Daily Actions
Daily Actions
MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $707.24 (+5.46% 30D, RSI 56.7, firmed off last cycle's cooldown) | QQQM $294.98 (+8.25% 30D, RSI 51.9, sharp 30-day reacceleration) | VIXY $17.66 (RSI 31.7, still pinned in collapse regime — no hedging bid all cycle) | GLD $408.89 (RSI 54.6, -1.4% vs its 200-day — crossed back BELOW the 200-day this cycle, reversing last cycle's cross)
Price truth: 2026-08-28 Friday settled close, read from all 34 of today's scans (30 sector/theme scans + monster-scan + monster-discover + scan-monster-etf-v2 + washout-scan + lazarus-scan), the 10 candidate roundups, and the code-diffed regime-transitions feed. Every figure below is cited to the scan(s) or candidate(s) that carried it, cross-checked against research/market-engine/data/summaries/*.json where noted (VICR, AOSL via ai-power.json). monster-discover.md carries a status: invalidated flag this cycle (frozen values no longer match their authority after an upstream tape repair) — its numbers are excluded from this digest entirely. The most recent prior digest is 2026-08-22 (a normal 6-day gap); carry-forward below is against that file. Exit Alerts (Holdings) is omitted this cycle — consistent with the prior digest's book-blind discipline, no ledger/holdings/research/trading/** file was read to form this digest's entry-zone reads.
Summary
The broad market did the opposite of what it did last cycle: the 30-day window on the SPY/QQQ/VOO/VTI complex snapped back hard (QQQM 30D +1.15%→+8.25%, RSI 50.2→51.9) while every benchmark stayed 7-9% above its 200-day (market-pulse, etf-universe) — last cycle's flag-stage read continuing to resolve up rather than breaking down. Small caps are the one clean divergence — IWM's RSI fell (52.6→45.3) even as its price ticked up, still 9% above its 200-day with the group's best 1-year gain, a deep pullback rather than a rollover (market-pulse).
Gold reversed hard. GDX and NUGT both cooled out of parabolic into pullback (RSI 75.3→62.9 and 75.6→61.4), and GLD's price crossed back BELOW its 200-day (-1.4%, was +2.4%) — the second flip in two cycles on the same lagging cross indicator (macro-commodities, etf-universe, market-pulse, geopolitical-risk). The grain complex went the opposite direction, swinging into breakout on no dated catalyst (WEAT RSI 78.9, SOYB 75.3, CORN 74.7, DBA 72.8).
Retail split into a real winner and a real disconnect. ANF exploded +36.16% on a confirmed Aug 26 earnings beat and Aug 27 guidance raise, now RSI 77.7. TJX moved the opposite direction into the board's first sub-25 print (RSI 22.7) — even though TJX's own Q2 report (Aug 25, above-plan comps, raised guidance) reads as a beat. Nothing on file explains why a beat-and-raise coincided with deepening capitulation (retail-scan). WMT's weekly slide stabilized but its 30-day window kept worsening as the earlier earnings crash rolled fully into the monthly comparison.
The cruise-line breakdown flagged two cycles running finished this cycle. Royal Caribbean crossed below its 200-day, joining Carnival and Norwegian Cruise Line — all three now negative on the year with alpha worse than -43 (travel-leisure). Airlines, in contrast, mostly stabilized after two rough scans, with Alaska's weekly bounce the exception that proves the rule: it's still the sector's one confirmed breakdown on every long-horizon window (airlines).
Cybersecurity staged a board-wide reversal. OKTA's +22.91% week traces to a confirmed Aug 26 EPS beat plus a same-day cluster of sell-side price-target raises (Truist, Scotiabank, RBC, Needham, Oppenheimer); CRWD fully erased last cycle's steepest drop (cybersec, tech-insider-buys). TEAM's extension is the cautionary mirror — still climbing toward its 52-week high, but the confirmed catalyst behind it (an Aug 6 beat) is three weeks stale with nothing fresh in this desk's news pull.
