EV & Clean Energy Scan
EV & Clean Energy Scan
EV / Clean Energy — A bifurcated sector with extreme outliers in both directions. SEDG (+76.5% in 3M), BE (+53.3% in 3M), and PLUG (+12.7% in 3M) are in strong-up momentum. Chinese EVs (NIO, LI) are stabilizing. Meanwhile TSLA continues its post-election unwind (-18% in 3M), and LCID/ENPH remain structurally broken. The clean energy ETFs (LIT, TAN, ICLN) are all positive 3M — sector rotation into energy transition names is real despite headline weakness.
| Symbol | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | $369.02 | 40.1 | -4.7% | -7.6% | -8.5% | -17.9% | down |
| BYDDY | $13.55 | 58.1 | +5.8% | -1.8% | +7.0% | +11.9% | up |
| LI | $17.80 | 52.0 | +1.5% | -2.4% | +1.3% | +5.1% | weak-up |
| NIO | $6.01 | 60.1 | +8.6% | -4.8% | +27.3% | +17.8% | up |
| XPEV | $17.06 | 42.3 | -6.8% | -11.5% | +0.4% | -15.9% | strong-down |
| RIVN | $15.01 | 46.4 | -3.0% | -7.7% | 0.0% | -23.9% | weak-down |
| LCID | $9.52 | 44.3 | -5.2% | -11.2% | -5.1% | -9.9% | strong-down |
| BE | $133.18 | 44.4 | -10.6% | -13.4% | -19.8% | +53.3% | weak-down |
| PLUG | $2.22 | 51.9 | -1.3% | -4.9% | +22.7% | +12.7% | strong-up |
| ENPH | $37.31 | 39.9 | -10.8% | -12.4% | -16.6% | +16.4% | weak-down |
| SEDG | $50.92 | 61.7 | +18.4% | -2.1% | +25.4% | +76.5% | strong-up |
| FSLR | $195.62 | 45.7 | +0.6% | -2.7% | -2.1% | -25.1% | strong-down |
| LIT | $73.75 | 57.1 | +4.1% | +3.7% | -2.0% | +13.7% | strong-up |
| DRIV | $30.25 | 46.8 | -0.4% | -3.7% | -7.1% | +2.3% | weak-down |
| KARS | $31.76 | 50.2 | +0.4% | -0.1% | -4.0% | +4.0% | weak-down |
| TAN | $55.12 | 48.6 | -0.3% | -3.5% | -2.2% | +12.2% | weak-down |
| ICLN | $18.11 | 48.7 | -0.5% | -3.2% | -1.2% | +10.2% | weak-down |
Tier Analysis
Tier 1 — Strong Momentum (Strong-Up or Up Trend)
- SEDG $50.92 — The monster of the scan. RSI 61.7, +76.5% in 3M, +25.4% in 30D, strong-up trend, golden cross, +53.2% above SMA200, only -4.4% from 52wk high. SolarEdge has reversed from a catastrophic multi-year decline into a genuine momentum name. 1yr alpha +216.7 vs SPY. Watch for RSI extended risk (61.7 — approaching overbought range).
- LIT $73.75 — Lithium/battery ETF. Strong-up, golden cross, +26.7% above SMA200, RSI 57, +13.7% in 3M. The EV supply chain rotation is real. 1yr alpha +83.
- PLUG $2.22 — Hydrogen fuel cells. Strong-up, golden cross, +12.7% in 3M, +5.4% above SMA200. RSI 51.9 — momentum without being overextended. The $2 floor thesis getting tested; +22.7% in 30D is notable given the prior multi-year collapse.
- NIO $6.01 — RSI 60.1, +27.3% in 30D, +17.8% in 3M. Chinese EV recovery narrative + domestic market growth. +10.7% above SMA200, "up" trend. 1yr: +73.7%.
- BYDDY $13.55 — RSI 58.1, +7.0% in 30D, +11.9% in 3M, "up" trend. BYD is the world's largest EV company by volume, trading at a fraction of TSLA's valuation multiple.
Tier 2 — Stabilizing / Early Recovery
- LI $17.80 — Weak-up trend, RSI 52, +1.5% above SMA20, +1.3% in 30D, +5.1% in 3M. Li Auto's range-extended hybrid model gaining traction in China. Not breaking out but not breaking down.
- TAN $55.12 — Solar ETF. Weak-down trend but above SMA200 (+17.5%), RSI 49, +12.2% in 3M. The 3M strength clashes with weak-down trend — price pulling back from Q4 run.
- ICLN $18.11 — Clean energy ETF. Weak-down but +12.8% above SMA200, +10.2% in 3M. Same dynamic as TAN — sector ETF in pullback after a strong run.
