Healthcare Scan

Scan

Healthcare Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 25 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-healthcare-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-31-healthcare-scan.mdscan slughealthcare-scansource typescan-archive

Healthcare is a sector in violent rotation: JNJ, PFE, MRK, and MRNA are the clear winners (strong-up, golden crosses, near 52wk highs), while medtech and managed care are getting obliterated — UNH down -55% from peak, ABT at RSI 27.9, SYK/ISRG/DXCM in strong-down with death crosses. This is not a sector call, this is stock selection required.

Price Table

Symbol Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend
MRK $120.10 60.0 +3.1% +1.69% -0.35% +14.94% strong-up
PFE $27.88 59.6 +2.9% +3.12% +2.27% +13.84% strong-up
JNJ $243.08 58.9 +1.2% +3.13% -2.20% +18.08% strong-up
MRNA $50.07 48.5 -5.3% -6.37% -5.26% +69.79% strong-up
ABBV $216.49 48.6 -0.6% +4.25% -7.59% -4.49% weak-down
GILD $138.20 43.6 -2.4% -0.69% -7.36% +13.23% weak-down
AMGN $351.57 42.4 -2.5% -0.23% -8.85% +8.16% weak-down
BIIB $179.67 43.2 -3.2% +1.92% -4.46% +2.09% weak-down
LLY $916.02 40.9 -3.2% -1.58% -10.02% -14.62% weak-down
VRTX $445.47 42.8 -3.3% -0.79% -8.35% -1.74% weak-down
TMO $489.11 46.8 +0.7% -0.56% -3.73% -15.51% down
CVS $71.76 40.2 -3.4% -1.45% -12.12% -8.83% down
UNH $269.69 42.8 -2.9% -3.24% -7.85% -17.67% strong-down
VEEV $174.60 38.8 -5.1% -1.72% -3.78% -21.78% strong-down
MDT $86.03 34.1 -2.1% -1.48% -11.59% -9.71% down
DXCM $63.35 36.6 -4.9% -6.71% -14.14% -4.55% strong-down
ISRG $460.17 35.2 -3.8% -4.27% -7.27% -18.75% strong-down
SYK $325.95 30.6 -5.3% -1.01% -15.78% -7.26% strong-down
ABT $101.45 27.9 -5.7% -1.34% -11.10% -18.62% strong-down

Tier Analysis

Momentum Leaders (RSI > 55) — Traditional Pharma Winning

  • MRK (60.0): +14.9% in 3M, strong-up, golden cross, +3.1% above SMA20. -4% from 52wk high. Alpha1Y +23.3% vs SPY. Keytruda oncology franchise delivering. Near resistance — trim on strength or hold through.
  • PFE (59.6): +13.8% in 3M, strong-up, golden cross. Only -1.5% from 52wk high — essentially at peak. The Pfizer comeback is real: post-COVID portfolio rationalization + Seagen oncology assets. +12.3% above SMA200.
  • JNJ (58.9): +18.1% in 3M, strong-up, golden cross. +24.2% above SMA200 — massive structural support. Alpha1Y +33.5%. J&J's diversified pharma + medtech (ex-medtech spin-off optionality) is the cleanest large-cap healthcare story. Near 52wk high (-3.4%).
  • MRNA (48.5): The quarter's biotech bombshell — +69.8% in 3M. Strong-up, golden cross, +50.3% above SMA200. Recent -6.4% week is a shakeout in a raging bull. mRNA platform revival beyond COVID.

Large-Cap Biopharma Consolidating (RSI 40-50)

  • ABBV (48.6): -7.6% in 30D but still golden cross and above SMA200 (+1.2%). Best risk/reward in large-cap given 5Y track record. Skyrizi/Rinvoq offsetting Humira biosimilar erosion.
  • GILD (43.6): +13.2% in 3M but -7.4% in 30D — pullback in uptrend. +12.8% above SMA200, golden cross. Antiviral + HIV + oncology pipeline — undervalued relative to earnings power.
  • AMGN (42.4): +8.2% in 3M, -8.9% in 30D. +11.6% above SMA200, golden cross. Weight loss pipeline (MariTide) is the optionality narrative.
  • BIIB (43.2): +2.1% in 3M, -4.5% in 30D. Above SMA200 (+13.2%), golden cross. Leqembi Alzheimer's ramp is a long-duration story.
  • LLY (40.9): The GLP-1 empire at -14.6% in 3M — pulling back hard. But +2.4% above SMA200 means structural support is right here. If SMA200 holds, this is the decade's best pharma buy. If it breaks, more pain ahead. RSI 40.9 approaching oversold.
  • VRTX (42.8): CF monopoly + pain pipeline (suzetrigine). -8.4% in 30D but +1.6% above SMA200, golden cross. Pipeline de-risking should re-rate.
  • TMO (46.8): Life science tools. -7.1% below SMA50, -5.3% below SMA200. Down trend. The post-COVID tools normalization is grinding on.

