AI optics: bandwidth becomes supplier earnings · Campaigns
Campaign
AI optics: bandwidth becomes supplier earnings
active · AI · Optics
Horizon 6–18 months; the shared test with the AI-spending counter-case runs through March 2027. Last research review Latest evidence Priority high
Evidence
Supports, challenges and context. A linked source is not confirmation by itself.
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CPU Shortage Thesis — First-Principles Derivation
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Investigation — SpaceX IPO Deep Dive: Separate Trades + the Oxygen Question
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Investigation — Optical supercycle WHY: what specifically drove the CIEN/COHR demand acceleration
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Weird-ETF rotation read — MSTR-leverage breakdown, AI-stack narrowing, defensives flat
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Thread: AI counterparty taxonomy — graduating tickers vs permanent watched entities, with Cerebras May 15 as the forcing function
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aleabit SIVE victory lap thread — 2027 mass-production thesis with fundamentals divergence — tweet
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CPO supercycle thesis — Sivers / Shunsin / MSSCorps / TSEM — tweet
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$AAOI's 1.6T pluggable optics line at OFC 26 is running on $VIAV ONE-1600 test e
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POET Technologies — Deep Dive (2026-04-28)
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Track Record + Method Note — @aleabitoreddit
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Leopold Aschenbrenner Q4 2025 13F — Pure Energy Play
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AI Supply Chain leadership leaderboard — top 12 +106-303% YTD + do-more-of-whats-working methodology — tweet
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Photonics value chain TODAY vs FUTURE — TSEM/SOI/ALMU/LPKF — tweet
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AI Optical Supercycle — April 12, 2026
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@aleabitoreddit — 30 random US stocks I like today and why
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Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead — Leopold Aschenbrenner (June 2024)