Consumer Scan

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Consumer Scan

Watchlists 1
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 42 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-consumer-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-02-22-consumer-scan.mdscan slugconsumer-scansource typescan-archive

Dramatic reversal from Feb-16 — HIMS collapsed to RSI 4 (extreme capitulation), DPZ recovering from RSI 13 low, LULU surging to RSI 60. DECK and LOW lead momentum. Bifurcation intensifies.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 EXTREME BIFURCATION — HIMS in historic capitulation (RSI 4). Growth consumer crushed, staples/home resilient.
Leaders LULU ($187.30, RSI 60), DECK ($118.69, RSI 48), LOW ($280.36, RSI 66) — Recovering or holding
Laggards HIMS ($15.63, RSI 4), DPZ ($384.61, RSI 26) — Extreme washout

Price Table (Validated 2026-02-22)

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D 30D Signal
HIMS $15.63 4 $22.35 -30.1% -3.9% -45.9% 🔴 Historic capitulation
LULU $187.30 60 $178.87 +4.7% +5.4% -1.3% 🟢 Breaking out above SMA
CMG $37.54 45 $38.62 -2.8% -0.9% -7.8% 🟡 Neutral, below SMA
DPZ $384.61 26 $395.59 -2.8% +3.0% -3.6% 🔴 Deeply oversold
CROX $96.88 71 $85.80 +12.9% +12.9% +16.0% 🟠 Overbought
DECK $118.69 48 $111.84 +6.1% +1.1% +16.4% 🟢 Strong above SMA
NKE $65.40 61 $63.36 +3.2% +0.9% -0.0% 🟢 Breaking above SMA
HD $382.25 57 $382.82 -0.1% -0.2% -0.6% 🟡 At SMA
LOW $280.36 66 $277.40 +1.1% -0.3% +1.2% 🟢 Above SMA, healthy

Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI < 25) — Extreme Washout

Stock RSI vs SMA 30D Notes
HIMS 4 -30.1% -45.9% RSI 4 is near-historic. FDA GLP-1 compounding ban fears. Extreme risk/reward.
DPZ 26 -2.8% -3.6% Bouncing off RSI 13 low (02/13). Oversold bounce underway.

Oversold / Approaching Oversold (RSI 25-40)

None currently in this range. DPZ just exited this zone.

Neutral / Strong (RSI 40+)

Stock RSI vs SMA Trend
CMG 45 -2.8% Neutral, slight downtrend
DECK 48 +6.1% Pulled back from RSI 76 high, holding
LULU 60 +4.7% Surging — RSI up from 36 low on 02/11
HD 57 -0.1% Stable, at SMA
NKE 61 +3.2% Turnaround building momentum
LOW 66 +1.1% Steady uptrend
CROX 71 +12.9% Overbought — earnings gap held

Entry Zones

Stock Zone RSI Trigger Thesis
🟢 HIMS $14-$16 RSI < 10 SPECULATIVE — Historic RSI 4. FDA compounding ban risk is priced in or overcorrected. Binary: massive bounce or continued slide. High risk.
🟢 DPZ $375-$385 RSI < 30 MEDIUM — Franchise model intact. RSI 26 = deeply oversold, bouncing. Consumer spending drag temporary.
🟡 CMG $36-$38 RSI < 40 MEDIUM — Restaurant leader, secular growth story. Slightly below SMA.
🟡 HD $375-$383 RSI < 50 LOW — At SMA, housing catalyst needed. Defensive hold.

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
HIMS 🔴 RSI 4 ✅ Strong Buy (Speculative) Extreme washout. Only for high-risk tolerance. Size very small.
DPZ 🔴 RSI 26 📈 Accumulate Bouncing from extreme. Pizza franchise resilient.
LULU 🟢 RSI 60 🔒 Hold Broke above SMA — upside momentum building.
CMG 🟡 RSI 45 🔍 Watch Below SMA but stabilizing. Await RSI < 35 for entry.
DECK 🟢 RSI 48 🔒 Hold Pulled back from overbought — healthy consolidation.
NKE 🟢 RSI 61 🔍 Watch Turnaround real? Volume confirmation needed.
HD 🟡 RSI 57 🔒 Hold Steady. No action needed.
LOW 🟢 RSI 66 🔒 Hold Best home improvement name. Strong RSI trend.
CROX 🟠 RSI 71 ⚠️ Avoid Overbought at +13% above SMA. Earnings gap risk on next miss.

What Changed (vs 2026-02-16)

Stock Feb-16 RSI Feb-22 RSI Move Note
HIMS 10 4 Worsened Continued collapse — RSI 10 to RSI 4
LULU 39 60 Improved Major reversal — broke above SMA
DPZ 13 26 Recovering Bouncing from extreme washout low
NKE 45 61 Improved Turnaround accelerating
DECK 68 48 Pulled back Healthy consolidation from overbought
CROX 71 71 Flat Overbought sustained — watch closely
LOW 62 66 Improved Steady momentum
HD 54 57 Slight improvement Stable
10 events

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