ETF Universe Scan
ETF Universe Scan
Broad market ETFs are weak-down with VOO/VTI below SMA20, leveraged plays bleeding hard (TECL -38% from high, SOXL -12%), while gold (GLD +21% 3M), biotech (XBI strong-up), and income ETFs (SCHD, QYLD) are the only pockets of genuine strength.
Quick Snapshot
| Overall Signal | 🟡 Weak-down across broad indices — risk-off rotation favoring gold, biotech, and income |
| Leaders | GLD 🟢 (strong-up, +21.1% 3M), XBI 🟢 (strong-up, RSI 54), LABU 🟢 (+52.8% vs SMA200), SCHD 🟢 (near 52wk high) |
| Laggards | INDA 🔴 (RSI 30, death cross), FXI 🔴 (down trend, -7.3% 30D), TNA 🔴 (RSI 39, small-caps weak), IGV 🔴 (-21.9% 3M) |
| Surprise | FNGU +17.1% 7D bounce but still -40% from 52wk high — dead cat bounce territory |
| Missing Data | TAN, ICLN, JETS, KWEB — no OHLC data available |
Price Table — All Tickers by Category
Signal key: 🟢 Bullish | 🟡 Neutral/Watch | 🟠 Near Overbought | 🔴 Bearish
Broad Market Index ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOO | $622.00 | 42.6 | $628.79 | $632.10 | -1.1% | -1.3% | -2.3% | -1.6% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| VTI | $333.17 | 42.0 | $337.33 | $339.08 | -1.2% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -1.7% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| QQQM | $250.24 | 48.7 | $249.72 | $252.93 | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -2.7% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| QQQ | $607.85 | 48.7 | $606.50 | $614.32 | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -2.7% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| IWM | $253.36 | 40.2 | $261.25 | $260.45 | -3.0% | -3.4% | -4.4% | -1.4% | weak-down | 🟡 |
VOO and VTI both below SMA20 with RSI in the low 40s — not oversold enough for a strong buy, but drifting lower. IWM is the weakest with RSI 40 and -3.0% below SMA20; small-caps losing their rotation edge. QQQ holding SMA20 better than broad market, but still weak-down trend.
Leveraged / Inverse ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TQQQ | $49.40 | 47.1 | $49.47 | $52.08 | -0.1% | -1.9% | -3.9% | -11.8% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| QLD | $67.91 | 47.6 | $67.88 | $70.04 | 0.0% | +5.3% | -2.3% | -7.2% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| SSO | $56.37 | 42.1 | $57.77 | $58.54 | -2.4% | +2.5% | -4.8% | -4.5% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| SPXL | $210.31 | 41.7 | $218.48 | $223.46 | -3.7% | +3.7% | -7.3% | -7.5% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| UPRO | $110.31 | 41.6 | $114.62 | $117.25 | -3.8% | +3.7% | -7.3% | -7.5% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| SOXL | $54.59 | 44.2 | $61.99 | $58.76 | -11.9% | +3.7% | -19.8% | +11.9% | weak-down | 🔴 |
| TECL | $102.33 | 45.9 | $104.09 | $112.49 | -1.7% | +10.7% | -8.3% | -20.5% | down | 🔴 |
| TNA | $47.75 | 39.0 | $52.81 | $53.02 | -9.6% | -0.4% | -13.8% | -8.5% | weak-down | 🔴 |
| FNGU | $20.46 | 52.8 | $18.84 | $21.56 | +8.6% | +17.1% | +5.4% | -30.4% | strong-down | 🔴 |
| SQQQ | $70.59 | 51.0 | $71.06 | $68.51 | -0.7% | -7.4% | +2.5% | +8.5% | weak-up | 🟡 |
| SOXS | $38.82 | 50.2 | $36.47 | $41.79 | +6.4% | -5.7% | +15.5% | -31.5% | strong-down | 🔴 |
| TECS | $18.35 | 51.3 | $18.33 | $17.57 | +0.1% | -9.8% | +6.1% | +13.9% | weak-up | 🟡 |
| TZA | $6.79 | 59.3 | $6.24 | $6.34 | +8.8% | +0.4% | +13.4% | +2.7% | weak-up | 🟡 |
| LABU | $171.50 | 52.5 | $166.58 | $168.15 | +3.0% | +5.0% | +5.0% | +4.8% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| LABD | $17.50 | 44.9 | $18.35 | $18.90 | -4.6% | -10.4% | -7.5% | -16.2% | strong-down | 🟡 |
SOXL is -11.9% below SMA20 and -19.8% on the month — semis leveraged plays are painful. TECL at -38% from 52wk high confirms tech leverage is a graveyard. FNGU's 17% weekly bounce looks like a dead cat after a -30% 3M decline. The only leveraged winner is LABU (3x biotech bull) at strong-up trend, +52.8% above SMA200.
