Crypto Scan — August 28, 2026 (uniform close, coins/ETFs/equities all as of the 2026 08 28 close)

Scan

Crypto Scan — August 28, 2026 (uniform close, coins/ETFs/equities all as of the 2026 08 28 close)

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 46 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusconfirmedprior scanresearch/scans/2026-08-22-crypto-scan.md

The euphoric melt-up flagged last scan cooled hard and uniformly across the entire coin tier — DOGE's RSI collapsed from the most extreme reading tracked in this window (95.7) to 52.8, XRP from 86.8 to 64.4, and ADA and DOGE both fell back below their 200-day, downgraded from parabolic all the way to downtrend. But read against the one-year window, this reads as a cooldown from an extreme, not a renewed crash: BTC held its 200-day cushion (+11.6%, was +12.1%) and its one-year deficit stayed essentially flat (-28.57%, was -28.55%) — still the least-damaged asset in the coin tier by a wide margin. Every coin's one-year return stays negative (BTC -28.57%, ETH -44.78%, SOL -48.47%, XRP -50.36%, ADA -75.31%, DOGE -61.9%, AVAX -68.99%, DOT -77.27%, LINK -51.12%) and alpha1y stays negative across the board — the melt-up cooled without repairing a year of underperformance. A broad, synchronized single-day pullback hit the entire complex on this scan's final session — BTC -3.67%, ETH -3.44%, SOL -5.23%, DOGE -11.11%, MSTR -7.34%, COIN -6.33%, RIOT -9.05%, CLSK -9.96%, MARA -10.11% — this desk checked the news receipts for MSTR and COIN (both fetched within the prior 24-72 hours, ok, not stale); neither surfaced a name-specific negative catalyst, consistent with a broad risk-off day rather than a single-name event. The miner cohort's divergence from last scan partially resolved: RIOT's 30-day print improved to +4.11% from -15.18%, no longer the standout laggard, while MARA's regime was downgraded further to collapse (30D +6.17%, vs-SMA200 flipped negative to -2.8% from +1.5%). MSTR's 200-day cushion narrowed sharply toward a flip (-9.7%, was -17.2%) even as its price fell -7.34% on the final session — a genuine improvement in the medium-term trend colliding with a sharp single-day drop.

All entries in this scan carry a uniform 2026-08-28 close — coins, spot ETFs, and crypto equities alike — resolving the split-basis flag from the prior scan (crypto trades weekends; that scan's ETF/equity leg was still on the prior Friday's close). Source: crypto. Prior scan: 2026-08-22-crypto-scan (2026-08-22 coins / 2026-08-21 ETFs and equities — split basis).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 A broad, uniform cooldown from last scan's euphoric melt-up — every coin's RSI fell sharply, two coins (ADA, DOGE) flipped back below their 200-day, but BTC's long-horizon damage stayed the shallowest in the tier and didn't widen
Key insight This scan mirrors last scan's story in reverse: nearly every coin's RSI cooled and two regime labels downgraded hard (ADA/DOGE parabolic→downtrend), but the one-year read barely moved — this remains a short-term reversal inside a still-damaged longer trend, not confirmation the trend has turned either way. The synchronized final-session drop across coins, miners, and MSTR/COIN together is the clearest single new signal this cycle

Price Table

Coins (2026-08-28 close)

Ticker Price RSI 1D 7D 30D 1Y vs 52wk High vs SMA200 Regime Note
BTC-USD $77,315.16 68.9 -3.67% -1.3% +20.98% -28.57% -38.74% +11.6% pullback Cooled from RSI 81.3; smallest one-year deficit in the coin tier, unchanged
ETH-USD $2,424.10 68.5 -3.44% -3.63% +27.01% -44.78% -49.11% +20.1% pullback Cooled from RSI 79.5
SOL-USD $103.50 73.6 -5.23% +10.52% +40.63% -48.47% -59.12% +26.9% pullback Still overbought but off RSI 83.7; one-year improved from -52.93%
XRP-USD $1.38 64.4 -4.83% -4.83% +28.97% -50.36% -56.6% +8.2% pullback Cooled sharply from RSI 86.8, last scan's largest 7-day mover
ADA-USD $0.20 52.4 -4.76% -13.04% +25% -75.31% -78.95% -9.8% downtrend Fell back below its 200-day; downgraded from `parabolic`
DOGE-USD $0.08 52.8 -11.11% -11.11% +14.29% -61.9% -74.19% -9.5% downtrend Most extreme RSI cooldown in this scan (95.7→52.8); fell back below its 200-day
AVAX-USD $7.26 56.8 -3.59% -7.4% +13.08% -68.99% -79.78% -10.7% downtrend Only coin still below its 200-day for a second straight scan
DOT-USD $0.85 51.9 -3.41% -9.57% +11.84% -77.27% -82.55% -24.6% downtrend Widest one-year deficit and 200-day gap in the coin tier, both widened
LINK-USD $11.35 65.3 -5.02% -5.42% +36.42% -51.12% -56.18% +27.8% pullback Widest 200-day cushion in the coin tier; downgraded from `parabolic`

