EV & Clean Energy Scan

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EV & Clean Energy Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 50 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/2026-04-26-ev-clean-energy.md

This is the most bifurcated scan in the workspace. Bloom Energy (BE) is up +1,121% in one year and +54% in 30 days — a genuine monster in an otherwise mixed-to-broken space. The EV OEMs are split: Chinese names (NIO, RIVN) show golden crosses while TSLA, BYDDY, LCID break down. Clean energy ETFs (DRIV, KARS, LIT, ICLN) are all printing golden crosses and near 52-week highs. Solar is getting left behind (ENPH, FSLR). Last scan was 16 days ago (2026-04-10).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Bifurcated — energy storage/grid plays ripping, EV OEMs mostly broken
Monster BE $231, RSI 71, +54% 30D, +1121% 1Y — do NOT chase
ETF sweep DRIV RSI 73, KARS RSI 65, LIT RSI 67, ICLN RSI 63 — all golden cross, near highs
EV OEMs TSLA -19% 3M, BYDDY -5% 30D, LCID in collapse (-41% 30D)
Solar struggling ENPH -16% 30D, FSLR flat 30D but -20% 3M

Section 1: EV OEMs

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA200 Trend Status
RIVN $15.90 +0.9% +3.7% -9.1% 55 +5.6% strong-up 🟢 Healthy
NIO $6.21 -7.2% +7.4% +34.7% 51 +9.4% strong-up 🟢 Healthy
TSLA $352.42 -2.8% -10.9% -19.8% 39 -11.3% strong-down 🟡 Neutral
LI $18.13 -3.0% +0.3% +7.0% 49 -12.6% weak-up 🟡 Neutral
XPEV $17.47 -0.6% -13.0% -15.1% 46 -12.6% strong-down 🟡 Neutral
BYDDY $12.94 -7.7% -4.6% +2.5% 44 -2.9% strong-down 🟡 Neutral
LCID $6.25 -10.4% -41.5% -41.3% 27 -59.8% strong-down 🔴 Breakdown

EV OEM Analysis

RIVN $15.90 | RSI 55 | Golden Cross | +5.6% above SMA200 Rivian is the best-positioned EV name technically. Golden cross, above SMA200, RSI 55. +37% 1 year. The Amazon delivery van contract and R2 platform are the catalysts. Not a home run but the technical setup is cleaner than any Chinese EV name.

NIO $6.21 | RSI 51 | Golden Cross | +34.7% 3M NIO is the surprise — golden cross, +9% above SMA200, +34.7% in 3 months. +54% 1 year. The China EV market is showing signs of recovery and NIO's onavo (power swap) infrastructure differentiation is getting traction. RSI 51 neutral — not chasing but watching.

TSLA $352.42 | RSI 39 | Death Cross | -11% below SMA200 Tesla is in a difficult spot. -19.8% 3M, death cross, -11.3% below SMA200. The Musk political overhang is real and quantifiable — brand damage in Europe and coastal US is showing in delivery numbers. RSI 39 approaching oversold but not there. The FSD/Robotaxi thesis is the bull case; it needs a delivery beat or robotaxi milestone to reverse. Watch for RSI < 33 as a potential speculative entry level.

LI $18.13 | RSI 49 | +7% 3M Li Auto is the most stable Chinese EV name. RSI 49, -12.6% below SMA200, but +7% 3M suggests underlying demand holding up. The extended range hybrid strategy (not pure EV) reduces charging infrastructure risk. Neutral.

XPEV $17.47 | RSI 46 | Death Cross | -13% 30D XPeng is breaking down. -13% 30D, -15.1% 3M, death cross. -38% from 52-week high. Competition from BYD is intense. No entry.

BYDDY $12.94 | RSI 44 | -35% from 52wk high BYD is the world's largest EV maker but the ADR is not cooperating. -7.7% 7D, -35% from high. Death cross. The China domestic dominance doesn't translate to ADR price momentum in a risk-off environment.

