← all events raw scan snapshot Feb 26, 2026 — prices as of scan date, not live 55 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-etf-universe ported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-02-26-etf-universe.md scan slugetf-universe source typescan-archive
Broad market holding steady (VOO RSI 58, VTI RSI 59) but growth ETFs in whipsaw: cloud/SaaS RSIs snapped from 33 to 49-55 off the lows while income/dividend ETFs (SCHD RSI 90, VYM RSI 87) are dangerously overbought — worst risk/reward on the board.
Quick Snapshot Signal Reading Overall 🟡 MIXED / ROTATION — Broad market stable, but extreme divergence between overbought dividend plays and rebounding SaaS ETFs Strongest GLD (RSI 64, +2.4% 30D), SMH (RSI 66, +2.7% 30D), IWM (RSI 63), XBI (RSI 63) Weakest / Oversold TECL (RSI 32, -22.5% 30D), FNGU (RSI 45, -18.6% 30D), EOSE-adjacent LABU (RSI 42, -6.4% 30D) Overbought SCHD (RSI 90), VYM (RSI 87), JEPI (RSI 77), FNGD (RSI 98 — leveraged inverse, data artifact) Key shift vs 02-22 Cloud ETFs (WCLD, CLOU, IGV) bounced RSI from 33 to 49-55 — not re-entry zone yet
Price Table (Data as of 2026-02-26) Broad Market ETF Name Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action VOO S&P 500 $632.48 +0.7% -0.7% 58.0 $632.73 +0.0% 🟢 At SMA 🔒 Hold VTI Total Market $339.55 +0.7% -0.7% 58.7 $339.41 +0.0% 🟢 At SMA 🔒 Hold QQQ Nasdaq 100 $607.63 +1.1% -2.9% 56.6 $610.04 -0.4% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch QQQM Nasdaq 100 Mini $250.15 +1.0% -2.9% 56.6 $251.17 -0.4% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch IWM Small Cap $263.99 +0.4% +0.0% 62.6 $262.92 +0.4% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold
Sector ETFs ETF Sector Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action SMH Semis $409.70 +0.5% +2.7% 65.5 $407.23 +0.6% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold XLK Tech $143.69 -2.2% -1.7% 52.9 $144.23 -0.4% 🟡 At SMA 🔍 Watch VGT Tech (Vanguard) $752.86 -1.0% -1.2% 54.5 $751.32 +0.2% 🟡 At SMA 🔍 Watch FTEC Tech (Fidelity) $224.30 -1.2% -1.3% 54.1 $224.06 +0.1% 🟡 At SMA 🔍 Watch XBI Biotech $126.36 +1.4% -1.2% 63.0 $125.63 +0.6% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold SOXL Semis 3x Bull $63.74 -0.9% +5.0% 62.2 $64.15 -0.6% 🟢 Above SMA ⚠️ Caution SOXS Semis 3x Bear $1.76 -21.1% -22.8% 41.6 $1.94 -9.1% 🟡 Declining ❌ Don't Buy
Income / Dividend ETFs ETF Theme Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action SCHD Dividend $31.30 +6.6% +9.6% 90.4 $29.63 +5.6% 🔴 Extreme Overbought ⚠️ Avoid VYM High Yield $155.76 +4.2% +5.8% 87.4 $149.80 +4.0% 🔴 Extreme Overbought ⚠️ Avoid JEPI SP500 Income $59.04 +1.4% +2.0% 76.8 $58.19 +1.5% 🟠 Near Overbought ⚠️ Avoid JEPQ QQQ Income $56.93 -4.1% -2.5% 38.4 $58.57 -2.8% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch
Thematic / Cloud ETFs ETF Theme Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action IGV Software $81.83 +1.1% -17.2% 54.4 $83.22 -1.7% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch WCLD Cloud $27.45 -0.7% -16.9% 52.7 $27.91 -1.7% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch CLOU Cloud 2 $18.78 -2.3% -14.4% 48.6 $19.36 -3.0% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch SKYY Cloud 3 $110.37 -1.5% -12.8% 53.8 $113.01 -2.3% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch
