Travel & Leisure Scan — July 31, 2026 Close

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Travel & Leisure Scan — July 31, 2026 Close

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raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 22 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusconfirmedprior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-28-travel-leisure.md

The sector split after last scan's broad rally. Expedia ($EXPE) and Booking Holdings ($BKNG) extended their gains — Expedia's weekly print accelerated to +13.39%, the sector's best this scan, and its death-cross flag, in place the past two scans, resolved into a golden cross. Royal Caribbean ($RCL) and Airbnb ($ABNB) held their strong-up trend. But Marriott ($MAR) downgraded from strong-up to weak-down, and Norwegian Cruise Line ($NCLH) reversed hardest of all — its trend flipped from up to strong-down, RSI dropped from 63.3 to 42.5, and the underlying data now shows a confirmed death cross. Hilton ($HLT) remains the sector's lone name below RSI 50, though it's no longer the worst decliner in the group.

Data as-of 2026-07-31 close (all eight tickers, current bar). All numbers from precomputed summaries/travel-leisure.json. Comparison scan: 2026-07-28-travel-leisure (2026-07-28 close).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Split sector — Expedia and Booking extended last scan's gains and Expedia's death cross resolved, but Marriott downgraded to weak-down and Norwegian Cruise Line reversed hardest, flipping into a fresh death cross with the sector's worst weekly and 30-day declines.
Key insight Expedia's death-cross flag, in place the past two scans, resolved into a golden cross this scan even as its 30-day change held at +11.42%; Norwegian Cruise Line moved the opposite direction — RSI down 21 points to 42.5, the sector's worst weekly (-4.34%) and 30-day (-10.35%) prints, and a newly confirmed death cross.

What's Going On

Expedia's reversal from two scans ago kept extending. Its weekly print accelerated to +13.39% — the best in the sector this scan — and its 30-day change held at +11.42%. More notably, the death-cross flag that had persisted through its recovery over the past two scans resolved into a golden cross this scan, meaning the underlying moving averages finally caught up to the price action. Booking's gains decelerated but stayed strong (RSI eased from 67.5 to 60.0, weekly print from +11.1% to +8.7%), and it still carries a death-cross flag in the data. Royal Caribbean and Airbnb both held their strong-up trend classification, with Royal Caribbean's weekly print (+8.43%) still among the sector's best even as it decelerated from +12.02%.

The other side of the sector moved the opposite way. Marriott's trend classification downgraded from strong-up to weak-down — its weekly print turned negative (-0.43%, was +4.27%) and its distance from a 52-week high widened to -9.28%. Norwegian Cruise Line's reversal was the sharpest in the sector: its trend flipped from up to strong-down, its RSI fell from 63.3 to 42.5 (a 21-point drop, the largest in the group), its weekly print reversed to -4.34% (the sector's worst this scan), its 30-day change worsened to -10.35% (also the sector's worst), and its distance from a 52-week high widened sharply to -31.82% — the widest gap in the sector. The underlying data now also shows a confirmed death cross for Norwegian, alongside Booking and Carnival. Hilton remains the one name below RSI 50 (41.6, still easing), though its weekly decline (-1.38%) is no longer the sector's worst — that distinction now belongs to Norwegian.

What Changed Since 2026-07-28

  • Marriott: RSI 57.7→48.3 (dropped), trend downgraded strong-up→weak-down, 7D +4.27%→-0.43% (turned negative), 30D +2.3%→+1.22% (softened but still positive), 52wkHi -6.68%→-9.28% (widened).
  • Royal Caribbean: RSI 65.7→62.4 (roughly steady), trend unchanged (strong-up), 7D +12.02%→+8.43% (decelerated but still strong), 30D +0.33%→+3.92% (extended), 52wkHi -12.01%→-13.15% (widened slightly).
  • Booking: RSI 67.5→60.0 (cooled), trend unchanged (up), 7D +11.1%→+8.7% (decelerated but still strong), 30D +9.26%→+5.62% (softened), 52wkHi -14.02%→-16.78% (widened); death cross flag remains in place.
  • Airbnb: RSI 61.7→59.5 (roughly steady), trend unchanged (strong-up), 7D +6.25%→+7.38% (extended), 30D +4.04%→+2.86% (softened slightly), 52wkHi -0.05%→-3.18% (slipped back from effectively a new high).
  • Expedia: RSI 70.3→65.5 (eased from the sector's highest), trend upgraded up→strong-up, 7D +11.64%→+13.39% (accelerated, best in the sector this scan), 30D +11.5%→+11.42% (held), 52wkHi -2.64%→-5.65% (slipped back slightly); death-cross flag resolved into a golden cross.
  • Hilton: RSI 43.4→41.6 (still the sector's lowest), trend unchanged (weak-down), 7D -2.54%→-1.38% (still negative but less so), 30D -3.04%→-3.5% (worsened slightly), 52wkHi -9.94%→-10.48% (widened slightly).
  • Carnival: RSI 57.6→54.4 (cooled), trend unchanged (up), 7D +7.91%→+5.62% (decelerated but still positive), 30D -3.29%→-2.49% (improved, still negative), 52wkHi -17.04%→-18.28% (widened); data now shows a death-cross flag.
  • Norwegian Cruise Line: RSI 63.3→42.5 (sharpest drop in the sector), trend downgraded up→strong-down, 7D +5.94%→-4.34% (reversed, worst in the sector this scan), 30D -3.19%→-10.35% (worsened sharply, worst in the sector), 52wkHi -21.93%→-31.82% (widened sharply, now the widest gap in the sector); data now shows a confirmed death cross.

