Crypto Scan — August 28, 2026 (uniform close, coins/ETFs/equities all as of the 2026 08 28 close)
Crypto Scan — August 28, 2026 (uniform close, coins/ETFs/equities all as of the 2026 08 28 close)
The euphoric melt-up flagged last scan cooled hard and uniformly across the entire coin tier — DOGE's RSI collapsed from the most extreme reading tracked in this window (95.7) to 52.8, XRP from 86.8 to 64.4, and ADA and DOGE both fell back below their 200-day, downgraded from parabolic all the way to downtrend. But read against the one-year window, this reads as a cooldown from an extreme, not a renewed crash: BTC held its 200-day cushion (+11.6%, was +12.1%) and its one-year deficit stayed essentially flat (-28.57%, was -28.55%) — still the least-damaged asset in the coin tier by a wide margin. Every coin's one-year return stays negative (BTC -28.57%, ETH -44.78%, SOL -48.47%, XRP -50.36%, ADA -75.31%, DOGE -61.9%, AVAX -68.99%, DOT -77.27%, LINK -51.12%) and alpha1y stays negative across the board — the melt-up cooled without repairing a year of underperformance. A broad, synchronized single-day pullback hit the entire complex on this scan's final session — BTC -3.67%, ETH -3.44%, SOL -5.23%, DOGE -11.11%, MSTR -7.34%, COIN -6.33%, RIOT -9.05%, CLSK -9.96%, MARA -10.11% — this desk checked the news receipts for MSTR and COIN (both fetched within the prior 24-72 hours, ok, not stale); neither surfaced a name-specific negative catalyst, consistent with a broad risk-off day rather than a single-name event. The miner cohort's divergence from last scan partially resolved: RIOT's 30-day print improved to +4.11% from -15.18%, no longer the standout laggard, while MARA's regime was downgraded further to collapse (30D +6.17%, vs-SMA200 flipped negative to -2.8% from +1.5%). MSTR's 200-day cushion narrowed sharply toward a flip (-9.7%, was -17.2%) even as its price fell -7.34% on the final session — a genuine improvement in the medium-term trend colliding with a sharp single-day drop.
All entries in this scan carry a uniform 2026-08-28 close — coins, spot ETFs, and crypto equities alike — resolving the split-basis flag from the prior scan (crypto trades weekends; that scan's ETF/equity leg was still on the prior Friday's close). Source: crypto. Prior scan: 2026-08-22-crypto-scan (2026-08-22 coins / 2026-08-21 ETFs and equities — split basis).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 A broad, uniform cooldown from last scan's euphoric melt-up — every coin's RSI fell sharply, two coins (ADA, DOGE) flipped back below their 200-day, but BTC's long-horizon damage stayed the shallowest in the tier and didn't widen |
| Key insight | This scan mirrors last scan's story in reverse: nearly every coin's RSI cooled and two regime labels downgraded hard (ADA/DOGE parabolic→downtrend), but the one-year read barely moved — this remains a short-term reversal inside a still-damaged longer trend, not confirmation the trend has turned either way. The synchronized final-session drop across coins, miners, and MSTR/COIN together is the clearest single new signal this cycle |
Price Table
Coins (2026-08-28 close)
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 1D | 7D | 30D | 1Y | vs 52wk High | vs SMA200 | Regime | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC-USD | $77,315.16 | 68.9 | -3.67% | -1.3% | +20.98% | -28.57% | -38.74% | +11.6% | pullback | Cooled from RSI 81.3; smallest one-year deficit in the coin tier, unchanged |
| ETH-USD | $2,424.10 | 68.5 | -3.44% | -3.63% | +27.01% | -44.78% | -49.11% | +20.1% | pullback | Cooled from RSI 79.5 |
| SOL-USD | $103.50 | 73.6 | -5.23% | +10.52% | +40.63% | -48.47% | -59.12% | +26.9% | pullback | Still overbought but off RSI 83.7; one-year improved from -52.93% |
| XRP-USD | $1.38 | 64.4 | -4.83% | -4.83% | +28.97% | -50.36% | -56.6% | +8.2% | pullback | Cooled sharply from RSI 86.8, last scan's largest 7-day mover |
| ADA-USD | $0.20 | 52.4 | -4.76% | -13.04% | +25% | -75.31% | -78.95% | -9.8% | downtrend | Fell back below its 200-day; downgraded from `parabolic` |
| DOGE-USD | $0.08 | 52.8 | -11.11% | -11.11% | +14.29% | -61.9% | -74.19% | -9.5% | downtrend | Most extreme RSI cooldown in this scan (95.7→52.8); fell back below its 200-day |