- BE $133.18 — Bloom Energy. Weak-down, RSI 44. But: +53.3% in 3M, +41% above SMA200, golden cross. The recent -13.4% this week and -19.8% in 30D represents a sharp pullback from an overextended parabolic move. The underlying 3M story is bullish; the near-term is a consolidation/retracement.
Tier 3 — Declining / Broken
- TSLA $369.02 — Down trend, RSI 40.1, -17.9% in 3M, -9% vs SMA50. The post-election euphoria has fully reversed. Golden cross technically still present but price deteriorating toward SMA200 ($396 — already below it). Brand damage from Musk political activity is the new variable in the thesis. -26% from 52wk high.
- ENPH $37.31 — Weak-down, RSI 39.9, -12.4% this week, -16.6% in 30D. Despite 3M +16.4% (from a very low base), the near-term is deteriorating sharply. +0.6% vs SMA200 but breaking down. Solar microinverter market faces European demand slowdown.
- XPEV $17.06 — Strong-down, -11.5% this week, -15.9% in 3M. The weakest Chinese EV name in the scan.
- FSLR $195.62 — Strong-down, -25.1% in 3M, -10.3% vs SMA200, death cross. First Solar faces margin compression despite US manufacturing advantage.
- LCID $9.52 — Strong-down, -71.7% from 52wk high, -43% vs SMA200. Lucid remains a cash-burning EV startup with no clear path to scale. Avoid.
- RIVN $15.01 — Weak-down, -23.9% in 3M. Amazon delivery van contract provides a floor but RIVN remains pre-profit.
Entry Zones
- SEDG — RSI 61.7 and +18.4% above SMA20 means this is extended. Wait for pullback to SMA20 ($42.99) — that's a -15.6% dip from current price. The 3M +76.5% move justifies patience for a proper entry. Aggressive: entry on any dip to $44–46.
- LIT — Strong-up ETF. Entry on test of SMA20 ($70.84) — only -4% below current. Clean entry for sector exposure.
- NIO — Momentum play. RSI 60, +27.3% in 30D. Entry on any pullback to SMA20 ($5.54). Stop below $5.10 (SMA50).
- BE — The pullback from the parabolic move is creating a potential entry. Golden cross intact, 3M story solid. Entry zone $125–133, stop below SMA50 ($151.64 — note: price has already broken below SMA50 which is a caution flag; wait for reclaim).
- PLUG — Strong-up, RSI 51.9. Entry at current $2.22 or on any dip to SMA20 ($2.25). Tight stop below $2.00.
Action Matrix
| Action | Symbol | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Watch for pullback | SEDG | +76.5% in 3M — wait for SMA20 retest ($42.99) before entry |
| Hold/Add on dips | LIT | Strong-up ETF, RSI 57, clean sector vehicle; entry near SMA20 |
| Momentum entry | NIO | RSI 60, +27.3% in 30D, above SMA200 |
| Watch | BYDDY | RSI 58, "up" trend; world's #1 EV producer at low valuation |
| Watch | PLUG | Strong-up, RSI 52; hydrogen recovery thesis |
| Watch | BE | Pullback after parabolic move; wait for SMA50 reclaim |
| Monitor | LI | Weak-up, stabilizing; entry on confirmed SMA20 hold |
| Reduce/Avoid | TSLA | Trend "down," brand damage variable, -17.9% in 3M |
| Avoid | LCID | -71.7% from highs, cash burn, no scale path |
| Avoid | FSLR | Death cross, -25.1% in 3M, margin compression |
| Avoid | XPEV | Weakest Chinese EV, -11.5% this week |
| Caution | ENPH | Near-term deteriorating despite 3M base; -12.4% this week |
Observations
The EV/clean energy sector is splitting into three groups: (1) the momentum monsters — SEDG, BE, PLUG, NIO, LIT — driven by real operational inflections or narrative tailwinds; (2) the China EV stabilizers — BYDDY, LI, NIO — benefiting from domestic Chinese EV market growth even as Western markets slow; and (3) the structural failures — LCID, RIVN, FSLR, XPEV.
TSLA deserves special attention: it is no longer the "must-own EV proxy" it was in 2023-2024. Brand erosion from Musk's political profile has created a new variable in the thesis that can't be valued with traditional technicals. The golden cross is technically present but price is crumbling toward SMA200. The question of whether TSLA is a car company, an AI robotics company, or a political lightning rod is genuinely open.
SEDG's +76.5% in 3 months is the most aggressive momentum move in this scan — and possibly across all scans this quarter. It deserves monitoring for blow-off risk at current RSI 61.7 levels.
Data: 2026-03-31 pre-computed summaries.
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