LOW entered oversold RSI 25, -7.5% week. HD approaching oversold RSI 31, -4.7% week. DECK reversed -9.1% week from RSI 75 new 52wk high. NKE dropped -6.7% week to $59.40. DPZ resilient +1.7% 30D. LULU -2.9% week.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal |
Reading |
| Overall |
🔴 BROAD WEAKNESS — Home improvement capitulating (LOW RSI 25, HD RSI 31). Footwear reversing (DECK -9.1% from 52wk high, NKE -6.7%). Only DPZ holding positive momentum. |
| Key insight |
LOW RSI 25 after -7.5% week — best entry signal in theme. HD RSI 31 one step behind. DECK reversed from new 52wk high RSI 75 — fell $10 in a week. NKE losing turnaround momentum at $59. |
Action Matrix
| Action |
Stocks |
Why |
| ✅ BUY |
LOW |
RSI 25, -6.4% below SMA — oversold home improvement, durable compounder |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
HD |
RSI 31, -4.0% below SMA — approaching oversold, same home improvement thesis |
| 🔍 WATCH |
NKE |
$59.40, -6.7% week, -6.9% 30D — turnaround thesis at risk, verify |
| 🔍 WATCH |
CMG |
$36.92, +1.2% week — resilient but -7.5% 30D |
| 🔒 HOLD |
DPZ |
$408.38, -1.4% week but near 52wk high — franchise durable |
| 🔒 HOLD |
ANF |
RSI 56 (stale 02/04) — verify current price |
| 🔒 HOLD |
CROX |
RSI 62 (stale 02/26) — cooling from overbought, confirm |
| 🔒 HOLD |
LULU |
$174.27, -2.9% week — athleisure thesis intact |
| ⚠️ AVOID |
DECK |
$109.89, -9.1% week — reversed from RSI 75 new 52wk high |
Data (Validated 2026-03-03)
| Stock |
Price |
7D |
30D |
52wkHi |
RSI |
SMA20 |
vs SMA |
Status |
Action |
| LOW |
$257.77 |
-7.5% |
-6.2% |
$287.39 |
25 |
$275.36 |
-6.4% |
🔴 Oversold |
✅ Buy |
| HD |
$366.57 |
-4.7% |
-3.8% |
$391.05 |
31 |
$381.80 |
-4.0% |
🟡 Approaching oversold |
📈 Accumulate |
| NKE |
$59.40 |
-6.7% |
-6.9% |
$65.18 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Declining |
🔍 Watch |
| CMG |
$36.92 |
+1.2% |
-7.5% |
$39.93 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Near SMA |
🔍 Watch |
| LULU |
$174.27 |
-2.9% |
-2.1% |
$187.30 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Holding |
🔒 Hold |
| DPZ |
$408.38 |
-1.4% |
+1.7% |
$414.20 |
— |
— |
— |
🟢 Near 52wk high |
🔒 Hold |
| ANF |
$105.56 |
+9.4% |
-15.1% |
$129.85 |
56 |
$104.20 |
+1.3% |
🟢 Above SMA (stale 02/04) |
🔒 Hold |
| CROX |
$93.68 |
-2.9% |
+11.6% |
$100.04 |
62 |
$90.90 |
+3.1% |
🟢 Above SMA (stale 02/26) |
🔒 Hold |
| DECK |
$109.89 |
-9.1% |
-2.1% |
$120.94 |
— |
— |
— |
🔴 Reversing from 52wk high |
⚠️ Avoid |
Note: ANF data as of 02/04, CROX as of 02/26 — stale. NKE, CMG, LULU, DPZ, DECK have price only (no RSI/SMA in feed).
Key Changes vs 02/26
| Stock |
02/26 Price |
03/03 Price |
Move |
Note |
| LOW |
$264.70 |
$257.77 |
-2.6% |
RSI 41→25 — crossed into oversold |
| HD |
$377.62 |
$366.57 |
-2.9% |
RSI 46→31 — rapidly weakening |
| DECK |
$119.46 |
$109.89 |
-8.0% |
Reversed from RSI 75 new 52wk high — momentum destroyed |
| NKE |
$64.16 |
$59.40 |
-7.4% |
Accelerating decline — turnaround in doubt |
| LULU |
$185.43 |
$174.27 |
-6.0% |
Gave back RSI 64 gains |
| CMG |
$37.92 |
$36.92 |
-2.6% |
Mild softness, -7.5% 30D |
| DPZ |
$396.53 |
$408.38 |
+3.0% |
Only retail name in positive territory |
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| LOW RSI 25 after -7.5% week |
Sector-wide home improvement weakness — macro concern (housing/tariffs) |
| HD RSI 31 trailing LOW by one week |
Both names at/near oversold — sector entry, not stock-picking |
| DECK -9.1% week from RSI 75 52wk high |
Momentum peak was precisely at RSI 75 — textbook trim signal missed |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake |
Lesson |
| No trim target on DECK at RSI 75 / 52wk high |
Set trim limits at RSI 70+ and 52wk highs proactively |
| NKE turnaround held too long |
Turnaround thesis needs price validation — not just RSI |
Open Questions
- LOW RSI 25: is -6.2% 30D home improvement weakness tariff-driven or housing slowdown?
- HD RSI 31: buy simultaneously with LOW or wait for RSI 28-30?
- NKE $59 (-6.7% week) — is $55 the next support or does turnaround re-assert?
- DECK: is $109 a support level or does mean-reversion continue toward $100?