AI spending: the supplier earnings reversal case · Campaigns
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AI spending: the supplier earnings reversal case
monitoring · AI · Liquidity
Horizon Through March 2027, matching the next two reporting cycles of the optical and memory cases. Last research review Latest evidence Priority medium
Evidence
Supports, challenges and context. A linked source is not confirmation by itself.
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What to Own When Intelligence Is Free
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AI-semi derate: the tape says sector derate not election lull — turn signature armed
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SemiAnalysis: K3's linear attention is bullish, not bearish, for NVIDIA/HBM/networking
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The K3 Scare Is Not the R1 Scare
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CNBC — Chinese AI has leveled up, and the open-weight shift is the story
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MarketWatch — Meet Kimi K3, the newest Chinese AI model haunting Silicon Valley
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Semafor — Kimi K3 threatens AI business models, not AI compute
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r/stocks — TSMC reports 68% surge in June revenue
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r/wallstreetbets — Meta's Louisiana data center to surpass $250B price tag
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The Anti-AI Trade Is Turning: Cloud Software Is the Emerging Rotation
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@ren_stocks — long $NBIS, doubled the dip: hyperscaler excess-compute neocloud thesis
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@TheProfInvestor — sector rotation: Tech red → Healthcare/Financials leading (+ 25 bio names)
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Investigation — Neocloud demand absorption vs AI capex digestion
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Investigation — NVDL MSTU spread structural tell wrapper-collapse terminal
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Week in Review — The Rotation Gets a Name (week ending 2026-06-26)