Leveraged / Speculative ETFs ETF Theme Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action TQQQ QQQ 3x Bull $49.55 +2.5% -10.0% 55.0 $50.63 -2.1% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch UPRO SP500 3x Bull $115.96 +1.7% -3.6% 56.1 $116.95 -0.8% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch SPXL SP500 3x Bull $220.99 +1.6% -3.6% 56.1 $222.89 -0.9% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch QLD QQQ 2x Bull $68.00 +1.8% -6.4% 55.5 $68.82 -1.2% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch SSO SP500 2x Bull $58.25 +1.2% -2.1% 56.7 $58.49 -0.4% 🟡 At SMA 🔍 Watch SQQQ QQQ 3x Bear $70.68 -3.1% +8.6% 42.9 $70.02 +0.9% 🟡 Fading ❌ Don't Buy TECL Tech 3x Bull $96.11 -23.8% -22.5% 31.8 $117.65 -18.3% 🔴 Breakdown ❌ Don't Buy TECS Tech 3x Bear $20.47 +28.7% +24.9% 69.1 $17.12 +19.5% 🟠 Elevated ❌ Don't Buy FNGU FANG+ 3x Bull $20.44 -11.8% -18.6% 44.5 $22.47 -9.0% 🔴 Breakdown ❌ Don't Buy LABU Biotech 3x Bull $149.04 -18.1% -6.4% 42.2 $172.07 -13.4% 🔴 Broken ❌ Don't Buy TNA Small Cap 3x Bull $56.71 +3.2% +6.0% 53.9 $55.15 +2.8% 🟢 Above SMA ⚠️ Caution TZA Small Cap 3x Bear $5.84 -4.9% -8.2% 43.8 $6.13 -4.8% 🟡 Declining ❌ Don't Buy
Commodities & Safe Haven ETF Asset Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action GLD Gold $476.01 +6.2% +2.4% 64.2 $461.23 +3.2% 🟢 Breakout 🔒 Hold GDX Gold Miners $92.44 -15.4% +0.3% 45.0 $99.92 -7.5% 🟡 Lagging gold 🔍 Watch NUGT Gold Miners 3x $204.44 -30.6% -3.4% 43.6 $246.43 -17.0% 🔴 Broken ❌ Don't Buy DUST Gold Miners 3x Bear $5.88 +31.0% -8.8% 51.3 $5.39 +9.1% 🟡 Choppy ❌ Don't Buy
Tier Analysis Tier 1 — Working (Hold / Trim near RSI 80+)
GLD — Gold confirming breakout, RSI 64, +6.2% in 7 days alone, +2.4% 30D. Flight-to-safety + macro bid. Well above SMA. Hold and trail stop.
SMH — Semis holding, RSI 65.5, above SMA. AI chip demand intact. Hold.
VOO / VTI / IWM — Broad market neutral to mildly positive. Holding SMA. No reason to sell.
XBI — Biotech holding RSI 63. Solid setup. Hold.
Tier 2 — Neutral / Recovery Stall (Watch for Direction)
QQQ / QQQM — RSI 56.6, just below SMA. Bounced from oversold lows (was 37) but not reclaimed SMA cleanly. Watch.
TQQQ / QLD / SSO / SPXL / UPRO — Leveraged bulls: RSI 55-57, all just below SMA. Directional bets, not conviction holds.
XLK / VGT / FTEC — Tech sector ETFs at SMA. Neutral. Watch for break above.
JEPQ — Income Nasdaq ETF lagging, RSI 38.4, below SMA. Underperforming.
Tier 3 — Cloud/SaaS: Bounced But Not Re-Entry (Watch)
IGV — RSI 54 (was 32 on 02-22) — cloud software bounced sharply but is now mid-range. Not an entry; not a sell. -17.2% 30D still shows the damage.
WCLD / CLOU / SKYY — All bounced to RSI 49-54 from 33-range. Same story: bounced but not confirmed. Wait for SMA reclaim.
Tier 4 — Overbought Danger (Trim / Avoid)
SCHD — RSI 90.4 , +9.6% 30D. Dividend ETF in parabolic spike. Trim.
VYM — RSI 87.4 , +5.8% 30D. High-yield dividend ETF at extreme levels.
JEPI — RSI 76.8. Getting stretched.
