Biotech Scan

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Biotech Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 28 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-biotech-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-31-biotech-scan.mdscan slugbiotech-scansource typescan-archive

The biotech complex is in a broad pullback from Q1 highs — REGN and MRNA are the only names showing any structural strength, while NVO continues its historic collapse and the gene-editing basket remains in deep bear territory. Large-cap biopharma is consolidating above SMA200 support but the short-term trend is weak-down across the board.

Price Table

Symbol Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend
REGN $769.79 54.1 +1.9% +2.34% -2.66% -0.15% strong-up
MRNA $50.07 48.5 -5.3% -6.37% -5.26% +69.79% strong-up
ALNY $331.20 54.9 +3.8% +4.76% +1.89% -16.71% weak-up
EDIT $2.48 58.6 +5.6% -3.88% +15.35% +20.98% weak-up
NTLA $12.81 49.3 -2.1% -9.68% -17.03% +42.49% weak-down
INCY $93.19 46.1 -0.2% +0.44% -6.85% -5.65% weak-down
ABBV $216.49 48.6 -0.6% +4.25% -7.59% -4.49% weak-down
GILD $138.20 43.6 -2.4% -0.69% -7.36% +13.23% weak-down
AMGN $351.57 42.4 -2.5% -0.23% -8.85% +8.16% weak-down
BIIB $179.67 43.2 -3.2% +1.92% -4.46% +2.09% weak-down
LLY $916.02 40.9 -3.2% -1.58% -10.02% -14.62% weak-down
VRTX $445.47 42.8 -3.3% -0.79% -8.35% -1.74% weak-down
BMRN $55.83 43.6 -2.4% +2.07% -6.55% -6.06% down
ILMN $123.53 49.4 +0.4% -3.15% -7.04% -5.82% weak-down
DHR $189.71 42.6 -0.8% -3.16% -7.71% -16.95% strong-down
TMO $489.11 46.8 +0.7% -0.56% -3.73% -15.51% down
CRSP $46.96 42.9 -5.8% -3.90% -22.73% -10.45% strong-down
BEAM $23.83 43.5 -4.7% -9.09% -16.94% -14.03% down
BNTX $88.83 41.7 -3.0% -1.86% -17.35% -6.69% strong-down
NVO $36.19 40.9 -0.5% -4.00% -0.63% -26.26% strong-down
RXRX $3.03 37.2 -8.2% -9.24% -16.53% -25.92% strong-down
LEGN $18.02 49.0 -1.0% +0.35% -2.28% -17.11% strong-down

Tier Analysis

Momentum Leaders (RSI > 50)

  • REGN (54.1): Only large-cap with a strong-up trend and golden cross. +1.9% above SMA20, holding above all MAs. The one name in this basket that's working right now.
  • ALNY (54.9): RNAi play with weak-up trend, bouncing +4.8% this week. Off -33% from 52wk high — still in repair mode structurally, but near-term momentum turning.
  • EDIT (58.6): Penny-range gene editor, +15% in 30D and +21% in 3M. Speculative but showing relative strength vs peers. Death cross limits conviction.
  • MRNA (48.5): +69.8% in 3M is the headline — massive mRNA revival on pipeline news. Strong-up trend and golden cross despite recent -6.4% week. The big Q1 biotech winner.

Consolidating / Neutral (RSI 40-50)

  • ABBV (48.6): Resilient vs peers at only -7.6% in 30D. Golden cross, still above SMA200 (+1.2%). Best risk/reward in large-cap biopharma given strong 5Y alpha.
  • GILD (43.6): +12.8% above SMA200, golden cross — structural uptrend intact. 30D weakness is a pullback, not a breakdown. Antiviral pipeline underappreciated.
  • AMGN (42.4): +11.6% above SMA200, golden cross. -8.85% in 30D, consolidating below SMA20/50. Holding structure.
  • BIIB (43.2): +13.2% above SMA200, golden cross. ADC/neuroscience pipeline optionality. Modest pullback in an uptrend.
  • LLY (40.9): The GLP-1 king is at -14.6% in 3M and -19.2% from 52wk high. Still above SMA200 (+2.4%) — this is a pullback in a monster uptrend. Key level here.
  • VRTX (42.8): CF monopoly + pain pipeline. -8.4% in 30D but golden cross and +1.6% above SMA200. Holding support.
  • NTLA (49.3): +42.5% in 3M off the lows, then -17% in 30D gives back a chunk. Volatile gene-editing speculative play.
  • INCY (46.1): +3% above SMA200, golden cross. Grinding sideways, no breakout catalyst visible.
  • ILMN (49.4): Sequencing infrastructure play. +8% above SMA200, golden cross. -7% in 30D but shallow pullback.
  • TMO (46.8): Life science tools leader. -5.3% below SMA200, -7.1% below SMA50. In a weak downtrend despite quality franchise.

