Retail Scan
Retail Scan
Mixed-to-improving retail picture — LULU surging, NKE recovering, home improvement (HD/LOW) solid. ANF data stale (last 02/04, RSI 56). DPZ oversold bounce underway. CROX overbought at RSI 71.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 MIXED/RECOVERING — Athleisure recovering, home improvement strong, restaurants bouncing, footwear momentum extended. |
| Leaders | LOW ($280.36, RSI 66), LULU ($187.30, RSI 60), DECK ($118.69, RSI 48) — Momentum or recovery |
| Laggards | DPZ ($384.61, RSI 26), CMG ($37.54, RSI 45) — Restaurant weakness ongoing |
Price Table (Validated 2026-02-22)
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D | 30D | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | $105.56 | 56 | $104.20 | +1.3% | +6.6% | -15.1% | 🟡 Stale data (last 02/04) |
| LULU | $187.30 | 60 | $178.87 | +4.7% | +5.4% | -1.3% | 🟢 Breaking above SMA |
| CMG | $37.54 | 45 | $38.62 | -2.8% | -0.9% | -7.8% | 🟡 Neutral, below SMA |
| DPZ | $384.61 | 26 | $395.59 | -2.8% | +3.0% | -3.6% | 🔴 Deeply oversold (recovering) |
| CROX | $96.88 | 71 | $85.80 | +12.9% | +12.9% | +16.0% | 🟠 Overbought |
| DECK | $118.69 | 48 | $111.84 | +6.1% | +1.1% | +16.4% | 🟢 Strong above SMA |
| NKE | $65.40 | 61 | $63.36 | +3.2% | +0.9% | -0.0% | 🟢 Turnaround in motion |
| HD | $382.25 | 57 | $382.82 | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.6% | 🟡 At SMA |
| LOW | $280.36 | 66 | $277.40 | +1.1% | -0.3% | +1.2% | 🟢 Above SMA, strong |
Sub-Sector Analysis
Home Improvement (HD, LOW): Solid. LOW RSI 66 and above SMA — outperforming. HD at SMA with healthy RSI 57. Housing-adjacent demand holding up.
Restaurants (CMG, DPZ): Mixed. DPZ RSI 26 bouncing from historic RSI 13 low. CMG RSI 45 neutral — neither oversold nor strong. Restaurant consumer spending pressure persists.
Specialty Footwear (CROX, DECK): CROX overbought (RSI 71, +13% above SMA) — earnings-driven gap is extended. DECK pulled back from RSI 76 high to RSI 48 — healthy. Both remain strong 30D performers.
Athleisure (LULU, NKE): Recovering. LULU had a big move — RSI 36 to RSI 60 in one week, now above SMA. NKE RSI 61 and above SMA, turnaround gaining credibility.
Specialty Apparel (ANF): Data stale (last 02/04). RSI was 56, slightly above SMA. -15% over 30D from early January peak. Needs refresh.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Zone | RSI Trigger | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 DPZ | $375-$385 | RSI < 30 | MEDIUM — Franchise model intact, oversold bounce started. Steady income buyer. |
| 🟡 CMG | $36-$38 | RSI < 40 | MEDIUM — Restaurant leader with long runway. Slight discount to SMA. |
| 🟡 HD | $375-$382 | RSI < 50 | LOW — At SMA support. Housing catalyst needed for a move. |
| 🔍 ANF | $95-$105 | Fresh data needed | LOW — 30D decline from Jan highs. Await updated data. |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | 🟡 RSI 56 (stale) | 🔍 Watch | Data from 02/04 — refresh before acting. -15% from Jan peak. |
| LULU | 🟢 RSI 60 | 🔒 Hold | Broke above SMA. Upside building — don't sell early. |
| CMG | 🟡 RSI 45 | 📈 Accumulate | Below SMA. Add in small increments on dips below $37. |
| DPZ | 🔴 RSI 26 | 📈 Accumulate | Deep oversold bounce. Core franchise resilient. |
| CROX | 🟠 RSI 71 | ⚠️ Avoid | Extended — +13% above SMA and overbought. |
| DECK | 🟢 RSI 48 | 🔒 Hold | Healthy pullback from overbought. Still above SMA. |
| NKE | 🟢 RSI 61 | 🔍 Watch | Turnaround real? Above SMA now. Volume confirmation needed. |
| HD | 🟡 RSI 57 | 🔒 Hold | Stable at SMA. No urgency. |
| LOW | 🟢 RSI 66 | 🔒 Hold | Best home improvement name — steady trend. |
What Changed (vs 2026-02-16)
| Stock | Feb-16 RSI | Feb-22 RSI | Move | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANF | 56 | 56 (stale) | No change | Data not refreshed since 02/04 |
| LULU | 39 | 60 | Major improvement | Broke above SMA, strong bounce |
| CMG | 32 | 45 | Improved | Recovering from oversold |
| DPZ | 13 | 26 | Recovering | Bouncing hard from RSI 13 extreme |
| CROX | 71 | 71 | Flat | Remains overbought |
| DECK | 68 | 48 | Pulled back | Healthy — not a breakdown |
| NKE | 45 | 61 | Improved | Turnaround momentum accelerating |
| HD | 54 | 57 | Slight improvement | Holding steady |
| LOW | 62 | 66 | Improved | Steady uptrend intact |
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.