Semiconductor ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | $397.33 | 48.0 | $405.97 | $396.96 | $331.73 | -2.1% | -0.4% | -4.2% | +7.5% | strong-up | 🟡 |
SMH holding above SMA50 barely, with a golden cross still intact. RSI 48 is neutral — not oversold enough for aggressive buys, but the strong-up trend on 200-day basis is reassuring. The -4.2% monthly decline is manageable.
Technology Sector ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGT | $731.99 | 47.5 | $734.39 | $746.41 | -0.3% | +3.0% | -2.2% | -5.6% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| XLK | $139.76 | 47.6 | $140.06 | $142.80 | -0.2% | +3.5% | -2.3% | -5.4% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| FTEC | $218.23 | 47.5 | $219.04 | $222.60 | -0.4% | +3.0% | -2.3% | -5.6% | weak-down | 🟡 |
All three tech sector ETFs are nearly identical — RSI ~48, weak-down trend, about -5.5% over 3M. Below both SMA20 and SMA50 but above SMA200 with golden crosses intact. Not broken, just drifting.
Cloud / Software ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | vs SMA200 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WCLD | $28.82 | 49.5 | $27.91 | $30.46 | $34.06 | +3.2% | -15.4% | +1.6% | +4.5% | -20.2% | strong-down | 🔴 |
| CLOU | $19.81 | 51.5 | $19.22 | $20.53 | $22.41 | +3.1% | -11.6% | +1.7% | +4.5% | -14.6% | strong-down | 🔴 |
| SKYY | $113.32 | 48.4 | $111.58 | $118.80 | $125.40 | +1.6% | -9.6% | +1.0% | +0.2% | -15.7% | strong-down | 🔴 |
| IGV | $85.72 | 48.6 | $83.00 | $91.37 | $105.06 | +3.3% | -18.4% | +0.4% | +3.0% | -21.9% | strong-down | 🔴 |
Cloud/SaaS ETFs are in death cross territory across the board, all strong-down trend. IGV is the worst at -18.4% below SMA200 and -21.9% 3M decline. WCLD and CLOU bouncing slightly off lows but still deeply underwater. The SaaS selloff is structural, not a dip.
Gold / Miners
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD | $476.25 | 55.5 | $470.15 | $449.91 | $369.22 | +1.3% | +0.8% | +1.8% | +21.1% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| GDX | $103.37 | 48.7 | $106.09 | $100.55 | $74.36 | -2.6% | -0.4% | -2.5% | +20.7% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| NUGT | $246.11 | 46.9 | $263.46 | $244.78 | $149.86 | -6.6% | -0.6% | -7.6% | +32.7% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| DUST | $43.33 | 46.5 | $42.48 | $51.79 | $133.65 | +2.0% | +1.8% | -1.1% | -42.8% | strong-down | 🔴 |
Gold is THE winner of this cycle. GLD +21.1% over 3M with strong-up trend and golden cross. GDX lagging but still +20.7% 3M. NUGT (3x gold miners) at +32.7% 3M but recently pulled back -7.6% on 30D. DUST (inverse gold miners) being systematically destroyed at -42.8% 3M. Flight to gold is intact and accelerating.
Biotech ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XBI | $127.43 | 53.9 | $125.81 | $125.38 | $104.85 | +1.3% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +3.9% | strong-up | 🟢 |
XBI is the stealthy outperformer — golden cross, strong-up trend, above both SMA20 and SMA50, and +21.5% above SMA200. Biotech is working while tech isn't.
Income / Dividend ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEPQ | $57.62 | 49.9 | $57.45 | $57.94 | +0.3% | +2.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| JEPI | $58.19 | 43.6 | $58.88 | $58.26 | -1.2% | +0.4% | -1.2% | +2.0% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| SCHD | $30.90 | 48.1 | $31.47 | $30.02 | -1.8% | -1.1% | -2.3% | +11.6% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| VYM | $150.71 | 39.4 | $154.21 | $150.68 | -2.3% | -0.1% | -3.7% | +2.7% | strong-up | 🟡 |
| QYLD | $17.66 | 54.9 | $17.54 | $17.51 | +0.7% | +2.1% | +0.2% | +3.6% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| XYLD | $40.49 | 50.1 | $40.56 | $40.37 | -0.2% | +1.3% | -0.3% | +2.6% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| DOGG | $22.74 | 58.1 | $22.82 | $21.65 | -0.3% | -0.7% | +1.3% | +10.7% | strong-up | 🟢 |
Income ETFs are the quiet winners. SCHD +11.6% 3M and only -0.6% from 52wk high — near all-time highs. DOGG +10.7% 3M. QYLD and XYLD both strong-up trend. Dividend/value rotation is real and durable. VYM weakening with RSI 39, pulling toward oversold territory.
