Widespread consumer weakness continues. NKE $54.42 (RSI 26 — deeper oversold). LULU $160.16 (RSI 32). CMG now RSI 29. LOW $241.93 (RSI 27). HD $341.42 (RSI 29). HIMS surging to $25.06 (RSI 64, +60.0% 7D). SBUX $100.92 (RSI 64). DPZ $393.32 (RSI 45). DECK RSI 33. CROX $80.46 (RSI 37).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal |
Reading |
| Overall |
🔴 CONSUMER CAPITULATION — NKE RSI 26, LOW RSI 27, CMG RSI 29, HD RSI 29, DECK RSI 33 — this is rare sector-wide oversold. Only HIMS (+60% 7D) and SBUX (RSI 64) holding up. The broad consumer sector is in distress. |
| Key insight |
CMG $32.83 has crossed into RSI 29 — joining NKE, LOW, HD as near-extreme oversold. LOW $241.93 RSI 27 is now the most oversold name. HIMS $25.06 RSI 64, +60.0% 7D — extraordinary short squeeze or catalyst continuation. SBUX $100.92 still strong at RSI 64. |
Action Matrix
| Action |
Stocks |
Why |
| ✅ BUY |
LOW |
$241.93, RSI 27, -15.3% 30D — most oversold, home improvement leader |
| ✅ BUY |
NKE |
$54.42, RSI 26, -10.4% 30D — deepening oversold, turnaround thesis |
| ✅ BUY |
HD |
$341.42, RSI 29, -12.5% 30D — home improvement at capitulation |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
CMG |
$32.83, RSI 29, -8.4% 30D — oversold entry, fast casual leader |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
LULU |
$160.16, RSI 32 — athleisure at deep discount |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
DECK |
$102.39, RSI 33 — footwear at oversold zone |
| 🔒 HOLD |
HIMS |
$25.06, RSI 64, +60.0% 7D — extraordinary run, hold not chase |
| 🔒 HOLD |
SBUX |
$100.92, RSI 64, -3.7% from 52wk high — consistent strength |
| 🔒 HOLD |
DPZ |
$393.32, RSI 45 — stable near SMA |
| 🔍 WATCH |
CROX |
$80.46, RSI 37 — below SMA, death cross |
Data (Validated 2026-03-12)
| Stock |
Price |
7D |
30D |
52wkHi |
RSI |
SMA20 |
vs SMA |
Status |
Action |
| NKE |
$54.42 |
-3.6% |
-10.4% |
-32.1% |
26 |
$60.72 |
-10.4% |
🔴 Extreme oversold |
✅ Buy |
| LOW |
$241.93 |
-2.9% |
-15.3% |
-17.4% |
27 |
$265.50 |
-8.9% |
🔴 Extreme oversold |
✅ Buy |
| HD |
$341.42 |
-3.4% |
-12.5% |
-20.0% |
29 |
$371.55 |
-8.1% |
🔴 Extreme oversold |
✅ Buy |
| CMG |
$32.83 |
-8.1% |
-8.4% |
-42.2% |
29 |
$36.48 |
-10.0% |
🔴 Near oversold extreme |
📈 Accumulate |
| LULU |
$160.16 |
-5.7% |
-5.5% |
-54.0% |
32 |
$175.68 |
-8.8% |
🔴 Oversold zone |
📈 Accumulate |
| DECK |
$102.39 |
-5.4% |
-11.8% |
-21.1% |
33 |
$112.98 |
-9.4% |
🔴 Oversold zone |
📈 Accumulate |
| CROX |
$80.46 |
-2.5% |
-18.3% |
-32.5% |
37 |
$90.84 |
-11.4% |
🟡 Below SMA, death cross |
🔍 Watch |
| DPZ |
$393.32 |
-2.2% |
+3.0% |
-19.8% |
45 |
$396.71 |
-0.9% |
🟡 Near SMA |
🔒 Hold |
| SBUX |
$100.92 |
+3.6% |
+5.0% |
-3.7% |
64 |
$97.54 |
+3.5% |
🟢 Strong, near high |
🔒 Hold |
| HIMS |
$25.06 |
+60.0% |
+58.6% |
-66.7% |
64 |
$17.48 |
+43.4% |
🟢 Extraordinary bounce |
🔒 Hold |
Key Changes vs 03/11
| Stock |
03/11 Price |
03/12 Price |
Move |
Note |
| NKE |
$55.72 |
$54.42 |
-2.3% |
RSI 26 from 29 — deepening oversold |
| LOW |
$246.81 |
$241.93 |
-2.0% |
RSI 27 from 30 — more oversold |
| HD |
$351.01 |
$341.42 |
-2.7% |
RSI 29 from 34 — crossing into oversold |
| CMG |
$34.72 |
$32.83 |
-5.4% |
RSI 29 from 36 — now oversold |
| LULU |
$162.83 |
$160.16 |
-1.6% |
RSI 32 from 34 — continuing lower |
| DECK |
$105.26 |
$102.39 |
-2.7% |
RSI 33 from 37 — worsening |
| HIMS |
$23.47 |
$25.06 |
+6.8% |
Continuing higher — now RSI 64 |
| CROX |
$82.91 |
$80.46 |
-3.0% |
RSI 37 from 40 — deeper weakness |
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| NKE RSI 26, LOW RSI 27, HD RSI 29, CMG RSI 29 |
Four major consumer names at or approaching extreme oversold simultaneously — rare |
| HIMS $25 RSI 64, +60% 7D |
Massive move off lows — don't chase, hold if already in |
| CROX -18.3% 30D with death cross |
Footwear/fashion deteriorating faster than restaurant/athletic |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake |
Lesson |
| Consumer weakness deeper than expected |
Multiple RSI signals deteriorating together — sector rotation out of discretionary is real |
Open Questions
- NKE RSI 26 + LOW RSI 27 — buy both now or wait for RSI < 20?
- CMG -42.2% from 52wk high, RSI 29 — thesis broken or entry zone?
- HIMS +60% 7D — what was the catalyst? Sustainable?
- SBUX RSI 64 as sole strength — is this a sector-rotation proxy?
- Consumer sector-wide oversold — macro recession signal or overreaction?