LOW collapsed further to RSI 25, -7.5% week — entering oversold. HD dropped to RSI 31, -4.7% week. HIMS recovered slightly +2.3% week but still -35.2% 30D. DECK crashed -9.1% week from RSI 75 highs. LULU -2.9% week. NKE -6.7% week.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal |
Reading |
| Overall |
🔴 BROAD WEAKNESS — Home improvement capitulating (LOW RSI 25, HD RSI 31). Footwear reversing (DECK -9.1%, NKE -6.7%). HIMS still extreme. LULU and CROX holding best. |
| Key insight |
LOW RSI 25 after -7.5% week — entering strong oversold entry zone. HD RSI 31 approaching oversold. DECK reversed hard from new 52wk high RSI 75 — down -9.1% week to $109.89. NKE -6.7% week breaking prior support. |
Action Matrix
| Action |
Stocks |
Why |
| ✅ BUY |
LOW |
RSI 25, -6.4% below SMA — home improvement oversold, durable compounder |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
HD |
RSI 31, -4.0% below SMA — approaching oversold, same thesis as LOW |
| 🔍 RESEARCH |
HIMS |
-35.2% 30D — need catalyst confirmation before entry |
| 🔍 WATCH |
NKE |
$59.40, -6.7% week — is turnaround thesis intact or breaking? |
| 🔒 HOLD |
CMG |
$36.92, +1.2% week — resilient, near SMA |
| 🔒 HOLD |
DPZ |
$408.38, -1.4% week — near 52wk high, franchise stable |
| 🔒 HOLD |
CROX |
RSI 62 (stale 02/26), cooling from highs |
| 🔒 HOLD |
LULU |
$174.27, -2.9% week — holding above prior lows |
| ⚠️ AVOID |
DECK |
$109.89, -9.1% week — reversed from RSI 75 new 52wk high, falling knife risk |
Data (Validated 2026-03-03)
| Stock |
Price |
7D |
30D |
52wkHi |
RSI |
SMA20 |
vs SMA |
Status |
Action |
| HIMS |
$15.82 |
+2.3% |
-35.2% |
$24.40 |
— |
— |
— |
🔴 Extreme (no RSI) |
🔍 Research |
| LOW |
$257.77 |
-7.5% |
-6.2% |
$287.39 |
25 |
$275.36 |
-6.4% |
🔴 Oversold |
✅ Buy |
| HD |
$366.57 |
-4.7% |
-3.8% |
$391.05 |
31 |
$381.80 |
-4.0% |
🟡 Approaching oversold |
📈 Accumulate |
| NKE |
$59.40 |
-6.7% |
-6.9% |
$65.18 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Declining |
🔍 Watch |
| CMG |
$36.92 |
+1.2% |
-7.5% |
$39.93 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Near SMA |
🔒 Hold |
| LULU |
$174.27 |
-2.9% |
-2.1% |
$187.30 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Holding |
🔒 Hold |
| CROX |
$93.68 |
-2.9% |
+11.6% |
$100.04 |
62 |
$90.90 |
+3.1% |
🟢 Above SMA (stale 02/26) |
🔒 Hold |
| DPZ |
$408.38 |
-1.4% |
+1.7% |
$414.20 |
— |
— |
— |
🟢 Near 52wk high |
🔒 Hold |
| DECK |
$109.89 |
-9.1% |
-2.1% |
$120.94 |
— |
— |
— |
🔴 Reversing from highs |
⚠️ Avoid |
Note: CROX data as of 02/26 — stale. HIMS, NKE, CMG, LULU, DECK, DPZ have price only (no RSI/SMA in feed).
Key Changes vs 02/26
| Stock |
02/26 Price |
03/03 Price |
Move |
Note |
| LOW |
$264.70 |
$257.77 |
-2.6% |
RSI 41→25 — oversold entry triggered |
| HD |
$377.62 |
$366.57 |
-2.9% |
RSI 46→31 — rapidly approaching oversold |
| DECK |
$119.46 |
$109.89 |
-8.0% |
Reversed hard from RSI 75 new 52wk high — momentum broken |
| NKE |
$64.16 |
$59.40 |
-7.4% |
Breaking prior support — turnaround thesis at risk |
| HIMS |
$15.23 |
$15.82 |
+3.9% |
Slight bounce from RSI 9 extreme, still -35.2% 30D |
| LULU |
$185.43 |
$174.27 |
-6.0% |
Gave back recent RSI 64 gains |
| DPZ |
$396.53 |
$408.38 |
+3.0% |
Resilient — only consumer name with positive momentum |
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| LOW RSI 25 after -7.5% week |
Best consumer entry of the week — home improvement at capitulation |
| HD RSI 31 in lockstep with LOW |
Both home improvement names oversold — sector-wide, not stock-specific |
| DECK -9.1% week after RSI 75 new 52wk high |
Perfect example of momentum reversal — trim targets matter |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake |
Lesson |
| Not trimming DECK at RSI 75 / new 52wk high |
Set trim target when momentum peaks, not after -9% reversal |
| Buying HIMS at RSI 15 |
RSI 9→still weak — needs catalyst, not just oversold RSI |
Open Questions
- LOW RSI 25: is home improvement weakness tariff-driven or consumer spending slowdown?
- HD RSI 31 vs LOW RSI 25 — buy both or pick the stronger one?
- DECK: is -9.1% week a flush or start of larger reversal from 52wk high?
- NKE -6.7% week at $59.40 — is the turnaround thesis broken?