Crypto's euphoric melt-up cooled hard and uniformly, then the whole complex sold off together on the final session with no name-specific cause found. DOGE's RSI collapsed from the most extreme reading tracked this window (95.7) to 52.8; ADA and DOGE both fell back below their 200-day. BTC's one-year deficit (-28.57%) stayed the shallowest in the coin tier, essentially unchanged. A synchronized final-session drop hit coins, miners, and MSTR/COIN together (3-11% down) — this desk checked MSTR's and COIN's news receipts and found no name-specific catalyst (crypto-scan).
The WFE/test-metrology collapse pocket grew fivefold (1→5 names) in a single cycle, but four of the five fresh downgrades still carry positive alpha and a strongly positive trailing year — CAMT, ACLS, BESIY, and MKSI all flipped into collapse on the near-term chart while remaining up 41-138% over 12 months. Only AMKR and CAMT sit meaningfully below their 200-day (wfe-test-metrology).
MRNA's unexplained extreme keeps extending — 30-day now +153.24%, one-year +463.91%, still the largest number on the desk — with a same-day litigation-settlement headline (Aug 28) offering a plausible but incomplete driver (biotech candidate, biotech-scan, healthcare-scan, insider-scan). Food security is the one lane rotating leadership inside a genuinely healthy book rather than melting up or cooling off broadly: DBA broke out to its 52-week high while NTR/CF/DE/MOO cooled from the top and ADM/BG/CTVA picked up the slack (food-security).
Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) - Capitulation Territory
None. No name in today's 34-scan corpus closes below RSI 20.
OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) - Strong Entry Zone
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | $135.12 | Watch $155.06 (200-day) | 22.7↓ | -16.4% | retail-scan, retail candidate | 🔍 Watch — trend under test | Board's first sub-25 print, deepening from 25.4; its own Aug 25 beat-and-raise Q2 report has NOT stopped the slide — disconnect unresolved |
| HRL | $21.57 | No support shelf identified | 25.7↓ | -16.4% | defensive-scan | 🔍 Watch | Crashed 13.0 RSI points in one scan, just above capitulation; -14.5% 1Y, alpha -34.3 — not a clean buy-the-dip |
| NEE | $81.84 | none | 26.4↓ | -7.48% | ai-scan | ⚠️ Avoid | Below its 200-day (-6.8%) despite a positive year (+13.52%); grouped with AI Power/Energy's genuinely weak cohort |
APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) - Watch Closely
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONON | $28.85 | none | 31.1↓ | -23.9% | retail-scan | ⚠️ Avoid | -35.3% 1Y, -27.7% vs SMA200 — weakest structure in the retail cohort, still deteriorating |
| ESLT | $708.68 | none | 32.0↓ | -7.86% | drone-defense | 🔍 Watch | Fresh collapse tag this cycle but +46.1% 1Y with positive alpha (+26.22) — violent pullback, not a confirmed breakdown |
| PL | $19.98 | none | 32.1↓ | +2.62% | drone-defense | ❌ Don't buy | Thesis explicitly rated broken — business-quality veto; +177% 1Y likely a base-effect artifact |
| RCL | $279.41 | Newly below 200-day | 32.4↓ | -13.65% | travel-leisure | ❌ Avoid | Completes the cruise-line breakdown trio with CCL/NCLH — -23.63% 1Y, alpha -43.50 |
| TLN | $296.11 | Watch $359.61 (200-day) | 32.4↓ | -6.4% | nvda-ecosystem, energy candidate | ❌ Avoid | New cut-low; -23.7% 1Y, -17.7% vs SMA200 — deteriorated from -13.1% last cycle |
| WMT | $103.09 | Watch $118.58 (200-day) | 33.2↓ | -9.74% | bargain-bin, retail-scan (2x) | 🔍 Watch — trend under test | Recovered off last cycle's strict bargain-bin hit; weekly slide stabilized but the month kept worsening; +7.26% 1Y, alpha -12.61 |
| AOSL | $24.63 | Watch $22.45 (support shelf) | 33.4↓ | — | ai-power.json (validated vs summary) | ⚠️ Avoid | Zone breached and deteriorated further — now -17.68% 1Y (was -1.24%), -16.1% vs SMA200 (was -9.8%) — no longer a clean deep-pullback case |
