Campaigns
Campaigns
Investment claims with their own evidence, ideas and reviews. Short windows and long convictions can live alongside one another.
Compare two campaigns →Desk reviews
Dated passes across the desk. Each preserves its entry map and original calls.
Campaign 1 — capital deployment window
Desk review · 2026-09-06 · data as of 2026-09-04
Import the completed desk-wide Campaign 1 without reissuing its calls
Completed desk-wide review for the September 8 decision window. Historical campaign name retained; the entry map contains the original 16 issued calls. Campaign membership remains unassigned pending an explicit scope review.
Read the entry map →16 original calls referenced · 1/1 directional calls have 30-day outcomes · 0/1 directional calls have 90-day outcomes
- 2026-10-06: 30-day outcomes
- 2026-12-05: 90-day outcomes; next manual desk review also eligible on a regime flip or major focus-lane event
Original calls and current outcomes
Issued calls · returns compare the symbol with SPY after 30 and 90 days. Positive excess supports a BUY; negative excess supports TRIM or SELL. WAIT and research ideas have no score. These are call outcomes, not a campaign return.
WAIT: close above $489.46 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, customer spending and export-exposure review; dip volume was not light. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $407.06 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $299.73 (Sept 4 high; canonical pivot 296.62 already crossed); Hold long-average/pivot reclaim and form a flag; future PPAs are not delivered output. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $296.36 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $299.22 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus supplier allocation and margin verification; dip distribution elevated. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $276.44 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $971.98 (20-day average); Reclaim after initial pop and hold a flag; jagged blocks BUY. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $886.12 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $154.59 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus issuer demand, capacity and margin evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $143.78 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $45.66 (200-day average); Long-average reclaim and held flag; later delivery/funding remain conditional. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $43.57 (volume-profile support) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $312.76 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, memory spending and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $260.90 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $224.58 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current design-win conversion, demand and margin verification; dip volume not light. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $151.77 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
BUY while the cleared 989.96 flag ceiling holds; losing it returns the entry to WAIT for a new confirmed reclaim. Historical-pattern admission; strict current-RSI screen remains EXTENDED.
Invalidation: A close below 887.61 breaks the observed flag; 606.48 is the distinct SMA200 long-trend invalidation. BUY permission already ends on loss of 989.96.
WAIT: close above $226.58 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); New post-rebound flag; verify later financing/dilution terms. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $154.79 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $236.54 (established pivot; preserved predecessor); Settled volume-supported breakout plus fresh supply, margins and customer-demand review. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $210.57 (50-day average; preserved predecessor) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $1740.00 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); Strict close above reference after a NEW flag; Friday jump alone is not a flag. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $1003.97 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $523.42 (20-day average; first reclaim reference, not 575.88 pivot); Reclaim then flag; current fund exposures and constituent thesis admission required; no scheduled accumulation. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $431.53 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $461.47 (established pivot); Settled volume-supported breakout plus current company capacity, demand and margin review; local flag ceiling was not cleared Friday. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $372.83 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $280.99 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus current issuer orders, backlog conversion and margin evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $257.40 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.
WAIT: close above $468.19 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus current allocation, pricing and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.
Invalidation: Settled close below $372.81 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.