Defense Contractors
Defense Contractors
Data as-of 2026-07-06 close. Numbers read directly from defense-contractors — no prose math. Prior scan: 2026-06-26-defense-contractors (2026-06-26).
The sector-wide reversal since the prior scan is dramatic. NOC — flagged 10 sessions ago as "the most distressed large-cap in defense" at RSI 30.9, -35.2% off its 52-week high — has round-tripped to RSI 55.3 on a +9.85% week. GD and ITA both broke out to within 0.1% of their 52-week highs (RSI 69-70, near-overbought). RTX and DFEN are running the hottest in the complex (RSI ~70), turning the prior scan's "RTX is the only prime with genuine strength" into "the whole complex caught the bid." LMT and LHX are still the laggards — both remain in death-cross — but are off their lows. New addition TTMI is the one name moving the wrong direction: -13% this week after a huge prior run.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟢 Broad-based reversal — every prime and ETF up on 30D except LHX (flat); several now near-overbought |
| Biggest mover | NOC — RSI 30.9→55.3, +9.85% 7D; the capitulation call from the prior scan reversed hard |
| Hottest | RTX, DFEN (RSI ~70) — hold-not-chase territory now |
| Verify before acting | LEU +7.5% in a single session with no obvious catalyst on file |
| New addition | TTMI — sharp -13% 7D pullback after a +50% 3M / +239% 1Y run |
Defense ETFs (Sector Health)
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | vs SMA20 | Trend | 52wkHi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITA | $250.78 | 69.9 | +3.6% | +10.4% | +5.7% | strong-up | -0.1% |
| PPA | $182.44 | 66.1 | +4.5% | +7.6% | +4.7% | strong-up | -2.1% |
| DFEN | $87.85 | 69.5 | +10.7% | +31.4% | +16.4% | up | -10.1% |
ITA is now essentially at its 52-week high with RSI near-overbought — a clean breakout from the prior scan's RSI 56.4. DFEN (leveraged) is up +31.4% 30D — the institutional defense bid the prior scan called "structural" has only gotten stronger. Neither is a fresh entry at these RSI levels; a pullback to RSI ~55-60 is the next add zone.
Individual Primes
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | vs SMA20 | Trend | 52wkHi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTX | $201.37 | 69.7 | +5.1% | +12.7% | +7.9% | up | -6.1% |
| GD | $376.88 | 69.0 | +6.6% | +11.1% | +7.0% | strong-up | -0.1% |
| LMT | $538.00 | 55.9 | +7.8% | +3.5% | +3.3% | weak-up | -22.3% |
| LHX | $301.27 | 50.2 | +3.8% | -0.3% | +0.7% | strong-down | -20.6% |
| BA | $234.54 | 62.6 | +4.3% | +8.6% | +6.5% | strong-up | -7.8% |
| NOC | $547.75 | 55.3 | +9.9% | +1.3% | +3.4% | weak-up | -29.2% |
NOC's reversal is the story of this scan. From RSI 30.9 / collapse-regime / -35.2% off highs to RSI 55.3 on the week's single biggest 7D move (+9.9%) — the B-21 distress narrative that drove the prior "most distressed large-cap" call has reversed hard, though the name is still -29.2% off its 52-week high and 3M is presumably still negative (30D only +1.3%). GD and RTX both extended their prior strength into breakout/near-overbought territory. LMT is up +7.8% this week but remains death-cross and -22.3% off its high — a bounce, not yet a trend change. LHX is the one name still going nowhere (30D -0.3%, strong-down trend intact).
Nuclear / Specialized Defense
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | vs SMA20 | Trend | 52wkHi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | $196.89 | 49.1 | -2.2% | +5.0% | +0.3% | down | -18.6% |
| LEU | $174.23 | 50.8 | +0.9% | +6.4% | +3.9% | strong-down | -62.5% |
BWXT is flat-to-slightly-down this week despite a positive 30D — no change from the prior scan's "quality hold, naval backlog durable" read. LEU posted a +7.5% single-day move (change1d) inside an otherwise unremarkable week — worth verifying against a primary source before treating as signal; the name is still -62.5% off its 52-week high in a strong-down trend with no confirmed floor.
New Addition: TTMI
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | vs SMA20 | Trend | 52wkHi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTMI | $149.39 | 34.1 | -13.0% | -16.3% | +50.5% | +238.7% | -21.5% | weak-down | -33.3% |
TTMI (PCB/defense-electronics manufacturer) is new to this watchlist. It just posted the sharpest weekly decline in the sector (-13.0%) after a monster 3M/1Y run — this reads as a momentum name breaking, not a defense-thesis reversal. Flag as a rollover risk, not a dip-buy, until RSI stabilizes.
Promotion Candidates
Rollover Risks
- RTX / DFEN / GD / ITA — all RSI 66-70, hold-not-chase. A pullback to RSI 55-60 is the next legitimate entry, not current levels.
- LEU — verify the +7.5% single-day pop before treating it as thesis confirmation; still in a confirmed downtrend.
- TTMI — -13% 7D after a parabolic run is a momentum-break pattern; treat as a watch item, not an entry.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-06-26)
| Ticker | Then | Now | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOC | RSI 30.9, -35.2% off high, collapse | RSI 55.3, +9.9% 7D | Sharpest reversal in the sector |
| GD | RSI 49.5, basing | RSI 69.0, breakout, -0.1% off high | Confirmed breakout |
| ITA | RSI 56.4 | RSI 69.9, -0.1% off high | ETF layer now near-overbought |
| DFEN | +22.3% 3M | +31.4% 30D | Momentum accelerating, not fading |
| RTX | RSI 57.5, +6.5% 30D | RSI 69.7, +12.7% 30D | Extended further into strength |
| LMT | RSI 44.4, death-cross | RSI 55.9, +7.8% 7D | Bounce, still death-cross |
| LHX | RSI 41.6, -14.7% 3M | RSI 50.2, -0.3% 30D | Stabilizing but no trend change |
| TTMI | not tracked | RSI 34.1, -13.0% 7D | New addition; already breaking down |
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.