| MKSI | $255.76 | none | 33.9↓ | -0.72% | wfe-test-metrology | 🔍 Watch | Lowest RSI in the WFE book, fresh collapse tag, but +137.87% 1Y and alpha +118.0 — pullback, not breakdown |
| CCL | $24.76 | Below 200-day | 34.0↓ | -10.97% | travel-leisure | ❌ Avoid | -23.79% 1Y, alpha -43.66 — part of the completed cruise-line breakdown trio |
| LHX | $262.82 | No support shelf on file | 34.1↓ | -11.67% | defense-contractors, geopolitical-risk (2x) | 🔍 Watch — trend under test, worsening | -5.13% 1Y (worse than -3.40% last cycle), -16.5% vs SMA200 — one of three primes genuinely underperforming |
| CRS | $476.43 | Regime held steady after 3-cycle whipsaw | 34.9↓ | -10.21% | supply-chain-traces | 🔍 Watch | +96.42% 1Y, above its 200-day — first stable regime read this name has shown in this tracked window |
| PYPL | $53.66 | Watch the 200-day (thin +4.6% cushion) | 35.0↓ | -8.04% | consumer-scan | 🔍 Watch | Crashed from overbought (RSI 69.1) to near-oversold in one week; -23.41% 1Y, alpha -43.28 on top of an already-thin cushion |
| NCLH | $16.65 | Below 200-day | 35.1↓ | -19.76% | travel-leisure | ❌ Avoid | Sector's worst — -34.42% 1Y, worst alpha in the cruise trio |
| ALMU | $13.14 | none | 35.1↓ | -10.91% | optical-supply-chain | ❌ Don't buy | The one clean breakdown in the optical book — every window (week/year/200-day/thesis no-view) agrees it's weak |
| BESIY | $225.98 | none | 35.6↓ | +4.66% | wfe-test-metrology, supply-chain-traces (2x) | 📈 Accumulate | Fresh collapse tag but thesis rated intact, +60.14% 1Y, alpha +40.27 — pullback, not confirmed breakdown |
| KLAC | $175.54 | none | 35.9↓ | +3.14% | bargain-bin, wfe-test-metrology (2x) | 🔍 Watch — deep pullback, trend intact | +96.35% 1Y, +3.2% vs SMA200 — cooling hard on RSI, huge year intact |
| LCID | $5.01 | none | 35.9↓ | -37.06% | ev-clean-energy | ❌ Don't buy | Board's weakest EV structure — -75.8% 1Y, -42.7% vs SMA200, deepened further this week |
| BWXT | $152.85 | No support shelf on file | 35.9↓ | -2.92% | defense-contractors | ❌ Avoid | Closest to a confirmed breakdown in the defense-contractors book — -7.83% 1Y, -21.0% vs SMA200, collapse regime |
| TSN | $55.40 | none | 36.9↓ | -9.2% | defensive-scan | 🔍 Watch | Newly dropped into the oversold band (-14.7 RSI points); near-flat year (-1.3%) masks a badly negative alpha (-21.2) |
| VICR | $187.75 | Watch $180.20 (support shelf) | 38.5↓ | — | ai-power.json (validated vs summary) | 🔍 Watch — zone breached, deteriorating | Crossed BELOW its 200-day this cycle (-6.2%, was +1.6% cushion) even with a huge +260.16% 1Y — the cushion has fully closed |
| AMKR | $47.88 | 14.1% below 200-day, no shelf | 39.3↓ | +12.05% | nvda-ecosystem, wfe-test-metrology, supply-chain-traces (3x) | 🔍 Watch | Deepest gap below its 200-day in the WFE book, but +94.16% 1Y — testing its average from below after a huge run, not a confirmed breakdown |
| ARM | $239.05 | Zone $255-280 breached, watch $166.15 (support shelf per the 08-28 summary; an earlier draft cited $189.74 with no on-disk source) | 40.0 | +6.3% | ai-scan, ai-infra, nvda-ecosystem, insider-scan, tech-insider-buys (5x) | 📈 Accumulate | FOCUS name. Reversal stabilized this cycle (30D flipped from -14.14% to +6.3%); +67.7% 1Y, +19.9% vs SMA200 — deep pullback in an intact trend, cushion compressing across two cycles |
(Dozens more names sit near this band amid the AI Power/Energy cohort's continued weakness — ai-scan still carries 11 of 12 AI-power names below their 200-day (SEDG, VST, RUN, FSLR, EOSE, OKLO, ENPH, TAC, CEG all flat-to-deeply-negative on the year; BE the lone clean exception), and nvda-ecosystem still flags TLN/CEG/QCOM/SWKS as the chip-adjacent complex's only genuine breakdowns. The table above is the cross-confirmed and highest-signal subset, not the full list.)
