Defense Contractors Scan

Scan

Defense Contractors Scan

Scan symbols 11
LMTRTXNOCGDLHXBAITAPPADFENLEUBWXT
Watchlists 1
@defense-contractors
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 28 rows · screens, not recommendations

Sharp split inside the group: the ETFs (ITA RSI 57, strong-up; DFEN RSI 56, +16.5% 3M; PPA RSI 49, strong-up) hold up, but the prime single-names are rolling over. NOC is the broken extreme — RSI 30.9, -27.2% 3M, -35% from high, collapse regime, below all MAs. LMT (RSI 43, strong-down, death cross, -27% from high) and LHX (RSI 38.5, strong-down, death cross) are the other weak primes. RTX (RSI 55.9, +4.3% 30D, up regime) and BWXT (54.9, basing near +266% 5y) are the relative-strength single-names. LEU sits here too — uranium-enrichment collapse (RSI 48, -29.5% vs SMA200, -62.5% from high) tracking the broad uranium breakdown. No CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT entry; the ETFs are holds, the primes are pullback/collapse watches.

Latest bar 2026-06-25 (all names fresh per summary ). READ-ONLY scan: all figures from pre-computed summaries/defense-contractors.json.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Split — defense ETFs (ITA/DFEN/PPA) hold strong-up regimes, but the primes diverge: NOC collapse (RSI 31, -27% 3M), LMT/LHX strong-down with death crosses. RTX + BWXT are the only single-name relative strength. LEU (uranium) in collapse
Key insight The group is ETF-strong / prime-weak. NOC is the broken extreme (RSI 30.9, collapse, -35% from high) — washed but trend-broken, falling-knife not quality-oversold. RTX (RSI 56, +4.3% 30D, above all MAs) is the cleanest single-name; LEU is a uranium story riding the broad uranium wreck, not a defense tell

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Signal
ITA $237.64 57.2 +1.8% -1.38% +3.62% +8.03% -5.19% 🔒 Hold
RTX $186.59 55.9 +2.7% -1.17% +4.26% -2.84% -13.01% 🔒 Hold
DFEN $75.50 55.7 +4.2% -4.44% +8.15% +16.46% -22.76% 🔒 Hold
BWXT $205.18 54.9 +5.0% +0.39% +0.39% +0.18% -15.15% 🔒 Hold
PPA $171.64 48.9 -1.0% -2.21% -1.30% +2.53% -7.87% 🔒 Hold
LEU $174.10 48.4 -0.1% -6.00% -5.05% -9.94% -62.50% 🔍 Watch
GD $344.10 47.3 -1.2% -3.22% -0.16% -2.70% -6.93% 🔍 Watch
BA $219.20 48.3 -0.5% -0.72% +0.14% +12.78% -13.82% 🔍 Watch
LMT $504.82 43.1 -3.0% -3.83% -4.65% -19.02% -27.05% 🔍 Watch
LHX $287.64 38.5 -5.3% -3.75% -7.87% -17.33% -24.15% 🔍 Watch
NOC $501.57 30.9 ↓ -6.6% -4.23% -9.52% -27.20% -35.20% ❌ Don't Buy

Tier Analysis

Strong-Up ETFs / Hold (RSI 49-57): ITA (RSI 57.2, strong-up, golden cross, +8.0% 3M, +7.4% vs SMA200, near 52wk high) is the cleanest expression of the group — the aggregate holds an uptrend even as primes wobble. DFEN (3x leveraged, RSI 55.7, up regime, +16.5% 3M, +9.9% vs SMA200) and PPA (RSI 48.9, strong-up, golden cross, +4.0% vs SMA200) round out the ETF holds. The ETFs are the way to stay long the theme without single-prime risk.

Single-Name Relative Strength / Hold (RSI 55-56): RTX (RSI 55.9, up regime, +4.3% 30D, above all three MAs +2.6% vs SMA200, -13% from high) is the strongest prime — only one in an up regime with positive 30D. BWXT (54.9, basing, +5.0% vs SMA20, flat 30D/3M but +266% 5y, +135% alpha3y) is consolidating after a huge run — constructive base, watch for breakout.

Pullback / Watch (RSI 38-48): GD (RSI 47.3, basing, death cross but only -6.9% from high — mild), BA (48.3, pullback, +12.8% 3M, golden cross intact — the recovery name basing). LMT (RSI 43.1, strong-down, death cross, -19.0% 3M, -27% from high, below all MAs -5.4% vs SMA200) and LHX (38.5, strong-down, death cross, -17.3% 3M, -24% from high, -8.4% vs SMA200) are the weak primes — both trend-broken pullbacks, not yet washed enough to be quality-oversold.

Uranium Collapse / Watch (RSI 48): LEU (RSI 48.4, strong-down, death cross, -9.9% 3M, -29.5% vs SMA200, -62.5% from high, collapse regime) — this is a uranium-enrichment name tracking the broad uranium breakdown (see URA/UUUU in macro/geopolitical scans), not a defense-spending tell. Despite the collapse it still carries +358% alpha3y — a parabolic name deep in a drawdown, NOT a quality-oversold defense entry.

Collapse / Don't Buy (RSI 31): NOC (RSI 30.9, collapse regime, -27.2% 3M, -9.5% 30D, -35.2% from high, below all MAs -17.8% vs SMA200, death cross) — the broken extreme. Most-oversold name in the group but trend is fully broken; this is a falling knife, not OVERSOLD-QUALITY (it is below SMA200, no golden cross). Avoid until it bases and reclaims.

