LOW continued decline to $250.22 (-2.9%). HD dropped to $353.56 (-3.6%). NKE fell to $56.53 (-4.8%). CMG -4.4% to $35.29. LULU -2.6% to $169.76. DPZ new 52wk high $415.78. DECK stale at $109.89 (03/03). ANF stale 02/04.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal |
Reading |
| Overall |
🔴 BROAD WEAKNESS DEEPENING — Home improvement still declining (LOW, HD). NKE accelerating breakdown. CMG now weakening. LULU continuing decline. Only DPZ positive at new 52wk high. |
| Key insight |
LOW $250.22 deepening from RSI 25 — entering extreme oversold territory. HD $353.56 likely below RSI 30 now. NKE $56.53 breaking key support — turnaround at serious risk. DPZ $415.78 only bright spot at new highs. |
Action Matrix
| Action |
Stocks |
Why |
| ✅ BUY |
LOW |
$250.22, likely RSI < 25 — oversold home improvement, durable compounder |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
HD |
$353.56, likely RSI < 30 — deep oversold, same thesis |
| 🔍 WATCH |
NKE |
$56.53, -4.8% vs 03/03 — turnaround thesis at serious risk |
| 🔍 WATCH |
CMG |
$35.29, -4.4% vs 03/03 — now weakening |
| 🔒 HOLD |
DPZ |
$415.78, new 52wk high — franchise durable |
| 🔒 HOLD |
ANF |
RSI 56 (stale 02/04) — verify current price |
| 🔒 HOLD |
CROX |
RSI 62 (stale 02/26) — confirm |
| 🔒 HOLD |
LULU |
$169.76, -2.6% — athleisure thesis holding but weak |
| ⚠️ AVOID |
DECK |
$109.89 (stale 03/03) — momentum broken from RSI 75 highs |
Data (Validated 2026-03-10)
| Stock |
Price |
7D |
30D |
52wkHi |
RSI |
SMA20 |
vs SMA |
Status |
Action |
| LOW |
$250.22 |
-2.9% |
— |
$287.39 |
— |
— |
— |
🔴 Deep oversold |
✅ Buy |
| HD |
$353.56 |
-3.6% |
— |
$391.05 |
— |
— |
— |
🔴 Continued decline |
📈 Accumulate |
| NKE |
$56.53 |
-4.8% |
— |
$65.18 |
— |
— |
— |
🔴 Breaking down |
🔍 Watch |
| CMG |
$35.29 |
-4.4% |
— |
$39.93 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Weakening |
🔍 Watch |
| LULU |
$169.76 |
-2.6% |
— |
$187.30 |
— |
— |
— |
🟡 Declining |
🔒 Hold |
| DPZ |
$415.78 |
+1.8% |
— |
$415.78 |
— |
— |
— |
🟢 New 52wk high |
🔒 Hold |
| ANF |
$105.56 |
— |
-15.1% |
$129.85 |
56 |
$104.20 |
+1.3% |
🟢 Above SMA (stale 02/04) |
🔒 Hold |
| CROX |
$93.68 |
— |
+11.6% |
$100.04 |
62 |
$90.90 |
+3.1% |
🟢 Above SMA (stale 02/26) |
🔒 Hold |
| DECK |
$109.89 |
— |
— |
$120.94 |
— |
— |
— |
🔴 Stale 03/03 |
⚠️ Avoid |
Note: ANF data as of 02/04, CROX as of 02/26, DECK as of 03/03 — stale. Most names price-only.
Key Changes vs 03/03
| Stock |
03/03 Price |
03/10 Price |
Move |
Note |
| LOW |
$257.77 |
$250.22 |
-2.9% |
Continued decline from RSI 25 — deeper oversold |
| HD |
$366.57 |
$353.56 |
-3.6% |
Accelerating weakness — likely RSI < 30 |
| NKE |
$59.40 |
$56.53 |
-4.8% |
Breaking prior support — worst mover in theme |
| CMG |
$36.92 |
$35.29 |
-4.4% |
Joining the weakness — consumer spending concern |
| LULU |
$174.27 |
$169.76 |
-2.6% |
Continued decline |
| DPZ |
$408.38 |
$415.78 |
+1.8% |
Only positive name — new 52wk high |
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| LOW/HD both still declining |
Home improvement weakness deepening — macro/tariff driven |
| NKE -4.8% from $59.40 to $56.53 |
Turnaround thesis breaking — $55 is last major support |
| DPZ new 52wk high while retail collapses |
Franchise model defensive — flight to quality in consumer |
| CMG now -4.4% — joining the weakness |
Consumer spending weakness broadening beyond home improvement |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake |
Lesson |
| Not trimming DECK at RSI 75 / 52wk high |
Set trim limits at RSI 70+ and 52wk highs proactively |
| NKE turnaround held too long |
Turnaround thesis needs price validation, not hope |
Open Questions
- LOW $250 — how deep does oversold go? Is $240 the capitulation level?
- HD $354 — buy simultaneously with LOW or wait for RSI data?
- NKE $56.53 — is $55 the last support or does it break?
- CMG -4.4% — is consumer spending broadly weakening?