Crypto Scan — August 14, 2026 Close

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Crypto Scan — August 14, 2026 Close

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 46 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-08-08-crypto-scan.md

BTC's RSI cooled hard, from 55.3 to 41.7, while price slipped from $65,044.46 to $62,819.85 — the 30-day print flipped negative to -2.92% from +2.93%, and three of the four spot-BTC/ETH proxies (IBIT, GBTC, BITO) had their regime label downgraded back to collapse from downtrend, undoing last scan's structural upgrade. ADA fell out of overbought exactly as flagged last scan — RSI dropped from 71.4 to 49.4 — while LINK became this scan's standout riser, regime upgrading to pullback from downtrend on RSI 64.6 (was 52.4). MSTR and COIN both reversed their prior stabilization: MSTR's 30-day print flipped back negative to -4.54% (was +6.54%) on a -4.18% single-day decline, and COIN's 30-day print worsened to -11.21% from -3.61%. MARA continued deteriorating, its 30-day print widening to -25.14% from -16.06%, confirming last scan's flagged divergence.

All three tiers carry the same 2026-08-14 close — crypto trades every day of the week, so coins, ETFs, and equities are on one shared basis this scan, unlike last scan's weekend/Friday split. Source: crypto. Prior scan: 2026-08-08-crypto-scan (coins 2026-08-08 weekend bar, ETFs/equities 2026-08-07 close).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Broad cooling across the board — no coin, ETF, or equity is oversold or overbought, but the direction is uniformly negative from last scan
Key insight Last scan's risk-on read (BTC regime upgrade, MSTR/COIN stabilization) reversed this scan across almost every name; LINK is the lone name moving the other way

Price Table

Coins (2026-08-14 close)

Ticker Price RSI 1D 7D 30D 3M vs 52wk High Regime Note
BTC-USD $62,819.85 41.7 -0.92% -3.18% -2.92% -20.55% -49.78% downtrend 30D flipped negative; RSI cooled sharply from 55.3
ETH-USD $1,877.86 50.5 -0.33% -1.85% -2.04% -15.54% -61.91% downtrend Held up better than BTC on 30D
SOL-USD $75.31 50.8 -1.14% +2.27% -2.52% -15.57% -69.92% downtrend One of the few coins positive on 7D
XRP-USD $1.00 35.1 -0.99% -1.96% -9.91% -30.07% -69.9% collapse Regime downgraded from downtrend
ADA-USD $0.18 49.4 0.00% -10.00% +5.88% -30.77% -82.08% downtrend Fell out of overbought (RSI 71.4→49.4)
DOGE-USD $0.07 36.6 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -36.36% -77.04% collapse Continuing rounding artifact of sub-cent price
AVAX-USD $6.43 47.8 -0.31% 0.00% -4.03% -32.6% -82.16% downtrend Modest drift lower
DOT-USD $0.76 38.4 -1.30% -7.32% -10.59% n/a -84.12% collapse Widest 52wk drawdown in the coin tier
LINK-USD $8.97 64.6 +1.13% +9.66% +5.16% -10.92% -68.04% pullback Regime upgraded from downtrend; strongest riser this scan

Spot ETFs (2026-08-14 close)

Ticker Price RSI 7D 30D vs 52wk High Regime Note
IBIT $35.63 43.5 -3.18% -3.21% -50.04% collapse Regime downgraded from downtrend
GBTC $48.68 43.3 -3.22% -3.30% -50.51% collapse Regime downgraded from downtrend
ETHE $15.14 50.7 -2.07% -2.32% -62.15% downtrend Held its regime label, still cooled
BITO $8.50 43.2 -3.30% -3.30% -60.44% collapse Regime downgraded from downtrend

Crypto Equities (2026-08-14 close)

