Travel & Leisure Scan — July 24, 2026 Close

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Travel & Leisure Scan — July 24, 2026 Close

Watchlists 1
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 22 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-17-travel-leisure.md

Every single name in travel and leisure now shows a negative 30-day change — a full rotation from two scans ago, when Expedia ($EXPE), Booking Holdings ($BKNG), and Airbnb ($ABNB) were all comfortably positive. Expedia's reversal is the sharpest: it went from the sector's best 30-day performer by a wide margin (+11.57%) to -0.84%, and its death cross is now confirmed. Booking also confirmed a death cross this week and its regime classification downgraded to downtrend. On the other side of the ledger, Marriott ($MAR), Hilton ($HLT), Royal Caribbean ($RCL), and Carnival ($CCL) all posted RSI recoveries after last scan's rollover — none has turned its 30-day change positive yet, but the week-over-week bounce was broad. Airbnb had its worst week in the sector (-3.34%) but remains the group's closest name to a 52-week high.

Data as-of 2026-07-24 close (all eight tickers, current); scan run 2026-07-25. All numbers from precomputed summaries/travel-leisure.json. Prior scan: 2026-07-17-travel-leisure (2026-07-17 close).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 Every name in the group now shows a negative 30-day change — a rotation from two scans ago when Expedia, Booking, and Airbnb were all still comfortably positive — even as RSI recovered broadly across the hotel and cruise names this week.
Key insight Expedia's 30-day change flipped from +11.57% (the sector's best performer by a wide margin) to -0.84%, and its death cross is now confirmed. Meanwhile Marriott, Hilton, Royal Caribbean, and Carnival all posted RSI recoveries after last scan's rollover, though none has turned its 30-day change positive yet.

What's Going On

The sector effectively swapped leaders and laggards this week. Marriott, Hilton, Royal Caribbean, and Carnival — the four names flagged as deteriorating two scans ago — all posted meaningful RSI recoveries and, in three of four cases, positive weekly prints. None of the four has flipped its 30-day change positive yet, but the direction of travel improved across the board. At the same time, the sector's prior leaders reversed hard: Expedia's 30-day change collapsed from the best in the group to outright negative, Airbnb posted its worst week of the cluster, and Booking gave back its own recent improvement while confirming a death cross.

The net effect is that every one of the eight names in this watchlist is now negative on the 30-day measure — a state that didn't exist two scans ago, when three names were still solidly positive. Norwegian Cruise Line remains the sector's biggest laggard on distance from its 52-week high, deepening further to -31.16%. Airbnb, despite its rough week, is still the name closest to a new high at -8.82%.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (07-17 → 07-24)

  • Marriott: RSI 42.2→51.1 (back above 50), trend unchanged (weak-down), 7D -2.62%→+2.24% (turned positive), 30D -7.56%→-2.38% (improved), 52wkHi -10.89%→-11.32% (slightly wider).
  • Royal Caribbean: RSI 46.3→51.9, trend unchanged (strong-up), 7D +0.56%→+2.29% (improved), 30D -8.18%→-8.54% (roughly flat, still deeply negative), 52wkHi -21.7%→-22.67% (widened).
  • Booking: RSI 55.7→50.8, trend unchanged (weak-up), regime downgraded to downtrend, 7D +1.84%→-2.32% (reversed), 30D +5.76%→-2.09% (flipped negative), 52wkHi -21.62%→-25.44% (widened), death cross now confirmed.
  • Airbnb: RSI 53.8→46.6, trend unchanged (strong-up), 7D -1.78%→-3.34% (worst week in the sector), 30D +2.51%→-2.29% (flipped negative), 52wkHi -3.25%→-8.82% (widened, still closest to 52wk high in the group).
  • Expedia: RSI 59.2→51.5, trend unchanged (up), 7D -0.76%→-3.29% (worsened), 30D +11.57%→-0.84% (flipped negative, lost its best-in-sector crown), 52wkHi -11.53%→-15.2% (widened), death cross now confirmed.
  • Hilton: RSI 38.0→44.1 (recovery), trend unchanged (weak-down), 7D -4.22%→+1.14% (turned positive), 30D -7.89%→-5.37% (improved), 52wkHi -10.25%→-10.56% (roughly flat).
  • Carnival: RSI 42.3→45.2, trend unchanged (strong-down), regime downgraded to downtrend, 7D -1.57%→-0.3% (improved, still negative), 30D -14.45%→-8.92% (improved, still one of the worst in the sector), 52wkHi -22.39%→-25.74% (widened).
  • Norwegian Cruise Line: RSI 48.8→49.0 (roughly flat), trend unchanged (weak-up), regime unchanged (downtrend), 7D -0.76%→-0.46% (roughly flat), 30D -4.79%→-7.81% (worsened), 52wkHi -28.4%→-31.16% (widened, still the sector's biggest laggard).

