Cloud ETFs Scan
Cloud ETFs Scan
Cloud / SaaS — Broad sector devastation. Every ETF and individual name is in strong-down with death crosses, RSI compression to 34–46 range, and 3-month losses of -14% to -58%. The only exception is NET, which holds above SMA200 (+1.6%) with an "up" trend — a lone island in a sea of red. TEAM's -57.9% in 3M is the most shocking single data point in the scan.
ETF Dashboard
| Symbol | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WCLD | $27.15 | 43.3 | -3.6% | -3.2% | -2.1% | -22.5% | strong-down |
| IGV | $79.66 | 40.3 | -4.7% | -4.3% | -3.8% | -24.6% | strong-down |
| CLOU | $19.38 | 47.5 | -1.2% | -2.9% | +2.4% | -14.3% | strong-down |
| SKYY | $108.50 | 43.0 | -2.7% | -5.2% | -1.7% | -16.6% | strong-down |
Individual Cloud Holdings
| Symbol | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET | $204.56 | 51.1 | -1.8% | -11.0% | +13.0% | +3.8% | up |
| CRM | $186.62 | 43.5 | -3.1% | -0.3% | -3.3% | -29.6% | strong-down |
| ADBE | $242.26 | 38.2 | -5.3% | +0.7% | -7.1% | -30.8% | strong-down |
| INTU | $430.79 | 45.6 | -3.5% | -1.6% | +2.8% | -34.9% | strong-down |
| NOW | $104.67 | 41.3 | -6.5% | -0.9% | -4.3% | -31.7% | strong-down |
| WDAY | $129.76 | 39.8 | -4.3% | -1.9% | -3.2% | -39.6% | strong-down |
| ORCL | $145.24 | 44.0 | -3.9% | -6.2% | -2.7% | -25.3% | strong-down |
| SAP | $170.94 | 33.8 | -7.1% | -1.2% | -12.8% | -29.6% | strong-down |
| PANW | $160.16 | 49.5 | -1.4% | -2.2% | +6.7% | -13.1% | strong-down |
| FTNT | $81.36 | 50.0 | -1.2% | -1.5% | +2.8% | +2.5% | strong-down |
| CRWD | $389.02 | 43.3 | -6.4% | -3.3% | +1.1% | -17.0% | strong-down |
| ZS | $140.15 | 37.3 | -7.1% | -4.4% | -5.7% | -37.7% | strong-down |
| CDNS | $276.15 | 40.7 | -4.3% | -2.8% | -9.0% | -11.7% | strong-down |
| SNPS | $392.83 | 38.5 | -6.4% | -7.5% | -7.5% | -16.4% | strong-down |
| MDB | $243.16 | 35.3 | -6.2% | -9.7% | -25.2% | -42.1% | down |
| SNOW | $151.60 | 34.4 | -10.9% | -7.6% | -11.0% | -30.9% | strong-down |
| DDOG | $118.11 | 45.2 | -5.0% | -7.1% | +6.3% | -13.2% | strong-down |
| OKTA | $78.42 | 49.8 | +0.1% | -2.6% | +6.0% | -9.3% | strong-down |
| HUBS | $243.75 | 43.0 | -6.5% | -2.7% | -7.5% | -39.3% | strong-down |
| TEAM | $68.30 | 36.1 | -7.5% | -2.6% | -7.5% | -57.9% | strong-down |
Tier Analysis
Tier 1 — The Only Island: NET
- NET $204.56 — The one name in this entire scan not in full retreat. RSI 51, +1.6% above SMA200, "up" trend. 30D return +13.0%, 3M return +3.8%. Death cross is technically present but price is above SMA200 and trend is "up" — the death cross is a lagging artifact. 1yr alpha vs SPY: +81.2. NET is the cloud sector's lone momentum name and the one most likely to lead any recovery. The -10.96% this week is worth monitoring — a pullback to SMA50 ($190.69) would be an entry opportunity.