International / EM ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWZ | $37.53 | 50.7 | $38.18 | $36.14 | $30.54 | -1.7% | +3.1% | -4.2% | +17.1% | strong-up | 🟢 |
| FXI | $36.59 | 38.2 | $37.72 | $38.74 | $38.37 | -3.0% | +3.0% | -7.3% | -5.6% | down | 🔴 |
| INDA | $49.93 | 30 | $52.01 | $52.58 | $53.52 | -4.0% | +1.5% | -6.7% | -6.8% | strong-down | 🔴 |
INDA at RSI 30 is at the oversold threshold — India ETF in a strong-down trend with death cross, -6.7% below SMA200. FXI (China) weakening at RSI 38 and -7.3% on 30D, the China trade fading. EWZ (Brazil) remains strong-up at +17.1% 3M — LatAm is working.
Bond / Fixed Income ETFs
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HYG | $80.04 | 43.5 | $80.34 | $80.45 | -0.4% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +0.1% | weak-down | 🟡 |
| LQD | $110.06 | 40.9 | $110.94 | $110.47 | -0.8% | +0.2% | -0.2% | 0.0% | weak-down | 🟡 |
Bond ETFs are flat and boring — which is fine for fixed income. HYG and LQD both slightly below SMA20 with weak-down trends. Credit spreads not signaling stress.
Other / Specialty
| Ticker | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| URA | $52.31 | 48.9 | $52.98 | $52.39 | -1.3% | +2.5% | -2.6% | +11.9% | weak-down | 🟡 |
URA (uranium) neutral at RSI 49 with a golden cross. +11.9% 3M shows the nuclear thesis still has momentum but short-term the trend is weakening.
Tier Analysis — RSI Buckets
🚨 Oversold Zone (RSI 25-35)
| Ticker | RSI | 30D% | Trend | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDA | 30 | -6.7% | strong-down | India ETF at death cross, -10.8% from 52wk high |
INDA is the only ETF approaching true oversold territory. India's market weakness is macro-driven (global slowdown fears + domestic headwinds). Not a buy until trend reversal confirms.
🟡 Watch Zone (RSI 35-45)
| Ticker | RSI | Category | 30D% | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FXI | 38.2 | China | -7.3% | China trade fading fast |
| TNA | 39.0 | 3x Small-Cap Bull | -13.8% | Small-caps losing rotation edge |
| VYM | 39.4 | High Dividend | -3.7% | Approaching oversold for a dividend ETF |
| LQD | 40.9 | IG Bonds | -0.2% | Bonds flat, no signal |
| IWM | 40.2 | Small-Cap | -4.4% | Below SMA20, rotation fading |
| SPXL | 41.7 | 3x S&P Bull | -7.3% | Leverage amplifying S&P weakness |
| UPRO | 41.6 | 3x S&P Bull | -7.3% | Same as SPXL |
| SSO | 42.1 | 2x S&P Bull | -4.8% | Moderate leverage, same story |
| VOO | 42.6 | S&P 500 | -2.3% | Benchmark drifting lower |
| VTI | 42.0 | Total Market | -2.4% | Slightly worse than VOO |
| HYG | 43.5 | High Yield Bonds | -0.5% | Credit not stressed |
🟡 Neutral Zone (RSI 45-55)
Core ETFs here are range-bound. GLD (55.5), QYLD (54.9), LABU (52.5), XBI (53.9), SMH (48.0), QQQM/QQQ (48.7), EWZ (50.7), URA (48.9) — no urgency either way.
🟢 Strong / Overbought (RSI 55+)
| Ticker | RSI | Category | 30D% | Trend | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGG | 58.1 | Dogs of Dow | +1.3% | strong-up | Near 52wk high, value rotation winner |
| TZA | 59.3 | 3x Small-Cap Bear | +13.4% | weak-up | Small-cap bearishness rising |
No ETFs are overbought (RSI > 70). The market is not stretched in either direction — just broadly weak.
