Healthcare Scan
Scan
Healthcare Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 25 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-healthcare-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-31-healthcare-scan.mdscan slughealthcare-scansource typescan-archive
Healthcare is a sector in violent rotation: JNJ, PFE, MRK, and MRNA are the clear winners (strong-up, golden crosses, near 52wk highs), while medtech and managed care are getting obliterated — UNH down -55% from peak, ABT at RSI 27.9, SYK/ISRG/DXCM in strong-down with death crosses. This is not a sector call, this is stock selection required.
Price Table
| Symbol | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRK | $120.10 | 60.0 | +3.1% | +1.69% | -0.35% | +14.94% | strong-up |
| PFE | $27.88 | 59.6 | +2.9% | +3.12% | +2.27% | +13.84% | strong-up |
| JNJ | $243.08 | 58.9 | +1.2% | +3.13% | -2.20% | +18.08% | strong-up |
| MRNA | $50.07 | 48.5 | -5.3% | -6.37% | -5.26% | +69.79% | strong-up |
| ABBV | $216.49 | 48.6 | -0.6% | +4.25% | -7.59% | -4.49% | weak-down |
| GILD | $138.20 | 43.6 | -2.4% | -0.69% | -7.36% | +13.23% | weak-down |
| AMGN | $351.57 | 42.4 | -2.5% | -0.23% | -8.85% | +8.16% | weak-down |
| BIIB | $179.67 | 43.2 | -3.2% | +1.92% | -4.46% | +2.09% | weak-down |
| LLY | $916.02 | 40.9 | -3.2% | -1.58% | -10.02% | -14.62% | weak-down |
| VRTX | $445.47 | 42.8 | -3.3% | -0.79% | -8.35% | -1.74% | weak-down |
| TMO | $489.11 | 46.8 | +0.7% | -0.56% | -3.73% | -15.51% | down |
| CVS | $71.76 | 40.2 | -3.4% | -1.45% | -12.12% | -8.83% | down |
| UNH | $269.69 | 42.8 | -2.9% | -3.24% | -7.85% | -17.67% | strong-down |
| VEEV | $174.60 | 38.8 | -5.1% | -1.72% | -3.78% | -21.78% | strong-down |
| MDT | $86.03 | 34.1 | -2.1% | -1.48% | -11.59% | -9.71% | down |
| DXCM | $63.35 | 36.6 | -4.9% | -6.71% | -14.14% | -4.55% | strong-down |
| ISRG | $460.17 | 35.2 | -3.8% | -4.27% | -7.27% | -18.75% | strong-down |
| SYK | $325.95 | 30.6 | -5.3% | -1.01% | -15.78% | -7.26% | strong-down |
| ABT | $101.45 | 27.9 | -5.7% | -1.34% | -11.10% | -18.62% | strong-down |
Tier Analysis
Momentum Leaders (RSI > 55) — Traditional Pharma Winning
- MRK (60.0): +14.9% in 3M, strong-up, golden cross, +3.1% above SMA20. -4% from 52wk high. Alpha1Y +23.3% vs SPY. Keytruda oncology franchise delivering. Near resistance — trim on strength or hold through.
- PFE (59.6): +13.8% in 3M, strong-up, golden cross. Only -1.5% from 52wk high — essentially at peak. The Pfizer comeback is real: post-COVID portfolio rationalization + Seagen oncology assets. +12.3% above SMA200.
- JNJ (58.9): +18.1% in 3M, strong-up, golden cross. +24.2% above SMA200 — massive structural support. Alpha1Y +33.5%. J&J's diversified pharma + medtech (ex-medtech spin-off optionality) is the cleanest large-cap healthcare story. Near 52wk high (-3.4%).
- MRNA (48.5): The quarter's biotech bombshell — +69.8% in 3M. Strong-up, golden cross, +50.3% above SMA200. Recent -6.4% week is a shakeout in a raging bull. mRNA platform revival beyond COVID.
Large-Cap Biopharma Consolidating (RSI 40-50)
- ABBV (48.6): -7.6% in 30D but still golden cross and above SMA200 (+1.2%). Best risk/reward in large-cap given 5Y track record. Skyrizi/Rinvoq offsetting Humira biosimilar erosion.
- GILD (43.6): +13.2% in 3M but -7.4% in 30D — pullback in uptrend. +12.8% above SMA200, golden cross. Antiviral + HIV + oncology pipeline — undervalued relative to earnings power.
- AMGN (42.4): +8.2% in 3M, -8.9% in 30D. +11.6% above SMA200, golden cross. Weight loss pipeline (MariTide) is the optionality narrative.
- BIIB (43.2): +2.1% in 3M, -4.5% in 30D. Above SMA200 (+13.2%), golden cross. Leqembi Alzheimer's ramp is a long-duration story.
- LLY (40.9): The GLP-1 empire at -14.6% in 3M — pulling back hard. But +2.4% above SMA200 means structural support is right here. If SMA200 holds, this is the decade's best pharma buy. If it breaks, more pain ahead. RSI 40.9 approaching oversold.
