ETF Universe
ETF Universe
Broad market continues its downtrend — VOO RSI 40.6, QQQ RSI 40.8, all in "down" trend. Leveraged longs are getting crushed (TECL -28%, TQQQ -22% 3M), inverse ETFs thriving (SQQQ +21%, FNGD +43% 3M). Biotech (XBI, LABU) and Brazil (EWZ) are the standout sectors holding up in a broad risk-off tape. CFLT is the sole upside anomaly at RSI 72 — everything else is either neutral or breaking down.
Price Table
| Symbol | Price | RSI | Trend | vsSma200 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | From High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broad Market | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VOO | $594.70 | 40.6 | down | -1.7% | -3.5% | -5.5% | -4.9% | -7.3% |
| VTI | $319.17 | 41.1 | down | -1.6% | -3.4% | -5.6% | -4.5% | -7.3% |
| QQQ | $574.38 | 40.8 | down | -3.1% | -4.4% | -5.4% | -6.4% | -9.8% |
| QQQM | $236.50 | 40.8 | down | -3.1% | -4.3% | -5.4% | -6.4% | -9.8% |
| IWM | $246.54 | 45.5 | weak-down | +2.2% | -2.8% | -6.4% | +0.3% | -9.2% |
| Leveraged Long | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TQQQ | $41.12 | 39.2 | strong-down | -16.1% | -13.0% | -17.1% | -21.9% | -32.2% |
| UPRO | $95.68 | 39.1 | down | -10.9% | -9.6% | -16.8% | -17.2% | -22.1% |
| SPXL | $182.36 | 39.1 | down | -10.8% | -9.4% | -16.8% | -17.1% | -22.1% |
| SSO | $51.37 | 39.6 | down | -6.2% | -6.5% | -11.3% | -11.1% | -14.9% |
| QLD | $60.45 | 39.9 | down | -9.3% | -8.7% | -11.3% | -14.1% | -21.2% |
| SOXL | $46.59 | 42.4 | weak-down | +13.1% | -23.5% | -25.8% | +10.9% | -35.6% |
| Leveraged Inverse | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SQQQ | $81.91 | 58.1 | up | +7.6% | +12.8% | +17.0% | +20.5% | -71.7% |
| FNGD | $75.36 | 57.7 | strong-up | +30.4% | +21.3% | +15.7% | +43.0% | -72.8% |
| TZA | $7.17 | 53.0 | weak-up | -12.3% | +8.6% | +19.5% | -3.6% | -72.1% |
| TECL | $84.47 | 39.2 | strong-down | -21.6% | -17.1% | -17.6% | -28.0% | -45.7% |
| FNGU | $15.41 | 37.1 | strong-down | -38.4% | -19.0% | -18.8% | -39.0% | -54.9% |
| TNA | $43.46 | 43.9 | down | -2.8% | -8.6% | -19.8% | -4.5% | -28.1% |
| Sector / Thematic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SMH | $378.84 | 44.4 | weak-down | +10.7% | -7.1% | -6.8% | +5.2% | -11.5% |
| XBI | $127.08 | 56.0 | strong-up | +17.7% | -0.3% | +0.4% | +4.2% | -3.8% |
| LABU | $164.90 | 54.3 | strong-up | +38.1% | -1.9% | -2.7% | +3.5% | -16.8% |
| SCHD | $30.55 | 50.6 | strong-up | +10.5% | -0.6% | -3.3% | +12.3% | -4.4% |
| EWZ | $38.10 | 56.6 | strong-up | +21.6% | +0.4% | -1.4% | +19.9% | -4.0% |
| TAN | $55.12 | 48.6 | weak-down | +17.5% | -3.5% | -2.2% | +12.2% | -9.7% |
| ICLN | $18.11 | 48.7 | weak-down | +12.8% | -3.2% | -1.2% | +10.2% | -6.5% |
| URA | $47.84 | 45.5 | weak-down | +5.7% | -3.8% | -15.3% | +12.0% | -23.2% |
| JETS | $24.66 | 42.7 | down | -4.7% | -4.2% | -11.0% | -12.2% | -21.3% |
| KWEB | $28.33 | 37.0 | strong-down | -18.5% | -1.6% | -7.6% | -16.8% | -34.7% |
| INDA | $46.44 | 36.4 | strong-down | -12.4% | -2.5% | -8.9% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| FXI | $35.65 | 43.6 | strong-down | -7.2% | -0.8% | -3.4% | -6.9% | -15.1% |
| Tech Sector ETFs | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VGT | $691.95 | 41.4 | down | -4.6% | -5.6% | -5.6% | -8.1% | -14.3% |
| XLK | $131.66 | 40.4 | down | -4.6% | -5.8% | -5.5% | -8.4% | -13.9% |
| FTEC | $206.40 | 41.5 | down | -4.5% | -5.6% | -5.6% | -8.0% | -14.1% |
| WCLD | $27.15 | 43.3 | strong-down | -18.9% | -3.2% | -2.1% | -22.5% | -26.9% |
| CLOU | $19.38 | 47.5 | strong-down | -12.5% | -2.9% | +2.4% | -14.3% | -20.3% |
| SKYY | $108.50 | 43.0 | strong-down | -13.2% | -5.2% | -1.7% | -16.6% | -24.5% |
| IGV | $79.66 | 40.3 | strong-down | -23.0% | -4.3% | -3.8% | -24.6% | -32.5% |
| Income / Covered Call | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JEPQ | $55.28 | 42.8 | weak-down | +0.7% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -3.3% | -8.1% |
| JEPI | $56.47 | 42.4 | weak-down | +1.3% | -1.5% | -4.9% | -0.2% | -5.7% |
| VYM | $147.29 | 44.9 | weak-down | +4.6% | -1.1% | -4.5% | +3.2% | -6.4% |
| QYLD | $17.08 | 46.6 | weak-down | +4.1% | -2.5% | -2.1% | -0.4% | -5.1% |
| XYLD | $38.99 | 43.7 | weak-down | +2.5% | -1.6% | -3.3% | -1.4% | -5.1% |
| DOGG | $21.65 | 41.5 | weak-down | +8.1% | -1.6% | -5.3% | +6.6% | -7.9% |
| Gold / Miners | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLD | $428.24 | 45.4 | weak-down | +13.4% | +2.4% | -12.6% | +8.1% | -16.0% |
| GDX | $90.89 | 47.3 | weak-down | +17.8% | +3.5% | -21.2% | +6.0% | -22.4% |
| NUGT | $185.02 | 45.1 | weak-down | +17.5% | +6.5% | -40.3% | +0.8% | -42.3% |
| Bonds | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| HYG | $79.46 | 48.5 | weak-down | +0.8% | -0.5% | -1.0% | -0.5% | -2.3% |
| LQD | $108.92 | 48.0 | weak-down | +0.3% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -0.5% | -3.6% |
Key Observations
Broad Market Extending Downside: VOO -5.5% 30D, QQQ -5.4% 30D — both in "down" trend with RSI in the low 40s. Not yet oversold. IWM (small caps, RSI 45.5) is outperforming with only -6.4% 30D and a tiny +0.3% 3M, supported by domestic revenue exposure helping in the tariff environment.
