WFE / Test Metrology Scan
WFE / Test Metrology Scan
Every name in this book narrowed its 30-day loss this cycle — the uniform pullback regime that formed last week held, but the damage stopped deepening. TER posted the sharpest reversal (30-day -26.39% → -18.09%, 7-day flipped to +8.55%), ASML's monthly loss shrank to nearly flat (-9.44% → -0.32%), and BESIY, the one thesis-intact name, remains the weakest RSI in the book despite improving.
Data as-of the Friday 2026-07-24 close for the book. Prior scan: 2026-07-17-wfe-test-metrology (data as-of the 2026-07-17 close). STX and WDC earnings are scheduled for July 28/29 — a nearline-storage catalyst window adjacent to this book's test/OSAT names (TER, KLIC, AMKR, AMAT), though neither ticker trades in this watchlist directly.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Stabilizing — every name narrowed its 30-day loss, but the book stayed in a single uniform pullback regime with no upgrades |
| Key insight | TER's reversal (30-day -26.39% → -18.09%, RSI 39.2 → 45.3) is the sharpest confirmed stabilization in the book |
What's Going On
Last cycle's book-wide convergence into a single "pullback" regime held this time, but the damage stopped compounding. TER, whose rollover was confirmed and shared with the supply-chain-traces book last cycle, showed the clearest turn: RSI improved from 39.2 to 45.3, its 7-day reading flipped from -10.36% to +8.55%, and its 30-day loss narrowed from -26.39% to -18.09%. ASML's monthly damage nearly disappeared — 30-day moved from -9.44% to -0.32% — while its RSI ticked up slightly to 48.3, still without its uptrend regime label back. AMAT's 30-day loss eased from -14.17% to -8.95% and its 7-day flipped positive (+1.24%, was -12.09%). ONTO, CAMT, and KLAC all showed the same pattern of narrowing rather than deepening losses. KLIC's 7-day flipped from -14.28% to +4.23%, RSI improving from 37.8 to 43.0. BESIY, the one thesis-intact name in the book, remains its weakest RSI reading at 37.3 even after improving from 32.5, with its 30-day loss narrowing from -29.91% to -22.75%. No name in the book crossed back to an uptrend, basing, or collapse regime this cycle — the whole list stays tagged pullback, meaning this reads as stabilization within an unresolved structure rather than a confirmed repair.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (07-17 → 07-24)
- TER: RSI 39.2 → 45.3, 7-day flipped from -10.36% to +8.55%, 30-day improved from -26.39% to -18.09% — the sharpest reversal in the book, shared with the supply-chain-traces read.
- ASML: 30-day improved from -9.44% to -0.32% (nearly flat), RSI 47.9 → 48.3; regime stays pullback (no uptrend label back yet).
- AMAT: 30-day improved from -14.17% to -8.95%, 7-day flipped from -12.09% to +1.24%.
- KLIC: 7-day flipped from -14.28% to +4.23%, RSI 37.8 → 43.0; 30-day still -17.80% (was -20.23%).
- CAMT: RSI 43.8 → 44.6, 30-day improved from -25.11% to -11.45%; regime stays pullback (no further upgrade from last cycle's collapse-to-pullback move).
- ONTO: 30-day improved from -16.15% to -15.40%, roughly flat; RSI 43.6 → 42.3.
- MKSI: 30-day improved from -20.10% to -13.74%, 7-day flipped from -11.91% to +1.38%.
- BESIY: thesis still rated intact; RSI 32.5 → 37.3, 30-day improved from -29.91% to -22.75% — still the weakest RSI in the book.
- AMKR: RSI 39.3 → 42.4, 30-day still deep at -21.51% (was -30.42%).
- FORM: RSI unchanged at 40.2, 30-day improved slightly from -29.41% to -26.43% — one of the slower stabilizers in the book.