How To Read The Board

RSI (Relative Strength Index) gauges how aggressively a stock has been bought or sold over roughly the past two weeks, on a 0-100 scale — under 30 signals an oversold, potentially undervalued stretch; over 70 signals overbought, extended risk; readings in between are neutral. The color icons below track that scale: green marks oversold/healthy, yellow marks neutral, orange marks approaching overbought, red marks a breakdown or extreme overbought reading. Trend reflects a stock's structural direction based on its moving averages (strong-up, weak-up, weak-down, strong-down); vs SMA20 shows how far price sits above or below its 20-day average; 52wkHi shows the distance below the stock's own one-year high — the closer to zero, the closer to a new high.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI Trend 7D% 30D% 3M% vs SMA20 52wkHi% Signal
RCL $293.54 51.9 strong-up +2.29% -8.54% +10.99% +0.1% -22.67% 🟡 RSI recovered but 30D still deeply negative
MAR $374.43 51.1 weak-down +2.24% -2.38% +2.18% +0.9% -11.32% 🟡 RSI recovered sharply, 30D improving but still negative
EXPE $259.94 51.5 up -3.29% -0.84% +3.6% -1.9% -15.2% 🔴 Lost its best-30D-in-sector crown, death cross confirmed
BKNG $177.46 50.8 weak-up -2.32% -2.09% -1.3% -1.1% -25.44% 🔴 Death cross confirmed, downgraded to downtrend regime
NCLH $19.37 49.0 weak-up -0.46% -7.81% +4.65% -1.9% -31.16% 🔴 Still the sector's biggest laggard on distance-from-high
HLT $324.97 44.1 weak-down +1.14% -5.37% -3.13% -1.4% -10.56% 🟡 RSI recovering, first positive week in a while
CCL $26.33 45.2 strong-down -0.3% -8.92% -2.48% -2.4% -25.74% 🟡 Still negative but less bad than last scan
ABNB $141.10 46.6 strong-up -3.34% -2.29% -1.2% -3.0% -8.82% 🟡 Worst week in the sector, but still closest to 52wk high

Tier Analysis

HOTELS AND CRUISE LAGGARDS BOUNCE: MAR, HLT, RCL, CCL ALL RECOVER RSI: Marriott ($374.43, RSI 51.1, was 42.2) and Hilton ($324.97, RSI 44.1, was 38.0) both posted meaningful RSI recoveries and positive weekly prints after last scan's structural downgrades — Marriott is back above RSI 50. Royal Caribbean ($293.54, RSI 51.9, was 46.3) also recovered RSI and improved its weekly print, though its 30-day change stayed roughly flat at a deep -8.54%. Carnival ($26.33, RSI 45.2, was 42.3) had a calmer week (-0.3%, was -1.57%) and its 30-day decline improved from -14.45% to -8.92%, though it remains the sector's steepest trend classification (strong-down).

THE LEADERS COOL HARD: EXPEDIA LOSES ITS BEST-30D CROWN: Expedia ($259.94, RSI 51.5, was 59.2) was the sector's standout 30-day performer last scan at +11.57%; that flipped to -0.84% this week, and its previously unresolved death cross is now confirmed. Airbnb ($141.10, RSI 46.6, was 53.8) posted its worst weekly decline in the sector (-3.34%) and its own 30-day change flipped negative (-2.29%, was +2.51%), though it remains the group's closest name to a 52-week high at -8.82%.

BKNG CONFIRMS DEATH CROSS, DOWNGRADES TO DOWNTREND: Booking ($177.46, RSI 50.8, was 55.7) reversed a modest weekly improvement from last scan into a negative print (-2.32%), its 30-day change flipped negative (-2.09%, was +5.76%), its regime classification downgraded to downtrend, and its death cross is now confirmed — three separate structural signs of deterioration in a single scan.

EVERY NAME IN THE SECTOR NOW SHOWS A NEGATIVE 30-DAY CHANGE: Two scans ago, Expedia, Booking, and Airbnb were all comfortably positive on the 30-day measure. This scan, all three flipped negative alongside the five names that were already negative — meaning all eight names in the watchlist now carry a negative 30-day change. Norwegian Cruise Line remains the deepest laggard on distance from its 52-week high (-31.16%), widening again this scan.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
MAR $374.43 51.1 -2.38% RSI recovered sharply back above 50, 30D improving but still negative
RCL $293.54 51.9 -8.54% RSI recovered but 30D still deeply negative, further from 52wk high this week
BKNG $177.46 50.8 -2.09% Reversed to a negative week, death cross confirmed, downgraded to downtrend regime; avoid
ABNB $141.10 46.6 -2.29% Worst week in the sector, 30D flipped negative, but still closest to 52wk high
EXPE $259.94 51.5 -0.84% Lost its best-30D-in-sector crown this week, death cross confirmed, cooling hard
HLT $324.97 44.1 -5.37% RSI recovered from last scan's sharp drop, first positive week in a while
CCL $26.33 45.2 -8.92% Still negative on 30D but less bad than last scan; trend still strong-down
NCLH $19.37 49.0 -7.81% Roughly flat on the week but 30D deepened further; still furthest from 52wk high in the sector

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD ABNB Still closest to 52wk high in the sector despite its worst week
🔍 WATCH MAR, RCL, HLT, CCL RSI recovering off last scan's lows, but 30D still negative across the board
⚠️ AVOID / WATCH EXPE, BKNG Both cooled hard this week; BKNG confirmed a death cross and downtrend regime, EXPE lost its best-30D crown
🚨 AVOID NCLH Furthest from 52wk high in the sector, 30D deepened again

What To Watch Next

Does the hotel and cruise recovery (Marriott, Hilton, Carnival, Royal Caribbean all improving on RSI this week) continue, or was it a one-week bounce? Does Expedia's reversal from the sector's best 30-day performer to negative mark a real trend change, or a pause? With every single name in the group now negative on 30-day change — a state that didn't exist two scans ago — does the sector find a floor next week, or does the rollover deepen further?

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-24 close — travel-leisure.
8 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.