HOOD — candidate.roundup

Update

HOOD — candidate.roundup

Reason: HOOD cooled hard from its RSI-70 extreme and lost its golden cross, though it is still the strongest 30D print in the complex; the miner basket, led by RIOT, keeps deteriorating even while staying technically golden-crossed; BTC ticked up off the prior low but the coin layer stays structurally unchanged.

Tape-read: This week's crypto-scan flags "no structural change" at the coin level — every major coin remains death-crossed, 49-83% off its 52-week high. HOOD is the notable mover: RSI cooled from 70.1 to 61.7 (a small -2.7% 7D pullback) and its golden-cross/death-cross flags actually flipped to false/true this read — the equity proxy lost the exact structural edge that made it "the strongest chart in the complex" two reads ago, even though its 30D print (+21.4%) is still the best in the whole universe. RIOT is the clearer concern: RSI fell further to 34.3 (-19.78% 30D, 3M compressed from +61.2% to +20.7%) — still golden-cross, but deteriorating inside that structure, not stabilizing. BTC ticked up modestly (RSI 49.6→54.5, +2.29% 7D) — a firmer read than two reads ago but still collapse regime, death-crossed, -49.1% off high. DOGE's bar is two days stale (07-09) and shows continued weakness (RSI 37.5, -76.2% off high). Source: 2026-07-11-crypto-scan + summaries/crypto.json.

  • HOOD — WATCH (downgraded from PROMOTE): RSI 61.7 (down from 70.1), now golden-cross false / death-cross true, +21.4% 30D still the strongest print in the universe — cooled from its extreme but no longer the clean structural leader it was; not a fresh add at these levels.
  • RIOT — PASS: RSI 34.3 (down from 38.9), golden cross still intact but deteriorating — 30D -19.78%, 3M compressed from +61.2% to +20.7% — the "equities lead crypto out of the bottom" thesis is weakening, not confirming.
  • BTC-USD — PASS: RSI 54.5 (up from 49.6), collapse regime, death cross, -49.1% off 52wk high — firmer than two reads ago but still a broken structure.
  • DOGE-USD — PASS: RSI 37.5, -76.2% off 52wk high, data two days stale (07-09) — no stabilization evidence.

Lead pick: Nobody in this complex is a clean add this week. HOOD is still the least-bad chart on 30D/3M, but it lost the one structural edge (golden cross) it had over the coins — track whether that reasserts before treating it as investable again. RIOT is the one to watch for further deterioration, not a bottom signal.

10 events

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