Ticker Price RSI 1D 7D 30D 3M vs 52wk High GC/DC Regime Note
MSTR $93.04 42.5 -4.18% -6.97% -4.54% -47.56% -74.51% DC collapse 30D flipped negative, reversing last scan's flip positive
COIN $148.47 44.1 -3.53% -3.34% -11.21% -24.03% -61.73% DC collapse 30D worsened further from -3.61%
MARA $9.20 34.4 -0.11% -8.82% -25.14% -26.05% -60.72% GC collapse Continued deteriorating, deepest 30D of any equity
RIOT $19.01 41.2 -1.04% -7.36% -5.42% -19.07% -36.64% GC pullback Narrowest 52wk drawdown of the equities tier
CLSK $12.09 43.8 +4.95% -1.71% -14.44% -7.78% -51.21% GC downtrend Only equity or ETF positive on 1D
BITQ $22.70 45.5 -0.61% -0.79% -4.94% -13.98% -27.38% GC downtrend Smallest moves in the basket, roughly tracks average

Tier Analysis

BTC Dominance & Momentum (is it alt season?)

No clean alt-season signal this scan. On 30-day, some alts beat BTC's -2.92% (ETH -2.04%, ADA +5.88%, DOGE 0.00%, LINK +5.16%) while others trail it worse (XRP -9.91%, AVAX -4.03%, DOT -10.59%). On 7-day, the split is similarly mixed — SOL (+2.27%) and LINK (+9.66%) outperform, while ADA (-10.00%) and DOT (-7.32%) underperform. LINK's regime upgrade to pullback and RSI climb to 64.6 is the single clearest positive move in the coin tier; ADA's collapse out of overbought is the clearest negative one. That's an asymmetric picture inside the alt layer, not a coordinated rotation out of BTC.

ETF Flows

Three of the four BTC/ETH proxies (IBIT, GBTC, BITO) had their regime label downgraded from downtrend back to collapse, tracking BTC's own cooling. ETHE held its downtrend label, consistent with ETH's smaller 30-day pullback (-2.04%) versus BTC's (-2.92%). As with prior scans, the ETF layer shows no signal independent of its underlying coin — it is a pure price-tracking proxy, not an independent flow read.

Miner Health

MARA continued to deteriorate — 30D widened to -25.14% from -16.06%, the deepest 30-day move of any equity or ETF in this scan, and RSI at 34.4 is the closest to oversold territory in the whole universe. RIOT and CLSK both cooled on 30D (-5.42% and -14.44% respectively) but held their regime labels (pullback and downtrend). CLSK was the lone positive mover on the day, +4.95%. BITQ tracked the basket average with the smallest moves. All four miners retain their golden cross, meaning the long-term structural read hasn't broken despite the near-term weakness.

MSTR/COIN As Bellwethers

Both reversed the stabilization flagged last scan. MSTR's 30-day print flipped back negative (-4.54%, was +6.54%) on a -4.18% single-day drop — the largest single-day decline of any name in this scan (CLSK's +4.95% was the largest move overall, but the only positive one) — and its 3-month print deepened further to -47.56% from -46.69%. COIN's 30-day print worsened to -11.21% from -3.61%, undoing last scan's post-crash bounce. Both remain death-crossed and in collapse regime; as risk-appetite bellwethers, both point the same direction as BTC's own cooling this scan — down, not sideways.

Key Levels

Support shelves are only populated for five names this scan: LINK $8.32, MARA $8.41, RIOT $17.95, CLSK $11.58, BITQ $21.89 — each sits close under current price, making them the nearest technical floors in the equities/coin tiers with a shelf on record. DOT's -84.12% and ADA's -82.08% off their 52-week highs remain the widest drawdowns in the coin tier. MARA's -60.72% is the deepest in the equities tier outside MSTR (-74.51%) and COIN (-61.73%); RIOT's -36.64% is the narrowest.

Risk Gauge (RSI extremes, correlation to risk assets)

No name in this universe is RSI-oversold (<30) or RSI-overbought (>70) this scan — the extremes from last scan's ADA print (71.4) resolved back to neutral (49.4). MARA (34.4) and XRP (35.1) sit closest to the oversold line; LINK (64.6) sits closest to overbought. This crypto.json summary carries no cross-asset field, so a direct correlation-to-equities read isn't computable from this data; reading crypto purely as its own risk-appetite gauge, the uniform cooling across BTC, the ETF proxies, and both equity bellwethers (MSTR, COIN) this scan reads as a broad pullback in risk appetite from last scan's genuine risk-on read — not a capitulation (no oversold prints), but a clear reversal of direction.


