YOLO Portfolio
YOLO Portfolio
Start Date: 2026-02-04 Starting Capital: $100,000
Summary
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Starting Capital | $100,000 |
| Cash | $9,471.36 |
| Invested | $93,998.87 |
| Current Position Value | $98,025.69 |
| Total Value | $107,497.05 |
| Return | +7.50% |
| Realized P&L | +$3,470.10 |
| Unrealized P&L | +$4,026.82 |
Last Updated: 2026-04-26 (via the desk's own tooling)
Current Positions
*Last Updated: 2026-04-26 — Source of truth is LEDGER.json via the desk's own tooling
| Stock | Shares | Entry | Current | Value | Gain/Loss | % | Type | Stop (-20%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LITE | 14.75 | $881.64 | $881.64 | $13,004.19 | $0.00 | 0.0% | NEW — MAX CONVICTION optical supercycle | $705.31 |
| MSFT | 26.70 | $374.53 | $424.62 | $11,337.35 | +$1,337.40 | +13.37% | Mag7 RSI 24 capitulation bounce | $299.62 |
| SNOW | 82.23 | $121.61 | $134.24 | $11,038.56 | +$1,038.57 | +10.39% | Max conviction SaaS capitulation (RSI 21) | $97.29 |
| NKE | 226.30 | $44.19 | $44.69 | $10,113.35 | +$113.15 | +1.13% | RSI 20 max conviction capitulation | $35.35 |
| NUGT | 37.83 | $185.02 | $212.47 | $8,037.74 | +$1,038.43 | +14.84% | 2x gold miners leverage | $148.02 |
| LABU | 42.45 | $164.90 | $186.29 | $7,908.01 | +$908.00 | +12.97% | 3x biotech bull | $131.92 |
| LLY | 8.85 | $903.48 | $883.96 | $7,823.05 | -$172.75 | -2.16% | First GLP-1 oversold in 3+ yrs | $722.78 |
| ABBV | 39.07 | $204.75 | $198.71 | $7,763.60 | -$235.98 | -2.95% | Dividend aristocrat oversold | $163.80 |
| RIOT | 402.99 | $17.37 | $17.37 | $6,999.94 | $0.00 | 0.0% | NEW — BTC cleared $75K, crypto-geopolitics trigger | $13.90 |
| GDX | 74.20 | $94.34 | $94.34 | $7,000.03 | $0.00 | 0.0% | NEW — gold-crash thesis confirmed | $75.47 |
| GILD | 53.68 | $130.40 | $130.40 | $6,999.87 | $0.00 | 0.0% | NEW — RSI 31 triple-oversold pharma | $104.32 |
Positions Total: $98,025.69 (unrealized: +$4,026.82)
Trades 04/26
SOLD GOOGL — TARGET HIT +21.6%. Mechanical exit per playbook. RSI 67 cooling. Realized +$1,731.49.
SOLD META — TARGET HIT +23.2%. Mechanical exit per playbook. RSI 60s near ATH. Realized +$1,626.63.
BOUGHT LITE — MAX CONVICTION at $13K (13%). Best optical supercycle play at non-overbought RSI 58 despite +165% 3M run. Coherent interconnects essential for AI data centers. Optical Supercycle perspective SUSTAIN. Stop -20% at $705.31. Target +20% at $1,058.
BOUGHT RIOT — $7K (7%). BTC cleared $75K, Crypto-Geopolitics perspective trigger BREACHED. RIOT +22.6% 7D. RSI 64.8 still has room. BTC miner with operating leverage. Stop -20% at $13.90. Target +20% at $20.84.
BOUGHT GDX — $7K (7%). Gold-Crash perspective HIT — miners outperforming gold on 30D. Operating leverage > safe-haven bid. RSI 47.7 NOT overbought. Already have NUGT 2x but GDX is cleaner direct exposure. Stop -20% at $75.47. Target +20% at $113.21.
BOUGHT GILD — $7K (7%). Triple-oversold pharma window: GILD/JNJ/ABBV all RSI 31-36 simultaneously. RSI 30.9 approaching capitulation. Golden cross INTACT. HIV monopoly + oncology pipeline. Stop -20% at $104.32. Target +20% at $156.48.
Trades 04/10 (prior session)
BOUGHT SNOW — RSI 21 SaaS capitulation. $10K max conviction.
Trades 04/04 (prior session)
BOUGHT NKE — RSI 20 capitulation. $10K max conviction.
Trades 03/31 (prior session)
BOUGHT NUGT, LABU — Leveraged ETF activation. NUGT 2x gold (+14.84% now), LABU 3x biotech (+12.97% now). GOOGL add $3K.
Trades 03/26 (prior session)
BOUGHT META — RSI 25.7. SOLD 04/26 +23.2%. Target hit.
BOUGHT GOOGL — RSI 28.4 golden cross. SOLD 04/26 +21.6%. Target hit.
Trades 03/24 (prior session)
BOUGHT MSFT — RSI 29 mega-cap oversold. Now +13.37% open.
Trades 03/20 (prior session)
SOLD GDX — STOP-LOSS at -20.5%. Realized -$1,226.40. SOLD SOXS — REGIME FLIP +1.6%. Realized +$111.98. BOUGHT ABBV — RSI 27.6. Now -2.95%. BOUGHT LLY — RSI 30. Now -2.16%.