LCID $6.25 | RSI 27 | -42% 30D | -81% from 52wk high Lucid is a falling knife with deteriorating fundamentals. -41.5% in 30 days. RSI 27 is technically oversold but this is bankruptcy-risk territory. -75% 1 year, -91% 3 years. The Saudi PIF backing is the only reason this is still trading. Oversold does not mean buy.


Section 2: Batteries / Fuel Cells / Solar

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA200 Trend Status
BE $231.17 +10.4% +53.9% +65.6% 71 +113.2% strong-up 🟠 Overbought
PLUG $2.93 +11.4% +30.8% +24.2% 70 +34.4% strong-up 🟠 Near Overbought
ENS $209.30 +5.0% +18.0% +19.8% 75 +50.3% strong-up 🔴 Overbought
SEDG $43.21 -11.3% +6.1% +24.2% 49 +26.0% strong-up 🟡 Neutral
ENPH $35.77 +10.6% -15.9% -9.3% 50 -2.0% down 🟡 Neutral
FSLR $193.76 +0.7% +0.1% -20.3% 48 -12.3% strong-down 🟡 Neutral
NXT $110.12 -0.9% -6.8% +14.3% 46 +23.2% weak-down 🟡 Neutral

Batteries / Energy Storage / Fuel Cell Analysis

BE $231.17 | RSI 71 | +1,121% 1Y | DO NOT CHASE Bloom Energy is a generational move. +1,121% 1 year, +113% above SMA200, RSI 71 approaching overbought. This is what a parabolic looks like on the back end of a major thesis turn (AI data center power demand). The energy storage/fuel cell narrative has been validated. But RSI 71 and 113% above SMA200 means this is NOT an entry. This is a hold-if-you-have-it or wait-for-the-pullback situation. The risk of a -30% correction on profit-taking at these levels is real.

ENS $209.30 | RSI 75 | +18% 30D | OVERBOUGHT EnerSys (industrial batteries) is printing RSI 75 and is near its all-time high. +144% 1 year, +50% above SMA200. Same data center power / grid storage narrative as BE. RSI 75 is overbought. Do not buy at these levels.

PLUG $2.93 | RSI 70 | +31% 30D | Near Overbought Plug Power's hydrogen fuel cell story is catching a bid. +31% 30D, RSI 70, +34% above SMA200. Golden cross. But PLUG is a long-term value destroyer (-89% over 5 years) — this is a momentum trade, not an investment. Dangerous at RSI 70.

SEDG $43.21 | RSI 49 | Golden Cross | +26% above SMA200 SolarEdge is recovering. +241% 1 year (from very depressed levels), golden cross, +26% above SMA200. RSI 49 neutral after a -11.3% week. The inverter business is recovering but SEDG remains structurally challenged by Chinese competition. Neutral.

ENPH $35.77 | RSI 50 | -16% 30D Enphase had a bad month (-15.9% 30D) but +10.6% this week suggests a bounce off lows. RSI 50 neutral. -34% from 52-week high. The residential solar microinverter business is rate-sensitive (rooftop solar installers dry up when financing costs rise). No conviction either way.

FSLR $193.76 | RSI 48 | Death Cross | -20% 3M First Solar is the US solar manufacturer narrative (domestic IRA beneficiary) but the stock is breaking down: -20.3% 3M, death cross, -12.3% below SMA200. Policy uncertainty around IRA tariffs and tax credits is the headwind. RSI 48 not compelling.


Section 3: ETFs

ETF Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA200 Trend Status
DRIV $36.11 +2.0% +16.9% +10.0% 73 +22.8% strong-up 🔴 Overbought
LIT $83.79 +1.2% +16.3% +12.5% 67 +35.7% strong-up 🟠 Near Overbought
KARS $35.76 +0.4% +11.4% +8.6% 65 +18.7% strong-up 🟠 Near Overbought
ICLN $19.99 +3.0% +6.3% +9.8% 63 +20.6% strong-up 🟠 Near Overbought
TAN $54.90 +1.1% -3.3% +6.6% 49 +14.9% weak-down 🟡 Neutral

ETF Analysis

All four of the primary ETFs (DRIV, LIT, KARS, ICLN) are golden cross + near 52-week highs + overbought RSI territory. This is a sweep — the macro narrative (AI power demand, grid storage buildout, EV infrastructure) is working at the ETF level even while individual EV OEMs are mixed.