Oversold / Broken (RSI < 40)

  • DHR (42.6): Strong-down, death cross, -9.3% below SMA200. Lab equipment cycle deteriorating.
  • CRSP (42.9): Strong-down, death cross, -22.7% in 30D. Gene editing sector under pressure — commercial ramp slower than hoped.
  • BEAM (43.5): -16.9% in 30D, -34.6% from 52wk high. Base-editing story not gaining institutional traction.
  • BNTX (41.7): -17.4% in 30D, strong-down, death cross. mRNA competitor in structural decline vs MRNA's revival.
  • NVO (40.9): -55.6% from 52wk high. GLP-1 pioneer facing U.S. pricing/competition fears. Strong-down, death cross — don't catch this knife.
  • RXRX (37.2): -57.7% from 52wk high, -25.9% in 3M. AI drug discovery narrative unwinding. Avoid.
  • LEGN (49.0): -60.2% from 52wk high, -37.2% below SMA200. Cell therapy facing reimbursement headwinds.

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Range Thesis
LLY $895–$920 GLP-1 structural growth intact. Pulling back to SMA200 ($894). Buy the dip in the decade's best pharma story.
REGN $740–$770 Only large-cap biotech in strong-up. Golden cross, above all MAs. Pullback to SMA20 is the entry.
ABBV $210–$217 Best risk/reward in large-cap biopharma. Golden cross, 5Y alpha +74%.
GILD $132–$140 Antiviral + oncology pipeline undervalued. +12.8% above SMA200, golden cross.
MRNA $46–$52 +69.8% in 3M — mRNA revival. Strong-up but recent flush creates entry.
ALNY $315–$330 RNAi momentum building. Approaching SMA50 support ($330).

Action Matrix

Top Buys / Add

  1. LLY — Structural GLP-1 winner pulling back to SMA200 support. -19% from high is the entry, not the exit.
  2. REGN — Only large-cap with clean strong-up structure. Relative strength in a weak tape.
  3. ABBV — Best large-cap risk/reward. Golden cross, strong 5Y track record, modest pullback.
  4. MRNA — Quarter's biggest biotech winner (+69.8% in 3M). Strong-up, golden cross — recent flush is a shakeout.
  5. GILD — Antiviral/oncology pipeline undervalued, clean SMA200 cushion.

Top Sells / Avoid

  1. NVO — -55.6% from peak, strong-down, death cross. No floor visible.
  2. RXRX — -57.7% from 52wk high. AI drug discovery narrative broken. Exit.
  3. LEGN — -60.2% from 52wk high, -37.2% below SMA200. Cell therapy headwinds structural.
  4. CRSP/BEAM — Gene editing commercial timelines pushed out. Structural distribution.
  5. BNTX — mRNA platform losing to MRNA while own pipeline lacks near-term catalyst.

Key Observations

  • The sector is bifurcating: MRNA +69.8% in 3M vs NVO -26.3% in 3M. mRNA revival vs GLP-1 derating.
  • Large-cap biopharma is a buy-the-dip tape: ABBV, GILD, AMGN, BIIB all above SMA200 with golden crosses — the 30D weakness is a pullback not a breakdown.
  • LLY testing SMA200 is the most important level in biotech right now — if it holds, the entire sector likely stabilizes. If it breaks, valuation compression could accelerate across the group.
  • Gene editing (CRSP, BEAM, EDIT, NTLA) remains broken — commercial milestones aren't converting to institutional buying.
  • NVO's collapse (-55.6% from peak) is a sector-wide signal — U.S. pricing power fears on GLP-1s are real and spreading to the whole obesity/metabolic franchise thesis.

Data: 2026-03-31 pre-computed summaries.

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