Retail

Update

Retail

LOW $237.64 (RSI 25 — extreme oversold). NKE $53.98 (RSI 25). HD $339.07 (RSI 29). CMG $32.83 (RSI 29). ANF $85.14 (RSI 34). LULU $157.78 (RSI 30). DECK $102.39 (RSI 33). CROX $80.46 (RSI 37). SBUX $99.15 (RSI 57). COST $1,000.92 (RSI 55). TGT $116.73 (RSI 54). WMT $126.52 (RSI 53).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 SECTOR-WIDE CAPITULATION DEEPENING — LOW RSI 25 (was 27), NKE RSI 25 (was 26). HD RSI 29. LULU RSI 30 now at extreme. COST/WMT/TGT still holding with golden crosses. Discretionary vs. staples divergence at extreme levels.
Key insight LOW $237.64 RSI 25, -15.5% 30D — most oversold in retail. NKE RSI 25. Both at extreme levels. COST $1,000.92 RSI 55, TGT $116.73 RSI 54, WMT $126.52 RSI 53 — defensive retail all holding golden crosses.

Data (Validated 2026-03-13)

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
LOW $237.64 -4.3% -15.5% -18.9% 25 $262.98 -9.6% 🔴 Extreme oversold ✅ Buy
NKE $53.98 -5.3% -16.2% -32.7% 25 $60.37 -10.6% 🔴 Extreme oversold ✅ Buy
HD $339.07 -4.9% -10.9% -20.6% 29 $366.64 -7.5% 🔴 Extreme oversold ✅ Buy
CMG $32.83 -8.1% -8.4% -44.3% 29 $36.48 -10.0% 🔴 Extreme oversold 📈 Accumulate
LULU $157.78 -6.0% -11.2% -54.7% 30 $174.99 -9.8% 🔴 Oversold extreme 📈 Accumulate
DECK $102.39 -5.4% -11.8% -21.1% 33 $112.98 -9.4% 🔴 Oversold zone 📈 Accumulate
ANF $85.14 -2.8% -7.4% -34.8% 34 $92.98 -8.4% 🟡 Weakening 🔍 Watch
CROX $80.46 -2.5% -18.3% -32.5% 37 $90.84 -11.4% 🟡 Death cross 🔍 Watch
DPZ $393.32 -2.2% +3.0% -19.8% 45 $396.71 -0.9% 🟡 Near SMA 🔒 Hold
WMT $126.52 +1.3% -1.8% -6.1% 53 $126.13 +0.3% 🟢 Golden cross 🔒 Hold
TGT $116.73 -0.6% +3.6% -4.2% 54 $116.92 -0.2% 🟢 Golden cross 🔒 Hold
COST $1,000.92 +0.8% +0.2% -6.5% 55 $998.45 +0.2% 🟢 Golden cross 🔒 Hold
SBUX $99.15 +3.1% +3.9% -5.4% 57 $97.66 +1.5% 🟢 Golden cross, strong 🔒 Hold

Key Changes vs 03/12

Stock 03/12 Price 03/13 Price Move Note
LOW $241.93 $237.64 -1.8% RSI 27 → 25 — deeper extreme oversold
NKE $54.42 $53.98 -0.8% RSI 26 → 25 — deepening
HD $341.42 $339.07 -0.7% RSI 29 — holding at extreme
LULU $160.16 $157.78 -1.5% RSI 32 → 30 — now at extreme

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
LOW RSI 25, NKE RSI 25 — both at extreme oversold Two major names at rare oversold levels simultaneously
LULU crossed RSI 30 threshold Athleisure joining capitulation — broadening retail distress
COST/WMT/TGT all golden cross, RSI 53-55 Defensive retail remains fortress-like — clear rotation

Open Questions

  • LOW + NKE both RSI 25 — buy both or pick one?
  • LULU RSI 30 — athleisure bottom or structural break?
  • Discretionary vs. staples divergence — when does it revert?
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Mar 13 ScanRetail Scan Mar 12 UpdateRetail Mar 11 ScanRetail Scan Mar 10 ScanRetail Scan Mar 20 UpdateRetail Mar 20 ScanRetail Scan Mar 24 ScanRetail Scan Mar 26 ScanRetail Scan Mar 12 ScanRetail Scan Mar 31 ScanRetail Scan

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