MRNA — candidate.roundup

Update

MRNA — candidate.roundup

Reason: Biotech is split. $MRNA carries an enormous one-year gain and sits far above its 200-day, $TMO is in a clean uptrend, while $VRTX and $AMGN are in pullbacks (weak short-term trend, RSI under 50) inside intact one-year gains. $CRSP is the broken one: negative one-year change and negative alpha, only barely above its 200-day.

Price/RSI Table

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi 1Y vs 200-day RSI Status Action
MRNA 190.01 -4.46 25.99 -9.04 569.76 177.8 66.2 🟢 Intact trend 🔒 Hold
VRTX 504.73 -4.08 -9.34 -9.91 23.45 6.6 39 🟡 Mixed 📈 Accumulate
AMGN 403.04 -2.79 -8.99 -9.84 35.52 10.6 47.7 🟡 Mixed 📈 Accumulate
TMO 654.8 -2.99 7.6 -4.22 24.73 20.7 56.6 🟢 Intact trend 🔒 Hold
CRSP 55.43 2.21 -2.62 -29.37 -23.88 4 50.6 🟡 Mixed 🔍 Watch

As of 2026-10-02. Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens: an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-09-25

  • VRTX/AMGN: down on the week and month, still above their 200-day; flag-type pullbacks, not breakdowns.
  • CRSP: 200-day is the level to watch; the year is negative.
  • No dated cause on file for any move in this group (TMO news re-pulled 2026-10-03 with no item on a move; the other receipts predate October 2; stock-events and the October 1-2 captures checked).
  • Roster unchanged since September 25: no entrants, no dropouts.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-10-02 desk date, summaries (Schwab).
  • Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-25-biotech.
  • Event checks: research/stock-events/, the 2026-10-01 market brief and 2026-10-01/02 prints digests under research/issues/; news receipts under stocks/news/latest.json` (memory names pulled 2026-10-01, before the October 2 move).
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.