WFE / Test Metrology Scan

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WFE / Test Metrology Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 27 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusscheduledprior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-17-wfe-test-metrology.md

Every name in this book narrowed its 30-day loss this cycle — the uniform pullback regime that formed last week held, but the damage stopped deepening. TER posted the sharpest reversal (30-day -26.39% → -18.09%, 7-day flipped to +8.55%), ASML's monthly loss shrank to nearly flat (-9.44% → -0.32%), and BESIY, the one thesis-intact name, remains the weakest RSI in the book despite improving.

Data as-of the Friday 2026-07-24 close for the book. Prior scan: 2026-07-17-wfe-test-metrology (data as-of the 2026-07-17 close). STX and WDC earnings are scheduled for July 28/29 — a nearline-storage catalyst window adjacent to this book's test/OSAT names (TER, KLIC, AMKR, AMAT), though neither ticker trades in this watchlist directly.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Stabilizing — every name narrowed its 30-day loss, but the book stayed in a single uniform pullback regime with no upgrades
Key insight TER's reversal (30-day -26.39% → -18.09%, RSI 39.2 → 45.3) is the sharpest confirmed stabilization in the book

What's Going On

Last cycle's book-wide convergence into a single "pullback" regime held this time, but the damage stopped compounding. TER, whose rollover was confirmed and shared with the supply-chain-traces book last cycle, showed the clearest turn: RSI improved from 39.2 to 45.3, its 7-day reading flipped from -10.36% to +8.55%, and its 30-day loss narrowed from -26.39% to -18.09%. ASML's monthly damage nearly disappeared — 30-day moved from -9.44% to -0.32% — while its RSI ticked up slightly to 48.3, still without its uptrend regime label back. AMAT's 30-day loss eased from -14.17% to -8.95% and its 7-day flipped positive (+1.24%, was -12.09%). ONTO, CAMT, and KLAC all showed the same pattern of narrowing rather than deepening losses. KLIC's 7-day flipped from -14.28% to +4.23%, RSI improving from 37.8 to 43.0. BESIY, the one thesis-intact name in the book, remains its weakest RSI reading at 37.3 even after improving from 32.5, with its 30-day loss narrowing from -29.91% to -22.75%. No name in the book crossed back to an uptrend, basing, or collapse regime this cycle — the whole list stays tagged pullback, meaning this reads as stabilization within an unresolved structure rather than a confirmed repair.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (07-17 → 07-24)

  • TER: RSI 39.2 → 45.3, 7-day flipped from -10.36% to +8.55%, 30-day improved from -26.39% to -18.09% — the sharpest reversal in the book, shared with the supply-chain-traces read.
  • ASML: 30-day improved from -9.44% to -0.32% (nearly flat), RSI 47.9 → 48.3; regime stays pullback (no uptrend label back yet).
  • AMAT: 30-day improved from -14.17% to -8.95%, 7-day flipped from -12.09% to +1.24%.
  • KLIC: 7-day flipped from -14.28% to +4.23%, RSI 37.8 → 43.0; 30-day still -17.80% (was -20.23%).
  • CAMT: RSI 43.8 → 44.6, 30-day improved from -25.11% to -11.45%; regime stays pullback (no further upgrade from last cycle's collapse-to-pullback move).
  • ONTO: 30-day improved from -16.15% to -15.40%, roughly flat; RSI 43.6 → 42.3.
  • MKSI: 30-day improved from -20.10% to -13.74%, 7-day flipped from -11.91% to +1.38%.
  • BESIY: thesis still rated intact; RSI 32.5 → 37.3, 30-day improved from -29.91% to -22.75% — still the weakest RSI in the book.
  • AMKR: RSI 39.3 → 42.4, 30-day still deep at -21.51% (was -30.42%).
  • FORM: RSI unchanged at 40.2, 30-day improved slightly from -29.41% to -26.43% — one of the slower stabilizers in the book.

