← all events raw scan snapshot Feb 3, 2026 — prices as of scan date, not live 78 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-cloud-etfs ported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-02-03-cloud-etfs.md scan slugcloud-etfs source typescan-archive
The contrarian thesis: AI accelerates SaaS, survivors will be bigger and stronger. ALL FOUR NOW OVERSOLD (RSI < 30).
Quick Snapshot Signal Reading Overall 🟢 CAPITULATION IN PROGRESS - All 4 ETFs oversold (RSI 14-24), -18-33% from 52wk highs Key insight IGV RSI 14 = extreme oversold. WCLD RSI 18. This is the entry signal we were waiting for.
Action Matrix Action ETFs Why ✅ STRONG BUY IGV RSI 14 = extreme oversold, includes profitable names (ADBE, CRM) ✅ STRONG BUY WCLD RSI 18 = oversold, pure cloud-native, highest beta if thesis right 🔍 RESEARCH CLOU RSI 24 = oversold, similar to WCLD 🔍 WATCH SKYY RSI 24 = oversold, broader cloud (includes infra)
Legend
RSI ↓ = Oversold (<30) - potential buying opportunity
RSI ↑ = Overbought (>70) - FOMO warning, may pullback
52wkHi = % from 52-week high (how far below peak)
Data ETF Price 1D 7D 30D 3M 52wkHi RSI Expense Status Action WCLD $27.88 -5.0% -7.4% -18.6% -22.3% -32.7% 18 ↓ 0.45% 🟢 OVERSOLD ✅ Strong Buy IGV $85.02 -3.3% -8.2% -18.0% -26.5% -27.9% 14 ↓ 0.40% 🟢 EXTREME OVERSOLD ✅ Strong Buy CLOU $19.35 -4.7% -5.9% -13.5% -19.9% -26.2% 24 ↓ 0.68% 🟢 Oversold 🔍 Research SKYY $112.85 -3.9% -6.0% -12.2% -21.3% -21.5% 24 ↓ 0.60% 🟢 Oversold 🔍 Watch
Technical read: ALL FOUR OVERSOLD. This is the capitulation we were waiting for.
Top Holdings Breakdown What's inside these ETFs? Here's what's driving the moves.
By Category Category Stocks RSI Range Status Enterprise SaaS CRM, NOW, WDAY, ORCL, SAP 14-24 🟢 EXTREME Creative/Consumer ADBE, INTU 16-25 🟢 EXTREME Security PANW, CRWD, ZS, FTNT, OKTA 16-50 🟢 Oversold (mixed) Data Platforms SNOW, MDB, DDOG 22-44 🟢 Oversold Dev Tools/Collab TEAM, HUBS, NET 16-39 🟢 CRUSHED to mixed EDA/Design CDNS, SNPS 20-23 🟢 Oversold
All Holdings (Ranked by RSI - Most Oversold First) Stock Price 30D 52wkHi RSI Category Status CRM $193.75 -24.4% -44.3% 14 ↓ Enterprise SaaS 🟢 EXTREME ORCL $152.97 -20.4% -40.5% 15 ↓ Enterprise SaaS 🟢 EXTREME INTU $432.20 -31.7% -46.9% 16 ↓ Consumer/SMB 🟢 EXTREME PANW $164.61 -9.6% -21.6% 16 ↓ Security 🟢 EXTREME HUBS $245.76 -35.3% -72.1% 16 ↓ Dev Tools 🔴 CRUSHED WDAY $173.37 -17.0% -38.9% 18 ↓ Enterprise SaaS 🟢 EXTREME SNPS $418.27 -15.3% - 20 ↓ EDA 🟢 Oversold SNOW $170.57 -24.0% -39.2% 22 ↓ Data Platform 🟢 EXTREME NOW $109.04 -26.1% -48.4% 23 ↓ Enterprise SaaS 🟢 EXTREME CDNS $267.27 -11.3% - 23 ↓ EDA 🟢 Oversold SAP $196.99 -18.1% -25.4% 24 ↓ Enterprise SaaS 🟢 Oversold ADBE $272.32 -17.9% -41.5% 25 ↓ Creative 🟢 Oversold ZS $186.75 -16.2% -44.6% 27 ↓ Security 🟢 Oversold OKTA $81.63 -6.9% -36.0% 28 ↓ Security/Identity 🟢 Oversold TEAM $105.01 -31.8% -67.8% 28 ↓ Dev Tools 🔴 CRUSHED CRWD $417.12 -8.6% -26.4% 29 ↓ Security 🟢 Oversold MDB $336.45 -20.0% -24.4% 29 ↓ Data Platform 🟢 Oversold NET $166.46 -15.8% -36.0% 39 Edge/CDN 🟡 Pullback DDOG $118.10 -11.6% -41.4% 44 Observability 🟡 Pullback FTNT $78.39 +0.6% -29.2% 50 Security 🟡 OUTPERFORMER
Stars vs Losers ⭐ Relative Outperformers (Holding Up) Stock 30D 52wkHi RSI Why Outperforming FTNT +0.6% -29% 50 Security demand, profitable, defensive DDOG -11.6% -41% 44 Observability essential, less rate sensitive NET -15.8% -36% 39 Edge computing, AI at edge thesis CRWD -8.6% -26% 29 Security leader, recovered from July incident PANW -9.6% -22% 16 Platform consolidation winner
Pattern: Security names (FTNT , CRWD , PANW ) and infrastructure (DDOG , NET ) holding better than pure SaaS.