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-08 → 2026-08-14)

Change Read
BTC's RSI cooled sharply — 55.3→41.7, 30D flipped +2.93%→-2.92% Price fell from $65,044.46 to $62,819.85; regime label held at downtrend but momentum clearly reversed
IBIT/GBTC/BITO regime downgraded — downtrend→collapse Undoes last scan's structural upgrade; ETHE was the one proxy to hold its label
ADA fell out of overbought — RSI 71.4→49.4, 7D +17.65%→-10.00% Confirms last scan's flagged "don't chase" watch item
LINK became the standout riser — regime downtrend→pullback, RSI 52.4→64.6 Strongest positive move in the coin tier this scan
XRP regime downgraded — downtrend→collapse, 30D -3.67%→-9.91% Continues its separate weak-signal track flagged last scan
MSTR's 30-day print flipped back negative — +6.54%→-4.54% Reverses last scan's stabilization; -4.18% single-day drop was the largest decline in this scan (CLSK's +4.95% was the largest move overall)
COIN's 30-day print worsened — -3.61%→-11.21% Undoes last scan's post-crash bounce
MARA continued deteriorating — 30D -16.06%→-25.14% Confirms last scan's flagged divergence; deepest 30D print of any name this scan

Entry Zones

Ticker Price Zone RSI Setup
MARA $9.20 Avoid until it stabilizes 34.4 Deepest 30D print in the universe, still deteriorating, closest to oversold
XRP-USD $1.00 Watch for regime to stabilize 35.1 Downgraded to collapse, 30D worsened to -9.91%
BTC-USD $62,819.85 Watch for the downtrend regime to hold 41.7 RSI cooled sharply; 30D flipped negative
MSTR $93.04 Watch for the reversal to stop 42.5 30D flipped back negative after one scan of stabilization
LINK-USD $8.97 Watch for a second confirming print 64.6 Only coin with an upgraded regime this scan

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
⚠️ REGIME DOWNGRADED XRP-USD, IBIT, GBTC, BITO Structural deterioration from downtrend back to collapse
🔍 REGIME UPGRADED LINK-USD Only name moving the other direction this scan, downtrend to pullback
⚠️ REVERSAL UNDONE MSTR, COIN Both gave back last scan's stabilization — 30D flipped or worsened
⚠️ CONTINUED DIVERGING WEAK MARA Deepest 30D print of any name, still worsening
🔍 RESOLVED FROM OVERBOUGHT ADA-USD RSI fell from 71.4 back to neutral, as flagged last scan
🔍 NO CLEAR SIGNAL ETH-USD, SOL-USD, DOGE-USD, AVAX-USD, DOT-USD, ETHE, RIOT, CLSK, BITQ Held regime labels; modest or mixed moves tracking the broader tape

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
Whether BTC's RSI keeps cooling toward oversold (<30) Currently at 41.7 after a sharp drop from 55.3; no coin is oversold yet
Whether IBIT/GBTC/BITO's regime downgrade extends to ETHE ETHE was the one proxy that held its downtrend label this scan
LINK's next print Only regime upgrade this scan — a second confirming print would resolve whether it's a genuine divergence or a one-off
MSTR and COIN's next prints Both reversed last scan's stabilization; watch for whether the reversal continues or stalls
MARA's continued divergence from RIOT and CLSK Deepest 30D print in the universe and still widening, while the rest of the miner basket held its regime labels
Whether XRP's regime downgrade to collapse deepens or stabilizes 30D widened to -9.91% from -3.67%, its second consecutive scan of separate weak-signal behavior

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/regime): pre-computed summary, all tiers on the shared 2026-08-14 close — crypto.
  • Prior scan for comparison: 2026-08-08-crypto-scan.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.