SOXL Warning Sign: -23.5% in 7 days is extreme. SOXL's -25.8% 30D while still +10.9% 3M tells a story: it ran hard on the AI capex narrative, then reversed violently. RSI 42.4 means there's more room to fall before oversold conditions.
Biotech Breaking Out: XBI RSI 56, strong-up trend, -3.8% from 52wk high. LABU +38.1% vs SMA200, RSI 54.3. This is the only sector with genuine strength — weight-loss drugs, gene editing catalysts, and defensive rotation into healthcare all converging.
Brazil as Unexpected Safe Haven: EWZ RSI 56.6, +21.6% vs SMA200, +19.9% 3M. Brazilian equities benefiting from commodity strength and soft-landing narrative distinct from US tariff drama.
IGV Cracking: -24.6% 3M, -23.0% vs SMA200, RSI 40.3. Enterprise software repricing continues — no golden cross. The software P/E compression from 2025 rate fears is now compounded by growth deceleration fears.
Gold Miners Volatile: GDX -21.2% 30D but GLD only -12.6% 30D — miners are amplifying gold's correction. NUGT -40.3% 30D is particularly brutal. This is profit-taking after gold's massive run, not a structural reversal.
CFLT Anomaly: RSI 72.4, strong-up, -0.03% from 52wk high. Confluent is threading the needle — data streaming infrastructure for AI workloads. Only equity ETF constituent running hot in a cold tape.
Entry Zones
| Symbol | Entry Zone | Stop | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| VOO | $575–$590 | $560 | RSI 40.6; golden cross intact; wait for RSI < 38 |
| QQQ | $560–$575 | $545 | Down trend; golden cross buffer; wait for RSI < 38 |
| IWM | $235–$248 | $225 | Best relative strength; domestic revenue; RSI 45 |
| SMH | $365–$380 | $350 | Semi strength holding above SMA200 (+10.7%) |
| XBI | $120–$127 | $115 | Only strong-up sector ETF; biotech momentum real |
| EWZ | $36–$38 | $34 | Brazil emerging market strength; +19.9% 3M |
Action Matrix
| Symbol | Action | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| VOO/VTI | 📈 Accumulate on weakness | Golden cross intact; RSI 40; long-term core |
| QQQ/QQQM | 🔍 Watch | Down trend; RSI 40.8; wait for oversold signal |
| IWM | 📈 Accumulate | Best relative strength; domestic exposure hedge |
| XBI/LABU | 🔒 Hold/Add | Only sector in strong-up trend |
| EWZ | 🔍 Watch | Strong momentum; international diversification |
| SMH | 🔒 Hold | Semi strength vs SMA200 holding |
| SCHD | 📈 Accumulate | Dividend defense; strong-up trend; RSI 50 |
| TQQQ/UPRO/SPXL | ⚠️ Avoid | Leverage destroying capital in downtrend |
| FNGU/TECL | ❌ Don't Buy | -38% and -22% vs SMA200; strong-down death spiral |
| SQQQ/FNGD | ⚠️ Tactical only | Inverse decay; only for active hedge management |
| IGV/WCLD | ❌ Don't Buy | Cloud ETFs in strong-down; no floor visible |
| KWEB/INDA | ❌ Don't Buy | Strong-down EM tech; macro headwinds |
| GDX/NUGT | ⚠️ Avoid new entries | Miners amplifying gold volatility; -40% 30D extreme |
What Changed vs March 26
- SOXL collapsed: -23.5% in 7D alone — semi leverage trade violently unwound
- Biotech diverging: XBI/LABU strengthening while everything else falls
- Brazil outperforming: EWZ +19.9% 3M while US market -5% 3M — rare international alpha
- Gold miners hit: GDX -21.2% 30D despite GLD holding — miner leverage working in reverse
- IGV cracking deeper: -24.6% 3M, now in strong-down with no recovery signal
Data: 2026-03-31 pre-computed summaries.
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