💀 Biggest Losers (Crushed) Stock 30D 52wkHi RSI Why Crushed HUBS -35.3% -72.1% 16 SMB weakness, Google competition fears TEAM -31.8% -67.8% 28 Atlassian cloud transition pain INTU -31.7% -46.9% 16 AI disruption fears (TurboTax) NOW -26.1% -48.4% 23 ServiceNow selloff despite strength CRM -24.4% -44.3% 14 Salesforce AI narrative not landing SNOW -24.0% -39.2% 22 Data cloud competition, margins
Pattern: SMB-exposed (HUBS , INTU ), collaboration (TEAM ), and high-multiple names crushed hardest.
🎯 The Opportunity Matrix If You Believe... Buy These Avoid SaaS recovery CRM, NOW, WDAY (RSI 14-23) HUBS, TEAM (broken) Security wins PANW, CRWD, ZS OKTA (identity commoditizing) Data platforms SNOW, MDB DDOG (less oversold) Infrastructure NET, DDOG - Safer/Profitable ADBE, INTU, ORCL, SAP Unprofitable cloud-native
Analysis The Thesis
"Sector rotation is flushing out the non-committed. A few survivors will be bigger and stronger than ever. AI accelerates SaaS, doesn't kill it."
Why the market is wrong:
AI hype → all money goes to chips/infra → SaaS abandoned
But AI features need to LIVE somewhere → SaaS apps are the delivery mechanism
Every SaaS company adding AI features = stickier products, higher prices
CRM , NOW , WDAY , etc. are adding AI → more value, not less
This is a classic sector rotation flush before consolidation
Technical Setup Signal Status Implication RSI < 30 ✅ ALL FOUR Capitulation territory -20%+ from 52wk high ✅ ALL FOUR Significant drawdown Volume spike 🔍 Monitor Watch for capitulation volume Higher low ⏳ Waiting Need price to stabilize
WCLD vs IGV Decision Factor WCLD IGV Current RSI 18 (oversold) 14 (EXTREME oversold) 30D Performance -18.6% -18.0% From 52wk High -32.7% -27.9% What's in it Pure unprofitable cloud-native Mix of profitable + growth Risk Higher - rate sensitive Medium - anchored by ADBE, CRM Upside if right Highest Good Expense 0.45% 0.40%
Verdict: Both are screaming buy on technicals. IGV is safer (profitable anchors), WCLD has more upside (pure play).
The Gold Key Discoveries Discovery Implication IGV RSI 14 = extreme oversold This level rarely happens, historically strong buy signal All 4 cloud ETFs oversold simultaneously Sector-wide capitulation, not stock-specific 17 of 20 top holdings RSI < 30 Breadth confirms capitulation, not just a few names HUBS -72%, TEAM -68% from highs SMB/collab names crushed - avoid or contrarian? FTNT only green (+0.6% 30D) Security with profitability = safe haven Security (PANW, CRWD) RSI 16-29 Even leaders getting flushed CRM RSI 14 = Salesforce extreme #1 CRM at decade-low RSI
Entry Strategy Given all four are now oversold, here's the play:
Option Position Why Conservative 50% IGV now Extreme oversold, profitable anchors Aggressive 50% WCLD now Higher beta, pure thesis play Split 25% IGV + 25% WCLD Diversified exposure DCA 25% now, 25% if drops 10% more Average into bottom
Price Levels to Watch ETF Current Support Resistance All-Time High WCLD $27.88 $25 (2022 low area) $35 $62 (2021) IGV $85.02 $75 (support) $100 $118 (52wk) CLOU $19.35 $17 $23 $37 (2021) SKYY $112.85 $100 $130 $144 (52wk)
Open Questions
Is this THE bottom or more pain ahead?
Will Fed pivot language accelerate the bounce?
Which SaaS companies are monetizing AI best?
Verdict on This Scan Actually actionable NOW:
⭐ IGV : RSI 14 = extreme oversold. Start position now. Includes profitable names (ADBE , CRM , INTU ) as anchors.
⭐ WCLD : RSI 18 = oversold. Start position now if you want pure cloud-native exposure.
Entry strategy:
If conservative: 50% IGV now, add 50% on confirmation (higher low)
If aggressive: 50% WCLD now, add 50% if it drops to $25
If both: 25% each now, DCA the rest
Catalysts to watch:
Fed rate cut signals
Cloud earnings (CRM , NOW , ADBE )
SaaS pricing power / AI monetization news
Pass on:
CLOU (higher expense, similar to WCLD )
SKYY (broader, less pure thesis)
Next Actions
Decide: IGV vs WCLD vs both
Set position size (1-3% given high conviction)
Enter starter position (50% of planned allocation)
Set alerts: WCLD $25, IGV $75 (add more if hit)
Monitor: Fed language, cloud earnings
Track: RSI bounce above 30 = confirmation
Commands ETFs the desk's own tooling
the desk's own tooling
the desk's own tooling
the desk's own tooling
Top Holdings (what's inside) the desk's own tooling
the desk's own tooling
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