Research Log

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Research Log

Research Log — 2026-03-31

Area Status Headline
FULL WORKFLOW ✅ Complete Status report, LOG.md, PERFORMANCE.md written. All 3 active strategies first time simultaneously positive (YOLO +0.91%, claude-momentum +0.70%, claude-trader +0.27%). bench-signals mixed — 2 stops triggered, 2 new entries.
Market 🟡 STAGFLATIONARY RECOVERY ATTEMPT. VOO RSI 40.6 (off 03/20 low of 29.6). GLD $428 (+$28 recovery since 03/26 — gold perspective renamed to Recovery). USO $127+ re-accelerating (Iran "Rubio new worry"). MSFT/GOOGL bouncing from RSI extremes. Monster universe contracted 34% (158→104). Biotech the ONLY strong-up sector (LABU RSI 54, XBI RSI 56, MRNA +69.8% 3M).
Actions ✅ 21 entry zones active. 2 extreme (ABT RSI 27.9, SYK RSI 30.6). 9 oversold. 10 approaching. 2 critical stops (MDT $83 — 3.5% away, AS $30.71 — 6.3% away). Gold recovery confirmed ($428, +$28 since 03/26). Iran re-escalating ("Rubio new worry") — oil trade still active. MSFT/GOOGL bouncing from RSI extremes with insider buying. Cyber thesis decaying.
Paper: trader 🟢 +0.27% ($100,269). BUY MSFT add (6.78sh @ $368.57) + GOOGL add (8.72sh @ $286.81). 7 positions. ABBV +5.7% leading. SYK -3.2% lagging. 78% cash.
Paper: momentum 🟢 +0.70% ($100,699). BUY GE (14.06sh @ $284.42, war-ends #9) + CRWD (7.71sh @ $389.02, endpoint recovery). 10 positions. ABBV +5.7%, TMO +5.3% leaders. SYK -3.2% lagging. First time above water.
Paper: yolo 🟢 +0.91% ($100,911). BUY NUGT (37.83sh @ $185.02 — 2x gold recovery) + LABU (42.45sh @ $164.90 — 3x biotech only sector working) + GOOGL add. 7 positions. ABBV +5.7% leading. MSFT -1.6% only red.
Paper: signals 🟡 18.2% win rate (2W/9L). Net realized ~-$1,033. CLOSED ESTC -15.3% + ZS -17.3% (both stops triggered — cloud SaaS and cyber structural de-rating). OPENED QCOM RSI 36.2 + ABT RSI 27.9. GDX still leading +14.8%. LULU -14.6% CRITICAL (0.4% from stop).
Key Theme 🟢 All three active paper strategies simultaneously positive for the first time. MSFT/GOOGL RSI extremes with insider buying = thesis inflection. Gold recovery confirmed. Biotech is the only sector with genuine momentum. Cyber/SaaS structural de-rating continues (ZS, ESTC both stopped). Energy re-accelerated on Iran — trail stops, don't trim yet.
8 events
DateTypeEvent
Mar 31 ArticleDaily Actions Apr 3 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 31 ArticleStatus Report Mar 20 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 20 ArticleMarket Status Report Mar 13 ArticleMarket Status Report Mar 12 ArticleMarket Status Report Mar 11 ArticleMarket Status Report

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