EV / Clean Energy Scan
EV / Clean Energy Scan
BE is the monster — RSI 64.8, +97% 3M, +113% vs SMA200, only -0.18% from its 52wk high (alpha1y +1384). Chinese EVs in deep collapse: BYDDY (RSI 26.1, -40% from high) and XPEV (RSI 30.6, -51% from high) are the two oversold names. PLUG (RSI 33.9, -21% 30D) is the fresh hydrogen breakdown. Solar/lithium (ENS, DRIV, ICLN) holding uptrends; lithium names (LIT/SQM/ALB) carry huge 1y alpha.
Latest bar Thursday 2026-06-18 (Fri 06-19 Juneteenth, closed). Many names 2d stale from yfinance throttle — flagged inline.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Sharply bifurcated — fuel-cell leader BE at all-time-high momentum (RSI 64.8, +97% 3M) while Chinese EVs (BYDDY/XPEV/NIO/LI) and US EV startups (LCID) are in collapse. Lithium (LIT/SQM/ALB) and solar (ENS/DRIV/ICLN) holding constructive trends |
| Key insight | BE is the standout trend (+113% vs SMA200, -0.18% from high) but extended at RSI 64.8 — hold not chase. The oversold cluster (BYDDY RSI 26.1, XPEV 30.6, PLUG 33.9, LI 35.3, NIO 35.3) is all China-EV/hydrogen collapse — contrarian only, no confirmed floors |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE | $328.91 | 64.8 | +16.9% | +19.92% | +25.86% | +97.32% | -0.18% | 🔒 Hold |
| ENS | $227.42 | 51.7 | -1.0% | +0.51% | +4.72% | +35.06% | -6.69% | 🔒 Hold (06-17, 2d stale) |
| SQM | $83.11 | 52.4 | +3.6% | +11.41% | +0.54% | +9.01% | -15.19% | 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale) |
| LIT | $83.60 | 51.4 | +0.6% | +5.99% | +0.69% | +16.69% | -9.11% | 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale) |
| RIVN | $15.93 | 50.8 | +1.2% | +3.67% | +19.33% | +0.70% | -29.79% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| DRIV | $39.17 | 49.1 | -2.7% | -1.55% | +3.49% | +29.19% | -6.18% | 🔒 Hold (06-17, 2d stale) |
| ICLN | $21.10 | 48.2 | -3.6% | +0.86% | +0.81% | +12.83% | -11.27% | 🔍 Watch |
| ENPH | $52.28 | 48.2 | -13.2% | +1.99% | +11.80% | +17.11% | -29.10% | 🔍 Watch |
| TSLA | $400.49 | 48.1 | -3.5% | +0.93% | -0.90% | +1.35% | -19.71% | 🔒 Hold |
| NXT | $125.62 | 47.8 | -4.8% | +2.92% | -6.59% | +3.10% | -22.99% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| FSLR | $254.80 | 47.3 | -8.1% | -2.86% | +14.92% | +27.62% | -19.71% | 🔍 Watch (06-17, 2d stale) |
| SEDG | $57.15 | 46.8 | -12.5% | +0.35% | +3.48% | +33.28% | -29.66% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| KARS | $33.52 | 43.7 | -3.3% | -3.99% | -1.93% | +7.78% | -11.75% | 🔍 Watch (06-17, 2d stale) |
| ALB | $160.35 | 42.9 | -3.2% | -4.38% | -4.88% | -1.53% | -27.44% | 🔍 Watch |
| TAN | $60.58 | 42.4 | -8.3% | -0.85% | -3.24% | +4.92% | -19.87% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| LCID | $5.02 | 36.5 ↓ | -11.2% | -0.38% | -12.39% | -51.36% | -85.10% | ❌ Don't Buy (06-16, 2d stale) |
| LI | $14.04 | 35.3 ↓ | -6.2% | +1.05% | -15.88% | -21.87% | -56.16% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| NIO | $5.01 | 35.3 ↓ | -8.6% | -3.70% | -14.80% | -15.94% | -37.53% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| PLUG | $2.71 | 33.9 ↓ | -21.3% | -9.65% | -21.45% | +16.31% | -40.83% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| XPEV | $13.84 | 30.6 ↓ | -12.4% | -6.81% | -8.10% | -27.77% | -50.98% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| BYDDY | $10.39 | 26.1 ↓ | -8.1% | -6.02% | -12.39% | -20.26% | -39.72% | 🔍 Watch (06-17, 2d stale) |
Tier Analysis
Leader / Hold (RSI 64.8): BE (RSI 64.8, golden cross, strong-up, +97.3% 3M, +19.9% 7D, +113.5% vs SMA200, only -0.18% from 52wk high, alpha1y +1384, thesisState intact) is the monster of the scan — at all-time-high momentum. Extended at +16.9% vs SMA20; hold, do not chase a fresh entry here.