Spot ETFs (2026-08-28 close)

Ticker Price RSI 7D 30D 1Y vs 52wk High vs SMA200 Regime Note
IBIT $43.90 70.9 +0.62% +21.94% -30.95% -38.87% +2.9% pullback Cooled from RSI 79.5
GBTC $60.01 71.1 +0.64% +21.97% -31.77% -39.46% +2.5% pullback Cooled from RSI 79.5
ETHE $19.62 76.1 +0.82% +28.91% -46.42% -49.91% +4.3% parabolic Still the highest RSI in the ETF tier; cushion widened
BITO $10.45 70.3 +0.48% +21.37% -48.4% -50.02% -0.5% downtrend Cushion nearly flat, improved from -2.2%

Crypto Equities (2026-08-28 close)

Ticker Price RSI 1D 7D 30D 1Y vs 52wk High vs SMA200 GC/DC Regime Note
MSTR $127.31 63 -7.34% +6.76% +36.41% -62.43% -65.14% -9.7% DC downtrend 200-day cushion narrowed sharply from -17.2% despite the sharp single-day drop
COIN $178.64 56.8 -6.33% -4.24% +11.59% -42.09% -55.58% -8.6% DC downtrend Cooled from RSI 67.0; one-year deficit widened slightly
MARA $10.67 47.9 -10.11% -5.5% +6.17% -33.15% -54.5% -2.8% GC collapse Regime downgraded further; flipped below its 200-day
RIOT $18.99 43.4 -9.05% -4.19% +4.11% +37.61% -37.37% +2.5% GC pullback 30-day print improved sharply from -15.18%; no longer the standout laggard
CLSK $11.66 44 -9.96% -2.75% -2.91% +22.09% -50.61% -7% GC collapse Still negative on 30D but improved from -21.85%
BITQ $24.67 52.9 -5.98% -2.03% +15.55% +21.47% -21.56% +7.4% GC pullback Cooled from RSI 59.4, still positive on the year
HOOD $104.26 54.1 -5.01% -3.58% +16.05% +0.55% -32.24% +9.3% GC pullback New addition to this tracked universe this scan

Tier Analysis

BTC Dominance & Momentum (is it alt season?)

Last scan's alt-season rotation reversed uniformly this scan: every coin's 7-day return flipped negative or sharply decelerated — ADA -13.04% (was +27.78%), DOGE -11.11% (was +28.57%), XRP -4.83% (was +51.0%), LINK -5.42% (was +24.21%), AVAX -7.4% (was +19.59%), DOT -9.57% (was +22.37%), SOL +10.52% (was +25.6%, still positive but decelerating sharply), ETH -3.63% (was +29.6%). BTC's own 7-day print is -1.3% (was +22.71%) — smaller in magnitude than most of the alt cooldowns, meaning BTC's relative resilience this cycle mirrors last cycle's relative-outperformance-on-the-downside pattern. On the one-year window, BTC's -28.57% deficit remains the smallest in the entire coin tier by a wide margin, essentially unchanged from -28.55% — every alt still underperforms BTC by a wide margin over the past year (DOT -77.27%, ADA -75.31%, AVAX -68.99%, DOGE -61.9%, LINK -51.12%, XRP -50.36%, SOL -48.47%, ETH -44.78%). This scan's uniform cooldown is a mirror of last scan's uniform melt-up — the underlying one-year relationship between BTC and the alts didn't change.

ETF Flows

All four spot-BTC/ETH proxies (IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO) cooled in lockstep with their underlying coins — no regime downgrades this scan (all held their upgraded pullback/parabolic/downtrend labels from last scan), tracking price direction rather than showing an independent divergence. As in prior scans, this JSON carries no independent flow data — the ETF layer remains a pure price-tracking proxy, and its uniform cooldown this scan simply confirms the coins' own reversal, not an independent signal.

