Defense Contractors

Scan

Defense Contractors

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 25 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-06-26-defense-contractors.md

Data as-of 2026-07-06 close. Numbers read directly from defense-contractors — no prose math. Prior scan: 2026-06-26-defense-contractors (2026-06-26).


The sector-wide reversal since the prior scan is dramatic. NOC — flagged 10 sessions ago as "the most distressed large-cap in defense" at RSI 30.9, -35.2% off its 52-week high — has round-tripped to RSI 55.3 on a +9.85% week. GD and ITA both broke out to within 0.1% of their 52-week highs (RSI 69-70, near-overbought). RTX and DFEN are running the hottest in the complex (RSI ~70), turning the prior scan's "RTX is the only prime with genuine strength" into "the whole complex caught the bid." LMT and LHX are still the laggards — both remain in death-cross — but are off their lows. New addition TTMI is the one name moving the wrong direction: -13% this week after a huge prior run.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 Broad-based reversal — every prime and ETF up on 30D except LHX (flat); several now near-overbought
Biggest mover NOC — RSI 30.9→55.3, +9.85% 7D; the capitulation call from the prior scan reversed hard
Hottest RTX, DFEN (RSI ~70) — hold-not-chase territory now
Verify before acting LEU +7.5% in a single session with no obvious catalyst on file
New addition TTMI — sharp -13% 7D pullback after a +50% 3M / +239% 1Y run

Defense ETFs (Sector Health)

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D vs SMA20 Trend 52wkHi
ITA $250.78 69.9 +3.6% +10.4% +5.7% strong-up -0.1%
PPA $182.44 66.1 +4.5% +7.6% +4.7% strong-up -2.1%
DFEN $87.85 69.5 +10.7% +31.4% +16.4% up -10.1%

ITA is now essentially at its 52-week high with RSI near-overbought — a clean breakout from the prior scan's RSI 56.4. DFEN (leveraged) is up +31.4% 30D — the institutional defense bid the prior scan called "structural" has only gotten stronger. Neither is a fresh entry at these RSI levels; a pullback to RSI ~55-60 is the next add zone.

Individual Primes

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D vs SMA20 Trend 52wkHi
RTX $201.37 69.7 +5.1% +12.7% +7.9% up -6.1%
GD $376.88 69.0 +6.6% +11.1% +7.0% strong-up -0.1%
LMT $538.00 55.9 +7.8% +3.5% +3.3% weak-up -22.3%
LHX $301.27 50.2 +3.8% -0.3% +0.7% strong-down -20.6%
BA $234.54 62.6 +4.3% +8.6% +6.5% strong-up -7.8%
NOC $547.75 55.3 +9.9% +1.3% +3.4% weak-up -29.2%

NOC's reversal is the story of this scan. From RSI 30.9 / collapse-regime / -35.2% off highs to RSI 55.3 on the week's single biggest 7D move (+9.9%) — the B-21 distress narrative that drove the prior "most distressed large-cap" call has reversed hard, though the name is still -29.2% off its 52-week high and 3M is presumably still negative (30D only +1.3%). GD and RTX both extended their prior strength into breakout/near-overbought territory. LMT is up +7.8% this week but remains death-cross and -22.3% off its high — a bounce, not yet a trend change. LHX is the one name still going nowhere (30D -0.3%, strong-down trend intact).

Nuclear / Specialized Defense

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D vs SMA20 Trend 52wkHi
BWXT $196.89 49.1 -2.2% +5.0% +0.3% down -18.6%
LEU $174.23 50.8 +0.9% +6.4% +3.9% strong-down -62.5%

BWXT is flat-to-slightly-down this week despite a positive 30D — no change from the prior scan's "quality hold, naval backlog durable" read. LEU posted a +7.5% single-day move (change1d) inside an otherwise unremarkable week — worth verifying against a primary source before treating as signal; the name is still -62.5% off its 52-week high in a strong-down trend with no confirmed floor.

New Addition: TTMI

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D 3M 1Y vs SMA20 Trend 52wkHi
TTMI $149.39 34.1 -13.0% -16.3% +50.5% +238.7% -21.5% weak-down -33.3%

TTMI (PCB/defense-electronics manufacturer) is new to this watchlist. It just posted the sharpest weekly decline in the sector (-13.0%) after a monster 3M/1Y run — this reads as a momentum name breaking, not a defense-thesis reversal. Flag as a rollover risk, not a dip-buy, until RSI stabilizes.


Promotion Candidates

  • NOC — the reversal from near-capitulation is the biggest tape move in the scan; worth a dedicated research note on what changed in the B-21 narrative.
  • GD / ITA — confirmed breakouts at 52-week highs; durable multi-program mix (shipbuilding, Gulfstream) makes GD the cleaner single-name expression.

Rollover Risks

  • RTX / DFEN / GD / ITA — all RSI 66-70, hold-not-chase. A pullback to RSI 55-60 is the next legitimate entry, not current levels.
  • LEU — verify the +7.5% single-day pop before treating it as thesis confirmation; still in a confirmed downtrend.
  • TTMI — -13% 7D after a parabolic run is a momentum-break pattern; treat as a watch item, not an entry.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-06-26)

Ticker Then Now Signal
NOC RSI 30.9, -35.2% off high, collapse RSI 55.3, +9.9% 7D Sharpest reversal in the sector
GD RSI 49.5, basing RSI 69.0, breakout, -0.1% off high Confirmed breakout
ITA RSI 56.4 RSI 69.9, -0.1% off high ETF layer now near-overbought
DFEN +22.3% 3M +31.4% 30D Momentum accelerating, not fading
RTX RSI 57.5, +6.5% 30D RSI 69.7, +12.7% 30D Extended further into strength
LMT RSI 44.4, death-cross RSI 55.9, +7.8% 7D Bounce, still death-cross
LHX RSI 41.6, -14.7% 3M RSI 50.2, -0.3% 30D Stabilizing but no trend change
TTMI not tracked RSI 34.1, -13.0% 7D New addition; already breaking down
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.