Watchlist / geopolitical
Watchlist / geopolitical
current roster plus event stream
Geopolitical risk watchlist - defense contractors (LMT/RTX/NOC/GD/LHX/BA), oil producers (XOM/CVX/OXY/COP/SLB/HAL/DVN/EOG — XOM absorbed PXD/Pioneer via 2024 acquisition), energy ETFs (USO/UNG/XLE/OIH/XOP), safe havens (GLD/SLV/GDX/UUP/TLT), defense ETFs (ITA/PPA). For monitoring during geopolitical crises.
Showing 120 of 550 events.
| 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cohort | +0.3% | +1.9% | -3.0% | +7.6% | +29.8% |
| SPY | +0.6% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +16.0% |
| Δ | -0.3% | +0.8% | -5.1% | +4.5% | +13.8% |
equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.
trend: 13 up · 0 flat · 15 down · avg RSI 49 · 43% above SMA200 · covered 28/28
Holdings
Bloomberg — asset managers are dumping long-duration Treasury futures, a sign of forced selling
Bloomberg — asset managers are dumping long-duration Treasury futures, a sign of forced selling
Eric Nuttall — $80-plus WTI for 2027 is now on the table, with free-cash-flow yields up about half
Eric Nuttall — $80-plus WTI for 2027 is now on the table, with free-cash-flow yields up about half
Gaurab — Patriot missile replenishment runs through a handful of US ball-screw grinders
Gaurab — Patriot missile replenishment runs through a handful of US ball-screw grinders
Eric Nuttall — exports recover to a 14.3MM bbl/d 7-day average but are still ~4MM short, and OilX has Mideast output down 6.6MM bbl/d
Eric Nuttall — exports recover to a 14.3MM bbl/d 7-day average but are still ~4MM short, and OilX has Mideast output down 6.6MM bbl/d
Bloomberg — five-year Treasury yields breach 5% for the first time since 2007 as the bond slide deepens
Bloomberg — five-year Treasury yields breach 5% for the first time since 2007 as the bond slide deepens
MarketWatch — jet fuel is following diesel's price jump as refineries run short
MarketWatch — jet fuel is following diesel's price jump as refineries run short
CNBC — record diesel hits trucks and rails first, then everything they carry
CNBC — record diesel hits trucks and rails first, then everything they carry
Feed generated 2026-10-09.