Constructive Uptrends / Hold (RSI 48-52): ENS (RSI 51.7, golden cross, strong-up, +35% 3M, alpha1y +175), DRIV (RSI 49.1, golden cross, strong-up, +29.2% 3M, -6.2% from high), SQM (RSI 52.4, +11.4% 7D, alpha1y +134), LIT (RSI 51.4, golden cross, +16.7% 3M, alpha1y +104) — battery/lithium/EV-infra names with large positive 1y alpha holding up. TSLA (RSI 48.1, weak-up, -0.9% 30D, basing around SMA50, thesisState intact) is range-bound, hold.
Pullback / Watch (RSI 42-49): ICLN (RSI 48.2, strong-up regime but -3.6% vs SMA20), ENPH (RSI 48.2, +11.8% 30D but -13.2% vs SMA20 — sharp pullback), FSLR (RSI 47.3, +27.6% 3M, -8.1% vs SMA20), SEDG (RSI 46.8, +33.3% 3M, -12.5% vs SMA20), NXT (RSI 47.8, -6.6% 30D), RIVN (RSI 50.8, +19.3% 30D — the one EV bouncing), ALB (RSI 42.9, -27.4% from high), TAN (RSI 42.4, -8.3% vs SMA20), KARS (RSI 43.7). Solar names carry strong 3M but are pulling back below SMA20.
Oversold / Collapse — Contrarian Watch (RSI 26-36): BYDDY (RSI 26.1, -40% from high, -20.3% 3M, strong-down, collapse — the most oversold name), XPEV (RSI 30.6, -51% from high, -27.8% 3M, collapse), NIO (RSI 35.3, -37.5% from high, collapse), LI (RSI 35.3, -15.9% 30D, -56.2% from high, collapse) — the China-EV complex is in broad collapse. PLUG (RSI 33.9, -21.5% 30D, -21.3% vs SMA20, the fresh hydrogen breakdown). LCID (RSI 36.5, -85.1% from high, -51.4% 3M, collapse) is structurally broken — don't buy. These are oversold but with no confirmed floors; contrarian only.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYDDY | $10.39 | 26.1 ↓ | -12.39% | Most oversold; -40% from high, collapse regime; contrarian only — wait for RSI turn + floor, no confirmation yet (06-17, 2d stale) |
| XPEV | $13.84 | 30.6 ↓ | -8.10% | China-EV collapse, -51% from high; watch for RSI <28 capitulation + stabilization (06-16, 2d stale) |
| PLUG | $2.71 | 33.9 ↓ | -21.45% | Fresh hydrogen breakdown (-21.3% vs SMA20); speculative; needs trend reversal, not a value buy (06-16, 2d stale) |
| ENPH | $52.28 | 48.2 | +11.80% | Solar name with +11.8% 30D but -13.2% vs SMA20 pullback; watch for RSI <40 near SMA50 ($46) |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | BE | RSI 64.8, +97% 3M, at 52wk high — monster trend; hold, don't chase |
| 🔒 HOLD | ENS, DRIV, SQM, LIT, TSLA | Constructive uptrends / large 1y alpha; hold core |
| 🔍 WATCH | ICLN, ENPH, FSLR, SEDG, NXT, RIVN, ALB, TAN, KARS | Solar/lithium/EV pulling back below SMA20 — watch for trend confirmation |
| 🔍 WATCH | BYDDY, XPEV, NIO, LI, PLUG | Oversold collapse names — contrarian only, no floors confirmed |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | LCID | -85% from high, -51% 3M, collapse — structurally broken |
What Changed
- BE went to new highs — RSI 64.8, +97.3% 3M, +19.9% 7D, only -0.18% from 52wk high; alpha1y +1384; the monster of the clean-energy book
- China EV complex collapsing — BYDDY (RSI 26.1, most oversold), XPEV (30.6), NIO (35.3), LI (35.3) all in collapse regimes with -15% to -51% 3M
- PLUG broke down — -21.5% 30D, -21.3% vs SMA20 to RSI 33.9; fresh hydrogen breakdown despite +16% 3M
- Lithium holding — SQM (+11.4% 7D), LIT (+16.7% 3M), ALB carry large positive 1y alpha; constructive
- Solar pulling back below SMA20 — FSLR (-8.1%), SEDG (-12.5%), ENPH (-13.2%), TAN (-8.3%) all retracing strong 3M gains
- TSLA range-bound — RSI 48.1, -0.9% 30D, basing near SMA50; no thrust either way
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| BE +97% 3M, +113% vs SMA200, -0.18% from high | Singular fuel-cell trend leader — but extended; entry risk asymmetric at RSI 64.8 |
| BYDDY/XPEV/NIO/LI all collapse + oversold together | China-EV is a correlated complex breakdown — treat as one risk, not 4 independent dips |
| Lithium (LIT/SQM/ALB) huge 1y alpha while EVs collapse | Upstream materials outperforming downstream OEMs — supply-chain layer divergence |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Buying BYDDY/XPEV on RSI <30 "oversold" alone | All in collapse regime with no floor — oversold can stay oversold; need trend turn |
| Treating PLUG's +16% 3M as strength | -21% 30D + -21% vs SMA20 = fresh breakdown; the 3M number lags the breakdown |
Open Questions
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