🟠 EXTENDED / VERIFY BEFORE CHASING — several run ahead of their sourcing
| Stock | Current | RSI | 30D | Structure | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRNA | $137.99 | 63.5 | +153.24% | high-variance | ⚠️ Verify, don't chase | +463.91% 1Y — a same-day (Aug 28) litigation-settlement headline is a plausible partial driver, but does not explain the scale of the year-long re-rate; no corpus source across three scans for the full magnitude |
| TEAM | $190.42 | 79.1 | +82.6% | parabolic | ⚠️ Don't chase | Within 2.33% of its 52-week high; the confirmed Aug 6 beat behind the original pop is now three weeks stale, nothing fresh in the Aug 27 news pull |
| ESTC | $99.91 | 77.5 | +55.04% | parabolic | ⚠️ Verify | Scheduled Aug 27 earnings date remains overdue-unconfirmed in the event record — the push into parabolic cannot yet be attributed to a verified print |
| CRM | $256.00 | 80.8 | +35.9% | parabolic | ⚠️ Don't chase | Deep overbought, but flat on the year (+0.58%) — a repair rally back to even, not confirmed leadership |
| SMCI | $37.08 | 56.9 | +44.28% | pullback-on-broken-trend | 🔍 Watch | Bounce reaccelerated while 1Y worsened to -15.67% (was -11.98%) — a bounce inside a still-broken trend, not a deep pullback |
| VEEV | $276.69 | 74.9 | +33.08% | overbought, weak 1Y | ⚠️ Don't chase | Cut's most overbought healthcare name; 1Y barely positive (+1.6%) with badly negative alpha (-18.3) — a squeeze, not confirmation |
| MSFT | $513.52 | 73.1 | +31.49% | near-overbought | 🔍 Watch | 1Y flipped positive (+0.76%, was -4.16%) for the first time, but alpha1y stays deeply negative (-19.11) — still a squeeze |
| GDX / NUGT | $99.65 / $194.47 | 62.9 / 61.4 | — | cooling off parabolic | 🔍 Watch | Both downgraded from parabolic to pullback; GLD's price crossed back below its 200-day this cycle, reversing last cycle's cross |
| IONQ / RGTI / QBTS | see ai-scan | 44.5 / 43.9 / 40.4 | -12.66% / -12.79% / -16.58% | speculative | ❌ Avoid — business quality | Quantum bucket fell hard this cycle (the mirror of last cycle's 5-11.5% pop) — veto stands regardless of direction |
| OKTA | $166.23 | 64.7 | +21.42% | confirmed catalyst | 🔒 Hold | Cleanest sourced move on the whole board — Aug 26 EPS beat ($1.05 vs $0.96) plus a same-day cluster of five analyst price-target raises |
Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)
| Stock | Alert | Entry Zone | Source | Set Date | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | Pullback entry | $600-630 | ai-scan | 07-11 | 🔴 Still broken — $578.02, -22.86% 1Y, -7.2% vs SMA200, worst hyperscaler alpha on the board; no reclaim |
| CEG | Golden-cross flip | — | ai-scan, nvda-ecosystem, energy candidate | 07-11 | ⏳ Still waiting — RSI 54.4, -13.39% 1Y (essentially unchanged), regime still downtrend |
| T | Golden-cross flip | — | defensive-scan | 07-11 | 🔍 Partial — RSI 68.9 still looks healthy, +3.5% above its 200-day, but 1Y still negative (-10.1%, alpha -30.0) — improved slightly from -14.1% last cycle |
| GLD / URA | Watch for a golden-cross flip | — | macro-commodities, etf-universe, geopolitical-risk | 07-25 | 🔴 GLD RE-BROKE — price crossed back below its 200-day this cycle (-1.4%, was +2.4%), the second flip on this lagging indicator in two cycles. URA still waiting (-6.0% vs SMA200, RSI 53.4) |
| LULU | Watch a regime upgrade | — | cultural-thesis, consumer-scan | 07-28 | ⏳ Still waiting — RSI flat at 51.9, still death-crossed, -41.09% 1Y, -21.6% vs SMA200 |
