Crypto Scan
Crypto Scan
Dead-cat bounce or real reversal? Miners ripping, spot ETFs stabilizing, coins still 40-77% off highs.
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Risk appetite returning at the margins — miners and equity proxies moving before coins |
| Key insight | RIOT +22.6% in 7 days and BITQ +9% signal speculative appetite; BTC bounced off lows but still -41% from 52wk high under death cross |
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| BTC | 🟡 $74,172 — weak-up bounce, death cross intact, -41% from ATH |
| ETH | 🟡 $2,343 — slight recovery, still -53% from high, death cross |
| Altcoins (SOL, ADA, DOGE, DOT) | 🔴 Structural downtrends, -34 to -77% off highs |
| Spot ETFs (IBIT, GBTC, BITO) | 🟡 RSI 56-57, stabilizing above SMA20 — floor forming |
| Mining equities (RIOT, MARA, CLSK) | 🟢 Ripping — RIOT +22.6% 7D, RSI 65 |
| MSTR | 🟡 Flat — leveraged BTC proxy rangebound near SMA20 |
Price Table — Coins
| Coin | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | vs SMA200 | pct52wk | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC-USD | $74,172 | +2.4% | +4.5% | -22.2% | 61.5 | -15.4% | -41.2% | 🟡 Weak-up |
| ETH-USD | $2,343 | +3.3% | +12.0% | -29.5% | 62.8 | -19.5% | -52.7% | 🟡 Weak-up |
| SOL-USD | $85.87 | -1.0% | -2.6% | -40.9% | 52.4 | -34.0% | -66.1% | 🔴 Structurally broken |
| XRP-USD | $1.35 | +1.5% | -2.9% | -35.4% | 47.1 | -30.8% | -63.0% | 🔴 Strong-down |
| ADA-USD | $0.24 | -4.0% | -11.1% | -42.9% | 40.4 | -42.6% | -76.4% | 🔴 Strong-down |
| DOGE-USD | $0.09 | 0.0% | -10.0% | -40.0% | 45.9 | -34.9% | -69.3% | 🔴 Strong-down |
| AVAX-USD | $9.32 | -3.9% | -4.1% | -36.8% | 51.7 | -33.5% | -74.1% | 🔴 Strong-down |
| DOT-USD | $1.21 | -2.4% | -17.1% | -46.9% | 36.5 | -43.5% | -77.4% | 🔴 Strong-down |
| LINK-USD | $9.30 | -2.0% | +2.3% | -33.8% | 55.9 | -27.6% | -66.5% | 🔴 Strong-down |
Price Table — Spot ETFs
| ETF | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | vs SMA200 | pct52wk | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBIT | $41.59 | +5.5% | -0.8% | -25.0% | 56.8 | -24.0% | -42.1% | 🟡 Stabilizing |
| GBTC | $57.09 | +5.4% | -1.0% | -25.2% | 56.7 | -24.4% | -42.4% | 🟡 Stabilizing |
| ETHE | $18.39 | +4.5% | -3.0% | -33.3% | 56.0 | -30.0% | -54.2% | 🟡 Stabilizing |
| BITO | $10.07 | +5.2% | -1.1% | -25.5% | 56.6 | -25.2% | -57.4% | 🟡 Stabilizing |
Price Table — Crypto Equities
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | vs SMA200 | pct52wk | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIOT | $17.37 | +22.6% | +20.6% | +0.4% | 64.8 | +13.2% | -27.4% | 🟢 Up-trend |
| CLSK | $10.76 | +8.7% | +7.4% | -19.3% | 60.4 | -11.9% | -54.4% | 🟡 Weak-up |
| MARA | $10.36 | +5.2% | +12.2% | -6.8% | 65.0 | -23.1% | -55.8% | 🟡 Weak-up |
| BITQ | $22.25 | +9.1% | +3.6% | -6.9% | 62.6 | +0.6% | -29.3% | 🟢 Up-trend |
| MSTR | $132.36 | +1.4% | -10.3% | -26.2% | 49.9 | -46.4% | -71.1% | 🔴 Strong-down |
| COIN | $174.53 | -5.4% | -14.2% | -31.8% | 45.2 | -36.8% | -60.8% | 🔴 Strong-down |
Tier Analysis
Risk Appetite Read: Crypto functions as the market's risk-on barometer. The current read is "cautious thaw" — not a bull market, but not freefall either. Miners (RIOT, MARA, CLSK) are leading because they have operating leverage to BTC price moves; when they rip before coins do, it can be a leading indicator, but it can also be a sentiment squeeze. Watch COIN and MSTR for confirmation — both remain in strong-down trends.
BTC/ETH Bounce Quality: The 7-day bounce (+2-3%) is soft. BTC is above SMA20 by 7% but still 15% below SMA200 under a death cross. This is a relief bounce in a downtrend until proven otherwise. ETH's +12% 30-day move is the strongest in the coin bucket but -53% from 52wk high is a brutal backdrop.
Altcoin Reality Check: ADA, DOT, DOGE are in structural destruction — down 40-83% across 2-3 year windows. These are not "oversold bounces" to buy — they're failed narratives. DOT specifically has lost value every time frame from 3M to 5Y.
Spot ETFs as Volatility Reducers: IBIT/GBTC/BITO at RSI 56-57 with a slight SMA20 premium suggest institutional holders are not panic-selling. Floor is forming in the $41-57 range for the spot ETFs.
Entry Zones
ONLY FOR CRYPTO-DEDICATED ALLOCATIONS
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBIT | $41.59 | $38-42 | 56.8 | -0.8% | 📈 Accumulate | Cleanest BTC exposure; spot ETF with institutional liquidity |
| RIOT | $17.37 | Wait — already +20% | 64.8 | +20.6% | ⚠️ Avoid chasing | Best positioned miner; wait for RSI pullback to 45-50 |
| BITQ | $22.25 | $19-21 | 62.6 | +3.6% | 🔍 Watch | Broad crypto equity basket; best risk-adj in this group |
Action Matrix
| Action | Assets | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | IBIT | Cleanest BTC proxy; RSI 56, spot ETF floor forming |
| 🔍 WATCH | BTC-USD, ETH-USD, BITQ | Wait for death cross to flip or RSI to dip to 40-45 |
| 🔒 HOLD | RIOT, MARA, CLSK | Miners ripping — hold existing; don't initiate at RSI 60-65 |
| ⚠️ AVOID | MSTR, COIN | Strong-down with no catalyst; leveraged BTC without clean signal |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | SOL, ADA, DOGE, DOT, XRP | Structural decay; death crosses across the board |
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.