Entry Zones
| Setup | Ticker(s) | Trigger | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| India Oversold | INDA | RSI < 28, watch for stabilization near $48-49 | Strong-down trend, don't catch falling knife yet — wait for RSI divergence |
| Gold Continuation | GLD, GDX | Any pullback to SMA20 (~$470 GLD, ~$106 GDX) | Gold +21% 3M trend is the strongest in the ETF universe |
| Biotech Ride | XBI | Pullback to SMA20 (~$126) | Strong-up with golden cross, biotech is working |
| Income Play | SCHD | Dip to SMA50 (~$30) | Near 52wk high, +11.6% 3M, strong-up trend |
| Cloud Capitulation | IGV, WCLD | RSI < 35 on further weakness | SaaS ETFs in death crosses at -15% to -22% 3M — getting close to panic levels |
| Small-Cap Reversal | IWM | RSI < 35, hold above $245 | Was leading rotation, now fading — could re-emerge |
| VYM Dividend Entry | VYM | RSI < 35 near $148 | Approaching oversold for a high-dividend ETF near all-time highs |
Action Matrix
| Ticker | Action | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| GLD | 🟢 Hold/Add | Best performer: +21.1% 3M, strong-up, golden cross |
| GDX | 🟢 Hold | Gold miners lagging spot but still +20.7% 3M |
| XBI | 🟢 Hold | Strong-up, above all SMAs, +3.9% 3M |
| SCHD | 🟢 Hold | Near 52wk high, +11.6% 3M, income winner |
| DOGG | 🟢 Hold | +10.7% 3M, value rotation beneficiary |
| EWZ | 🟢 Hold | Brazil +17.1% 3M, strong-up trend |
| VOO | 🟡 Hold | Drifting lower, RSI 43. Wait for RSI < 35 to add |
| QQQ | 🟡 Hold | RSI 49, flat. Not oversold, not broken |
| SMH | 🟡 Watch | RSI 48, golden cross intact. Semi weakness manageable |
| IWM | 🟡 Watch | RSI 40, rotation fading. Was best index, now weakening |
| URA | 🟡 Hold | Neutral, +11.9% 3M but trend weakening |
| JEPQ/JEPI | 🟡 Hold | Income ETFs flat, doing their job |
| INDA | 🔍 Watch | RSI 30, don't buy yet — strong-down trend needs to break |
| FXI | 🔍 Watch | China weakening, RSI 38. China trade fading |
| VYM | 🔍 Watch | RSI 39, approaching entry for dividend play |
| WCLD/IGV | 🔴 Avoid | Cloud/SaaS in death crosses, -15% to -22% 3M — falling knives |
| TECL | 🔴 Avoid | -38% from high, -20.5% 3M. Tech leverage is death |
| SOXL | 🔴 Avoid | -11.9% below SMA20, semi leverage pain |
| FNGU | ⚠️ Avoid | +17% dead cat bounce, still -40% from high |
What Changed (vs 03/10 scan)
| Signal | 03/10 | 03/11 | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| VOO | RSI — (no data) | RSI 42.6, weak-down | NEW: below SMA20, drifting lower |
| IWM | RSI 62.6, 🟢 | RSI 40.2, 🟡 | DOWNGRADE: Small-cap rotation fading significantly |
| GLD | Not in prior data | RSI 55.5, +21.1% 3M | NEW: Gold is the clear winner |
| INDA | No data | RSI 30, strong-down | NEW: India at oversold threshold |
| FXI | No data | RSI 38.2, down | NEW: China trade fading |
| Cloud ETFs | Not tracked | All in death crosses | NEW: SaaS/cloud in structural decline |
| Income ETFs | Not tracked | SCHD/DOGG strong-up | NEW: Dividend rotation accelerating |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| Gold (GLD +21.1% 3M) is the single best performing asset class in the ETF universe | Flight to safety is real and accelerating — don't fight this trend |
| Cloud/SaaS ETFs (IGV, WCLD, SKYY, CLOU) are ALL in death crosses | SaaS selloff is structural, not cyclical — avoid until trend reversal |
| IWM dropped from RSI 62.6 to RSI 40.2 in one session | Small-cap rotation is over (for now) — the one "working" trade broke |
| Income/dividend ETFs (SCHD, DOGG) near 52wk highs | Value/income rotation is durable and under-appreciated |
| INDA at RSI 30 with death cross | India weakness is a potential contrarian setup but needs confirmation |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Assuming small-cap rotation (IWM) would persist | Rotations can reverse quickly — always check RSI trend, not just narrative |
| Ignoring cloud ETF death crosses | Death cross + strong-down trend = structural, not "oversold opportunity" |
Open Questions
- Is the gold rally (+21% 3M) nearing exhaustion or just getting started?
- Will cloud/SaaS ETFs find a floor, or is this the beginning of a multi-quarter re-rating lower?
- Can income/dividend ETFs maintain outperformance if equity markets correct further?
- INDA at RSI 30 — is India's weakness EM-specific or a leading indicator for global risk-off?
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.