| HUBS | Watch whether the TEAM divergence resolves | — | tech-insider-buys, washout-scan | 08-08 | 🟡 Narrowing toward a flip — 200-day gap closed to -1.3% from -10.6%, though 1Y stays deeply negative (-45.27%/-45.3%) |
| AVGO | Watch its 200-day test resolve | $352.12 shelf (per the 08-28 summary; an earlier draft cited $348.47 with no on-disk source) | ai-scan, bargain-bin, nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys, insider-scan (5x) | 08-22 | ⏳ Still unresolved for a third straight cycle — vs SMA200 essentially flat at -0.2%, thesis rated intact, +20.36% 1Y |
| SMCI | Watch whether the 1Y ever turns positive | — | tech-insider-buys | 08-28 (new) | 🆕 New — bounce reaccelerated to +44.28% 30D while 1Y worsened to -15.67%; watch for the year to catch up or the bounce to fade |
Resolved into Entry Zones this cycle (no longer standalone alerts): PYPL (crashed to RSI 35.0), ARM (reversal stabilizing), VICR and AOSL (both deteriorated further, both crossed further from their prior support zones), NCLH (confirmed breakdown alongside RCL/CCL), CRS (regime finally held steady after three whipsaws) — see the Entry Zones table above for each.
Exit Alerts (Holdings)
Not read this cycle. Consistent with the prior digest's book-blind discipline, no ledger, holdings, or research/trading/** file was read while forming this digest's entry-zone reads — this section is omitted rather than populated from a stale prior-cycle P&L snapshot next to fresh tape context.
Sector Rotation Signals
| Signal | Trigger | What It Means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broad market reaccelerates on the 30-day window, trend fully intact | QQQM 30D +1.15%→+8.25%, RSI 50.2→51.9; VOO/VTI/XLK/FTEC all extended into double digits; every benchmark stays 7-9% above its 200-day (market-pulse, etf-universe) |
Last cycle's cooldown resolved UP, confirming the flag-stage read rather than a rollover | 🟢 Confirming |
| Small caps are the one clean divergence | IWM RSI fell (52.6→45.3) while price and 30D ticked up; TNA showed the identical pattern | The only name in the broad-market complex that didn't join the bounce | 🟡 Watch |
| Gold complex reverses out of parabolic, GLD re-crosses below its 200-day | GDX RSI 75.3→62.9, NUGT 75.6→61.4, both downgraded to pullback; GLD vs-SMA200 flipped from +2.4% to -1.4% (macro-commodities, etf-universe, market-pulse, geopolitical-risk) |
A structural whipsaw — two flips on the same lagging cross indicator in two cycles | 🟠 Watch for a third flip |
| Retail splits into a real winner and a real disconnect | ANF +36.16% on a confirmed earnings beat + guidance raise (RSI 77.7); TJX fell to the board's first sub-25 print despite its own beat-and-raise Q2 report (retail-scan) |
Two beats, opposite price reactions — TJX's disconnect is unexplained by anything on file | 🔴 Unresolved |
| Cruise-line breakdown completes; airlines diverge the other way | RCL crossed below its 200-day, joining CCL/NCLH (all three alpha worse than -43); airlines mostly stabilized after two rough scans (travel-leisure, airlines) |
Two transportation sub-segments moving in opposite directions the same week | 🔴 Cruise lines live; airlines stabilizing |
| Cybersecurity stages a board-wide reversal on a sourced catalyst | OKTA +22.91% on a confirmed Aug 26 beat plus five same-day analyst price-target raises; CRWD fully erased last cycle's steepest drop (cybersec, tech-insider-buys) |