Broken / Oversold (RSI < 40)

  • CVS (40.2): PBM regulatory pressure + Aetna losses compounding. -12.1% in 30D, -8.8% in 3M. Down trend, -15.7% from 52wk high. Healthcare benefits under political attack.
  • VEEV (38.8): CRM for pharma — strong-down, death cross, -30.3% below SMA200. -43.8% from 52wk high. Cloud software derating hitting healthcare IT hard.
  • UNH (42.8): Managed care is in structural crisis. Strong-down, death cross, -12.7% below SMA200. -55.5% from 52wk high. DOJ/regulatory investigation + CEO tragedy aftermath + medical cost ratio blowout.
  • MDT (34.1): Medical devices breaking down. -9% below SMA50, -7.5% below SMA200. -19.1% from 52wk high. Down trend, not quite death cross but close.
  • DXCM (36.6): CGM competition intensifying. Strong-down, death cross, -11.8% below SMA200. -29.6% from 52wk high. Abbott's FreeStyle Libre winning share.
  • ISRG (35.2): Robotic surgery leader getting valuation reset. Strong-down, death cross, -9.2% below SMA200. -23.8% from 52wk high. RSI 35 approaching oversold — but structure is broken.
  • SYK (30.6): RSI 30.6 — technically oversold. But strong-down, death cross, -11.9% below SMA200. -19.5% from 52wk high. Orthopedic/surgical devices in a prolonged drawdown.
  • ABT (27.9): RSI extreme — most oversold name in the entire healthcare scan. Strong-down, death cross, -18.1% below SMA200. -27.1% from 52wk high. Diabetes devices + diagnostics losing momentum. Warning: deeply oversold can mean approaching washout lows — but structure is fully broken.

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Range Thesis
JNJ $235–$245 Cleanest large-cap healthcare. +24.2% above SMA200, golden cross, near 52wk high.
MRK $115–$121 Keytruda oncology growth. Strong-up, +23.3% alpha1Y. Pullback to SMA20 zone.
PFE $26.50–$28.50 Near 52wk high — any dip is the entry. Post-COVID transformation + Seagen.
LLY $895–$920 Critical SMA200 test. GLP-1 decade-defining franchise. Buy here or regret.
GILD $132–$140 HIV + antiviral moat. Golden cross, +12.8% above SMA200. 30D weakness = opportunity.
SYK $315–$330 RSI 30.6 approaching historical washout levels. Only for patient contrarian entry. Small position.

Action Matrix

Top Buys / Add

  1. JNJ — Best risk/reward in healthcare. Golden cross, +24.2% above SMA200, +33.5% alpha1Y. The bedrock holding.
  2. MRK — Keytruda franchise deserves premium. Strong-up, golden cross. Near 52wk high is a feature not a bug.
  3. PFE — Cheapest large-cap pharma near 52wk high. +13.8% in 3M with more pipeline catalysts ahead.
  4. LLY — Don't sell the GLP-1 franchise at SMA200. This is the buy point if you missed it all year.
  5. MRNA — mRNA revival is real. +69.8% in 3M. Strong-up, golden cross. Position for pipeline readouts.

Top Sells / Avoid

  1. UNH — -55.5% from 52wk high, regulatory/legal overhang structural. Death cross. Exit or avoid.
  2. VEEV — Healthcare cloud SaaS in full distribution. -43.8% from 52wk high, -30.3% below SMA200.
  3. ABT — RSI 27.9 extreme oversold, but structure fully broken. Death cross, -27% from 52wk high. Don't catch the knife.
  4. DXCM — CGM competition is a permanent headwind. Death cross, -29.6% from 52wk high.
  5. MDT — Medical device cycle grinding lower. Wait for a real base.

Key Observations

  • Traditional pharma (JNJ, MRK, PFE) is the healthcare flight-to-quality trade — large diversified pipelines, predictable earnings, dividend yields are getting rotation dollars from broken medtech/managed care.
  • UNH's -55.5% from 52wk high is a sector alarm — managed care model under existential pressure from regulatory scrutiny. The damage is structural, not cyclical.
  • LLY testing SMA200 ($894) is the most watched level in healthcare — the GLP-1 franchise is intact but near-term pricing/competition fears are real. This level is the thesis checkpoint.
  • Medtech (SYK, ISRG, MDT, ABT, DXCM) is in coordinated breakdown — medical device utilization fears + competitive pressure + valuation compression all at once.
  • MRNA's +69.8% in 3M stands alone as the sector's most explosive story. mRNA platform expanding beyond vaccines with RSV, flu, and cancer immunotherapy pipeline readouts ahead.
  • ABT at RSI 27.9 is technically extreme — watch for a dead-cat bounce. But with a death cross and -18% below SMA200, any bounce is for traders, not investors.

Data: 2026-03-31 pre-computed summaries (healthcare-scan.json).

10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.