Crypto Scan

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Crypto Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 31 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-04-28-crypto-scan.mdscan slugcrypto-scansource typescan-archive

Crypto as risk-appetite indicator: BTC clawing back (+15.7% 30D, RSI 56) but still below SMA200 (-9.8%); altcoin tail rotting (SOL/AVAX/DOT all -25 to -40% 3M); miners ripping (CLSK +44%, MARA +41%, RIOT +21%) — speculation back, but only at the edges.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Recovery rally, but death cross intact across the board
Key insight Coins still below SMA200 (BTC -9.8%, ETH -17.1%); MSTR/COIN still -56-64% from high — recovery is shallow; mining stocks doing the heavy lifting

BTC Dominance / Bellwether Health

BTC at $76,315 (RSI 56, +15.7% 30D, -39.5% from high). Above SMA20 and SMA50 but still -9.8% under SMA200 — death cross intact. ETH lagging hard ($2,288, -54% from high, RSI 51).

Risk appetite read: the +15% 30D bounce on BTC is a bear-market rally signature, not a regime change. SMA200 reclaim ($84.5K) is the line in the sand.

Tier 1 — Coins

Coin Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi Trend Signal
BTC-USD $76,315 55.8 +1.1% +1.63% +15.71% -9.75% -39.53% weak-up 🔍 Watch
ETH-USD $2,288 51.2 -1.1% -0.83% +15.42% -18.80% -53.81% weak-up 🔍 Watch
SOL-USD $85.87 52.4 +3.3% -1.03% -2.59% -40.93% -66.09% weak-up 🔍 Watch
XRP-USD $1.37 51.0 +2% 0% -2.14% -36.57% -62.41% strong-down 🔍 Watch
ADA-USD $0.25 48.8 +0.2% 0% +4.17% -24.24% -75.73% strong-down ❌ Don't Buy
DOGE-USD $0.10 59.4 +4.7% 0% +11.11% -16.67% -67.46% weak-up 🔍 Watch
AVAX-USD $9.17 46.8 -2.2% -0.64% +6.63% -16.86% -74.46% strong-down ❌ Don't Buy
DOT-USD $1.23 43.6 -2.3% -3.91% -2.38% -28.90% -77.12% strong-down ❌ Don't Buy
LINK-USD $9.24 50.6 -0.2% 0% +9.87% -16.76% -66.67% weak-up 🔍 Watch

Tier 2 — Spot ETFs (Flow Proxies)

ETF Price RSI vs SMA20 30D% 3M% 52wkHi Trend Signal
IBIT $43.27 56.5 +3.7% +14.84% -9.10% -39.75% weak-up 🔍 Watch
GBTC $59.34 56.4 +3.6% +14.69% -9.45% -40.13% weak-up 🔍 Watch
ETHE $18.69 52.5 +1.7% +13.82% -17.92% -53.43% weak-up 🔍 Watch
BITO $10.46 56.2 +3.5% +14.44% -9.98% -55.73% weak-up 🔍 Watch

ETF flow read: all four ETFs +14-15% 30D matching BTC's bounce — flows are coming back but not enough to reclaim trend. ETHE underperforming (-18% 3M) signals capital still concentrating in BTC over ETH.

Tier 3 — Crypto Equities

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi Trend Signal
MSTR $165.71 61.1 +13.3% -0.58% +36.45% +15.73% -63.76% weak-up 🔍 Watch
COIN $194.10 52.0 +3.7% -4.82% +20.72% -2.55% -56.35% weak-up 🔍 Watch
MARA $11.02 58.7 +6.9% -2.62% +41.28% +11.76% -53.01% weak-up 🔍 Watch
RIOT $17.37 64.8 +21.7% +22.63% +20.63% +0.35% -27.43% up 🔥 Catalyst
CLSK $11.79 57.8 +9.3% +3.29% +44.13% -6.35% -50.06% weak-up 🔍 Watch
BITQ $23.35 55.9 +4.7% -1.51% +31.11% +4.66% -25.76% up 🔍 Watch

Miner Health

Miners are leading this bounce: CLSK +44%, MARA +41%, MSTR +36%, BITQ +31%, RIOT +21% on 30D. RIOT especially hot (+22.6% in 7D, RSI 65, +21.7% above SMA20 — only one in clear uptrend). When miners outrun the underlying, it's classic late-cycle speculation behavior.

MSTR / COIN Bellwethers

  • MSTR $165.71, RSI 61, +36.5% 30D but still -64% from high. The leveraged-BTC trade is reanimating but nowhere near recovery.
  • COIN $194.10, RSI 52, +20.7% 30D, still -56% from high. Lagging MSTR in beta — exchange revenue still depressed vs price action.

Key Levels

  • BTC SMA200: $84,574 — the recovery line. Below = bear market rally; above = trend reset.
  • ETH SMA200: $2,762 — currently $2,288, ~21% gap to reclaim.
  • MSTR SMA200: $233.78 — ~41% above current; structural overhang.

Risk Gauge

Signal Reading
Spot ETF flows 🟡 +15% 30D bounce — recovery, not regime change
Altcoin breadth 🔴 Tail rotting — DOT/ADA/AVAX still -75%+ from high
Miner leverage 🟠 Leading beta — late-cycle speculation re-emerging
BTC vs SMA200 🔴 -9.8% — bear market rally until proven otherwise
MSTR/COIN 🔴 Still -56 to -64% from high — institutional gear damaged

Action Matrix

Action Names Why
🔥 CATALYST RIOT Only crypto equity with up-trend, +22% 7D
🔍 WATCH BTC, ETH, IBIT Recovery rally, watch SMA200 reclaim
🔍 WATCH MSTR, COIN, MARA, CLSK, BITQ Miners + leveraged plays bouncing but no trend
❌ DON'T BUY ADA, AVAX, DOT Altcoin tail still rotting, -75%+ from high
🔍 WATCH SOL, XRP, DOGE, LINK Mid-tier alts bouncing but below trend
10 events

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