The cleanest sourced move on the board this cycle | 🟢 Confirmed |
| Crypto's melt-up cools hard, then the whole complex sells off together on no found catalyst | DOGE RSI 95.7→52.8; ADA/DOGE both fell below their 200-day; BTC/MSTR/COIN/miners all dropped 3-11% on the final session with no name-specific driver found (crypto-scan) |
A euphoric spike unwinding into a broad, unexplained risk-off day | 🟡 Watch for follow-through |
| WFE/test-metrology collapse pocket grows fivefold in one cycle, mostly on chart structure alone | CAMT/ACLS/BESIY/MKSI all fresh-tagged collapse, but all four still carry positive alpha and 41-138% trailing-year gains; only AMKR and CAMT sit meaningfully below their 200-day (wfe-test-metrology) |
Sharp near-term technical deterioration sitting on top of mostly-intact trends | 🟡 Watch AMKR/CAMT specifically |
| Food security rotates leadership inside a genuinely healthy book | DBA broke out to its 52-week high (RSI 72.8); NTR/CF/DE/MOO cooled from the top as ADM/BG/CTVA picked up strength — every name in the book still holds RSI above 53 (food-security) |
A healthier signal than either a broad melt-up or a broad cooldown | 🟢 Confirming |
| MRNA's unexplained extreme keeps extending | 30D now +153.24% (was +149.92%), 1Y +463.91% (was +453.51%); an Aug 28 litigation-settlement headline is a plausible but incomplete driver (biotech candidate, three scans) |
The largest, least-explained number on the desk, now three cycles running | 🔴 Verify, don't chase |
Regime Transitions
Source: deno task market -- regimes:feed --json (code-diffed, not eyeballed). Newest group dated 2026-08-28, prior bar 2026-08-27 — 33 raw items, 29 real transitions after skipping 4 from: null rows (APPN, KARO, LPG, MANH — universe churn, matching today's monster-discover new-entry list).
| Stock | From | To | Thesis | Tape Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | pullback | parabolic | — | 2026-08-28 |
| CAMT | pullback | collapse | — | 2026-08-28 |
| GDX | parabolic | pullback | — | 2026-08-28 |
| NUGT | parabolic | pullback | — | 2026-08-28 |
| KMT | pullback | downtrend | — | 2026-08-28 |
| REGN | breakout | uptrend | — | 2026-08-28 |
| TSN | pullback | basing | — | 2026-08-28 |
| U | parabolic | pullback | intact | 2026-08-28 |
Full 29-row breakdown by state-pair: parabolic→pullback (5: AEM, GDX, MNTN, NUGT, U — matches this cycle's gold-complex and broad-market cooldown-from-extension story), pullback→basing (4: CEF, ELAN, SRE, TSN), uptrend→pullback (4: BFLY, CASY, ENVA, ZM), downtrend→collapse (3, all flagged inert: CE, DNA, MBLY), basing→breakout (3: AVDV, SOYB, WEAT), downtrend→pullback (2: GAP, SRPT), parabolic→uptrend (2: HALO, WPM), plus four single-instance pairs (pullback→collapse: CAMT already listed above; uptrend→basing: AVUV; pullback→downtrend: KMT already listed above; breakout→uptrend: REGN already listed above; pullback→parabolic: ANF already listed above).
ANF's pullback→parabolic transition cross-confirms retail-scan's earnings-driven explosion. CAMT's fresh collapse cross-confirms wfe-test-metrology's fivefold collapse-pocket growth this cycle. GDX/NUGT's parabolic→pullback cross-confirms the gold-complex cooldown flagged across four separate scans above. KMT's pullback→downtrend matches supply-chain-traces's own read (weakest technical label in that book, though still +36.32% 1Y with positive alpha).