- VRTX (42.8): CF monopoly + pain pipeline (suzetrigine). -8.4% in 30D but +1.6% above SMA200, golden cross. Pipeline de-risking should re-rate.
- TMO (46.8): Life science tools. -7.1% below SMA50, -5.3% below SMA200. Down trend. The post-COVID tools normalization is grinding on.
Broken / Oversold (RSI < 40)
- CVS (40.2): PBM regulatory pressure + Aetna losses compounding. -12.1% in 30D, -8.8% in 3M. Down trend, -15.7% from 52wk high. Healthcare benefits under political attack.
- VEEV (38.8): CRM for pharma — strong-down, death cross, -30.3% below SMA200. -43.8% from 52wk high. Cloud software derating hitting healthcare IT hard.
- UNH (42.8): Managed care is in structural crisis. Strong-down, death cross, -12.7% below SMA200. -55.5% from 52wk high. DOJ/regulatory investigation + CEO tragedy aftermath + medical cost ratio blowout.
- MDT (34.1): Medical devices breaking down. -9% below SMA50, -7.5% below SMA200. -19.1% from 52wk high. Down trend, not quite death cross but close.
- DXCM (36.6): CGM competition intensifying. Strong-down, death cross, -11.8% below SMA200. -29.6% from 52wk high. Abbott's FreeStyle Libre winning share.
- ISRG (35.2): Robotic surgery leader getting valuation reset. Strong-down, death cross, -9.2% below SMA200. -23.8% from 52wk high. RSI 35 approaching oversold — but structure is broken.
- SYK (30.6): RSI 30.6 — technically oversold. But strong-down, death cross, -11.9% below SMA200. -19.5% from 52wk high. Orthopedic/surgical devices in a prolonged drawdown.
- ABT (27.9): RSI extreme — most oversold name in the entire healthcare scan. Strong-down, death cross, -18.1% below SMA200. -27.1% from 52wk high. Diabetes devices + diagnostics losing momentum. Warning: deeply oversold can mean approaching washout lows — but structure is fully broken.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Range | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| JNJ | $235–$245 | Cleanest large-cap healthcare. +24.2% above SMA200, golden cross, near 52wk high. |
| MRK | $115–$121 | Keytruda oncology growth. Strong-up, +23.3% alpha1Y. Pullback to SMA20 zone. |
| PFE | $26.50–$28.50 | Near 52wk high — any dip is the entry. Post-COVID transformation + Seagen. |
| LLY | $895–$920 | Critical SMA200 test. GLP-1 decade-defining franchise. Buy here or regret. |
| GILD | $132–$140 | HIV + antiviral moat. Golden cross, +12.8% above SMA200. 30D weakness = opportunity. |
| SYK | $315–$330 | RSI 30.6 approaching historical washout levels. Only for patient contrarian entry. Small position. |
Action Matrix
Top Buys / Add
- JNJ — Best risk/reward in healthcare. Golden cross, +24.2% above SMA200, +33.5% alpha1Y. The bedrock holding.
- MRK — Keytruda franchise deserves premium. Strong-up, golden cross. Near 52wk high is a feature not a bug.
- PFE — Cheapest large-cap pharma near 52wk high. +13.8% in 3M with more pipeline catalysts ahead.
- LLY — Don't sell the GLP-1 franchise at SMA200. This is the buy point if you missed it all year.
- MRNA — mRNA revival is real. +69.8% in 3M. Strong-up, golden cross. Position for pipeline readouts.
Top Sells / Avoid
- UNH — -55.5% from 52wk high, regulatory/legal overhang structural. Death cross. Exit or avoid.
- VEEV — Healthcare cloud SaaS in full distribution. -43.8% from 52wk high, -30.3% below SMA200.
- ABT — RSI 27.9 extreme oversold, but structure fully broken. Death cross, -27% from 52wk high. Don't catch the knife.
- DXCM — CGM competition is a permanent headwind. Death cross, -29.6% from 52wk high.
- MDT — Medical device cycle grinding lower. Wait for a real base.
Key Observations
- Traditional pharma (JNJ, MRK, PFE) is the healthcare flight-to-quality trade — large diversified pipelines, predictable earnings, dividend yields are getting rotation dollars from broken medtech/managed care.
- UNH's -55.5% from 52wk high is a sector alarm — managed care model under existential pressure from regulatory scrutiny. The damage is structural, not cyclical.
- LLY testing SMA200 ($894) is the most watched level in healthcare — the GLP-1 franchise is intact but near-term pricing/competition fears are real. This level is the thesis checkpoint.
- Medtech (SYK, ISRG, MDT, ABT, DXCM) is in coordinated breakdown — medical device utilization fears + competitive pressure + valuation compression all at once.
- MRNA's +69.8% in 3M stands alone as the sector's most explosive story. mRNA platform expanding beyond vaccines with RSV, flu, and cancer immunotherapy pipeline readouts ahead.
- ABT at RSI 27.9 is technically extreme — watch for a dead-cat bounce. But with a death cross and -18% below SMA200, any bounce is for traders, not investors.
Data: 2026-03-31 pre-computed summaries (healthcare-scan.json).
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