| AVAX-USD | $7.26 | 56.8 | -3.59% | -7.4% | +13.08% | -68.99% | -79.78% | -10.7% | downtrend | Only coin still below its 200-day for a second straight scan |
| DOT-USD | $0.85 | 51.9 | -3.41% | -9.57% | +11.84% | -77.27% | -82.55% | -24.6% | downtrend | Widest one-year deficit and 200-day gap in the coin tier, both widened |
| LINK-USD | $11.35 | 65.3 | -5.02% | -5.42% | +36.42% | -51.12% | -56.18% | +27.8% | pullback | Widest 200-day cushion in the coin tier; downgraded from `parabolic` |
Spot ETFs (2026-08-28 close)
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | 1Y | vs 52wk High | vs SMA200 | Regime | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBIT | $43.90 | 70.9 | +0.62% | +21.94% | -30.95% | -38.87% | +2.9% | pullback | Cooled from RSI 79.5 |
| GBTC | $60.01 | 71.1 | +0.64% | +21.97% | -31.77% | -39.46% | +2.5% | pullback | Cooled from RSI 79.5 |
| ETHE | $19.62 | 76.1 | +0.82% | +28.91% | -46.42% | -49.91% | +4.3% | parabolic | Still the highest RSI in the ETF tier; cushion widened |
| BITO | $10.45 | 70.3 | +0.48% | +21.37% | -48.4% | -50.02% | -0.5% | downtrend | Cushion nearly flat, improved from -2.2% |
Crypto Equities (2026-08-28 close)
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 1D | 7D | 30D | 1Y | vs 52wk High | vs SMA200 | GC/DC | Regime | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR | $127.31 | 63 | -7.34% | +6.76% | +36.41% | -62.43% | -65.14% | -9.7% | DC | downtrend | 200-day cushion narrowed sharply from -17.2% despite the sharp single-day drop |
| COIN | $178.64 | 56.8 | -6.33% | -4.24% | +11.59% | -42.09% | -55.58% | -8.6% | DC | downtrend | Cooled from RSI 67.0; one-year deficit widened slightly |
| MARA | $10.67 | 47.9 | -10.11% | -5.5% | +6.17% | -33.15% | -54.5% | -2.8% | GC | collapse | Regime downgraded further; flipped below its 200-day |
| RIOT | $18.99 | 43.4 | -9.05% | -4.19% | +4.11% | +37.61% | -37.37% | +2.5% | GC | pullback | 30-day print improved sharply from -15.18%; no longer the standout laggard |
| CLSK | $11.66 | 44 | -9.96% | -2.75% | -2.91% | +22.09% | -50.61% | -7% | GC | collapse | Still negative on 30D but improved from -21.85% |
| BITQ | $24.67 | 52.9 | -5.98% | -2.03% | +15.55% | +21.47% | -21.56% | +7.4% | GC | pullback | Cooled from RSI 59.4, still positive on the year |
| HOOD | $104.26 | 54.1 | -5.01% | -3.58% | +16.05% | +0.55% | -32.24% | +9.3% | GC | pullback | New addition to this tracked universe this scan |
Tier Analysis
BTC Dominance & Momentum (is it alt season?)
Last scan's alt-season rotation reversed uniformly this scan: every coin's 7-day return flipped negative or sharply decelerated — ADA -13.04% (was +27.78%), DOGE -11.11% (was +28.57%), XRP -4.83% (was +51.0%), LINK -5.42% (was +24.21%), AVAX -7.4% (was +19.59%), DOT -9.57% (was +22.37%), SOL +10.52% (was +25.6%, still positive but decelerating sharply), ETH -3.63% (was +29.6%). BTC's own 7-day print is -1.3% (was +22.71%) — smaller in magnitude than most of the alt cooldowns, meaning BTC's relative resilience this cycle mirrors last cycle's relative-outperformance-on-the-downside pattern. On the one-year window, BTC's -28.57% deficit remains the smallest in the entire coin tier by a wide margin, essentially unchanged from -28.55% — every alt still underperforms BTC by a wide margin over the past year (DOT -77.27%, ADA -75.31%, AVAX -68.99%, DOGE -61.9%, LINK -51.12%, XRP -50.36%, SOL -48.47%, ETH -44.78%). This scan's uniform cooldown is a mirror of last scan's uniform melt-up — the underlying one-year relationship between BTC and the alts didn't change.
ETF Flows
All four spot-BTC/ETH proxies (IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO) cooled in lockstep with their underlying coins — no regime downgrades this scan (all held their upgraded pullback/parabolic/downtrend labels from last scan), tracking price direction rather than showing an independent divergence. As in prior scans, this JSON carries no independent flow data — the ETF layer remains a pure price-tracking proxy, and its uniform cooldown this scan simply confirms the coins' own reversal, not an independent signal.