Insider Activity Summary
| Signal | Stocks | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Buying table frozen for a third straight cycle | TSLA (+$219.9M), CRSP (+$28.1M), ASAN (+$8.7M), INTC (+$2.4M), TSM (+$1.6M) — all essentially unchanged | No fresh Form-4 filing activity behind any of them |
| Golden signal (RSI<30 + buying): zero for a fourth straight cycle | None | The clean read now spans four full cycles; this cycle's closest candidate (EOSE, RSI 38.5) is itself a broken structure, not a bargain |
| Heaviest captured selling, intact structure | AMZN (-$9.4B), NVDA (-$3.3B), LLY (-$3.1B), PLTR (-$2.4B), AVGO (-$1.6B) — all essentially unchanged from last cycle | Scale-driven, not a fresh bearish tell |
| Reversal resumed | BE — cushion above its 200-day widened back to +11.8% from +8.0%, 30D flipped to +28.71% from -7.68% | Still +284.62% 1Y — an extreme deep pullback inside a still-intact secular trend |
| Thesis-flag vs. chart divergence, worsening for a second straight cycle | ISRG — thesisState: intact but regime still collapse, vs-SMA200 now -20.5% (was -19.9%), 1Y -21.37% (was -19.38%) |
Worth a direct fundamentals-side check on the next refresh |
Pending Research Actions
| Action | Source | Priority | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Does TJX's beat-and-raise/price disconnect resolve, or does the capitulation-tier RSI deepen further? | retail-scan | High | 🆕 New |
| Does GLD's re-break below its 200-day hold, or does the metals leg flip back a third time? | macro-commodities, etf-universe, market-pulse, geopolitical-risk | High | 🆕 New |
| MRNA's driver — a litigation-settlement headline is a partial fit but doesn't explain the year-long re-rate; does the move consolidate or keep extending? | biotech candidate, biotech-scan, healthcare-scan, insider-scan | High | Carried, escalated (third cycle) |
| Does the cruise-line trio's completed breakdown (RCL/CCL/NCLH) stabilize now that all three share the same broken state? | travel-leisure | High | 🆕 New |
| Does AVGO's 200-day test (-0.2%, essentially flat) ever resolve up or down after three straight cycles? | ai-scan, bargain-bin, nvda-ecosystem, tech-insider-buys, insider-scan | High | Carried, escalated (third cycle) |
| Does TEAM's extension finally cool, or does a fresh catalyst surface to justify the continued climb toward its 52-week high? | tech-insider-buys | Medium | Carried, escalated |
| Does the WFE/test-metrology collapse pocket (1→5 names) keep growing, or partially resolve given four of five still carry positive alpha? | wfe-test-metrology | Medium | 🆕 New |
| Does IWM's divergence from the broad-market bounce (RSI fell while price rose) widen into a real small-cap problem? | market-pulse, etf-universe | Medium | 🆕 New |
| Does AMKR's and CAMT's gap below their 200-day widen further — the first genuine breakdown confirmation in the WFE book? | wfe-test-metrology | Medium | 🆕 New |
| ISRG's thesis flag (intact) vs. its chart (collapse, now a second straight cycle worsening) — which one resolves the disagreement? | insider-scan, biotech-scan, healthcare-scan | Low | Carried, escalated (second cycle) |
| Does ESTC's scheduled Aug 27 earnings print ever get confirmed in the event record despite the continued push into parabolic? | tech-insider-buys | Medium | 🆕 New |
The Gold
Top Signal
ARM is the desk's cleanest actionable setup this cycle. Cross-confirmed in five separate scans (
ai-scan,ai-infra,nvda-ecosystem,insider-scan,tech-insider-buys), ARM sits at RSI 40.0 — right at the door of the approaching-oversold band — after a reversal that stabilized this cycle: its 30-day return flipped from -14.14% to +6.3%. The long-horizon numbers back it up cleanly: +67.7% over the trailing year and +19.9% above its 200-day, a textbook deep pullback inside an intact multi-year uptrend, not a breakdown. It IS the desk's declared FOCUS name, and it fits the user's stated entry pattern — bottom → pop → flag → breakout — better than any other name in today's corpus: the flag (the $255-280 support zone breach) already happened, and this cycle's stabilizing reversal is the first sign of the next leg forming. The one caveat: the cushion above its 200-day has compressed for two straight cycles (was +23.4%, now +19.9%), worth watching rather than ignoring.