How To Read The Board
Regime labels describe chart structure, not a buy/sell call. This cycle's headline is that every name's 30-day loss narrowed, but not one crossed back to a stronger regime tag — the book is still uniformly "pullback," meaning the damage has stopped compounding without yet confirming a floor. TER's reversal is the strongest single-name signal, matching the same stabilization flagged in the supply-chain-traces book. BESIY's thesis-intact rating is worth more than its still-weak RSI on its own.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | vs SMA20 | Trend | From 52wkHigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | $1757.09 | 48.3 | +0.54% | -0.32% | -2.3% | strong-up | -9.85% |
| AMAT | $536.25 | 45.4 | +1.24% | -8.95% | -9.0% | weak-down | -23.91% |
| TER | $349.92 | 45.3 | +8.55% | -18.09% | -6.2% | weak-down | -23.40% |
| CAMT | $147.79 | 44.6 | +1.12% | -11.45% | -0.4% | weak-down | -28.15% |
| ACLS | $134.10 | 41.4 | -1.70% | -20.61% | -9.0% | weak-down | -26.97% |
| KLAC | $210.52 | 43.9 | -1.05% | -12.46% | -9.3% | weak-down | -28.84% |
| MKSI | $329.18 | 43.1 | +1.38% | -13.74% | -9.1% | weak-down | -22.86% |
| KLIC | $101.33 | 43.0 | +4.23% | -17.80% | -9.5% | weak-down | -21.89% (thesis: intact-but-priced) |
| ONTO | $272.62 | 42.3 | -2.58% | -15.40% | -11.4% | weak-down | -24.63% |
| AMKR | $64.96 | 42.4 | +3.21% | -21.51% | -7.1% | weak-down | -32.43% |
| LRCX | $305.21 | 41.2 | -2.58% | -18.57% | -11.5% | weak-down | -27.07% |
| FORM | $104.04 | 40.2 | -1.45% | -26.43% | -12.7% | weak-down | -29.65% |
| ENTG | $129.15 | 40.6 | -6.91% | -24.68% | -10.9% | weak-down | -27.62% |
| BESIY | $256.25 | 37.3 | -0.81% | -22.75% | -10.4% | weak-down | -30.54% (thesis: intact) |
Tier Analysis
Tier A — Mildest damage, highest RSI (still pullback regime): ASML, AMAT, TER. TER's sharp reversal is the standout confirmed move.
Tier B — Broad stabilization, structure unchanged: CAMT, ACLS, KLAC, MKSI, KLIC, ONTO, AMKR, LRCX.
Tier C — Slower stabilizers, still deeper damage: FORM, ENTG. Both narrowed their 30-day loss less than the rest of the book this cycle.
Tier D — Thesis-intact pullback, weakest RSI in the book: BESIY. Improved on both readings but still the low end of the book.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BESIY | $256.25 | 37.3 | -22.75% | Thesis intact, weakest RSI in the book but improving on both metrics this cycle |
| TER | $349.92 | 45.3 | -18.09% | Sharpest confirmed reversal in the book — worth tracking for whether the stabilization holds |
| ASML | $1757.09 | 48.3 | -0.32% | Mildest damage in the book, monthly loss nearly erased, though still without its uptrend label back |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔍 WATCH | ASML, AMAT, TER, CAMT, ACLS, KLAC, MKSI, KLIC, ONTO, AMKR, LRCX | Broad stabilization across the former leadership pocket, no regime upgrades yet |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | BESIY | Thesis intact, improving readings even as it stays the weakest RSI in the book |
| ⚠️ AVOID | FORM, ENTG | Slowest stabilizers in the book, still the deepest 30-day damage |
What To Watch Next
| Watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| TER's confirmed reversal | Also tracked in supply-chain-traces — the sharpest stabilization in either book this cycle |
| Whether any name crosses back to a stronger regime | Every name narrowed its loss, but none upgraded off pullback — the next print should show whether a floor is forming |
| BESIY's thesis-intact rating vs. still-weak RSI | Worth an independent check on whether the rating still holds at these levels |
| FORM/ENTG's slower stabilization | The two names lagging the broad narrowing seen elsewhere in the book |
| STX/WDC earnings (scheduled July 28/29) | Nearline-storage catalyst window adjacent to this book's test/OSAT exposure (TER, KLIC, AMKR, AMAT) |
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-24 close — *.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.