Entry-Hunt Tags

  • CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT / Hold: none clean. ITA (RSI 57, strong-up, near high) and RTX (56, up, above all MAs) are the closest — holds, not fresh breakouts; not extended.
  • OVERSOLD-QUALITY: none. NOC (RSI 31) and LHX (38.5) are the most-oversold but BOTH below SMA200 with death crosses — they fail the above-SMA200/golden-cross test, so they are BROKEN, not quality-oversold.
  • BROKEN / AVOID: NOC (RSI 31, collapse, -35% from high, below all MAs), LMT (43, strong-down, death cross, -27% from high), LHX (38.5, strong-down, death cross), LEU (48, collapse, -62.5% from high — uranium not defense).
  • EXTENDED / TRIM: none — no name is RSI>75 or >30% above SMA200; the group is in pullback, not euphoria.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 3M% Setup
RTX $186.59 55.9 -2.84% Strongest prime — up regime, above all MAs, +4.3% 30D; -13% from high gives room. The single-name to watch if defense re-rates; constructive now
ITA $237.64 57.2 +8.03% ETF holding strong-up near 52wk high — the way to own the theme without prime-specific risk; hold, add on pullbacks to SMA50 (~$227)
BWXT $205.18 54.9 +0.18% Basing after +266% 5y run (+5% vs SMA20); flat 3M consolidation — watch for breakout from this base, not yet confirmed
NOC $501.57 30.9 ↓ -27.20% Collapse, -35% from high, below all MAs — most-oversold but trend-broken; NOT a dip-buy. Needs a base + SMA200 ($610) reclaim, far away — avoid

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD ITA, DFEN, PPA Defense ETFs in strong-up / up regimes — own the theme via the basket, not the weak primes
🔒 HOLD RTX, BWXT Single-name relative strength — RTX up regime above all MAs; BWXT basing after big run
🔍 WATCH GD, BA Mild pullbacks — GD only -6.9% from high; BA +12.8% 3M recovery basing with golden cross
🔍 WATCH LMT, LHX Strong-down primes with death crosses, -17% to -19% 3M — trend-broken; wait for base, not falling-knife catch
🔍 WATCH LEU Uranium-enrichment collapse (-62.5% from high) riding the broad uranium wreck — not a defense tell
❌ DON'T BUY NOC RSI 31 collapse, -35% from high, below all MAs — falling knife, not quality-oversold

What Changed

  • ETF-vs-prime split widened — ITA/DFEN/PPA hold strong-up while NOC/LMT/LHX roll over; the basket is healthier than the average prime.
  • NOC deteriorated to collapse — RSI 30.9, -27.2% 3M, -35% from high, below all MAs — the group's broken extreme.
  • RTX is the lone up-regime prime — +4.3% 30D, above all three MAs; relative-strength leader among single names.
  • LMT/LHX strong-down with death crosses — both trend-broken (-17% to -19% 3M), the legacy-prime weakness.
  • LEU collapse tracks uranium, not defense — -62.5% from high, -29.5% vs SMA200; cross-references URA/UUUU breakdown in macro/geopolitical scans.

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
Defense ETFs (ITA/DFEN/PPA) hold strong-up while primes NOC/LMT/LHX break down Own the theme through the basket — single-prime idiosyncratic weakness (program/margin/order-flow) is hitting the legacy names, not the sector trend
NOC, LMT, LHX all below SMA200 with death crosses while RTX is above all MAs The "defense oversold" names fail the quality test (below 200-day) — RTX is the only prime where an uptrend is intact; the others are falling knives
LEU's -62.5%-from-high collapse mirrors URA/UUUU in the commodity scans LEU here is a uranium-cycle expression, not defense-budget — route its read to the nuclear-fuel-cycle lane, don't double-count as defense weakness

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Buying NOC on "RSI 31 oversold defense name" Collapse regime below all MAs, -35% from high — oversold + trend-broken is avoid; defense oversold ≠ quality dip when it's below SMA200
Treating LMT/LHX as value at -27%/-24% from high Both strong-down with death crosses — the drawdown is the trend, not a discount; wait for a base + reclaim

Open Questions

  • What is driving NOC's collapse (-27% 3M) vs RTX's strength (+4.3% 30D) — program-specific (B-21/Sentinel), margin, or order timing? (needs event verify — not in this scan)
  • Is the ETF-vs-prime divergence a flows story (passive bid on ITA) or genuine differentiation that favors RTX/BWXT? (cross-check vs drone-defense / news)
  • Does LEU belong in defense-contractors at all, or should it route fully to nuclear-fuel-cycle given its commodity-driven collapse? (taxonomy follow-up)
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Jun 26 ScanDefense Contractors Jun 20 ScanDefense Contractors Scan Jun 16 ScanDefense Contractors Scan Jul 7 ScanDefense Contractors Jul 11 ScanDefense Contractors Jun 25 ScanGeopolitical Risk Scan Jul 17 ScanDefense Contractors Jun 20 ScanGeopolitical Risk Scan Jul 25 ScanDefense Contractors Jul 28 ScanDefense Contractors — July 28, 2026 (Tuesday EOD)

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