Miner Health
The miner cohort's divergence from last scan — where RIOT and CLSK fell while the rest of the universe melted up — partially resolved this scan. RIOT ($18.99, RSI 43.4) saw its 30-day print improve sharply to +4.11% from -15.18%, no longer the standout laggard it was last scan, though it fell -9.05% on the final session alongside the rest of the complex. CLSK ($11.66, RSI 44) improved its 30-day print to -2.91% from -21.85% but stayed negative, with its regime still collapse. MARA ($10.67, RSI 47.9) moved the other direction — its regime was downgraded further to collapse and its vs-SMA200 flipped negative to -2.8% from +1.5%, even as its 30-day print turned positive (+6.17%, was -9.27%). BITQ ($24.67, RSI 52.9) cooled from last scan's improvement but stayed positive on the year (+21.47%). All four miners retain their golden cross on the long-run signal; RIOT, CLSK, and BITQ all carry positive one-year returns (+37.61%/+22.09%/+21.47%) — still a genuinely different long-horizon picture than the coins themselves, where every name is negative on the year.
MSTR/COIN As Bellwethers
Both fell sharply on the final session — MSTR -7.34%, COIN -6.33% — alongside the rest of the complex, but their medium-term pictures diverged. MSTR's vs-SMA200 cushion narrowed sharply to -9.7% from -17.2%, a genuine improvement in the medium-term trend even as the single-day drop was the sharpest of the two names; its 30-day print stayed strongly positive at +36.41% (was +19.24%). COIN's 200-day gap widened slightly to -8.6% (was -6.1%) and its 30-day print cooled to +11.59% (was +12.26%). Both remain death-crossed and deeply negative on the one-year window (MSTR -62.43%, COIN -42.09%). This desk checked both names' news receipts this session (MSTR fetched 2026-08-27, ok, not stale; COIN fetched 2026-07-31, ok, not stale but older) — MSTR's most recent headline is a bullish "cash war chest" piece dated the day before this session's drop, and neither pull surfaces a name-specific negative catalyst for the Friday session's decline.
Key Levels
Support shelves on record this scan: BTC $70,582.20 (unchanged), ETH $2,252.87 (down from $2,296.50), SOL $88.53 (unchanged), AVAX $6.32 (unchanged), LINK $8.99 (down from $9.18), IBIT $40.15 (unchanged), GBTC $55.13 (unchanged), ETHE $18.50 (down from $18.73), BITO $8.69 (unchanged), MSTR $99.52 (roughly flat vs. $99.67), COIN $166.51 (down from $177.47), MARA $9.81 (down from $10.51), RIOT $18.17 (down from $18.74 — price at $18.99 now sits closer to this shelf than last scan), CLSK $10.28 (down from $11.58), BITQ $23.74 (unchanged) — XRP, ADA, DOGE, and DOT still carry no support shelf on record. DOT's -82.55% and ADA's -78.95% off their 52-week highs remain the widest drawdowns in the coin tier. RIOT's price sits within roughly 4% of its own newly-lowered shelf, the closest of any equity in this universe.
Risk Gauge (RSI extremes, correlation to risk assets)
No coin, ETF, or equity in this universe is oversold this scan — the RSI floor across the entire universe is DOT at 51.9 — but the near-universal overbought reading flagged last scan (DOGE at 95.7) has cooled sharply across the board, with only ETHE (76.1) and SOL (73.6) still meaningfully extended. Read purely as a risk-appetite gauge, this reads as a broad cooldown from euphoria rather than a fresh risk-off regime — RSI readings across the coin tier now sit in a 52-74 range rather than the 76-96 range flagged last scan. The synchronized final-session decline across coins, miners, and MSTR/COIN together (all down 3-11% on the day) is the more informative signal this scan: this desk checked news for the largest single-day movers (MSTR, COIN) and found nothing name-specific, consistent with a broad risk-off session rather than a name-specific event. This crypto.json summary carries no cross-asset field, so a direct correlation-to-equities read isn't computable from this data.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-21/22 → 2026-08-28)
| Change | Read |
|---|---|
| Every coin's RSI cooled sharply — DOGE 95.7→52.8 (most extreme reading tracked in this window, now unwound), XRP 86.8→64.4, ADA 76.4→52.4 | The euphoric melt-up flagged last scan reversed uniformly across the coin tier |
| ADA and DOGE both fell back below their 200-day — regime downgraded `parabolic`→`downtrend` for both | The sharpest structural downgrades this scan |