Closed Positions
| # | Date In | Date Out | Stock | Entry | Exit | Shares | P&L | % | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02/26 | 03/03 | ASAN | $9.91 | $7.26 | 1009 | -$2,673.85 | -26.7% | Stop-loss triggered. Golden signal failed in risk-off. |
| 2 | 02/16 | 03/10 | HIMS | $16.30 | $22.16 | 200 | +$1,172.00 | +35.9% | Target hit (+20% exceeded). RSI 10 bounce worked. |
| 3 | 02/26 | 03/12 | WDAY | $138.57 | $136.05 | 72 | -$181.44 | -1.3% | SaaS structural repricing. |
| 4 | 03/12 | 03/20 | GDX (v1) | $99.64 | $79.20 | 60 | -$1,226.40 | -20.5% | STOP-LOSS. Gold failed as crisis hedge. |
| 5 | 03/13 | 03/20 | SOXS | $41.26 | $41.92 | 169.66 | +$111.98 | +1.6% | Regime flip exit. |
| 6 | 03/26 | 04/26 | GOOGL | $283.13 | $344.40 | 28.26 | +$1,731.49 | +21.64% | TARGET HIT. Mechanical exit on RSI 67 cooldown. |
| 7 | 03/26 | 04/26 | META | $547.75 | $675.03 | 12.78 | +$1,626.63 | +23.24% | TARGET HIT. Mechanical exit on RSI 60s near ATH. |
Closed P&L: -$1,329.61 (cumulative through 03/20) + $3,358.12 (04/26 wins) = +$2,028.51 realized lifetime Closed Record: 4 wins, 3 losses (57% win rate, +$2,029 net)
Stop-Loss Check (-20% rule)
Updated: 2026-04-26
| Stock | Entry | Stop (-20%) | Current | P&L% | Distance to Stop | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LITE | $881.64 | $705.31 | $881.64 | 0.0% | 25.0% above | NEW — MAX CONVICTION, monitor |
| MSFT | $374.53 | $299.62 | $424.62 | +13.37% | 41.7% above | OK — strong recovery |
| SNOW | $121.61 | $97.29 | $134.24 | +10.39% | 38.0% above | OK — bouncing from RSI 21 entry |
| NKE | $44.19 | $35.35 | $44.69 | +1.13% | 26.4% above | OK — flat from entry |
| NUGT | $185.02 | $148.02 | $212.47 | +14.84% | 43.6% above | OK — leveraged gold winning |
| LABU | $164.90 | $131.92 | $186.29 | +12.97% | 41.2% above | OK — biotech momentum holding |
| LLY | $903.48 | $722.78 | $883.96 | -2.16% | 22.3% above | OK — slight drift, thesis intact |
| ABBV | $204.75 | $163.80 | $198.71 | -2.95% | 21.3% above | OK — small drawdown |
| RIOT | $17.37 | $13.90 | $17.37 | 0.0% | 25.0% above | NEW — BTC trigger play, monitor |
| GDX | $94.34 | $75.47 | $94.34 | 0.0% | 25.0% above | NEW — gold-crash play, monitor |
| GILD | $130.40 | $104.32 | $130.40 | 0.0% | 25.0% above | NEW — pharma capitulation, monitor |
NO STOPS NEAR TRIGGER. All positions well above -20% stops. HEAVY DEPLOYMENT: Cash now 9% — maximally invested. Quality oversold + leveraged ETFs + crypto-geopolitics + optical supercycle. LEVERAGED EXPOSURE: NUGT (2x) + LABU (3x) = $15.9K (15.8% of NAV). Within 20% rule.
Portfolio Value History
| Date | Value | Return | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04 | $100,000 | 0% | Initial: TQQQ, CRSP |
| 03/20 | $93,617 | -6.38% | Sold: GDX (-20.5% stop), SOXS (+1.6%). Bought: ABBV, LLY. |
| 03/31 | $100,910 | +0.91% | Bought: NUGT, LABU, GOOGL add. Full leverage activation. |
| 04/04 | ~$100,000 | 0% | Bought: NKE ($10K, RSI 20). |
| 04/10 | ~$99,500 | -0.5% | Bought: SNOW ($10K, RSI 21). |
| 04/26 | $107,497 | +7.50% | Sold: GOOGL (+21.6%), META (+23.2%). Bought: LITE ($13K), RIOT, GDX, GILD ($7K each). |
Notes
- 04/26: TARGETS HIT. GOOGL +21.6% and META +23.2% both exceeded +20% mechanical exit. Realized $3,358 in profits. The CRSP lesson finally honored — took the money instead of round-tripping. Both Mag7 names did exactly what RSI 20-25 capitulation buys are supposed to do.
- 04/26: MAX CONVICTION DEPLOYMENT. $34K redeployed across 4 positions. LITE sized $13K — the conviction rests on RSI 58 + 165% 3M run = real demand, not blowoff. RIOT/GDX/GILD at $7K each = balanced sector spread (crypto + gold + pharma capitulation).
- 04/26: PERSPECTIVE ALIGNMENT. Six SUSTAIN perspectives all working: Optical (LITE), AI Power (NUGT proxy), Gold-Crash (GDX/NUGT), Crypto-Geopolitics (RIOT). LITE+RIOT+GDX+GILD all map to confirmed perspectives.
- 04/26: AVOIDED. Did NOT buy SNOW (held — already in), defense primes (capitulation could deepen), AMD/ARM/MRVL (RSI 87+ blowoff), ZS (broken thesis insider selling), BRBR (closed thesis).
- 04/26: Position count 11 — most concentrated YOLO has been. Cash 9% — fully deployed. Risk profile: 7 positions in profit (3 in significant profit), 2 small drawdowns (ABBV/LLY both -2 to -3%), 4 fresh entries.
- 04/26: NEXT TARGETS WATCH: NUGT $222 (+20% from $185), LABU $197.88 (+20%), MSFT $449.44 (+20% from $374), SNOW $145.93 (+20%). Multiple positions approaching mechanical exits.
Related
4 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.