How To Read The Board

RSI (Relative Strength Index) gauges how aggressively a stock has been bought or sold over roughly the past two weeks, on a 0-100 scale — under 30 signals an oversold, potentially undervalued stretch; over 70 signals overbought, extended risk; readings in between are neutral. The color icons below track that scale: green marks oversold/healthy, yellow marks neutral, orange marks approaching overbought, red marks a breakdown or extreme overbought reading. Trend reflects a stock's structural direction based on its moving averages (strong-up, weak-up, weak-down, strong-down); vs SMA20 shows how far price sits above or below its 20-day average; 52wkHi shows the distance below the stock's own one-year high — the closer to zero, the closer to a new high.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI Trend 7D% 30D% 3M% vs SMA20 52wkHi% Signal
EXPE $294.74 65.5 strong-up +13.39% +11.42% +17.28% +8.2% -5.65% 🟢 Best weekly print in the sector; death cross resolved into a golden cross
BKNG $192.90 60.0 up +8.7% +5.62% +14.01% +5.7% -16.78% 🟡 Decelerated but still strong; death cross flag still in place
RCL $318.30 62.4 strong-up +8.43% +3.92% +20.49% +7.9% -13.15% 🟢 Trend intact, still among the sector's better weekly prints
ABNB $151.52 59.5 strong-up +7.38% +2.86% +6.96% +3.3% -3.18% 🟢 Trend intact, extended on the week
CCL $27.81 54.4 up +5.62% -2.49% +4.94% +4.0% -18.28% 🟡 Decelerated but still positive; data shows a death-cross flag
MAR $372.83 48.3 weak-down -0.43% +1.22% +5.24% +0.1% -9.28% 🔴 Trend downgraded to weak-down, turned negative on the week
HLT $320.49 41.6 weak-down -1.38% -3.5% +0.64% -2.0% -10.48% 🔴 Still the sector's lowest RSI and only trend that hasn't recovered
NCLH $18.53 42.5 strong-down -4.34% -10.35% -1.49% -4.8% -31.82% 🔴 Sharpest reversal in the sector; trend flipped to strong-down with a fresh death cross

Tier Analysis

EXPEDIA AND BOOKING — EXTENDING LAST SCAN'S TURNAROUND: Expedia ($294.74, RSI 65.5) posted the sector's best weekly print this scan (+13.39%, accelerating from +11.64%) and its death-cross flag — in place the past two scans despite the price recovery — finally resolved into a golden cross. Booking ($192.90, RSI 60.0) decelerated from last scan's pace but stayed among the sector's stronger names; its own death-cross flag remains unresolved.

RCL, ABNB — STEADY STRONG-UP: Royal Caribbean ($318.30, RSI 62.4) and Airbnb ($151.52, RSI 59.5) both held their strong-up trend classification. Airbnb's 52-week-high gap slipped back to -3.18% after nearly touching a new high last scan; Royal Caribbean's weekly print (+8.43%) remains among the sector's better prints even after decelerating from +12.02%.

MAR — TREND DOWNGRADED: Marriott ($372.83, RSI 48.3, was 57.7) saw its trend classification downgrade from strong-up to weak-down, turning negative on the week for the first time this cluster's recent scans and widening its 52-week-high gap to -9.28%.

HLT — STILL THE SECTOR'S LOWEST RSI: Hilton ($320.49, RSI 41.6) remains the only name below RSI 50 and its trend classification (weak-down) hasn't recovered across the last two scans, though its weekly decline (-1.38%) eased from -2.54% and is no longer the sector's worst print.

CCL, NCLHCCL STEADIER, NCLH THE SECTOR'S SHARPEST REVERSAL: Carnival ($27.81, RSI 54.4) decelerated but stayed positive on the week, though its 30-day change is still negative and the underlying data now flags a death cross. Norwegian Cruise Line ($18.53, RSI 42.5, was 63.3) posted the sharpest reversal in the sector — trend flipped from up to strong-down, RSI dropped 21 points, and it now carries the sector's worst weekly print, worst 30-day print, widest 52-week-high gap, and a freshly confirmed death cross.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
EXPE $294.74 65.5 +11.42% Best weekly print in the sector; death cross resolved into a golden cross
BKNG $192.90 60.0 +5.62% Decelerated but still strong; death cross flag still unresolved
RCL $318.30 62.4 +3.92% Trend intact, still among the sector's better weekly prints
ABNB $151.52 59.5 +2.86% Trend intact, extended on the week; gap from 52wk high widened back slightly
CCL $27.81 54.4 -2.49% Decelerated but still positive; data shows a death-cross flag
MAR $372.83 48.3 +1.22% Trend downgraded to weak-down; turned negative on the week
HLT $320.49 41.6 -3.5% Still the sector's lowest RSI; no confirmed trend recovery yet
NCLH $18.53 42.5 -10.35% Sharpest reversal in the sector; trend flipped to strong-down with a fresh death cross

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD EXPE, RCL, ABNB Strong-up structure intact or improving; Expedia's death cross resolved this scan
🔍 WATCH BKNG, CCL Still positive but decelerating; both carry unresolved death-cross flags
⚠️ WATCH / CAUTION MAR, HLT Trend classification weak-down; Marriott newly downgraded, Hilton still the sector's lowest RSI
⚠️ WATCH / CAUTION NCLH Sharpest reversal in the sector this scan — trend flipped to strong-down with a fresh death cross

What To Watch Next

Does Expedia's death-cross resolution mark a durable structural shift, or does the rally cool the way Booking's already has? Does Norwegian Cruise Line's reversal keep deepening now that it carries a confirmed death cross and the sector's widest 52-week-high gap, or was this a one-scan air pocket? And does Marriott's downgrade to weak-down join Hilton as a second lagging name, or does it recover the way several other names in this sector already have this cluster?

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-31 close — travel-leisure.
  • Comparison figures: 2026-07-28-travel-leisure (2026-07-28 close).
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No direct external sources are attached to this read.