Every major coin remains death-crossed and 49-83% off its 52-week high — no structural change from the prior scan. The clearest confirmation this cycle: ADA's +35.7% 7-day pop that the last scan flagged as "reads as noise, no catalyst" has fully round-tripped — ADA is now -5.6% over 7 days. The equity proxies tell a split story: MSTR and COIN both gave back their prior-scan bounces, and the miner basket (RIOT especially) keeps deteriorating even as it stays technically golden-crossed, while HOOD cooled from its RSI-70 extreme (now 61.7) but remains the relative strongest chart in the group. As a risk-appetite read, crypto stays notably weaker than the broad-equity tape covered in this cycle's etf-universe scan — a cross-asset divergence worth flagging.

Data as-of 2026-07-10 close for equities/ETFs; most coins reflect 2026-07-11 (24/7 trading). DOGE-USD and DOT-USD are stale at 2026-07-09 — both marked below. Source: summaries/crypto.json. Prior scan: 2026-07-07-crypto-scan (2026-07-06/07 close).

The coin layer hasn't structurally changed: BTC ($64,300.60, RSI 54.5), ETH ($1,826.24, RSI 60.5), SOL ($78.01, RSI 54.4), XRP ($1.12, RSI 49.5), ADA ($0.17, RSI 49.8), AVAX ($6.77, RSI 49.2), and LINK ($8.09, RSI 55.8) are all still death-crossed, sitting 49-83% below their 52-week highs. ETH did upgrade from collapse to downtrend regime this cycle. The clearest story is ADA: the prior scan flagged its +35.7% 7-day pop as "short-covering noise... no news verification available to confirm a catalyst" — that pop has now fully reversed, with ADA down -5.6% over the current 7-day window. That's a clean vindication of treating an unconfirmed spike skeptically rather than chasing it.

DOGE and DOT are both stuck on stale 2026-07-09 data in this feed — DOGE ($0.07, RSI 37.5) and DOT ($0.84, RSI 35.6) — so their current reads should be treated as two sessions old, not live.

The spot-ETF layer (IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO) is unremarkable and tightly tracks the underlying coins: all four are flat-to-modestly-up on the week (+2.3% to +3.1%) and all remain in collapse regime, 24-64% off their highs. No divergence from spot worth flagging.

The miner basket is the scan's clearest deterioration. MARA (RSI 45.1, 30D -7.4%), RIOT (RSI 34.3, 30D -19.8%), and CLSK (RSI 38.1, 30D -20.5%) all cooled from the prior scan's reads, and all three saw their 3-month gains compress sharply (RIOT's 3M print fell from +61.2% to +20.7%, CLSK's from +49.1% to +19.4%). All three do still carry an intact golden cross — the structural "better than the coins" read from the prior scan technically survives, but the trend inside that structure is clearly weakening, especially in RIOT. MSTR and COIN both gave back their prior bounces: MSTR's 7-day flipped from +16.3% to -5.4% (still -21.2% on 30D, unchanged from last scan), and COIN's flipped from +11.4% to -2.7% (RSI cooled 53.1→47.2). HOOD, last scan's standout at RSI 70.1, has cooled to RSI 61.7 with a small 7-day pullback (-2.7%) but its 30-day print (+21.4%) is still the strongest in the entire universe — the "crypto-adjacent equities hold structure better than coins" read from the last scan still stands, just less extremely.

As a risk-appetite gauge: this cycle's etf-universe scan shows broad equities (QQQM/QQQ/VOO/VTI) healthy and uptrending, not extended. Crypto is not confirming that same risk-on read — every major coin remains death-crossed and the miner basket is actively deteriorating. That divergence between "equities calm and steady" and "crypto still broadly weak" is itself a signal worth tracking, not a contradiction to resolve.

regime tags (collapse/downtrend/pullback) describe structure, not a trade call — every coin and ETF proxy in collapse or downtrend is simply confirming the multi-month drawdown that's already priced in, not flagging a fresh event. The miner/BITQ/HOOD equities carrying an intact golden cross while the regime label reads pullback (not collapse) is the tell that they're structurally healthier than the coins even when short-term momentum is soft — track that GC/DC flag over the raw price move. Framed as a risk-appetite gauge: this universe is a read on speculative risk tolerance broadly, not a set of names to trade on RSI alone — cross-reference against the broad-equity tape (etf-universe scan) before drawing a market-wide conclusion from crypto weakness or strength alone.

*(Bonus / crypto-adjacent, not part of the core equities tier: HOOD $111.97, RSI 61.7, 7D -2.74%, 30D +21.4%, 3M +56.2%, vs 52wk high -27.2%, GC=False/DC=True, regime pullback. Cooled from RSI 70.1 last scan but still the strongest chart in this entire universe on 30D/3M.)*

BTC Dominance & Momentum (alt season?) — No. BTC and ETH both held up better than SOL/XRP/ADA/AVAX over the past week, the opposite of an alt-season signal. On the 30-day window SOL (+16.75%) and ETH (+9.21%) still outpace BTC (+1.16%), so the picture is genuinely mixed rather than a clean rotation either direction. ADA's reversal of its flagged "noise" pop reinforces treating short-window alt spikes skeptically.

ETF Flows — IBIT/GBTC/ETHE/BITO all posted small, uniform 7-day gains (+2.3% to +3.1%) that track their underlying coins almost exactly. No independent flow signal (in or out) beyond spot-price tracking is visible in this data.

Miner Health — Deteriorating. RIOT is the clearest concern (RSI 34.3, 30D -19.8%, 3M compression from +61.2% to +20.7%), with MARA and CLSK cooling similarly. All three retain golden crosses, so the structural "better than coins" argument still technically holds, but the trend inside that structure is clearly rolling over.

MSTR/COIN As Bellwethers — Both gave back last scan's bounce entirely. MSTR remains the more damaged of the two (RSI 38.4, -21.2% 30D, collapse regime, deathCrossed); COIN is less damaged (RSI 47.2, downtrend) but showing the same reversal pattern.

Key Levels — BTC's -49.1% from its 52-week high and ADA's -83.0% remain the widest and narrowest reference points in the coin layer, respectively; no name in the coin tier is meaningfully closer to reclaiming its high than at the last scan.

Risk Gauge — Crypto stays structurally weaker than the broad-equity tape covered elsewhere this cycle (etf-universe scan: QQQM/QQQ/VOO/VTI all healthy uptrends). Read that gap as evidence that risk appetite is selective — broad equities calm, speculative crypto still working through a multi-month drawdown — not as a contradiction requiring resolution.