DRIV $36.11 | RSI 73 | Golden Cross | -0.6% from 52wk high Autonomous/EV broad ETF is the biggest mover. RSI 73 is overbought. +76% 1 year. If you own this, hold. Do not add at RSI 73.

LIT $83.79 | RSI 67 | Golden Cross | -1.4% from 52wk high Lithium/battery ETF is near all-time high. +128% 1 year. RSI 67 approaching overbought. The battery materials story is working.

TAN $54.90 | RSI 49 | Golden Cross | +15% above SMA200 The solar ETF is the relative laggard — RSI 49, -3.3% 30D. The golden cross is positive but individual solar names (ENPH, FSLR) are weighing it down. Best relative entry of the ETF group but no urgency.


Entry Zones

OVERSOLD (RSI < 30) — Capitulation Territory

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Action Notes
LCID $6.25 27 -41.5% ❌ Don't Buy RSI oversold but bankruptcy risk. This is NOT a buy.

APPROACHING OVERSOLD — Watch

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Action Notes
TSLA $352.42 <$320 39 -10.9% 🔍 Watch RSI approaching. Brand damage real. Need RSI <33 + catalyst.
BYDDY $12.94 <$12 44 -4.6% 🔍 Watch World's largest EV maker. Wait for RSI <38.

OVERBOUGHT — Don't Chase

Stock Current RSI 30D Action Notes
BE $231.17 71 +54% ⚠️ Avoid Monster move. +113% above SMA200. Wait for pullback.
ENS $209.30 75 +18% ⚠️ Avoid RSI 75 = overbought. Wait.
DRIV $36.11 73 +17% ⚠️ Avoid Near all-time high + overbought.
PLUG $2.93 70 +31% ⚠️ Avoid Momentum trade only. RSI 70.

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD BE, ENS, DRIV, LIT, KARS, ICLN All golden cross, near highs — hold if owned, don't chase
🔒 HOLD NIO, RIVN Golden cross EV names — hold; better positioned than US OEMs
📈 ACCUMULATE TAN Best ETF entry point — RSI 49, golden cross, solar lagging peers
🔍 WATCH TSLA RSI approaching oversold — need RSI <33 + news catalyst
🔍 WATCH ENPH Bouncing from lows, RSI 50 — needs follow-through week
⚠️ AVOID BE, ENS, DRIV, PLUG RSI 70-75, extended — no entry at these levels
❌ DON'T BUY LCID RSI 27 but bankruptcy risk overrides oversold signal
❌ DON'T BUY FSLR Death cross + policy uncertainty

What Changed vs 2026-04-10

Stock Then (est) Now Move Note
BE ~$150 $231.17 +54% 30D Parabolic acceleration
LCID ~$10.7 $6.25 -41.5% 30D Collapse — near zero
NIO ~$5.8 $6.21 +7.4% 30D Golden cross, relative strength
TSLA ~$395 $352.42 -10.9% 30D Continued breakdown
LIT ~$72 $83.79 +16.3% 30D ETF breakout
DRIV ~$31 $36.11 +16.9% 30D ETF near all-time high
ENPH ~$43 $35.77 -15.9% 30D Continued solar weakness

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
BE +1,121% in 1 year AI data center power demand is the biggest clean energy catalyst of this cycle
All 4 primary ETFs golden cross near highs Infrastructure/grid storage narrative > EV OEM narrative right now
NIO golden cross while TSLA death cross Chinese EV recovery diverging from US; different demand cycles
LCID -42% 30D Pre-revenue luxury EV is a structurally broken model; overlaps with broader EV OEM skepticism

Open Questions

  • BE: what's the revenue/earnings story behind +1,121%? AI data center contracts? Grid storage? Quantify the catalyst.
  • TSLA: Musk political overhang — is this priced in or still a headwind? Watch Europe delivery data.
  • TAN vs ICLN divergence: why is solar ETF lagging the broader clean energy ETF by 10%+ 30D?
10 events

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