MSTR — candidate.roundup

Update

MSTR — candidate.roundup

Reason: The basket's run slowed but didn't reverse. MSTR's week cooled to +3.05% (from +28.55%) with the month still up +28.75%; the desk's Thursday call sheet has Strategy needing to hold $137.04 (its 200-day) and $134.95 on any pullback before earning a fresh entry read — "not this print" is the current stance. Bitcoin held near $83,995.15, +3.82% on the week at RSI 64, still -22.98% on the year. DOGE led the group again at +11.11% on the week. RIOT (-3.16%) and HOOD (-0.35%) both gave back a little ground after last week's surge. Roster unchanged.

Price/RSI Table

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi 1Y vs 200-day RSI Status Action
DOGE-USD $0.10 +11.11% +11.11% -62.96% -54.55% +14.5% 64.6 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔍 Watch
BTC-USD $83,995.15 +3.82% +6.29% -33.44% -22.98% +18.4% 64 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔍 Watch
MSTR $158.61 +3.05% +28.75% -56.57% -47.25% +16.2% 63.5 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔍 Watch
HOOD $119.40 -0.35% +10.01% -22.4% -2.65% +26.2% 57.3 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔍 Watch
RIOT $23.00 -3.16% +11.6% -24.14% +37.4% +19.8% 54.9 🟢 Pullback in trend 📈 Accumulate

Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens — an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-09-23

  • MSTR: +3.05% week (down sharply from +28.55%), +28.75% month, +16.2% against its 200-day, still -47.25% on the year. Thursday's desk brief lists an open call on this name: Strategy would need to hold $137.04 (its 200-day) and $134.95 on a pullback before earning a fresh entry — "not this print" is the current stance. Its own pull is stale since September 18.
  • BTC-USD: $83,995.15, +3.82% week, RSI 64, +18.4% against its 200-day, still -22.98% on the year. Its pull is stale since September 19 — no news pulled for this week's move.
  • DOGE-USD: +11.11% week, its cushion above the 200-day widened to +14.5% (from +3.2%), still -54.55% on the year. Its pull (refreshed September 25) returns only routine quote pages — no new dated cause.
  • RIOT: -3.16% week; its own pull is stale since September 4 — no news pulled for this week's pullback. Still the basket's only positive one-year alpha, at +20.18.
  • HOOD: -0.35% week, essentially flat; its pull is stale since September 4 as well.
  • Roster unchanged since September 23: no entrants, no dropouts.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change and alpha, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-25 close — crypto (Schwab).
  • Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-23-crypto.
  • MSTR's standing desk call (200-day/reclaim condition): 2026-09-24-market-brief.
  • News checks: latest (pulled 2026-09-25), .../BTC-USD/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-19), .../MSTR/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-18), .../RIOT/news/latest.json and .../HOOD/news/latest.json (both pulled 2026-09-04, stale).
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.