ETF Universe Scan
ETF Universe Scan
Leveraged monsters dominate while bear ETFs crater; semis and small caps lead the bull side of the ledger.
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 Momentum surge — broad indices reclaim SMAs, leverage amplifiers running hot |
| Key insight | SOXL +42% in 7 days with RSI 71.5 confirms semis are the trade; bear ETFs (SOXS, SQQQ, FNGD) getting annihilated |
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Core indices (VOO, QQQ) | 🟢 Golden cross intact, +3-4% 7D, RSI 63-64 — controlled strength |
| Semis (SMH, SOXL) | 🟠 Near overbought RSI 70-71, parabolic 7-day move |
| Leveraged bulls (TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO) | 🟡 Momentum, golden crosses, not extreme yet |
| Bear ETFs (SQQQ, SOXS, FNGD, TZA) | 🔴 All death-crossed, RSI 30-37, broken charts |
| Small caps (IWM, TNA) | 🟢 Golden cross, strong-up trend, rotation confirming |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | RSI | vs SMA200 | Trend | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQM | $254.17 | +3.8% | +3.0% | -0.2% | 63.6 | +3.6% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| QQQ | $617.39 | +3.8% | +3.0% | -0.2% | 63.5 | +3.6% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| VOO | $630.72 | +3.2% | +2.9% | -0.4% | 63.8 | +3.8% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| VTI | $338.67 | +3.1% | +3.1% | -0.4% | 63.7 | +4.0% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| IWM | $265.07 | +3.9% | +6.7% | +0.9% | 64.2 | +9.0% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| SMH | $443.34 | +10.9% | +12.6% | +14.2% | 69.6 | +27.3% | strong-up ✨ | 🟠 Extended |
| SOXL | $80.56 | +41.7% | +50.1% | +45.5% | 71.5 | +87.8% | strong-up ✨ | 🟠 Overbought |
| TQQQ | $50.66 | +11.5% | +6.9% | -5.7% | 62.3 | +2.6% | up | 🟡 Neutral |
| QLD | $69.59 | +7.6% | +5.2% | -2.6% | 62.8 | +3.7% | up | 🟡 Neutral |
| SSO | $57.58 | +6.3% | +5.0% | -2.6% | 62.8 | +4.4% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| SPXL | $215.91 | +9.5% | +7.0% | -5.1% | 62.3 | +4.7% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| UPRO | $113.23 | +9.5% | +7.0% | -5.2% | 62.3 | +4.6% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| TECL | $112.67 | +13.2% | +12.8% | -4.8% | 64.1 | +3.8% | up | 🟡 Neutral |
| TNA | $53.57 | +11.7% | +18.9% | -3.1% | 63.1 | +17.9% | strong-up ✨ | 🟢 Healthy |
| FNGU | $20.31 | +16.0% | +6.1% | -14.9% | 62.3 | -18.4% | weak-up | 🟡 Neutral |
| SQQQ | $65.57 | -10.9% | -9.7% | -1.2% | 36.6 | -12.4% | strong-down | 🔴 Broken |
| SOXS | $22.42 | -32.8% | -41.9% | -50.5% | 30.8 | -72.5% | strong-down | 🔴 Broken |
| FNGD | $56.00 | -14.4% | -11.6% | +1.6% | 36.1 | -2.3% | down | 🔴 Broken |
| TZA | $5.73 | -11.1% | -19.2% | -6.1% | 36.0 | -27.7% | strong-down | 🔴 Broken |
| TECS | $15.62 | — | — | — | 35.4 | — | strong-down | 🔴 Broken |
Tier Analysis
Tier 1 — Core Long-Only (Hold/Accumulate): VOO, QQQ, QQQM, VTI all on golden cross with RSI in the healthy 63-64 range. Broad market reclaimed SMA200; this is the setup you want as a base. IWM leading with +9% SMA200 premium — small caps confirming the rally is broad, not just mega-cap.
Tier 2 — Leveraged Bulls (Momentum Plays): SOXL is the story of the week — RSI 71.5 with 88% above SMA200. The semi-cycle trade is working violently. SMH (unleveraged semi ETF) also pushing multi-month highs at RSI 69.6. TECL, TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO all on golden cross and generating alpha. These are not "buy now" setups but are for riders who are already in.
Tier 3 — Bear ETFs (Do Not Touch): Every single inverse ETF is on a death cross and trending down. SOXS down 41% in 30 days. These are not "oversold entry" setups — they're death by decay and trend. Stay out.
Entry Zones
APPROACHING EXTENDED (RSI 65-72) — Do Not Chase
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOXL | $80.56 | Wait for pullback to $60-65 | 71.5 ↑ | +50.1% | ⚠️ Avoid | Parabolic; wait for RSI reversion to 50 |
| SMH | $443.34 | Wait for pullback to $390-410 | 69.6 ↑ | +12.6% | ⚠️ Avoid | Overbought on semi cycle; let it breathe |
HEALTHY CORE (RSI 62-65) — Hold or Add on Dips
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOO | $630.72 | DCA any dip to $610-615 | 63.8 | +2.9% | 🔒 Hold | Benchmark; golden cross, SMA200 reclaimed |
| QQQM | $254.17 | DCA any dip to $240-245 | 63.6 | +3.0% | 🔒 Hold | Nasdaq-100 low-cost; identical to QQQ but cheaper |
| IWM | $265.07 | DCA any dip to $250-255 | 64.2 | +6.7% | 📈 Accumulate | Small cap confirming breadth; rarely leads without follow-through |
Action Matrix
| Action | ETFs | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | VOO, QQQ, QQQM, VTI, IWM | Core golden-cross positions; RSI 63-64, SMA200 reclaimed |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | SSO, SPXL, UPRO, TNA | Leveraged longs with golden cross on dips only |
| 🔍 WATCH | TECL, TQQQ, FNGU | Momentum intact but no golden cross; wait for confirmation |
| ⚠️ AVOID | SOXL, SMH | RSI 70-71, parabolic — great if you're in, don't initiate |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | SQQQ, SOXS, FNGD, TZA, TECS | All death-crossed; inverse decay accelerating |
Related
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