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| The broad market's 30-day window reaccelerated hard (QQQM +1.15%→+8.25%) while every benchmark stayed 7-9% above its 200-day | Last cycle's cooldown-flag resolved UP — confirms the desk's deep-pullback read rather than a rollover |
| TJX fell to the board's first sub-25 print the same week its own Q2 report read as a beat-and-raise | A genuine, unexplained disconnect between fundamentals and price — not established by any receipt on file |
GDX/NUGT cooled out of parabolic and GLD's price crossed back below its 200-day, undoing last cycle's cross |
A structural whipsaw on the lagging cross indicator, two flips in two cycles — worth tracking for a third |
| The cruise-line trio (RCL/CCL/NCLH) is now fully broken on every long-horizon window while airlines stabilized in the same week | Two transportation sub-segments diverging, not one broad discretionary-spend story |
| OKTA's +22.91% week traces cleanly to a confirmed earnings beat and a same-day cluster of five analyst price-target raises | The most cleanly sourced single-name move in today's entire corpus |
| Crypto's melt-up cooled hard, then coins/miners/MSTR/COIN all sold off together on the final session with no name-specific catalyst found | A euphoric spike unwinding into a broad, unexplained risk-off day — checked, not assumed |
| The WFE/test-metrology collapse pocket grew from 1 to 5 names in a single cycle, but four of five still carry positive alpha and 41-138% trailing-year gains | Sharp near-term technical deterioration sitting on top of mostly-intact trends — a chart-structure story, not yet a trend break |
| ARM's reversal stabilized (30D flipped from -14.14% to +6.3%) while its long-horizon numbers stayed cleanly positive | The desk's cleanest deep-pullback-in-an-intact-trend setup this cycle, and it's the FOCUS name |
Sourced from all 34 of today's scans (30 sector/theme scans + monster-scan + monster-discover + scan-monster-etf-v2 + washout-scan + lazarus-scan) + all 10 candidate roundups + the code-diffed regime-transitions feed (regimes:feed --json, snapshot dated 2026-08-28) + direct summary reads for VICR and AOSL (research/market-engine/data/summaries/ai-power.json, no scan covered them this cycle). monster-discover.md carries a status: invalidated flag this cycle and its numbers are excluded entirely. Prior digest for carry-forward: research/issues/2026-08-22-actions-daily-digest.md (normal 6-day gap). Exit Alerts (Holdings) is omitted this cycle — no ledger, holdings, or research/trading/** file was read.
Sources
- Price/RSI/trend/long-horizon truth:
research/market-engine/data/summaries/*.json(2026-08-28 close bars), read via each scan's own cited summary file; VICR and AOSL spot-checked directly againstresearch/market-engine/data/summaries/ai-power.jsonthis session (no scan covered them this cycle). - Scan corpus:
research/scans/2026-08-28-*.md(34 files, listed in the Summary above). - Candidate roundups:
research/candidates/2026-08-28-*.md(10 files: ai-infra, biotech, cloud-saas, consumer, energy, mag7, memory, retail, space, web-cloud). - Regime transitions:
deno task market -- regimes:feed --json(2026-08-28 snapshot, diffed against 2026-08-27). - News/event receipts cited inline per scan: OKTA earnings (
research/stock-events/2026-08-26-okta-earnings.md), TEAM earnings (research/stock-events/2026-08-06-team-earnings.md), ESTC earnings (research/stock-events/2026-08-27-estc-earnings.md), NVDA/MRVL earnings-week (research/stock-events/2026-08-26-nvda-earnings.md,research/stock-events/2026-08-27-mrvl-earnings.md), MRNA litigation headline (news receipt fetched 2026-08-28,ok: true), TJX/ANF earnings (news receipts fetched 2026-08-25/2026-08-27). - Prior digest for carry-forward:
research/issues/2026-08-22-actions-daily-digest.md.
Related
1 eventNo direct external sources are attached to this read.