Defensive Scan

Scan

Defensive Scan

Scan symbols 14
COSTECLHDEHRLLOWEMCDPPCSBUXTGTETSNVZWMTEXLPXLU
Watchlists 1
@defensive-scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 28 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-defensive-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-13-defensive-scan.mdscan slugdefensive-scansource typescan-archive

Defensives under pressure despite risk-off market: HD RSI 29.1, LOW RSI 24.6, PPC RSI 25.5 — home improvement and poultry in capitulation. VZ the standout at RSI 71.7 near 52wk highs. SBUX recovering (+16.9% 3M). XLP and XLU holding better than cyclicals but XLP pulling back -5.3% 30D.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 MIXED — Telecom (VZ) and utilities (XLU) performing their defensive role. But consumer-facing defensives (HD, LOW, HRL, PPC) getting crushed alongside housing weakness. Quality defensives (WMT, COST, MCD) holding near SMAs.
Leaders VZ (RSI 71.7, +28.1% 3M), SBUX (+16.9% 3M, RSI 56.8), WMT (+8.3% 3M), COST (+13.3% 3M)
Laggards LOW (RSI 24.6, -15.5% 30D), PPC (RSI 25.5, -13.5% 30D), HD (RSI 29.1, -10.9% 30D), HRL (-6.2% 7D)

Price Table

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal
VZ $51.37 71.7 $49.99 +2.8% -0.1% +5.0% 🟠 Near overbought, near 52wk high
T $27.72 52.4 $28.11 -1.4% -4.5% -3.4% 🟡 Neutral
WMT $126.52 53.4 $126.13 +0.3% +1.3% -1.8% 🟢 At SMA, +18% vs SMA200
MCD $325.21 48.5 $329.45 -1.3% -0.3% -1.5% 🟡 Neutral, strong-up
COST $1,000.92 54.7 $998.45 +0.2% +0.8% +0.2% 🟢 At SMA, strong-up
SBUX $99.15 56.8 $97.66 +1.5% +3.1% +3.9% 🟢 Above SMA, recovering
TGT $116.73 53.5 $116.92 -0.2% -0.6% +3.6% 🟢 Strong-up, +20% vs SMA200
HD $339.07 29.1 $366.64 -7.5% -4.9% -10.9% 🔴 Home improvement oversold, death cross
LOW $237.64 24.6 $262.98 -9.6% -4.3% -15.5% 🔴 Capitulation
HRL $22.97 36.9 $24.35 -5.7% -6.2% -2.0% 🟡 Death cross, -27% from high
TSN $60.38 40.0 $62.52 -3.4% -3.8% -3.9% 🟡 Fading
PPC $36.05 25.5 $41.19 -12.5% -9.0% -13.5% 🔴 Poultry collapse, death cross
ECL $277.20 31.7 $296.69 -6.6% -5.0% -7.8% 🟡 Approaching oversold
XLP $84.51 39.7 $87.64 -3.6% -1.2% -5.3% 🟡 Staples pulling back
XLU $46.83 59.4 $46.70 +0.3% -1.0% +3.5% 🟢 Utilities holding

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis
LOW $230-240 RSI 24.6, capitulation. Home improvement duopoly. Same housing weakness as ITB/XHB.
HD $330-340 RSI 29.1, oversold. Best-in-class retailer at a discount.
VZ Wait for pullback RSI 71.7, overbought. Don't chase.
ECL $270-280 RSI 31.7, approaching oversold. Quality compounder.

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
✅ STRONG BUY LOW RSI 24.6, capitulation. Home improvement duopoly at deep discount.
📈 ACCUMULATE HD RSI 29.1, oversold. Quality franchise.
🔒 HOLD WMT, COST, SBUX, MCD At or above SMAs, strong-up trends.
⚠️ AVOID VZ RSI 71.7, don't chase.
🔍 WATCH ECL, PPC Approaching/at oversold. Validate thesis.
❌ DON'T BUY HRL Death cross, structural decline.

What Changed

Bottom line: Home improvement (HD, LOW) is joining the housing sector capitulation — LOW RSI 24.6 is the deepest oversold in the defensive universe. Quality defensives (WMT, COST, MCD, SBUX) holding their ground. VZ leading telecoms but overbought.

The Gold

Key Discoveries:

  • LOW RSI 24.6 = capitulation entry for home improvement duopoly if housing weakness is cyclical
  • VZ +28.1% 3M is the best-performing defensive — telecom as the new safe haven
  • WMT +49.7% 1Y massively outperforming — consumer trade-down thesis working

Mistakes to Avoid:

  • Don't chase VZ at RSI 71.7
  • Don't assume LOW/HD bottomed — housing cycle could worsen

Open Questions:

  • Is LOW/HD weakness driven by housing starts decline or consumer spending pullback?
  • Will PPC recover or is the poultry cycle turning?
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Mar 12 ScanDefensive Scan Mar 11 ScanDefensive Scan Mar 10 ScanDefensive Scan Mar 20 ScanDefensive Scan Mar 24 ScanDefensive Scan Mar 26 ScanDefensive Scan Mar 31 ScanDefensive Scan Apr 3 ScanDefensive Scan Apr 10 ScanDefensive Scan Apr 13 Scan3 — DEFENSIVE SCAN

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