Tier 5 — Leveraged Breakdown (Do Not Touch)
TECL — RSI 31.8, -22.5% 30D , 18.3% below SMA. 3x tech bull destroyed.
FNGU — RSI 44.5, -18.6% 30D , 9% below SMA. FANG + 3x in breakdown.
LABU — RSI 42.2, 13.4% below SMA. Biotech 3x leveraged wreck.
NUGT — RSI 43.6, -30.6% in 7 days. Gold miners 3x completely broken.
Entry Zones ETF Entry Zone RSI Level Conviction Notes 🟢 GLD Hold current RSI 64 — no add HIGH (hold) Breakout confirmed; trail stop at SMA 🟡 QQQ / QQQM $595-$610 RSI < 45 re-entry MEDIUM Bounced from lows — wait for confirmation 🟡 WCLD / CLOU $26-$27.50 / $18-$19 RSI dip back <40 MEDIUM Bounced from 33 — not re-entry zone yet 🟡 IGV $79-$83 RSI dip back <40 MEDIUM -17% 30D damage; entry only on RSI reload ⏳ SCHD / VYM After RSI reset <60 RSI 90/87 — wait HIGH (wait) Overbought — do not chase dividend rally ❌ TECL / FNGU Avoid RSI 32-45 — no bottom AVOID Leveraged wrecks; wait months not weeks
Action Matrix Action ETF Why 🔒 HOLD GLD, SMH, VOO, VTI, IWM, XBI Trend intact or neutral; GLD/SMH strongest 🔍 WATCH QQQ, QQQM, XLK, VGT, FTEC, WCLD, CLOU, IGV, SKYY, JEPQ, TQQQ, QLD Bounced but not confirmed — wait for SMA reclaim ⚠️ AVOID SCHD, VYM, JEPI, SOXL, TNA Overbought or leveraged risk; poor entry ❌ DON'T BUY TECL, FNGU, LABU, NUGT, SQQQ, SOXS, TZA, FNGD, TECS, DUST Leveraged wreck or inverse — wrong side of trade
Regime Assessment Current regime: STABILIZATION / EARLY RECOVERY — with overbought dividend divergence
VOO /VTI at SMA, RSI 58-59 — broad market stabilized but not yet in uptrend
Cloud/SaaS ETFs (IGV , WCLD , CLOU ) bounced hard from RSI 33 to 49-54 — snapback rally, not confirmed recovery
SCHD /VYM at RSI 87-90 — extreme rotation INTO dividends/safety suggests institutional caution persists
GLD RSI 64 with +6.2% 7D — gold continuing flight-to-safety trade
GDX lagging gold (RSI 45, -15.4% 7D) — unusual divergence, gold miners not confirming gold rally
Key divergence: Gold at RSI 64 and dividend ETFs at RSI 87-90 tell the same story — institutions are in safety trade, not risk-on. SaaS/tech bounce may be a relief rally, not trend reversal.
Watch for: SCHD /VYM RSI pulling back to 70 as entry signal. QQQ reclaiming SMA + RSI >60 for tech re-entry. GDX catching up to GLD (lagging gold miners historically catch up or signal gold reversal).
Key Discoveries Discovery Implication SCHD RSI 90.4 / VYM RSI 87.4 — dividend ETFs in extreme overbought Institutions hiding in safety; do NOT chase. Trim if holding. Cloud ETFs (IGV/WCLD/CLOU) bounced from RSI 33 to 49-54 Relief rally, not confirmed reversal — need SMA reclaim before re-entry GDX -15.4% in 7 days while GLD +6.2% Unusual divergence: gold miners collapsing while gold rips — watch for GDX catch-up or GLD reversal signal TECL -22.5% 30D at RSI 32 3x tech leveraged still in breakdown mode despite broad market stability
Open Questions
Will SCHD /VYM RSI mean-revert or hold elevated? (Rotation back to growth would be catalyst)
Is GDX /GLD divergence a leading indicator of gold topping, or GDX just lag?
Cloud ETF bounce: confirmed floor at RSI 33, or dead-cat bounce before new lows?
JEPQ (RSI 38) lagging JEPI (RSI 77) — QQQ income underperforming SP500 income; why?
No direct external sources are attached to this read.