Miner Health

The miner cohort's divergence from last scan — where RIOT and CLSK fell while the rest of the universe melted up — partially resolved this scan. RIOT ($18.99, RSI 43.4) saw its 30-day print improve sharply to +4.11% from -15.18%, no longer the standout laggard it was last scan, though it fell -9.05% on the final session alongside the rest of the complex. CLSK ($11.66, RSI 44) improved its 30-day print to -2.91% from -21.85% but stayed negative, with its regime still collapse. MARA ($10.67, RSI 47.9) moved the other direction — its regime was downgraded further to collapse and its vs-SMA200 flipped negative to -2.8% from +1.5%, even as its 30-day print turned positive (+6.17%, was -9.27%). BITQ ($24.67, RSI 52.9) cooled from last scan's improvement but stayed positive on the year (+21.47%). All four miners retain their golden cross on the long-run signal; RIOT, CLSK, and BITQ all carry positive one-year returns (+37.61%/+22.09%/+21.47%) — still a genuinely different long-horizon picture than the coins themselves, where every name is negative on the year.

MSTR/COIN As Bellwethers

Both fell sharply on the final session — MSTR -7.34%, COIN -6.33% — alongside the rest of the complex, but their medium-term pictures diverged. MSTR's vs-SMA200 cushion narrowed sharply to -9.7% from -17.2%, a genuine improvement in the medium-term trend even as the single-day drop was the sharpest of the two names; its 30-day print stayed strongly positive at +36.41% (was +19.24%). COIN's 200-day gap widened slightly to -8.6% (was -6.1%) and its 30-day print cooled to +11.59% (was +12.26%). Both remain death-crossed and deeply negative on the one-year window (MSTR -62.43%, COIN -42.09%). This desk checked both names' news receipts this session (MSTR fetched 2026-08-27, ok, not stale; COIN fetched 2026-07-31, ok, not stale but older) — MSTR's most recent headline is a bullish "cash war chest" piece dated the day before this session's drop, and neither pull surfaces a name-specific negative catalyst for the Friday session's decline.

Key Levels

Support shelves on record this scan: BTC $70,582.20 (unchanged), ETH $2,252.87 (down from $2,296.50), SOL $88.53 (unchanged), AVAX $6.32 (unchanged), LINK $8.99 (down from $9.18), IBIT $40.15 (unchanged), GBTC $55.13 (unchanged), ETHE $18.50 (down from $18.73), BITO $8.69 (unchanged), MSTR $99.52 (roughly flat vs. $99.67), COIN $166.51 (down from $177.47), MARA $9.81 (down from $10.51), RIOT $18.17 (down from $18.74 — price at $18.99 now sits closer to this shelf than last scan), CLSK $10.28 (down from $11.58), BITQ $23.74 (unchanged) — XRP, ADA, DOGE, and DOT still carry no support shelf on record. DOT's -82.55% and ADA's -78.95% off their 52-week highs remain the widest drawdowns in the coin tier. RIOT's price sits within roughly 4% of its own newly-lowered shelf, the closest of any equity in this universe.

Risk Gauge (RSI extremes, correlation to risk assets)

No coin, ETF, or equity in this universe is oversold this scan — the RSI floor across the entire universe is DOT at 51.9 — but the near-universal overbought reading flagged last scan (DOGE at 95.7) has cooled sharply across the board, with only ETHE (76.1) and SOL (73.6) still meaningfully extended. Read purely as a risk-appetite gauge, this reads as a broad cooldown from euphoria rather than a fresh risk-off regime — RSI readings across the coin tier now sit in a 52-74 range rather than the 76-96 range flagged last scan. The synchronized final-session decline across coins, miners, and MSTR/COIN together (all down 3-11% on the day) is the more informative signal this scan: this desk checked news for the largest single-day movers (MSTR, COIN) and found nothing name-specific, consistent with a broad risk-off session rather than a name-specific event. This crypto.json summary carries no cross-asset field, so a direct correlation-to-equities read isn't computable from this data.