| BTC's long-horizon damage held essentially flat — one-year -28.55%→-28.57%, vs-SMA200 +12.1%→+11.6% | Still the shallowest one-year deficit in the coin tier by a wide margin |
| All entries now share a uniform 2026-08-28 close | Resolves the split-basis flag from the prior scan |
| RIOT's 30-day print improved sharply — -15.18%→+4.11% | No longer the standout laggard from last scan's miner divergence |
| MARA's regime downgraded further to `collapse` — vs-SMA200 flipped to -2.8% from +1.5% | The miner divergence didn't fully resolve — it shifted which name is weakest |
| MSTR's 200-day cushion narrowed sharply — -17.2%→-9.7% | Even as MSTR fell -7.34% on the final session alongside the broader complex |
| A synchronized final-session pullback hit the entire complex — BTC -3.67%, DOGE -11.11%, MSTR -7.34%, RIOT -9.05%, CLSK -9.96%, MARA -10.11% | Checked news for MSTR/COIN; no name-specific catalyst found — consistent with a broad risk-off day |
Entry Zones
| Ticker | Price | Zone | RSI | 1Y | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE-USD | $0.08 | Cooled sharply off extreme, still below its 200-day | 52.8 | -61.9% | Fell from the most extreme RSI tracked in this window to the coin tier's middle; regime downgraded to `downtrend` |
| BTC-USD | $77,315.16 | Cooled but still overbought, watch the shelf | 68.9 | -28.57% | Smallest one-year deficit of any coin, unchanged this scan; support shelf at $70,582.20 |
| RIOT / MARA | $18.99 / $10.67 | Diverging within the miner cohort | 43.4 / 47.9 | +37.6% / -33.2% | RIOT's 30-day print improved sharply while MARA's regime was downgraded further |
| MSTR / COIN | $127.31 / $178.64 | Confirm the drop before treating as a trend change | 63 / 56.8 | -62.4% / -42.1% | Both fell sharply on the final session; MSTR's 200-day cushion improved even as the price dropped |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔍 COOLED FROM EXTREME — VERIFY DURABILITY | BTC-USD, ETH-USD, SOL-USD, XRP-USD, LINK-USD, IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO | RSI fell sharply from last scan's near-universal overbought reading; one-year deficits held roughly flat |
| ⚠️ DOWNGRADED — BELOW THE 200-DAY | ADA-USD, DOGE-USD | Both fell back below their 200-day this scan, regime downgraded from `parabolic` to `downtrend` |
| ⚠️ WIDEST LONG-HORIZON DAMAGE, UNCHANGED | DOT-USD, AVAX-USD | Still the deepest one-year deficits and 200-day gaps in the coin tier |
| 🔍 MINER DIVERGENCE SHIFTED, NOT RESOLVED | RIOT, MARA, CLSK | RIOT improved sharply, MARA downgraded further, CLSK improved but stayed negative |
| 🔍 BELLWETHERS FELL SHARPLY, MEDIUM-TERM PICTURE MIXED | MSTR, COIN | Both dropped 6-7% on the final session; MSTR's 200-day cushion improved even as COIN's widened slightly |
| 🔍 IMPROVED, POSITIVE YEAR | BITQ, HOOD | Both carry positive one-year returns unlike the coins they're tied to |
What To Watch Next
| Watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Whether BTC holds its 200-day cushion (+11.6%) and its support shelf ($70,582.20) through this cooldown | The level that separates a healthy pullback from a fuller reversal |
| Whether ADA and DOGE reclaim their 200-day or the downtrend deepens | Both flipped from `parabolic` to `downtrend` this scan — the sharpest structural change tracked |
| Whether Friday's synchronized pullback extends or was a one-day risk-off event | This desk found no name-specific catalyst for MSTR/COIN's drop; a repeat next scan would be more informative |
| Whether RIOT's improved 30-day print holds or MARA's downgrade spreads to the rest of the miner cohort | The miner divergence shifted rather than resolved this scan |
| Whether MSTR's narrowing 200-day cushion (-9.7%, was -17.2%) continues toward a flip | A genuine medium-term improvement running underneath a sharp single-day drop |
| Whether the coin tier's cooled RSI readings (52-74 range) stabilize there or continue falling toward oversold | No coin or equity in this universe is currently oversold |
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/regime/change1y/alpha1y): pre-computed summary — crypto; all entries as-of the 2026-08-28 close.
- MSTR/COIN news check: latest (fetched 2026-08-27, ok, not stale) and latest (fetched 2026-07-31, ok, not stale) — neither surfaces a name-specific catalyst for the final session's decline.
- Prior scan for comparison: 2026-08-22-crypto-scan.
Related
9 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.