Retail

Update

Retail

NKE $55.72 (RSI 29). LOW $246.81 (RSI 30). HD $351.01 (RSI 34). LULU $162.83 (RSI 34). CMG $34.72 (RSI 36). ANF $86.83 (RSI 36). DECK $105.26 (RSI 37). CROX $82.91 (RSI 40). DPZ $400.52 (RSI 49). SBUX $101.38 (RSI 67).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 SECTOR-WIDE OVERSOLD — 6 of 10 names below RSI 40. NKE RSI 29, LOW RSI 30 — approaching capitulation. Only SBUX (RSI 67) showing strength. Broad consumer weakness deepening.
Key insight NKE $55.72 RSI 29 and LOW $246.81 RSI 30 — both at oversold entry zones. HD RSI 34, LULU RSI 34, ANF RSI 36, CMG RSI 36 — entire retail sector under pressure. SBUX $101.38 RSI 67 is the sole strong name.

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
BUY NKE $55.72, RSI 29, -10.0% 30D — oversold turnaround candidate
BUY LOW $246.81, RSI 30, -14.0% 30D — oversold home improvement
📈 ACCUMULATE HD $351.01, RSI 34, -10.2% 30D — oversold with LOW
📈 ACCUMULATE LULU $162.83, RSI 34 — athleisure deep discount
🔒 HOLD SBUX $101.38, RSI 67 — only strong name, near 52wk high
🔒 HOLD DPZ $400.52, RSI 49 — stable at SMA
🔍 WATCH ANF $86.83, RSI 36, -5.1% 30D — trend weakening
🔍 WATCH CMG $34.72, RSI 36, -6.7% 30D — approaching oversold
🔍 WATCH DECK $105.26, RSI 37, -8.8% 30D — below SMA
🔍 WATCH CROX $82.91, RSI 40, death cross — below SMA

Data (Validated 2026-03-11)

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
NKE $55.72 -4.7% -10.0% 29 $61.10 -8.8% 🔴 Near oversold ✅ Buy
LOW $246.81 -2.3% -14.0% 30 $267.75 -7.8% 🔴 Oversold ✅ Buy
HD $351.01 -2.0% -10.2% 34 $374.02 -6.2% 🔴 Oversold zone 📈 Accumulate
LULU $162.83 -4.1% -7.4% 34 $176.46 -7.7% 🔴 Oversold zone 📈 Accumulate
ANF $86.83 -5.9% -5.1% 36 $93.54 -7.2% 🟡 Weakening 🔍 Watch
CMG $34.72 -5.0% -6.7% 36 $36.93 -6.0% 🟡 Approaching oversold 🔍 Watch
DECK $105.26 -2.7% -8.8% 37 $114.27 -7.9% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch
CROX $82.91 -0.9% +0.2% 40 $91.10 -9.0% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch
DPZ $400.52 -2.1% +4.3% 49 $396.07 +1.1% 🟢 Near SMA 🔒 Hold
SBUX $101.38 +3.5% +2.9% 67 $97.42 +4.1% 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold

Key Changes vs 03/10

Stock 03/10 Price 03/11 Price Move Note
NKE $56.53 $55.72 -1.4% RSI 29 — confirmed oversold entry zone
LOW $250.22 $246.81 -1.4% RSI 30 — at oversold threshold
HD $353.56 $351.01 -0.7% RSI 34 — confirmed oversold zone
LULU $169.76 $162.83 -4.1% RSI 34 — accelerating decline
CMG $35.29 $34.72 -1.6% RSI 36 — continued weakness
ANF $105.56 (stale) $86.83 Fresh data: RSI 36 (was 56 stale) — much weaker
CROX $93.68 (stale) $82.91 Fresh data: RSI 40 (was 62 stale) — much weaker
DPZ $415.78 $400.52 -3.7% Pulled back from "new highs"
DECK $109.89 (stale) $105.26 Fresh data: RSI 37

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
6 of 10 retail names below RSI 40 Sector-wide oversold — this is rare and potentially a contrarian signal
ANF RSI 36 (was 56 stale), CROX RSI 40 (was 62 stale) Stale data massively overstated health of these names
SBUX RSI 67 sole bright spot Pricing power and brand strength win in consumer weakness

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
ANF "RSI 56 above SMA" was completely stale Data >2 weeks old is unreliable for action decisions
DPZ "new 52wk high" was also stale Even recent stale data (1 week) can be misleading in volatile markets

Open Questions

  • 6 oversold retail names — is this sector capitulation or structural decline?
  • NKE RSI 29 + LOW RSI 30 — buy both or pick one?
  • ANF -21.2% 3M — is fast fashion thesis still intact?
  • SBUX RSI 67 as sole strength — rotation into quality consumer?
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.