WFE / Test / Metrology Scan
WFE / Test / Metrology Scan
The wafer-fab-equipment / test / metrology complex is the strongest, cleanest uptrend in the batch — nearly the entire book is strong-up, golden-cross, near 52-week highs. AMAT (RSI 71.1, +93% 3M, -0.5% from high, +100% vs SMA200) and KLIC (RSI 72.6, +100% 3M) are the EXTENDED leaders; KLAC (RSI 63.3, +78% 3M, -4% from high), LRCX (RSI 63.5, +87% 3M, -3.7% from high), TER (RSI 63.9, ~at high), ONTO (RSI 63.2), ENTG (RSI 63.7, +55% 3M), ASML (RSI 57, +39% 3M), ACLS (RSI 56.6, +81% 3M) are all CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT / strong-up, mid-RSI, not yet extended. The only soft name is CAMT (RSI 46.8, weak-down, -21% from high). No oversold names. This is the up-trend sector of the full-scan — the holds, not the entry-hunts.
Latest bar Thursday 2026-06-25. The cleanest broad uptrend in batch F — most names are HOLD/extended, not pullback entries.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟢 Broad confirmed uptrend — WFE primes (AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, ASML), test (TER, ACLS, KLIC), metrology (ONTO, FORM, CAMT), materials (ENTG, AMKR) nearly all strong-up, golden-cross, near highs |
| Key insight | AMAT (RSI 71.1, -0.5% from high) and KLIC (RSI 72.6) are EXTENDED; the rest (KLAC, LRCX, TER, ONTO, ENTG, ASML, ACLS) are CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT — strong-up, RSI 56-64, near but not at highs. Only CAMT (RSI 46.8, weak-down, -21% from high) is the laggard. No pullback deep enough to be an entry-hunt; this is a hold-the-leaders sector |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs SMA20 | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLIC | $129.22 | 72.6 | strong-up | +0.76% | +19.23% | +99.91% | +15.5% | -3.07% | ⚠️ Hold (extended) |
| AMAT | $652.71 | 71.1 | strong-up | -6.79% | +43.49% | +93.04% | +21.5% | -0.50% | ⚠️ Hold (extended, at high) |
| TER | $471.96 | 63.9 | strong-up | -1.06% | +21.28% | +58.79% | +17.5% | -0.09% | 🔒 Hold (at high) |
| ENTG | $178.85 | 63.7 | strong-up | +1.10% | +25.84% | +54.62% | +19.0% | -4.32% | 🔒 Hold |
| LRCX | $394.66 | 63.5 | strong-up | -5.35% | +22.39% | +86.63% | +12.1% | -3.68% | 🔒 Hold |
| KLAC | $258.59 | 63.3 | strong-up | -5.70% | +28.56% | +78.42% | +13.9% | -4.19% | 🔒 Hold |
| ONTO | $344.24 | 63.2 | strong-up | -4.65% | +25.56% | +68.13% | +16.0% | -2.53% | 🔒 Hold |
| AMKR | $86.45 | 59.7 | strong-up | -8.51% | +17.81% | +91.73% | +10.3% | -10.58% | 🔒 Hold |
| FORM | $149.59 | 57.6 | strong-up | -6.10% | +9.61% | +49.07% | +12.2% | -5.98% | 🔒 Hold |
| ASML | $1840.33 | 57.0 | strong-up | -8.88% | +12.76% | +38.73% | +3.7% | -6.06% | 🔒 Hold |
| ACLS | $177.93 | 56.6 | strong-up | -8.67% | +8.32% | +80.92% | +6.3% | -8.18% | 🔒 Hold |
| BESIY | $332.00 | 49.7 | strong-up | -7.62% | -0.86% | +56.86% | -2.7% | -11.31% | 🔍 Watch (foreign/thin, intact) |
| CAMT | $171.25 | 46.8 | weak-down | -13.55% | -1.99% | +7.12% | -3.9% | -20.71% | 🔍 Watch (laggard) |
Tier Analysis
EXTENDED / Hold-don't-chase (RSI 71-73): AMAT (RSI 71.1, +43% 30D, +93% 3M, -0.5% from high, +100% vs SMA200 — the WFE prime running hottest, at its high), KLIC (RSI 72.6, +100% 3M, -3% from high — bonding/test). Both extended; hold if owned, but no margin of safety to add.
CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT / Hold (RSI 56-64, strong-up, near highs): TER (RSI 63.9, +59% 3M, ~at high), ENTG (RSI 63.7, +55% 3M — materials/filtration), LRCX (RSI 63.5, +87% 3M, -3.7% from high), KLAC (RSI 63.3, +78% 3M, -4% from high — metrology/inspection prime), ONTO (RSI 63.2, +68% 3M, -2.5% from high), AMKR (RSI 59.7, +92% 3M, -10.6% from high — OSAT), FORM (RSI 57.6, +49% 3M — probe cards), ASML (RSI 57.0, +39% 3M — litho monopoly), ACLS (RSI 56.6, +81% 3M — ion implant). Strong-up, golden cross, mid-RSI, not extended — the core hold tier; AMKR's -10.6% from high is the deepest dip among them.
Constructive / Watch (RSI 47-50): BESIY (RSI 49.7, +57% 3M, strong-up, thesis intact, -2.7% vs SMA20 — Besi hybrid-bonding, foreign/thin), CAMT (RSI 46.8, weak-down, -13.6% 7D, -21% from high — Camtek metrology, the lone laggard pulling back).
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMKR | $86.45 | 59.7 | +17.81% | Deepest dip of the leader tier: -10.6% from high, -8.5% 7D within a strong-up +92% 3M trend; +77% vs SMA200. Watch SMA20 ($78) hold — the buyable pullback |
| CAMT | $171.25 | 46.8 | -1.99% | The laggard: weak-down, -21% from high, -13.6% 7D but still +20% vs SMA200, golden cross. Watch for trend turn / SMA20 reclaim ($178) before entry |
| ASML | $1840.33 | 57.0 | +12.76% | Strong-up, -6% from high, only +3.7% vs SMA20 (least extended of the leaders); litho monopoly. Mildest pullback among the primes for a measured add |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | TER, ENTG, LRCX, KLAC, ONTO, AMKR, FORM, ASML, ACLS | Strong-up, golden cross, near highs — confirmed uptrend core |
| ⚠️ HOLD (extended) | AMAT, KLIC | RSI 71-73, AMAT at high — don't chase, hold if owned |
| 🔍 WATCH | BESIY, CAMT | BESIY intact (foreign/thin); CAMT the lone laggard pulling back |
What Changed
- WFE/test/metrology is the strongest sector in batch F — nearly the whole book strong-up, golden-cross, near highs
- AMAT at its 52wk high — RSI 71.1, +43% 30D, +93% 3M, -0.5% from high, +100% vs SMA200; the hottest WFE prime
- TER ~at high too — RSI 63.9, -0.09% from high; test leadership confirmed
- Mild 7D pullbacks across the leaders — AMKR -8.5%, ASML -8.9%, ACLS -8.7%, KLAC -5.7%, LRCX -5.4%; trend-internal digestion, not breaks
- CAMT is the lone laggard — RSI 46.8, weak-down, -21% from high, -13.6% 7D; the one name diverging from the cluster
- No oversold, no broken names — even the weakest (CAMT) is above SMA200 with a golden cross; this is a hold sector, not an entry-hunt
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| Entire WFE/test/metrology book strong-up + golden cross near highs (AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, TER, ONTO, ENTG, ASML, ACLS) | The cleanest, broadest uptrend in the full-scan — the equipment layer of the AI-semi build-out is in confirmed leadership |
| AMAT at its 52wk high (RSI 71.1) leading the primes | Mega-cap WFE participating fully; +100% vs SMA200 = extended, hold-don't-chase |
| AMKR -10.6% from high is the deepest leader dip | The only meaningful trend-internal pullback for a measured add; rest are too near highs to be entries |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Chasing AMAT/KLIC at RSI 71-73 | At/near highs, +93–100% 3M, +100% vs SMA200 — extended, no margin of safety; hold not add |
| Treating CAMT's -21% from high as a value entry | Weak-down trend, -13.6% 7D; wait for a trend turn, not a knife-catch — even if it's above SMA200 |
| Forcing an "entry" in a hold sector | Most names too near highs; AMKR's dip / CAMT's turn are the only setups, the rest are holds |
Open Questions
Related
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