How To Read The Board

Regime labels describe chart structure, not a buy/sell call. This cycle's headline is that every name's 30-day loss narrowed, but not one crossed back to a stronger regime tag — the book is still uniformly "pullback," meaning the damage has stopped compounding without yet confirming a floor. TER's reversal is the strongest single-name signal, matching the same stabilization flagged in the supply-chain-traces book. BESIY's thesis-intact rating is worth more than its still-weak RSI on its own.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI 7D% 30D% vs SMA20 Trend From 52wkHigh
ASML $1757.09 48.3 +0.54% -0.32% -2.3% strong-up -9.85%
AMAT $536.25 45.4 +1.24% -8.95% -9.0% weak-down -23.91%
TER $349.92 45.3 +8.55% -18.09% -6.2% weak-down -23.40%
CAMT $147.79 44.6 +1.12% -11.45% -0.4% weak-down -28.15%
ACLS $134.10 41.4 -1.70% -20.61% -9.0% weak-down -26.97%
KLAC $210.52 43.9 -1.05% -12.46% -9.3% weak-down -28.84%
MKSI $329.18 43.1 +1.38% -13.74% -9.1% weak-down -22.86%
KLIC $101.33 43.0 +4.23% -17.80% -9.5% weak-down -21.89% (thesis: intact-but-priced)
ONTO $272.62 42.3 -2.58% -15.40% -11.4% weak-down -24.63%
AMKR $64.96 42.4 +3.21% -21.51% -7.1% weak-down -32.43%
LRCX $305.21 41.2 -2.58% -18.57% -11.5% weak-down -27.07%
FORM $104.04 40.2 -1.45% -26.43% -12.7% weak-down -29.65%
ENTG $129.15 40.6 -6.91% -24.68% -10.9% weak-down -27.62%
BESIY $256.25 37.3 -0.81% -22.75% -10.4% weak-down -30.54% (thesis: intact)

Tier Analysis

Tier A — Mildest damage, highest RSI (still pullback regime): ASML, AMAT, TER. TER's sharp reversal is the standout confirmed move.

Tier B — Broad stabilization, structure unchanged: CAMT, ACLS, KLAC, MKSI, KLIC, ONTO, AMKR, LRCX.

Tier C — Slower stabilizers, still deeper damage: FORM, ENTG. Both narrowed their 30-day loss less than the rest of the book this cycle.

Tier D — Thesis-intact pullback, weakest RSI in the book: BESIY. Improved on both readings but still the low end of the book.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
BESIY $256.25 37.3 -22.75% Thesis intact, weakest RSI in the book but improving on both metrics this cycle
TER $349.92 45.3 -18.09% Sharpest confirmed reversal in the book — worth tracking for whether the stabilization holds
ASML $1757.09 48.3 -0.32% Mildest damage in the book, monthly loss nearly erased, though still without its uptrend label back

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔍 WATCH ASML, AMAT, TER, CAMT, ACLS, KLAC, MKSI, KLIC, ONTO, AMKR, LRCX Broad stabilization across the former leadership pocket, no regime upgrades yet
📈 ACCUMULATE BESIY Thesis intact, improving readings even as it stays the weakest RSI in the book
⚠️ AVOID FORM, ENTG Slowest stabilizers in the book, still the deepest 30-day damage

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
TER's confirmed reversal Also tracked in supply-chain-traces — the sharpest stabilization in either book this cycle
Whether any name crosses back to a stronger regime Every name narrowed its loss, but none upgraded off pullback — the next print should show whether a floor is forming
BESIY's thesis-intact rating vs. still-weak RSI Worth an independent check on whether the rating still holds at these levels
FORM/ENTG's slower stabilization The two names lagging the broad narrowing seen elsewhere in the book
STX/WDC earnings (scheduled July 28/29) Nearline-storage catalyst window adjacent to this book's test/OSAT exposure (TER, KLIC, AMKR, AMAT)

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-24 close — *.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.