.7% 🟡 Below SMA 🔒 Hold
SHOP $124.16 +0.3% -8.9% $143.64 60 $120.76 +2.8% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold

Note: ZS data as of 02/05, OKTA as of 02/03, CRWD as of 02/13 — stale, verify before acting.


Key Changes vs 02/22

Stock 02/22 Price 02/26 Price Move RSI Change Note
CRM $185.16 $198.15 +7.0% 28→57 Major recovery, above SMA
NOW $102.63 $107.57 +4.8% 21→57 Off capitulation floor
SNOW $172.50 $169.70 -1.6% 39→57 RSI recovered despite slight price dip
DDOG $115.66 $114.28 -1.2% 40→56 RSI recovering
NET $177.14 $173.33 -2.2% 45→56 RSI recovered, price still weak
SHOP $126.20 $124.16 -1.6% 47→60 Holding gains, RSI still strong
WDAY $137.81 $138.57 +0.5% 20→29 Marginal improvement — still oversold laggard
INTU $380.55 $389.33 +2.3% 21→35 Slow recovery

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
CRM/NOW RSI recovery from 21-28 to 57 Sharp mean-reversion confirms capitulation was the bottom
WDAY stuck at RSI 29 while peers recovered Last SaaS laggard — opportunity or structural problem?
SNOW/DDOG RSI recovered but prices still falling RSI leads, price may follow — watch for confirmation

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Waiting for price confirmation on RSI mean-reversion RSI 21 on CRM was the entry — price followed

Open Questions

  • WDAY RSI 29 while CRM recovered to 57 — what is WDAY missing?
  • ZS/OKTA stale data — are they recovering with peers or lagging?
  • INTU RSI 35 — is the -30.7% 30D move fully priced in?
10 events

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