Retail Scan

Scan

Retail Scan

Scan symbols 18
ANFASECMGCOSTCROXDECKDPZHDELOWELULUMCDNKESBUXSHOPTGTETJXEWMTEYUM
Watchlists 1
@retail-scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 26 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-retail-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-13-retail-scan.mdscan slugretail-scansource typescan-archive

Retail split: HOME IMPROVEMENT CRASHING (LOW RSI 24.6, HD RSI 29.1) while value/discount holds (TJX near highs, WMT +8.3% 3M). NKE RSI 25.1 in capitulation. SHOP -23.1% 3M. ANF -24.0% 3M. Consumer bifurcation intensifying — premium brands collapsing, value thriving.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 BIFURCATED — Home improvement (LOW, HD) in capitulation alongside housing. Premium brands (NKE, LULU, ANF, CMG, CROX) getting destroyed. Value retailers (WMT, TJX, COST, TGT) holding or rising. Classic late-cycle consumer trade-down.
Leaders TJX (RSI 49.4, near 52wk high), WMT (+8.3% 3M), TGT (+21.5% 3M), COST (+13.3% 3M)
Laggards LOW (RSI 24.6, -15.5% 30D), NKE (RSI 25.1, -16.2% 30D), HD (RSI 29.1, -10.9% 30D), CMG (RSI 28.7)

Price Table

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal
LOW $237.64 24.6 $262.98 -9.6% -4.3% -15.5% 🔴 Capitulation
HD $339.07 29.1 $366.64 -7.5% -4.9% -10.9% 🔴 Oversold, death cross
NKE $53.98 25.1 $60.37 -10.6% -5.3% -16.2% 🔴 Capitulation
LULU $157.78 30.0 $174.99 -9.8% -6.0% -11.2% 🔴 Death cross
AS $32.33 29.6 $37.30 -13.3% -7.7% -19.7% 🔴 Oversold
CMG $32.83 28.7 $36.48 -10.0% -8.1% -8.4% 🔴 Oversold, death cross
ANF $85.14 34.4 $92.98 -8.4% -2.8% -7.4% 🟡 -35% from high
SHOP $122.96 45.6 $123.82 -0.7% -3.5% +8.3% 🟡 Death cross, -33% from high
DECK $102.39 33.4 $112.98 -9.4% -5.4% -11.8% 🟡 Approaching oversold
CROX $80.46 36.8 $90.84 -11.4% -2.5% -18.3% 🔴 Death cross
TJX $157.10 49.4 $158.17 -0.7% -0.9% +1.9% 🟢 Near 52wk high
WMT $126.52 53.4 $126.13 +0.3% +1.3% -1.8% 🟢 Strong-up
COST $1,000.92 54.7 $998.45 +0.2% +0.8% +0.2% 🟢 Strong-up
TGT $116.73 53.5 $116.92 -0.2% -0.6% +3.6% 🟢 Strong-up, +21.5% 3M
MCD $325.21 48.5 $329.45 -1.3% -0.3% -1.5% 🟡 Neutral
SBUX $99.15 56.8 $97.66 +1.5% +3.1% +3.9% 🟢 Turnaround working
DPZ $393.32 45.1 $396.71 -0.9% -2.2% +3.0% 🟡 Death cross
YUM $158.96 47.7 $161.91 -1.8% -0.3% -2.2% 🟡 Neutral

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
✅ STRONG BUY LOW RSI 24.6, capitulation. Duopoly at deep value.
📈 ACCUMULATE HD RSI 29.1, oversold. Same thesis.
🔒 HOLD WMT, COST, TJX, TGT, SBUX Value/discount winners. Strong-up trends.
🔍 RESEARCH NKE, CMG, LULU RSI 25-30, oversold. Validate turnaround before buying.
⚠️ AVOID CROX, ANF Death crosses, brand momentum uncertain.

What Changed

Bottom line: Classic consumer bifurcation — value retailers thriving while premium/discretionary names capitulate. LOW RSI 24.6 and NKE RSI 25.1 are the deepest oversold readings. The housing weakness (ITB, XHB from market-pulse) is directly hitting home improvement.

The Gold

Key Discoveries:

  • Consumer trade-down trade in full effect: WMT +50% 1Y, TGT +21% 3M vs NKE -23% 1Y, LULU -49% 1Y
  • LOW/HD capitulation tied to housing (ITB/XHB also crashing)
  • TJX near 52wk high — off-price retail is the strongest consumer subsector

Mistakes to Avoid:

  • Don't catch falling knives in premium brands without thesis validation
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Mar 11 ScanRetail Scan Mar 10 ScanRetail Scan Mar 20 ScanRetail Scan Mar 24 ScanRetail Scan Mar 26 ScanRetail Scan Mar 31 ScanRetail Scan Mar 12 ScanRetail Scan Apr 3 ScanRetail Scan Apr 10 ScanRetail Scan Mar 13 UpdateRetail

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