Tier 2 — Stabilizing / Less Broken
- OKTA $78.42 — RSI 49.8, flat vs SMA20 (+0.1%). 30D +6%, 3M -9.3%. Relative stability compared to peers. Death cross present but short-term momentum improving.
- FTNT $81.36 — RSI 50.0, -1.2% vs SMA20. 3M +2.5% — one of only a handful of cloud-adjacent names with positive 3M performance. Death cross present but price and SMA50 nearly identical (at parity).
- PANW $160.16 — RSI 49.5, 30D +6.7%, 3M -13.1%. Less damaged than cybersec peers. Death cross but short-term stabilizing.
- DDOG $118.11 — RSI 45.2, 30D +6.3%. Data observability/monitoring narrative more AI-adjacent than pure SaaS.
- INTU $430.79 — RSI 45.6, 30D +2.8%. Tax software has seasonal support (Q1 filing season). -34.9% in 3M but recent stabilization.
Tier 3 — Active Destruction
- TEAM $68.30 — -57.9% in 3 months. -71.8% from 52wk high. RSI 36.1. The most damaged large-cap cloud name in the scan. Atlassian faces secular headwinds from AI code tools reducing ticket/project overhead.
- MDB $243.16 — -42.1% in 3M, RSI 35.3. MongoDB's document database model increasingly challenged by AI-native data paradigms.
- WDAY $129.76 — -39.6% in 3M, -38% vs SMA200. HR/finance SaaS rerating continues.
- HUBS $243.75 — -39.3% in 3M, -64.3% from 52wk high. Marketing SaaS compression extreme.
- SNOW $151.60 — -30.9% in 3M, RSI 34.4, -29.5% vs SMA200. Data cloud narrative undercut by cheaper alternatives.
- ZS $140.15 — -37.7% in 3M, -58.4% from 52wk high. Zero-trust narrative hasn't protected the stock.
Entry Zones
- NET — The only buy-on-dip candidate in the scan. Entry $190–200 on test of SMA50 ($190.69). This week's -11% selloff may be creating the entry. Stop below $180.
- OKTA — RSI 49.8 + near SMA20 support. If 30D momentum (+6%) continues, entry at current levels with tight stop at $74 (SMA50 is $81.16 — wait for that to turn).
- No other actionable entries — Most names need to establish RSI bases above 45 and show 2+ weeks of SMA20 reclaim before warranting capital.
Action Matrix
| Action | Symbol | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Watch for entry | NET | Only cloud name above SMA200, RSI 51; -11% this week = dip opportunity |
| Watch | OKTA | Stabilizing near SMA20, 30D positive momentum |
| Watch | FTNT | RSI 50, flat vs SMA50, 3M +2.5% |
| Avoid | TEAM | -57.9% in 3M, -71.8% from highs — structural collapse |
| Avoid | MDB | -42.1% in 3M, AI disruption to document DB narrative |
| Avoid | WDAY | -39.6% in 3M, -38% vs SMA200 |
| Avoid | HUBS | -64.3% from 52wk high, structural multiple compression |
| Avoid | SNOW | RSI 34.4, -30.9% in 3M, death cross |
| Avoid | SAP | RSI 33.8 (most oversold in scan), -31.8% vs SMA200 |
| Avoid (ETFs) | IGV/WCLD | -24.6%/-22.5% in 3M — no floor established |
Observations
Cloud / SaaS is experiencing a generational de-rating. The AI narrative that once inflated multiples is now being used to justify compression: if AI models commoditize workflows, the SaaS subscription model loses pricing power. TEAM's -57.9% in one quarter is an extreme data point but may be the canary — project management software is exactly the category where AI agents reduce human overhead. The ETFs (IGV, WCLD, SKYY) are all in strong-down with death crosses and no SMA200 support anywhere. NET stands alone as proof that not all cloud is equal — security/networking/edge infrastructure is treated differently than pure workflow SaaS. The playbook for this sector: wait for RSI basing above 45 across multiple names + ETF reclaim of SMA50 before building broad exposure. For now, only NET is worth active monitoring.
Data: 2026-03-31 pre-computed summaries.
Related
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