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-21/22 → 2026-08-28)

Change Read
Every coin's RSI cooled sharply — DOGE 95.7→52.8 (most extreme reading tracked in this window, now unwound), XRP 86.8→64.4, ADA 76.4→52.4 The euphoric melt-up flagged last scan reversed uniformly across the coin tier
ADA and DOGE both fell back below their 200-day — regime downgraded `parabolic`→`downtrend` for both The sharpest structural downgrades this scan
BTC's long-horizon damage held essentially flat — one-year -28.55%→-28.57%, vs-SMA200 +12.1%→+11.6% Still the shallowest one-year deficit in the coin tier by a wide margin
All entries now share a uniform 2026-08-28 close Resolves the split-basis flag from the prior scan
RIOT's 30-day print improved sharply — -15.18%→+4.11% No longer the standout laggard from last scan's miner divergence
MARA's regime downgraded further to `collapse` — vs-SMA200 flipped to -2.8% from +1.5% The miner divergence didn't fully resolve — it shifted which name is weakest
MSTR's 200-day cushion narrowed sharply — -17.2%→-9.7% Even as MSTR fell -7.34% on the final session alongside the broader complex
A synchronized final-session pullback hit the entire complex — BTC -3.67%, DOGE -11.11%, MSTR -7.34%, RIOT -9.05%, CLSK -9.96%, MARA -10.11% Checked news for MSTR/COIN; no name-specific catalyst found — consistent with a broad risk-off day

Entry Zones

Ticker Price Zone RSI 1Y Setup
DOGE-USD $0.08 Cooled sharply off extreme, still below its 200-day 52.8 -61.9% Fell from the most extreme RSI tracked in this window to the coin tier's middle; regime downgraded to `downtrend`
BTC-USD $77,315.16 Cooled but still overbought, watch the shelf 68.9 -28.57% Smallest one-year deficit of any coin, unchanged this scan; support shelf at $70,582.20
RIOT / MARA $18.99 / $10.67 Diverging within the miner cohort 43.4 / 47.9 +37.6% / -33.2% RIOT's 30-day print improved sharply while MARA's regime was downgraded further
MSTR / COIN $127.31 / $178.64 Confirm the drop before treating as a trend change 63 / 56.8 -62.4% / -42.1% Both fell sharply on the final session; MSTR's 200-day cushion improved even as the price dropped

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔍 COOLED FROM EXTREME — VERIFY DURABILITY BTC-USD, ETH-USD, SOL-USD, XRP-USD, LINK-USD, IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO RSI fell sharply from last scan's near-universal overbought reading; one-year deficits held roughly flat
⚠️ DOWNGRADED — BELOW THE 200-DAY ADA-USD, DOGE-USD Both fell back below their 200-day this scan, regime downgraded from `parabolic` to `downtrend`
⚠️ WIDEST LONG-HORIZON DAMAGE, UNCHANGED DOT-USD, AVAX-USD Still the deepest one-year deficits and 200-day gaps in the coin tier
🔍 MINER DIVERGENCE SHIFTED, NOT RESOLVED RIOT, MARA, CLSK RIOT improved sharply, MARA downgraded further, CLSK improved but stayed negative
🔍 BELLWETHERS FELL SHARPLY, MEDIUM-TERM PICTURE MIXED MSTR, COIN Both dropped 6-7% on the final session; MSTR's 200-day cushion improved even as COIN's widened slightly
🔍 IMPROVED, POSITIVE YEAR BITQ, HOOD Both carry positive one-year returns unlike the coins they're tied to

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
Whether BTC holds its 200-day cushion (+11.6%) and its support shelf ($70,582.20) through this cooldown The level that separates a healthy pullback from a fuller reversal
Whether ADA and DOGE reclaim their 200-day or the downtrend deepens Both flipped from `parabolic` to `downtrend` this scan — the sharpest structural change tracked
Whether Friday's synchronized pullback extends or was a one-day risk-off event This desk found no name-specific catalyst for MSTR/COIN's drop; a repeat next scan would be more informative
Whether RIOT's improved 30-day print holds or MARA's downgrade spreads to the rest of the miner cohort The miner divergence shifted rather than resolved this scan
Whether MSTR's narrowing 200-day cushion (-9.7%, was -17.2%) continues toward a flip A genuine medium-term improvement running underneath a sharp single-day drop
Whether the coin tier's cooled RSI readings (52-74 range) stabilize there or continue falling toward oversold No coin or equity in this universe is currently oversold

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/regime/change1y/alpha1y): pre-computed summary — crypto; all entries as-of the 2026-08-28 close.
  • MSTR/COIN news check: latest (fetched 2026-08-27, ok, not stale) and latest (fetched 2026-07-31, ok, not stale) — neither surfaces a name-specific catalyst for the final session's decline.
  • Prior scan for comparison: 2026-08-22-crypto-scan.
9 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.